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50 Predictions for 2011

    Prepared by: Influx Insights/BSSP
             January 2011
50 Predictions for 2011
• Some educated guesswork on some of the
  things we might see in 2011
• Inspired by posts written on Influx Insights
  in 2010
• No specific order or structure
• Just some thought starters
50 Predictions for 2011
     Facebook as          End of Status Quo,      Brand Educators,
   corporate icon,         Explosive Rise of           Banking
 Recovery, China as         Skype, Census          Revolutionized,
Innovator, Emerging          Impacts, Old       Curators Rule, Uber
 Markets, Not Made        Society, Behavioral     Luxury, Cultural
   in China, More        Experiments, Google       Cage Matches,
    Leaks, Walled             Meltdown,         Business Intelligence
   Gardens, Social           Underground        Revolution, In Love
Media Management,        Massive, Brands Like   with Analog, Power
Mobile Power, Data            Media Cos,         Brands Unleashed,
    as Marketing,           Amateurs will           The Sharing
 Generational Strife,        Continue to           Economy, More
  Peak Travel, Peak      Surprise, Re-Use and    Start Arounds, The
Water, Peak Oil, The       Recycle, Gaming        Rise of Cultural
 Rise of Reputation          Everywhere,           Change Agents,
Management, Hybrid          Extreme Local,      Brands will be Real-
 Creative, London,            Labs,Brand           Time Relevant,
Brazil, Publishers Re-        Universes,            Work will Be
      Think, iPad         Customer Service        Reinvented, Taste
      Explosion,               Returns,            Graphs Matter
1. Facebook as
Corporate Icon
1. Facebook as Corporate Icon
 • Facebook will rise from corporate newbie
   to be the envy of Corporate America
 • Companies will seek its magic
 • Its internal culture will be studied and
   written about extensively- with a best-
   seller by the year end
 • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
   blog/article/2654/facebook-s-culture--all-
2. Recovery
2. Recovery
• The “R” word will be everywhere this year
• Things will be turning around in a number
  of categories, but not all and the craziness
  of the past won’t return
• Some things will take longer than others-
  unemployment and housing
• Reference: http://seekingalpha.com/
  currents/post/65007
3. China as Innovator
3. China as Innovator
•   Look for China to look for a new path of value add

•   Not content to copy- it will have to innovate

•   Look for world class design talent emerging from
    China

•   Look for technological innovation

•   As labor costs rise - China will be looking for
    phase 2 of its miracle to kick in

•   Reference: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/02/
    business/02unboxed.html?_r=1
4. Emerging Markets
4. Emerging Markets
•   With slowing growth in the West- the corporate
    titans will look to emerging markets for growth

•   This could mean moving their best people
    overseas

•   Marketing in emerging markets will become
    increasingly sophisticated with new tools, channels
    and new audiences

•   Reference: http://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/
    Business-News/City-Unilever-to-enter-a-decade-of-
    growth
5. Not Made in China
5. Not Made in China
• Increasingly people will look to find ways to
  bring local manufacture to prominence
• Rising labor costs in China will be the
  excuse to look elsewhere
• Not having anything made in China will be a
  status symbol for certain stores, hotels and
  restaurants
6. Retailing Re-Thought
6. Retailing Re-Thought
•   Greater transparency on pricing will prove to be a
    huge challenge for most retailers

•   Only way to compete will be to re-think the
    experience

    •   How can they do something different?

    •   What role can service play?

    •   How can mobile promotions impact?

•   Reference: http://influxinsights.com/blog/article/
    2659/retail-hacking.html
7. More Leaks
7. More Leaks
•   Leaks will become more widespread

•   People who’ve been done wrong will find allies in
    hacker culture

•   Companies will try to spin the leaks and minimize
    damage with aggressive lawsuits

•   Reference: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/03/
    business/03wikileaks-bank.html

•   http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2664/
    brands-and-wikileaks.html
8. Walled Gardens
8. Walled Gardens
• Consumers will be building their own
  “Walled Gardens” and be more careful
  about who they engage and interact with
• They want to create and manage their own
  spaces- social spaces, media spaces, etc
• Marketers will have to work so much
  harder to gain access
• Reference: http://www.getnewstoday.com/
  getit/2684
8. Social Media
 Management
9. Social Media
        Management

