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THE 123s OF
SCHOOL CHOICE
What the research says about private school
choice programs in America
edchoice.org/123s
Last Updated 04/01/2022
There are currently
in
with more than
across the country.
2
private school choice programs
and policies operating
76
32 states, Washington, D.C.,
and Puerto Rico
608,000 Students
participating
Cumulative Number of Analyses Published by Outcome and by Year Published
Participating Test Scores Educational Attainment Parent Satisfaction Public School Students’ Test Scores
Civic Values and Practices Racial/Ethnic Integration Fiscal Effects
‘98
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18 ‘90 ‘20 ‘21
As of March 2022, 175
studies by program by
outcome were reviewed and
included in this analysis.
3
It’s imperative that we understand
the effectiveness of these programs.
Therefore, researchers have studied
them for decades.
4
In this resource, we’ve broken down all of the
empirical studies of U.S. voucher, tax-credit
scholarship and education savings account
programs to date.
• Program Participant Test Scores
• Program Participant Attainment
• Parent Satisfaction
• Public School Students’ Test Scores
• Civic Values and Practices
• Racial/Ethnic Integration
• Fiscal Effects
5
When possible, we focus on random assignment
studies because they provide very high internal
validity, though they do not necessarily provide
very high external validity compared to other
research methods.
effects we observe are attributable
to the program, not other factors
the extent to which results can be
generalized to other students in
other programs
Internal:
External:
6
*One study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no
visible effect.” The number of effects detected may differ from the number of studies included in the table because we classify one study as having detected both positive and negative effects.
Overall Effects Counts for Studies of Private School Choice Programs
Outcome
Program Participant Test Scores
Educational Attainment
Parent Satisfaction
Public School Students’ Test Scores
Civic Values and Practices
Integration*
Fiscal Effects
17
7
32
28
11
7
73
11
5
30
25
6
6
68
4
2
1
1
5
1
4
3
0
2
2
0
0
5
Number of
Studies
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
7
NATIONWIDE
11
1
2
28
3
4
1
27
4
1
6
2
18
3
8
2
2
1
1
15
D.C.
4
11
4
1
10
2
Number of Studies of Private School Choice
Programs by Location
8
Program Participant
Test Scores
9
These studies examine whether students who
receive and/or use scholarships to attend a
private school of their choice achieve higher
test scores than students who applied for, but
did not receive or use scholarships.
10
Of the 17 random-assignment studies
conducted, 11 have found positive outcomes
for either the full sample or at least one
sub-sample of students studied. Four found
no visible effect for any group of students,
and three found negative outcomes for
all or some students.
11
*One study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no
visible effect.” The number of effects detected may differ from the number of studies included in the table because we classify one study as having detected both positive and negative effects.
V=Voucher P=Private scholarship
Test Score Outcome of Participants from Experimental Studies
Study
Erickson, Mills and Wolf (2021)
Webber et al. (2019)
Abdulkadiroglu, Pathak, and Walters (2018)
Wolf et al. (2013)
Lamarche (2008)
Greene, Peterson, and Du (1999)
Rouse (1998)
Bitler et. al. (2015)
Jin, Barnard, and Rubin (2010)
Cowen (2008)
Bettinger and Slonim (2006)
Krueger and Zhu (2004)
Barnard et al. (2003)
Howell et al. (2002)
Howell et al. (2002)
Howell et al. (2002)
Greene (2001)
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
New York, NY
New York, NY
Charlotte, NC
Toledo, OH
New York, NY
New York, NY
Washington, D.C.
New York, NY
Dayton, OH
Charlotte, NC
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
All
Students
(full sample)
Some
Students
(subsample)
All
Students
Some
Students
All
Students
Some
Students
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
12
NATIONWIDE
3
2
2
5
3
D.C.
2
Number of Studies on Program Participant
Test Scores by Location
13
Program Participant
Attainment
14
These studies examine whether school
choice programs have an effect on students’
likelihood to graduate high school,
enroll in college or attain
a college degree.
15
Of the seven studies that have examined
educational attainment outcomes, five
have found positive effects on educational
attainment for at least one subgroup of
students, two found no visible effect for
any group of students, and no studies have
found negative effects for any
group of students
16
*The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment.
Journal of Public Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis.
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Two studies, on the Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program and Milwaukee Parental Choice Program, used matching methods while all other analyses were based
on random assignment.
V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship
Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies
Study
Austin and Pardo (2021)
Erickson, Mills, and Wolf (2021)
Chingos et al. (2019)
Chingos et al. (2019)
Wolf et al. (2013)
Chingos et al. (2019)
Cheng and Peterson* (2020)
Indiana
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Florida
New York, NY
v
V
V
V
V
TCS
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
All
Students
(full sample)
Some
Students
(subsample)
All
Students
Some
Students
All
Students
Some
Students
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
17
NATIONWIDE
1 1
2
D.C.
1
1
1
Number of Studies on Attainment Outcomes
of Participants by Location
18
Parent Satisfaction
19
These studies rely on polling and surveys to
measure the extent to which parents with
children participating in private school choice
programs are satisfied with their current
school compared to their pre-program school
or to non-program students.
20
Of the 32 studies that have examined
school choice’s impact on parent
satisfaction, 30 found positive outcomes.
One found null results, and two
found overall negative outcomes.
21
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
Notes: This table shows all studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant
results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
ESA=Education Savings Account V=Voucher TCS=Tax-Credit Scholarship
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs
Study
Catt and Cheng (2019)
Kittredge (2016)
Butcher and Bedrick (2013)
Varga et al. (2021)
Varga et al. (2021)
Department of Public Instruction (2018)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2017)
Egalite, Gray, and Stallings (2017)
Black (2015)
Kisida and Wolf (2015)
Witte et al. (2008)
Weidner and Herrington (2006)
Greene and Forster (2003)
Witte (2000)
Metcalf (1999)
Peterson, Howell, and Greene (1999)
Greene, Howell, and Peterson (1998)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2016)
DiPerna (2014)
Arizona
Mississippi
Arizona
Florida
Florida
Wisconsin
Indiana
North Carolina
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Florida
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Cleveland, OH
Cleveland, OH
Indiana
Indiana
ESA
ESA
ESA
ESA
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V/TCS*
V/TCS†
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
22
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
Notes: This table shows all studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant
results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
TCS=Tax-Credit Scholarship P=Private Scholarship
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs (continued)
Study
Catt and Cheng (2019)
Department of Revenue Administration (2018)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2017)
Kelly and Scafidi (2013)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Peterson and Campbell (2001)
Greene (2001)
Peterson, Campbell, and West (2001)
Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999)
Weinschrott and Kilgore (1998)
Arizona
New Hampshire
Indiana
Georgia
Dayton, OH
New York, NY
National
Washington, D.C.
National
Charlotte, NC
San Francisco, CA
San Antonio, TX
Indianapolis, IN
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
23
NATIONWIDE
1 1
2
D.C.
1
1
3
1
5
1
2
1
2
5 3
Number of Studies on Parent Satisfaction
by Location
24
Public School
Student’s Test Scores
25
These studies examine whether students who
leave public schools by using a private school
choice program have an effect on the test
scores of students who remain
in public schools.
26
Of the 28 studies that examine the
competitive effects of school choice
programs, 25 found positive effects,
one found no visible effect and two
found negative effects.
27
*The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
V=Voucher
Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
Study
Canbolat (2021)
Egalite and Mills (2021)
Egalite and Catt (2020)
Figlio and Karbownik (2016)
Bowen and Trivitt (2014)
Chakrabarti (2013)
Carr (2011)
Winters and Greene (2011)
Mader (2010)
Greene and Marsh (2009)
Chakrabarti (2008)
Forster (2008)
Forster (2008)
Carnoy et al. (2007)
Greene and Winters (2007)
Indiana
Louisiana
Indiana
Ohio
Florida
Florida
Ohio
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Ohio
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
28
*The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship
Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued)
Study
Figlio and Rouse (2006)
West and Peterson (2006)
Greene and Winters (2004)
Greene and Forster (2002)
Hammons (2002)
Hammons (2002)
Hoxby (2002)
Greene (2001)
Figlio et al. (2021)
Figlio and Hart (2014)
Rouse et al. (2013)
Gray, Merrifield, and Adzima (2016)
Greene and Forster (2002)
Florida
Florida
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Maine
Vermont
Milwaukee, WI
Florida
Florida
Florida
Florida
San Antonio, TX
San Antonio, TX
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
TCS
TCS
TCS
P
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
29
NATIONWIDE
6
1
D.C.
2
1
1
11
1
2 3
Number of Studies on Public School
Students’ Test Score by Location
30
Civic Values and
Practices
31
These studies examine whether school
choice programs have an effect on students’
tolerance for the rights of others, civic
knowledge, engaging in criminal activity, civic
participation, volunteerism, social capital,
civic skills, voter registration and voter
turnout as well as patriotism.
32
Of the 11 studies of this kind, six
found positive effects. Five found no
visible effect, and none found
negative effects.
33
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
V=Voucher P=Private scholarship
Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies
Study
DeAngelis and Wolf (2020)
DeAngelis and Wolf (2018)
Mills et al. (2016)
Fleming, Mitchell, and McNally (2014)
Fleming (2014)
Carlson, Chingos, and Campbell (2017)
Bettinger and Slonim (2006)
Howell and Peterson (2006)
Campbell (2002)
Peterson and Campbell (2001)
Wolf, Peterson, and West (2001)
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Louisiana
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
New York, NY
Toledo, OH
Washington, D.C.
National
Nationwide
Washington, D.C.
V
V
V
V
V
P
P
P
P
P
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
34
NATIONWIDE
4
2
D.C.
1
1
1
2
Number of Studies on Civic Values
and Practices by Location
35
Racial / Ethnic
Integration
36
These studies examine the effect of school
choice programs on racial and ethnic
diversity in schools.
37
Of the seven studies that have examined
school choice’s effect on integration in
schools, six found positive effects. One was
unable to detect any effects, and
none found negative effects.
38
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total effect on segregation in all schools is referenced. Table excludes studies that do not adequately define segregation or fail to make appropriate comparisons. For
example, comparing the racial makeup of a given school to the makeup of a larger administrative unit such as a school district or municipality can be misleading and fails to directly measure the effect of introducing a private school
choice program. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified
as “no visible effect.”
V=Voucher
Racial Integration from All Empirical Studies
Study
Egalite, Mills, and Wolf (2017)
Greene, Mills, and Buck (2010)
Greene and Winters (2007)
Forster (2006)
Forster (2006)
Fuller and Mitchell (2000)
Greene (1999)
Louisiana
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
39
NATIONWIDE
3
1
D.C.
1
2
Number of Studies on Racial/Ethnic
Integration by Location
40
Fiscal Effects
41
These studies examine whether school
choice programs generate net savings, net
costs or are cost-neutral for taxpayers.
42
Of the 73 studies on the fiscal effects of
private school choice programs, 68 found
programs generated savings for taxpayers.
Four found those programs were cost-
neutral. Five studies has found a
private school choice program
generated net costs.
43
*State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
** Results could not be broken out by program.
†The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti-
tutional in January 2006.
‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida)
§OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida)
# Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger,
i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private
School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf
ESA=Education Savings Account V=Voucher
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
Study
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
PEER Mississippi# (2018)
Faulk and Hicks (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
DeAngelis (2020)
Arizona
Florida
Mississippi
Mississippi
Indiana
Washington, D.C.
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Louisiana
Louisiana
Mississippi
North Carolina
North Carolina
Cleveland, OH
Ohio
Ohio
Ohio
Ohio
Oklahoma
Utah
Milwaukee, WI
Racine, WI
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
ESA
ESA
ESA
ESA
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
44
*State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
** Results could not be broken out by program.
†The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti-
tutional in January 2006.
‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida)
§OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida)
# Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger,
i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private
School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf
V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued)
Study
Trivitt and DeAngelis (2020)
Trivitt and DeAngelis (2018)
Wisconsin LAB* (2018)
DeAngelis and Trivitt (2016)
Spalding (2014)
Wolf and McShane (2013)
Costrell (2010)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud and Michos (2006)
Nikolov and Mangum (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Louisiana
Arkansas
Wisconsin
Louisiana
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Vermont
Maine
Florida
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Cleveland, OH
Ohio
Utah
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Virginia
Alabama
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Florida
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
45
*State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
** Results could not be broken out by program.
†The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti-
tutional in January 2006.
‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida)
§OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida)
# Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review
Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger,
i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically
significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private
School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf
TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued)
Study
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Erickson and Scafidi (2020)
Sheasby** (2020)
Dearmon and Evans (2018)
Girardi and Gullickson (2017)
SummaSource (2017)
LOEDR‡ (2012)
OPPAGA§ (2008)
Aud (207)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Collins Center for Public Policy (2007)
Merrifield & Gray (2009)
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
New Hampshire
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
Virginia
Georgia
Arizona
Oklahoma
Iowa
Alabama
Florida
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Florida
Florida
San Antonio, TX
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
TCS
P
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Program
Type
Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect
No Visible Effect
46
NATIONWIDE
7
4
1
1
1
D.C.