• Users will become savvier about how they
  manage their social networks
• They will optimize their friendships and
  better organize the layers
10. Mobile Power
10. Mobile Power

•   Phones will be getting more powerful

•   Cameras much more sophisticated

•   Video functionality enhanced

•   Location based opportunities expanded- limited only by imagination and
    creativity

•   We will see a very big idea in this space by the year end

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2666/with-smarter-
    phones--all-mobile-ads-will-be-like-iads.html
11. Data as Marketing
11. Data as Marketing
• Look for marketers to share more data
  with their users
• Anything that can help enhance the
  relationship
• Help users better understand themselves in
  contrast to others
• Visualization will make it accessible
12. Generational Strife
12. Generational Strife
• It’s already started, but the Boomer
  backlash is just beginning
• See it Europe with student tuition fees
• What looks currently like a happy co-
  existence is likely to change
• Reference: http://www.guardian.co.uk/
  books/2010/feb/07/the-pinch-david-willetts
13. Peak Travel, Peak
  Water, Peak Oil
13. Peak Travel, Peak
    Water, Peak Oil
• Much discussion about “peaks” in limited
  resources
• Won’t be widely understood, but many will
  try to grabble with the challenges of finding
  solutions
• PR management will be key here
• Reference: http://www.wired.com/autopia/
  2011/01/study-suggests-weve-hit-peak-
14. The Rise of
 Reputation
 Management
14. Reputation
              Management
•   Everyone will have a transparent reputation

•   Brands, employees

•   Reputation is everything so how it’s managed is key

•   Brands will be looking to generate increased volume of user comments and
    review, but also manage and control them

•   Reference: http://thesocialpenguinblog.com/2010/11/25/social-media-
    interview-joe-fernandez-from-klout/
15. Hybrid Creative
15. Hybrid Creative
•   Look for more creative ideas that combine
    multiple media

    •   Video and HTML code

    •   Out of home and mobile

    •   Mobile and performance

    •   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/
        article/2582/communication-hybrids--
        interesting-or-die.html
16. London
16. London
• As London readies itself for the 2012
  Olympics look for more creativity to come
  out of the city
• Greater focus and attention, world class
  design and art schools > exposure for new
  ideas
• Digital creative talent will continue to shine
• Reference: http://www.economist.com/
  node/17581635
17. Brazil
17. Brazil
• Brazil’s rise from the BRIC will be startling
• Companies now cash rich and looking to
  expand
• More Brazilian brands will make their mark
• Focus on the country in the lead up to the
  World Cup
• Reference: http://www.reuters.com/article/
  idUSN0526454820110105
18. Publishers Re-Think
18. Publishers Re-Think
• Publishers will continue to struggle
• Core print publications will shed readers
• Experiments in micro-payments and walled
  gardens will be problematic
• iPad experiments will fail
• Reference: http://www.mondaynote.com/
  2011/01/02/ipad-publishing-time-to-switch-
  to-v2-0/
19. Tablet Explosion
         Pt 2
19. iPad Explosion

•   Not that it hasn’t already happened, but tablets will be bigger and better

•   More features and more technology will mean more capable machines and
    therefore more opportunities for interesting experiences

•   Past efforts in understanding tablets will pay off for those with patience and
    discipline

•   Reference: http://www.onlinesocialmedia.net/20110105/ces-2011-tablet-
    frenzy-%E2%80%93-sales-forecast/
20. End of Status Quo
20. End of Status Quo
• CEO’s of broken brands will be hoping that
  the recovery will happen fast to drive some
  growth to their bottom line
• Reality is that weaklings will be found out
  and culled
• If you don’t have a POV or a point of
  difference, get one, fast.
21. Explosive Rise of
       Skype
21. The Explosive Rise
       of Skype
• Skype will become a power brand in 2011
• It will be widely used
• It’s platform will become more
  sophisticated
• Corporations will embrace it
• Brands will find interesting ways to partner
  with it
22. Census Impacts
22. Census Impacts
• By the middle of the year, we will have all
  the census data available
• It will chronicle a population who’s growth
  is slowing, is getting older and more diverse
• Smart marketers will meta-analyze the data
  and work out the real implications
• Reference: http://online.wsj.com/article/
  SB100014240529702042040045760499524
23. Old Society
23. Old Society