5
7
2
1
3
1
3
3
1
2
2
1
10
2
2
3
1
7
Number of Studies on Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers
and Public Schools by Location
47
How We Searched for Studies
EdChoice regularly monitors research on private school choice. We most recently conducted a
systematic search from January 2021 through February 2022. We searched several databases
including EconLit, ERIC, JSTOR, ProQuest, PsychINFO, and Google Scholar. We also searched
individual publications and working paper series such as Education Next, National Bureau of
Economic Research, Annenberg (Brown University), and Journal of School Choice. Ten different
search terms were used, including “school choice,” “school voucher,” “tax credit scholarships,”
“tuition tax credits,” “education savings accounts,” and “ESA.”
We also enlisted Hanover Research to conduct an additional search using similar search methods.
The search period was 1995 to 2017. EdChoice then analyzed the results and papers to see
whether the hundreds of results met our inclusion criteria. Since then, Hanover and EdChoice
have also conducted searches on a periodic basis. Results from these processes are reflected in
the present slide deck.
48
How We Included and Counted Studies
• We based our inclusion and counting criteria on methods used in EdChoice’s 123s
of School Choice: What the Research Says About Private School Choice Programs in
America (2020 Ed.) report.
• A “study” is defined as an analysis of a school choice program. We consider multiple
studies on one program as unique if they study a different group of students or use
different statistical models or research methods.
• If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those
studies as positive, negative or both.
• Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results are classified as “no
visible effect.”
49
How We Included and Counted Studies
• In a statistical sense, ”no visible effect” means that data were insufficient to detect
any effect (if there was an effect); it does not necessarily mean that there were no
differences in outcomes between the comparison groups.
• In light of the limited body of research on many outcomes that have been studied, we
report results for studies based on both random assignment (whenever possible) and
acceptable nonexperimental methods until 10 random assignment studies based on
unique student populations become available.
• Recent studies of the Louisiana Scholarship Program have included science and social
studies test scores as outcomes included in those analyses. All other studies with test
scores as measured outcomes have analyzed only math and reading outcomes. With
the exception of one statistically significant negative point estimate (out of many point
estimates), there have been no visible effects on social studies and science outcomes.
50
Caveat
While these counting methods allow us to present information easily,
they can mask other important factors, such as how big an effect is or
how much of an effect is due to a certain program design.
51
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no
visible effect.”
# Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review
Research Studies on ESA Programs
Author
Varga et al. (2021)
Catt and Cheng (2019)
Kittredge (2016)
Butcher and Bedrick (2013)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
PEER Mississippi (2018)#
Florida
Arizona
Mississippi
Arizona
Arizona
Florida
Mississippi
Mississippi
Family Empowerment Scholarship Program
Empowerment Scholarship Accounts
Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program
Empowerment Scholarship Accounts
Empowerment Scholarship Accounts
Family Empowerment Scholarship Program
Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program
Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
52
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
§This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
#State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
Author
Erickson, Mills and Wolf (2021)
Webber et al. (2019)
Abdulkadiroglu, Pathak, and Walters (2018)
Wolf et al. (2013)
Lamarche (2008)
Greene, Peterson, and Du (1999)
Rouse (1998)
Austin and Pardo (2021)
Erickson, Mills, and Wolf (2021)
Chingos et al. (2019)
Chingos et al. (2019)
Wolf et al. (2013)
Canbolat (2021)
Varga et al. (2021)
Department of Public Instruction (2018)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2017
Egalite, Gray, and Stallings (2017)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2016)*
Black (2015)
Kisida and Wolf (2015)
DiPerna (2014)†
Witte et al. (2008)
Weidner and Herrington (2006)
Greene and Forster (2003)
Witte (2000)
Metcalf (1999)
Peterson, Howell, and Greene (1999)
Greene, Howell, and Peterson (1998)
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Indiana
Louisiana
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Indiana
Florida
Wisconsin
Indiana
North Carolina
Indiana
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Indiana
Milwaukee, WI
Florida
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Choice Scholarship Program
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Special Needs Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarships
Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Research Studies on Voucher Programs
Test Score Outcome of Participants from Random Assignment Studies
Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs
53
Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued)
Author
Egalite and Mills (2021)
Egalite and Catt (2020)
Figlio and Karbownik (2016)
Bowen and Trivitt (2014)
Chakrabarti (2013)
Carr (2011)
Winters and Greene (2011)
Mader (2010)
Greene and Marsh (2009)
Chakrabarti (2008)
Forster (2008)
Forster (2008)
Carnoy et al. (2007)
Greene and Winters (2007)
Figlio and Rouse (2006)
West and Peterson (2006)
Greene and Winters (2004)
Greene and Forster (2002)
Hammons (2002)
Hammons (2002)
Hoxby (2002)
Greene (2001)
DeAngelis and Wolf (2020)
DeAngelis and Wolf (2018)
Mills et al. (2016)
Fleming, Mitchell, and McNally (2014)
Fleming (2014)
Louisiana
Indiana
Ohio
Florida
Florida
Ohio
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Ohio
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Florida
Florida
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Maine
Vermont
Milwaukee, WI
Florida
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Louisiana
Milwaukee, WI
Milwaukee, WI
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program
Educational Choice Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Educational Choice Scholarship Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Educational Choice Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Town Tuitioning Program
Town Tuitioning Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Mader (2010) Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
§This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
#State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies
54
Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued)
Author
Egalite, Mills, and Wolf (2017)
Greene, Mills, and Buck (2010)§
Greene and Winters (2007)
Forster (2006)
Forster (2006)
Fuller and Mitchell (2000)
Greene (1999)
Faulk and Hicks (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Louisiana
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Milwaukee, WI
Cleveland, OH
Indiana
Washington, D.C.
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Louisiana
Louisiana
Mississippi
North Carolina
North Carolina
Cleveland, OH
Ohio
Ohio
Ohio
Ohio
Oklahoma
Utah
Milwaukee, WI
Racine, WI
Wisconsin
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Georgia Special Needs Scholarship Program
Choice Scholarship Program
Louisiana Scholarship Program
School Choice Program for Certain Students with Exceptionalities
Mississippi Dyslexia Therapy Scholarship for Students with Dyslexia Program
Special Education Scholarship Grants for Children with Disabilities
Opportunity Scholarships
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Autism Scholarship Program
Educational Choice Scholarship Program
Jon Peterson Special Needs Scholarship Program
Income-Based Scholarship Program
Lindsey Nicole Henry Scholarships for Students with Disabilities
Carson Smith Special Needs Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Parental Private School Choice Program (Racine)
Parental Choice Program (Statewide)
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
• •
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Racial Integration from All Empirical Studies
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
§This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
#State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
55
Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued)
Author
DeAngelis (2020)
Trivitt and DeAngelis (2020)
Trivitt and DeAngelis (2018)
Wisconsin LAB (2018)#
DeAngelis and Trivitt (2016)
Spalding (2014)
Wolf and McShane (2013)
Costrell (2010)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud and Michos (2006)
Wisconsin
Louisiana
Arkansas
Wisconsin
Louisiana
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Milwaukee, WI
Vermont
Maine
Florida
Florida
Washington, D.C.
Cleveland, OH
Ohio
Utah
Milwaukee, WI
Washington, D.C.
four voucher programs
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Succeed Scholarship Program
Special Needs Scholarship Program
Louisiana Scholarship Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program‡
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Town Tuitioning Program
Town Tuitioning Program
John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program†
Opportunity Scholarship Program
Cleveland Scholarship Program
Autism Scholarship Program
Carson Smith Special Needs Scholarship Program
Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Opportunity Scholarship Program
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Costrell (2010) Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee Parental Choice Program
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices.
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available.
‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006.
§This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column.
#State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
56
Research Studies on Tax-Credit Scholarship Programs
Author
Chingos et al. (2019) Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program •
Catt and Cheng (2019)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2017)
Dept. of Revenue Administration (2017)
Catt and Rhinesmith (2016)*
DiPerna (2015)†
Kelly and Scafidi (2013)
Arizona
Indiana
New Hampshire
Indiana
Indiana
Georgia
All four tax-credit scholarship programs**
School Scholarship Tax Credit
Education Tax Credit Program
Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit
Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit
Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
•
•
•
•
•
•
Figlio et al. (2021)
Figlio and Hart (2014)
Rouse et al. (2013)
Florida
Florida
Florida
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Kelly and Scafidi (2013) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices
** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available
‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida
§OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida)
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs
Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
57
Research Studies on Tax-Credit Scholarship Programs (continued)
Author
Nikolov and Mangum (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Lueken (2021)
Erickson and Scafidi (2020)
Sheasby (2020)
Dearmon and Evans (2018)
Girardi and Gullickson (2017)
SummaSource (2017)
LOEDR (2012)‡
OPPAGA (2008)§
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Aud (2007)
Collins Center for Public Policy (2007)
Virginia
Alabama
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
New Hampshire
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
Virginia
Georgia
Arizona
Oklahoma
Iowa
Alabama
Florida
Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Florida
Florida
Education Improvement Scholarships Tax Credits Program
Alabama Education Scholarship Program
Original Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Low-Income Corporate Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Lexie's Law for Disabled and Displaced Students Tax Credit Scholarship Program
"Switcher" Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
School Scholarship Tax Credit
School Tuition Organization Tax Credit
Tax Credit for Low Income Students Scholarship Program
Tuition Donation Rebate Program
Education Tax Credit Program
Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships
Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program
Opportunity Scholarship Tax Credit Program
Tax Credits for Contributions to Scholarship Organizations
Educational Credit for Exceptional Needs Children
Education Improvement Scholarships Tax Credits Program
Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
All four tax-credit scholarship programs**
Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships
School Tuition Organization Tax Credit
Alabama Education Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Original Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location Program Name
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Lueken (2021) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
OPPAGA (2008)§ Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Dearmon and Evans (2018) Oklahoma Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships
SummaSource (2017) Alabama Alabama Education Scholarship Program
Aud (2007) Pennsylvania Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program
Collins Center for Public Policy (2007) Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program
Erickson and Scafidi (2020) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit
*The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices
** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs
†The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available
‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida
§OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida)
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
58
Research Studies on Privately-Funded Programs
Author
Bitler et. al. (2015)
Jin, Barnard, and Rubin (2010)
Cowen (2008)
Bettinger and Slonim (2006)
Krueger and Zhu (2004)
Barnard et al. (2003)
Howell et al. (2002)
Howell et al. (2002)
Howell et al. (2002)
Greene (2001)
New York, NY
New York, NY
Charlotte, NC
Toledo, OH
New York, NY
New York, NY
Washington, D.C.
New York, NY
Dayton, OH
Charlotte, NC
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Howell and Peterson (2002)
Peterson and Campbell (2001)
Greene (2001)
Peterson, Campbell, and West (2001)
Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999)
Weinschrott and Kilgore (1998)
Dayton, OH
New York, NY
National
Washington, D.C.
National
Charlotte, NC
San Francisco, CA
San Antonio, TX
Indianapolis, IN
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Cheng, Chingos, and Peterson (2019)* New York, NY • •
Location
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
New York, NY
Howell et al. (2002)
Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999) San Antonio, TX
Charlotte, NC
Greene (2001)
Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies
Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
*The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment. Journal of Public
Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis.
Test Score Outcome of Participants from Random Assignment Studies
59
Research Studies on Privately-Funded Programs (continued)
Author
Gray, Merrifield, and Adzima (2016)
Greene and Forster (2002)
San Antonio, TX
San Antonio, TX
•
•
Merrifield & Gray (2009) San Antonio, TX •
Carlson, Chingos, and Campbell (2017)
Bettinger and Slonim (2006)
Howell and Peterson (2006)
Campbell (2002)
Peterson and Campbell (2001)
Wolf et. al. (2001)
New York, NY
Toledo, OH
Washington, D.C.
Nationwide
Nationwide
Washington, D.C.
•
•
•
•
•
•
Location
Any
Positive
Effect
Any
Negative
Effect
No
Visible
Effect
Campbell (2002) Nationwide
Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies
Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies
Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.”
*The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment. Journal of Public
Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis.