•   Old age in America will become more pronounced as a cultural phenom

•   Boomers are getting old at a faster rate

    •   Healthcare will be the issue

    •   Retirement will be delayed

•   Look for culture to cater even more to those aging boomers

•   Reference: http://www.slashgear.com/witlings-blood-pressure-monitors-
    plugs-into-your-iphone-05123278/
24. Behavioral
 Experiments
24. Behavioral
               Experiments
•   Agencies fresh from lunches and dinners with Behavioral Economists will
    start putting their ideas into action

•   Agencies “Behavioral Experiments” will make great case study films and
    document how a brand tried to change the behavior of an Alaskan village

•   They will win awards and demonstrate the new generation of smart creative

•   Reference: http://www.ddb.com/ddblogs/creativity/the-fun-theory-idea-
    winner.html
25. Google Meltdown
25. Google Meltdown
•   Google will have had enough of Facebook’s fame
    and try to deal with its own problems
•   “Google has become a snake that too readily consumes its own keyword tail. Identify some words that show up in profitable searches -- from
    appliances, to mesothelioma suits, to kayak lessons -- churn out content cheaply and regularly, and you're done. On the web, no-one knows
    you're a content-grinder.The result, however, is awful. Pages and pages of Google results that are just, for practical purposes, advertisements in
    the loose guise of articles, original or re-purposed. It hearkens back to the dark days of 1999, before Google arrived, when search had become
    largely useless, with results completely overwhelmed by spam and info-clutter.” -Paul Kedosky




    •     It will try to do something big to make up the
          “gap”

        •        Could be an acquisition

        •        Could be a focused initiative

        •        Could be a big cultural change
26. Underground
     Massive
26. Underground
            Massive
•   The unmentioned underground is huge

•   Sites like BitTorrent might be the “no go” zone for
    brands, but they have 20 million daily users

•   Environments like 4Chan might have been off the
    radar, but their power is undisputed

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/
    article/2565/inside-the-souls-of-young-
    males--4chan.html
27. Brands More Like
     Media Cos
27. Brands More Like
      Media Cos
• Brands will look more and more like media
  companies
• They will look to develop and create
  content at every opportunity
• Some content will be developed in-house,
  others will be collaborations with outside
  parties like bloggers
28. Amateurs Will
Continue to Surprise
28. Amateurs Will
 Continue to Surprise
• With low-cost technology, some knowledge
  and a lot of time- amateurs will continue to
  surprise us
• Recently a British amateur astronomer
  discovered 4 planets- without a telescope,
  but used his spare time to analyze
  University data
29. Re-Use and Recycle
29. Re-Use and Recycle

•   New markets will emerge for new product forms
    made from old

•   If companies are recycling and re-using, questions
    will be asked

•   Reference: http://www.carloversmagazine.com/
    index.php/2010/12/21/chevrolet-volt-recycling-gulf-
    of-mexico-oil-spill-components/
30. Gaming Everywhere
30. Gaming Everywhere
•   Games will play a more important role in
    unexpected areas

•   Energy efficiency, car fuel efficiency, dieting,
    exercise, nutrition

•   Look at SCVNGR- location based, but game
    focused

•   Reference: http://www.mobile-ent.biz/features/308/
    Interview-SCVNGR-talks-social-location-brands-
    and-check-in-competition
31. Extreme Local
31. Extreme Local
•   Restaurants will follow NOMA- Copenhagen

•   Looking to create the best dishes from ingredients
    found in their backyards

•   Restaurants will hire foragers to help them find
    ingredients

•   Creativity will come from constraints

•   Reference: http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/
    2010/07/10/urban-forager-from-sidewalk-cracks-a-
    side-dish/#more-195553
32. Labs
32. Labs
•   Demands for new technological solutions aren’t
    going away

•   Labs are going to be need to help companies stay
    ahead of the advances

•   Some will take the form of internal teams of
    technologists- inspiring the current process-
    others will be skunk works-like and external

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/
    article/2636/why-agencies-need-labs.html
33. Brand Universes
33. Brand Universes
• Instead of thinking about media as
  networks, sites and publishers think of your
  brand universe
• If brands are now “media”- what brands
  compliment yours and how could you best
  work together for mutual gain?
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/article/2662/think-beyond-media-what-
  s-your-brand-s--brand-universe-.html
34. TV to Dominate
       Media
34. TV to Dominate
           Media
•   Not only are more people watching TV in more places, other media is
    becoming more like TV

•   Established publisher brands are looking to develop TV properties

•   Web properties want to be more like TV

•   Demand for TV ads isn’t going away, but they will need to evolve-shorter,
    more interactive, etc.