60
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WWW.EDCHOICE.ORG/123S
61

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The 123s of School Choice - 2022

  • 1. THE 123s OF SCHOOL CHOICE What the research says about private school choice programs in America edchoice.org/123s Last Updated 04/01/2022
  • 2. There are currently in with more than across the country. 2 private school choice programs and policies operating 76 32 states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico 608,000 Students participating
  • 3. Cumulative Number of Analyses Published by Outcome and by Year Published Participating Test Scores Educational Attainment Parent Satisfaction Public School Students’ Test Scores Civic Values and Practices Racial/Ethnic Integration Fiscal Effects ‘98 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17 ‘18 ‘90 ‘20 ‘21 As of March 2022, 175 studies by program by outcome were reviewed and included in this analysis. 3
  • 4. It’s imperative that we understand the effectiveness of these programs. Therefore, researchers have studied them for decades. 4
  • 5. In this resource, we’ve broken down all of the empirical studies of U.S. voucher, tax-credit scholarship and education savings account programs to date. • Program Participant Test Scores • Program Participant Attainment • Parent Satisfaction • Public School Students’ Test Scores • Civic Values and Practices • Racial/Ethnic Integration • Fiscal Effects 5
  • 6. When possible, we focus on random assignment studies because they provide very high internal validity, though they do not necessarily provide very high external validity compared to other research methods. effects we observe are attributable to the program, not other factors the extent to which results can be generalized to other students in other programs Internal: External: 6
  • 7. *One study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” The number of effects detected may differ from the number of studies included in the table because we classify one study as having detected both positive and negative effects. Overall Effects Counts for Studies of Private School Choice Programs Outcome Program Participant Test Scores Educational Attainment Parent Satisfaction Public School Students’ Test Scores Civic Values and Practices Integration* Fiscal Effects 17 7 32 28 11 7 73 11 5 30 25 6 6 68 4 2 1 1 5 1 4 3 0 2 2 0 0 5 Number of Studies Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 7
  • 10. These studies examine whether students who receive and/or use scholarships to attend a private school of their choice achieve higher test scores than students who applied for, but did not receive or use scholarships. 10
  • 11. Of the 17 random-assignment studies conducted, 11 have found positive outcomes for either the full sample or at least one sub-sample of students studied. Four found no visible effect for any group of students, and three found negative outcomes for all or some students. 11
  • 12. *One study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” The number of effects detected may differ from the number of studies included in the table because we classify one study as having detected both positive and negative effects. V=Voucher P=Private scholarship Test Score Outcome of Participants from Experimental Studies Study Erickson, Mills and Wolf (2021) Webber et al. (2019) Abdulkadiroglu, Pathak, and Walters (2018) Wolf et al. (2013) Lamarche (2008) Greene, Peterson, and Du (1999) Rouse (1998) Bitler et. al. (2015) Jin, Barnard, and Rubin (2010) Cowen (2008) Bettinger and Slonim (2006) Krueger and Zhu (2004) Barnard et al. (2003) Howell et al. (2002) Howell et al. (2002) Howell et al. (2002) Greene (2001) Louisiana Washington, D.C. Louisiana Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI New York, NY New York, NY Charlotte, NC Toledo, OH New York, NY New York, NY Washington, D.C. New York, NY Dayton, OH Charlotte, NC V V V V V V V P P P P P P P P P P • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type All Students (full sample) Some Students (subsample) All Students Some Students All Students Some Students Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 12
  • 13. NATIONWIDE 3 2 2 5 3 D.C. 2 Number of Studies on Program Participant Test Scores by Location 13
  • 15. These studies examine whether school choice programs have an effect on students’ likelihood to graduate high school, enroll in college or attain a college degree. 15
  • 16. Of the seven studies that have examined educational attainment outcomes, five have found positive effects on educational attainment for at least one subgroup of students, two found no visible effect for any group of students, and no studies have found negative effects for any group of students 16
  • 17. *The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment. Journal of Public Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis. Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Two studies, on the Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program and Milwaukee Parental Choice Program, used matching methods while all other analyses were based on random assignment. V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies Study Austin and Pardo (2021) Erickson, Mills, and Wolf (2021) Chingos et al. (2019) Chingos et al. (2019) Wolf et al. (2013) Chingos et al. (2019) Cheng and Peterson* (2020) Indiana Louisiana Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Florida New York, NY v V V V V TCS P • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type All Students (full sample) Some Students (subsample) All Students Some Students All Students Some Students Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 17
  • 18. NATIONWIDE 1 1 2 D.C. 1 1 1 Number of Studies on Attainment Outcomes of Participants by Location 18
  • 20. These studies rely on polling and surveys to measure the extent to which parents with children participating in private school choice programs are satisfied with their current school compared to their pre-program school or to non-program students. 20
  • 21. Of the 32 studies that have examined school choice’s impact on parent satisfaction, 30 found positive outcomes. One found null results, and two found overall negative outcomes. 21
  • 22. *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. ** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. Notes: This table shows all studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” ESA=Education Savings Account V=Voucher TCS=Tax-Credit Scholarship Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs Study Catt and Cheng (2019) Kittredge (2016) Butcher and Bedrick (2013) Varga et al. (2021) Varga et al. (2021) Department of Public Instruction (2018) Catt and Rhinesmith (2017) Egalite, Gray, and Stallings (2017) Black (2015) Kisida and Wolf (2015) Witte et al. (2008) Weidner and Herrington (2006) Greene and Forster (2003) Witte (2000) Metcalf (1999) Peterson, Howell, and Greene (1999) Greene, Howell, and Peterson (1998) Catt and Rhinesmith (2016) DiPerna (2014) Arizona Mississippi Arizona Florida Florida Wisconsin Indiana North Carolina Florida Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Florida Florida Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Cleveland, OH Cleveland, OH Indiana Indiana ESA ESA ESA ESA V V V V V V V V V V V V V V/TCS* V/TCS† • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 22
  • 23. *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. ** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. Notes: This table shows all studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” TCS=Tax-Credit Scholarship P=Private Scholarship Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs (continued) Study Catt and Cheng (2019) Department of Revenue Administration (2018) Catt and Rhinesmith (2017) Kelly and Scafidi (2013) Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Peterson and Campbell (2001) Greene (2001) Peterson, Campbell, and West (2001) Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999) Weinschrott and Kilgore (1998) Arizona New Hampshire Indiana Georgia Dayton, OH New York, NY National Washington, D.C. National Charlotte, NC San Francisco, CA San Antonio, TX Indianapolis, IN TCS TCS TCS TCS P P P P P P P P P • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 23
  • 24. NATIONWIDE 1 1 2 D.C. 1 1 3 1 5 1 2 1 2 5 3 Number of Studies on Parent Satisfaction by Location 24
  • 26. These studies examine whether students who leave public schools by using a private school choice program have an effect on the test scores of students who remain in public schools. 26
  • 27. Of the 28 studies that examine the competitive effects of school choice programs, 25 found positive effects, one found no visible effect and two found negative effects. 27
  • 28. *The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” V=Voucher Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies Study Canbolat (2021) Egalite and Mills (2021) Egalite and Catt (2020) Figlio and Karbownik (2016) Bowen and Trivitt (2014) Chakrabarti (2013) Carr (2011) Winters and Greene (2011) Mader (2010) Greene and Marsh (2009) Chakrabarti (2008) Forster (2008) Forster (2008) Carnoy et al. (2007) Greene and Winters (2007) Indiana Louisiana Indiana Ohio Florida Florida Ohio Florida Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Ohio Florida Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 28
  • 29. *The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued) Study Figlio and Rouse (2006) West and Peterson (2006) Greene and Winters (2004) Greene and Forster (2002) Hammons (2002) Hammons (2002) Hoxby (2002) Greene (2001) Figlio et al. (2021) Figlio and Hart (2014) Rouse et al. (2013) Gray, Merrifield, and Adzima (2016) Greene and Forster (2002) Florida Florida Florida Milwaukee, WI Maine Vermont Milwaukee, WI Florida Florida Florida Florida San Antonio, TX San Antonio, TX V V V V V V V V TCS TCS TCS P P • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 29
  • 30. NATIONWIDE 6 1 D.C. 2 1 1 11 1 2 3 Number of Studies on Public School Students’ Test Score by Location 30
  • 32. These studies examine whether school choice programs have an effect on students’ tolerance for the rights of others, civic knowledge, engaging in criminal activity, civic participation, volunteerism, social capital, civic skills, voter registration and voter turnout as well as patriotism. 32
  • 33. Of the 11 studies of this kind, six found positive effects. Five found no visible effect, and none found negative effects. 33
  • 34. Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” V=Voucher P=Private scholarship Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies Study DeAngelis and Wolf (2020) DeAngelis and Wolf (2018) Mills et al. (2016) Fleming, Mitchell, and McNally (2014) Fleming (2014) Carlson, Chingos, and Campbell (2017) Bettinger and Slonim (2006) Howell and Peterson (2006) Campbell (2002) Peterson and Campbell (2001) Wolf, Peterson, and West (2001) Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Louisiana Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI New York, NY Toledo, OH Washington, D.C. National Nationwide Washington, D.C. V V V V V P P P P P P • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 34
  • 35. NATIONWIDE 4 2 D.C. 1 1 1 2 Number of Studies on Civic Values and Practices by Location 35
  • 37. These studies examine the effect of school choice programs on racial and ethnic diversity in schools. 37
  • 38. Of the seven studies that have examined school choice’s effect on integration in schools, six found positive effects. One was unable to detect any effects, and none found negative effects. 38
  • 39. Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total effect on segregation in all schools is referenced. Table excludes studies that do not adequately define segregation or fail to make appropriate comparisons. For example, comparing the racial makeup of a given school to the makeup of a larger administrative unit such as a school district or municipality can be misleading and fails to directly measure the effect of introducing a private school choice program. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” V=Voucher Racial Integration from All Empirical Studies Study Egalite, Mills, and Wolf (2017) Greene, Mills, and Buck (2010) Greene and Winters (2007) Forster (2006) Forster (2006) Fuller and Mitchell (2000) Greene (1999) Louisiana Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH V V V V V V V • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 39
  • 40. NATIONWIDE 3 1 D.C. 1 2 Number of Studies on Racial/Ethnic Integration by Location 40
  • 42. These studies examine whether school choice programs generate net savings, net costs or are cost-neutral for taxpayers. 42
  • 43. Of the 73 studies on the fiscal effects of private school choice programs, 68 found programs generated savings for taxpayers. Four found those programs were cost- neutral. Five studies has found a private school choice program generated net costs. 43
  • 44. *State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau ** Results could not be broken out by program. †The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti- tutional in January 2006. ‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida) §OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida) # Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger, i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf ESA=Education Savings Account V=Voucher Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies Study Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) PEER Mississippi# (2018) Faulk and Hicks (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) DeAngelis (2020) Arizona Florida Mississippi Mississippi Indiana Washington, D.C. Florida Georgia Indiana Louisiana Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina North Carolina Cleveland, OH Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Oklahoma Utah Milwaukee, WI Racine, WI Wisconsin Wisconsin ESA ESA ESA ESA V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 44
  • 45. *State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau ** Results could not be broken out by program. †The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti- tutional in January 2006. ‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida) §OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida) # Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger, i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf V=Voucher TCS=Tax-credit scholarship Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued) Study Trivitt and DeAngelis (2020) Trivitt and DeAngelis (2018) Wisconsin LAB* (2018) DeAngelis and Trivitt (2016) Spalding (2014) Wolf and McShane (2013) Costrell (2010) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud and Michos (2006) Nikolov and Mangum (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Louisiana Arkansas Wisconsin Louisiana Florida Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Vermont Maine Florida Florida Washington, D.C. Cleveland, OH Ohio Utah Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Virginia Alabama Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Florida V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V V TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 45
  • 46. *State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau ** Results could not be broken out by program. †The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconsti- tutional in January 2006. ‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida) §OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida) # Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review Notes: This table shows all empirical studies using all methods; the total fiscal effect of school choice programs is referenced. Table excludes any analyses that fail to make a reasonable attempt to account for both sides of the ledger, i.e. both costs and savings from school choice programs. If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Lueken (2021) employs the same methods as: Martin F. Lueken (2018). Fiscal Effects of School Vouchers: Examining the Savings and Costs of America’s Private School Voucher Programs. Retrieved from EdChoice website: https://www.edchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Fiscal-Effects-of-School-Vouchers-by-Martin-Lueken.pdf TCS=Tax-credit scholarship P=Private scholarship Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies (continued) Study Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Erickson and Scafidi (2020) Sheasby** (2020) Dearmon and Evans (2018) Girardi and Gullickson (2017) SummaSource (2017) LOEDR‡ (2012) OPPAGA§ (2008) Aud (207) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Collins Center for Public Policy (2007) Merrifield & Gray (2009) Georgia Indiana Iowa Kansas Louisiana New Hampshire Oklahoma Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina Virginia Georgia Arizona Oklahoma Iowa Alabama Florida Florida Arizona Pennsylvania Florida Florida San Antonio, TX TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS TCS P • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Type Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect 46
  • 47. NATIONWIDE 7 4 1 1 1 D.C. 5 7 2 1 3 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 10 2 2 3 1 7 Number of Studies on Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools by Location 47
  • 48. How We Searched for Studies EdChoice regularly monitors research on private school choice. We most recently conducted a systematic search from January 2021 through February 2022. We searched several databases including EconLit, ERIC, JSTOR, ProQuest, PsychINFO, and Google Scholar. We also searched individual publications and working paper series such as Education Next, National Bureau of Economic Research, Annenberg (Brown University), and Journal of School Choice. Ten different search terms were used, including “school choice,” “school voucher,” “tax credit scholarships,” “tuition tax credits,” “education savings accounts,” and “ESA.” We also enlisted Hanover Research to conduct an additional search using similar search methods. The search period was 1995 to 2017. EdChoice then analyzed the results and papers to see whether the hundreds of results met our inclusion criteria. Since then, Hanover and EdChoice have also conducted searches on a periodic basis. Results from these processes are reflected in the present slide deck. 48
  • 49. How We Included and Counted Studies • We based our inclusion and counting criteria on methods used in EdChoice’s 123s of School Choice: What the Research Says About Private School Choice Programs in America (2020 Ed.) report. • A “study” is defined as an analysis of a school choice program. We consider multiple studies on one program as unique if they study a different group of students or use different statistical models or research methods. • If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. • Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results are classified as “no visible effect.” 49
  • 50. How We Included and Counted Studies • In a statistical sense, ”no visible effect” means that data were insufficient to detect any effect (if there was an effect); it does not necessarily mean that there were no differences in outcomes between the comparison groups. • In light of the limited body of research on many outcomes that have been studied, we report results for studies based on both random assignment (whenever possible) and acceptable nonexperimental methods until 10 random assignment studies based on unique student populations become available. • Recent studies of the Louisiana Scholarship Program have included science and social studies test scores as outcomes included in those analyses. All other studies with test scores as measured outcomes have analyzed only math and reading outcomes. With the exception of one statistically significant negative point estimate (out of many point estimates), there have been no visible effects on social studies and science outcomes. 50
  • 51. Caveat While these counting methods allow us to present information easily, they can mask other important factors, such as how big an effect is or how much of an effect is due to a certain program design. 51
  • 52. Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” # Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review Research Studies on ESA Programs Author Varga et al. (2021) Catt and Cheng (2019) Kittredge (2016) Butcher and Bedrick (2013) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) PEER Mississippi (2018)# Florida Arizona Mississippi Arizona Arizona Florida Mississippi Mississippi Family Empowerment Scholarship Program Empowerment Scholarship Accounts Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program Empowerment Scholarship Accounts Empowerment Scholarship Accounts Family Empowerment Scholarship Program Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program Equal Opportunity for Students with Special Needs Program • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies 52
  • 53. *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. ‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. §This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. #State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Author Erickson, Mills and Wolf (2021) Webber et al. (2019) Abdulkadiroglu, Pathak, and Walters (2018) Wolf et al. (2013) Lamarche (2008) Greene, Peterson, and Du (1999) Rouse (1998) Austin and Pardo (2021) Erickson, Mills, and Wolf (2021) Chingos et al. (2019) Chingos et al. (2019) Wolf et al. (2013) Canbolat (2021) Varga et al. (2021) Department of Public Instruction (2018) Catt and Rhinesmith (2017 Egalite, Gray, and Stallings (2017) Catt and Rhinesmith (2016)* Black (2015) Kisida and Wolf (2015) DiPerna (2014)† Witte et al. (2008) Weidner and Herrington (2006) Greene and Forster (2003) Witte (2000) Metcalf (1999) Peterson, Howell, and Greene (1999) Greene, Howell, and Peterson (1998) Louisiana Washington, D.C. Louisiana Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Indiana Louisiana Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Indiana Florida Wisconsin Indiana North Carolina Indiana Florida Washington, D.C. Indiana Milwaukee, WI Florida Florida Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Louisiana Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Louisiana Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Choice Scholarship Program Louisiana Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Special Needs Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarships Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit Milwaukee Parental Choice Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Cleveland Scholarship Program Cleveland Scholarship Program Cleveland Scholarship Program • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Research Studies on Voucher Programs Test Score Outcome of Participants from Random Assignment Studies Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs 53
  • 54. Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued) Author Egalite and Mills (2021) Egalite and Catt (2020) Figlio and Karbownik (2016) Bowen and Trivitt (2014) Chakrabarti (2013) Carr (2011) Winters and Greene (2011) Mader (2010) Greene and Marsh (2009) Chakrabarti (2008) Forster (2008) Forster (2008) Carnoy et al. (2007) Greene and Winters (2007) Figlio and Rouse (2006) West and Peterson (2006) Greene and Winters (2004) Greene and Forster (2002) Hammons (2002) Hammons (2002) Hoxby (2002) Greene (2001) DeAngelis and Wolf (2020) DeAngelis and Wolf (2018) Mills et al. (2016) Fleming, Mitchell, and McNally (2014) Fleming (2014) Louisiana Indiana Ohio Florida Florida Ohio Florida Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Ohio Florida Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Florida Florida Florida Milwaukee, WI Maine Vermont Milwaukee, WI Florida Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Louisiana Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee, WI Louisiana Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program Educational Choice Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Educational Choice Scholarship Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Educational Choice Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Town Tuitioning Program Town Tuitioning Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Louisiana Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Mader (2010) Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. ‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. §This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. #State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies 54
  • 55. Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued) Author Egalite, Mills, and Wolf (2017) Greene, Mills, and Buck (2010)§ Greene and Winters (2007) Forster (2006) Forster (2006) Fuller and Mitchell (2000) Greene (1999) Faulk and Hicks (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Louisiana Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Milwaukee, WI Cleveland, OH Indiana Washington, D.C. Florida Georgia Indiana Louisiana Louisiana Mississippi North Carolina North Carolina Cleveland, OH Ohio Ohio Ohio Ohio Oklahoma Utah Milwaukee, WI Racine, WI Wisconsin Louisiana Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Opportunity Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Cleveland Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Cleveland Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Georgia Special Needs Scholarship Program Choice Scholarship Program Louisiana Scholarship Program School Choice Program for Certain Students with Exceptionalities Mississippi Dyslexia Therapy Scholarship for Students with Dyslexia Program Special Education Scholarship Grants for Children with Disabilities Opportunity Scholarships Cleveland Scholarship Program Autism Scholarship Program Educational Choice Scholarship Program Jon Peterson Special Needs Scholarship Program Income-Based Scholarship Program Lindsey Nicole Henry Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Carson Smith Special Needs Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Parental Private School Choice Program (Racine) Parental Choice Program (Statewide) • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Racial Integration from All Empirical Studies Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. ‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. §This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. #State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” 55
  • 56. Research Studies on Voucher Programs (continued) Author DeAngelis (2020) Trivitt and DeAngelis (2020) Trivitt and DeAngelis (2018) Wisconsin LAB (2018)# DeAngelis and Trivitt (2016) Spalding (2014) Wolf and McShane (2013) Costrell (2010) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud and Michos (2006) Wisconsin Louisiana Arkansas Wisconsin Louisiana Florida Washington, D.C. Milwaukee, WI Vermont Maine Florida Florida Washington, D.C. Cleveland, OH Ohio Utah Milwaukee, WI Washington, D.C. four voucher programs Louisiana Scholarship Program Succeed Scholarship Program Special Needs Scholarship Program Louisiana Scholarship Program Opportunity Scholarship Program‡ Opportunity Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Town Tuitioning Program Town Tuitioning Program John M. McKay Scholarships for Students with Disabilities Program Opportunity Scholarship Program† Opportunity Scholarship Program Cleveland Scholarship Program Autism Scholarship Program Carson Smith Special Needs Scholarship Program Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Opportunity Scholarship Program • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Costrell (2010) Milwaukee, WI Milwaukee Parental Choice Program Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices. †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available. ‡The Florida Supreme Court declared that the private school voucher component of the program was unconstitutional in January 2006. §This study employed multiple measures of racial integration and concluded that the effects of the program was overall neutral. We included this study in the "No Visible Effect" column. #State of Wisconsin Legislative Audit Bureau Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” 56
  • 57. Research Studies on Tax-Credit Scholarship Programs Author Chingos et al. (2019) Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program • Catt and Cheng (2019) Catt and Rhinesmith (2017) Dept. of Revenue Administration (2017) Catt and Rhinesmith (2016)* DiPerna (2015)† Kelly and Scafidi (2013) Arizona Indiana New Hampshire Indiana Indiana Georgia All four tax-credit scholarship programs** School Scholarship Tax Credit Education Tax Credit Program Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit Choice Scholarship Program/School Scholarship Tax Credit Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit • • • • • • Figlio et al. (2021) Figlio and Hart (2014) Rouse et al. (2013) Florida Florida Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Kelly and Scafidi (2013) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices ** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available ‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida §OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida) Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies 57
  • 58. Research Studies on Tax-Credit Scholarship Programs (continued) Author Nikolov and Mangum (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Lueken (2021) Erickson and Scafidi (2020) Sheasby (2020) Dearmon and Evans (2018) Girardi and Gullickson (2017) SummaSource (2017) LOEDR (2012)‡ OPPAGA (2008)§ Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Aud (2007) Collins Center for Public Policy (2007) Virginia Alabama Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Florida Georgia Indiana Iowa Kansas Louisiana New Hampshire Oklahoma Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina Virginia Georgia Arizona Oklahoma Iowa Alabama Florida Florida Arizona Pennsylvania Florida Florida Education Improvement Scholarships Tax Credits Program Alabama Education Scholarship Program Original Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program Low-Income Corporate Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program Lexie's Law for Disabled and Displaced Students Tax Credit Scholarship Program "Switcher" Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit School Scholarship Tax Credit School Tuition Organization Tax Credit Tax Credit for Low Income Students Scholarship Program Tuition Donation Rebate Program Education Tax Credit Program Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program Opportunity Scholarship Tax Credit Program Tax Credits for Contributions to Scholarship Organizations Educational Credit for Exceptional Needs Children Education Improvement Scholarships Tax Credits Program Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit All four tax-credit scholarship programs** Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships School Tuition Organization Tax Credit Alabama Education Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Original Individual Income Tax Credit Scholarship Program Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Location Program Name Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Lueken (2021) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit OPPAGA (2008)§ Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Dearmon and Evans (2018) Oklahoma Oklahoma Equal Opportunity Education Scholarships SummaSource (2017) Alabama Alabama Education Scholarship Program Aud (2007) Pennsylvania Educational Improvement Tax Credit Program Collins Center for Public Policy (2007) Florida Florida Tax Credit Scholarship Program Erickson and Scafidi (2020) Georgia Qualified Education Expense Tax Credit *The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents," although anyone could calculate voucher and tax-credit scholarship results based on data tables in the report appendices ** Results could not be broken out by program and reflect responses by parents with children attending private schools via any of Arizona's four tax-credit scholarship programs †The report combined voucher and tax-credit scholarship parents into "Choice Parents" for all information made publicly available ‡LOEDR stands for Legislative Office of Economic and Demographic Research (State of Florida §OPPAGA stands for Office of Program Policy Analysis and Government Accountability (State of Florida) Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies 58
  • 59. Research Studies on Privately-Funded Programs Author Bitler et. al. (2015) Jin, Barnard, and Rubin (2010) Cowen (2008) Bettinger and Slonim (2006) Krueger and Zhu (2004) Barnard et al. (2003) Howell et al. (2002) Howell et al. (2002) Howell et al. (2002) Greene (2001) New York, NY New York, NY Charlotte, NC Toledo, OH New York, NY New York, NY Washington, D.C. New York, NY Dayton, OH Charlotte, NC • • • • • • • • • • • • Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Howell and Peterson (2002) Peterson and Campbell (2001) Greene (2001) Peterson, Campbell, and West (2001) Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999) Weinschrott and Kilgore (1998) Dayton, OH New York, NY National Washington, D.C. National Charlotte, NC San Francisco, CA San Antonio, TX Indianapolis, IN • • • • • • • • • Cheng, Chingos, and Peterson (2019)* New York, NY • • Location Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect New York, NY Howell et al. (2002) Peterson, Myers, and Howell (1999) San Antonio, TX Charlotte, NC Greene (2001) Attainment Outcomes of Participants from All Empirical Studies Parent Satisfaction Impacts from Private Educational Choice Programs Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” *The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment. Journal of Public Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis. Test Score Outcome of Participants from Random Assignment Studies 59
  • 60. Research Studies on Privately-Funded Programs (continued) Author Gray, Merrifield, and Adzima (2016) Greene and Forster (2002) San Antonio, TX San Antonio, TX • • Merrifield & Gray (2009) San Antonio, TX • Carlson, Chingos, and Campbell (2017) Bettinger and Slonim (2006) Howell and Peterson (2006) Campbell (2002) Peterson and Campbell (2001) Wolf et. al. (2001) New York, NY Toledo, OH Washington, D.C. Nationwide Nationwide Washington, D.C. • • • • • • Location Any Positive Effect Any Negative Effect No Visible Effect Campbell (2002) Nationwide Academic Outcomes of Public Schools from All Empirical Studies Civic Values and Practices from All Empirical Studies Fiscal Effects on Taxpayers and Public Schools from All Empirical Studies Notes: If a study’s analysis produced any positive or negative results or both, we classify those studies as positive, negative or both. Studies that did not produce any statistically significant results for any subgroup are classified as “no visible effect.” *The sample and methods used in this study are the same as those used in Matthew M. Chingos and Paul E. Peterson (2015). Experimentally Estimated Impacts of School Vouchers on College Enrollment and Degree Attainment. Journal of Public Economics, 122, pp. 1–12. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.11.013. Two main differences are framing across levels of disadvantage and more recent data added to the analysis. 60
  • 61. Sign up for our email notifications and browse our research library at For more on these slides, email research@edchoice.org WWW.EDCHOICE.ORG/123S 61