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2660/internet-media-
    will-be-television.html
35. Customer Service
      Returns
35. Customer Service
          Returns

•   Companies will pay more attention to customer service in 2011

•   They will remember what a powerful differentiator it can be if its done right

•   It won’t all be about people, but the unison of people, technology and self-
    service to deliver excellence

•   Reference: http://www.cityofsound.com/blog/2011/01/next-generation-
    check-in-qantas.html
36. Brand Educators
36. Brand Educators
• People are keen to learn new skills and
  learn about new things?
• Could you brand help them to become
  better drivers, cooks, mothers, fathers,
  athletes?
• How can a brand go beyond information
  and educate instead?
37. Banking
Revolutionized
37. Banking
       Revolutionized
• Look out for the launch of start-up
  BankSimple
• This company is trying to challenge the
  status-quo of traditional personal banking
• Its focus will be on customer service
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/article/2658/changing-the-face-of-
  banking.html
38. Curators Rule
38. Curators Rule
• The role of the curator will become even
  more important
• They will help select music, food, fashion
• They will have their own stores,
  restaurants, web experiences
• They will have followers and fans
• They will help launch new careers and new
  brands
39. Uber-Luxury
39. Uber-Luxury


• Forget luxury as usual
• Luxury brands will look to create new lines
  that cater for only the super-rich
40. Cultural Cage
     Matches
40. Cultural Cage
            Matches
•   The power of two

•   The power of juxtaposition

•   The power of collaboration

•   Bringing the unusual and iconic together
    guarantees interesting results

•   Think Banksy and The Simpsons

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/
    article/2609/expression-of-the-day---cultural-cage-
    match-.html
41. Business Intelligence
      Revolution
41. Business Intelligence
      Revolution
• Think real-time data correlations
• Smart brands will simply become more
  intelligent than their competitors
• They will know more, faster and be able to
  take competitive advantage
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/article/2597/the-data-intelligence-
42. In Love with Analog
42. In Love with Analog
• As the world gets more digital, analog will
  become more important
• Old technology will acquire new value and
  will return to culture- think Polaroid
• Don’t forget reading real books
• Watch out for new analog experiences-
  new book formats and new newspapers
• Look for new technology with old design
  cues
43. Power Brands
    Unleashed
43. Power Brands
        Unleashed
• Brand owners will wake up
• They will realize the power brands they
  have sitting in their portfolios
• They will “shine them up” and unleash
  them into new categories and territories
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/article/2588/p-g-s-practical-
44. The Sharing Economy
44. Sharing Economy
• Forget buying and think renting and sharing
• Car sharing of course, but what about land
  and tools?
• People will start thinking about what they
  really have to buy
• Reference: http://
  www.collaborativeconsumption.com/
45. More Start Arounds
45. More Start Arounds
•   Tim Armstrong of AOL coined the term

•   It’s all about how you take a dying brand and
    breathe life into it

•   Infuse some of the key elements of discipline of
    start-up culture and see if it works

•   Others will try it, but success will be hard to
    achieve

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/tag/
    startaround.do
46. Thought Leadership
       Returns
46. Thought Leadership
       Returns
• Nothing wrong with a brand having a POV
  and some leadership
• Pepsi- thinking about health, environment
  and technology
• Levi’s- rebuilding community- teaching and
  educating
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/tag/braddock.do
47. The Rise of Cultural
     Change Agents
47. The Rise of Cultural
     Change Agents
•   Corporate America’s biggest problem is its internal culture

•   CEOs will get frustrated with the challenge of cultural change- can’t make
    change happen fast enough

•   New breed of consultants will emerge to fast-track culural change

•   Inspire, inform, give people new codes to work by

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2538/wanted--cultural-
    change-agencies.html
48. Brands Will Be Real-
     Time Relevant
48. Brands will be Real-
     Time Relevant
• Brands will need to think in the “now”
• They will have conversational calendars
• They will also be able to respond and
  contribute to the conversation
• It’s not about the campaign- it’s about what
  you are doing right now
• Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/
  blog/article/2339/a-new-communication-
  space.html
49. Work Will Be Re-
      Invented
49. Work Will be Re-
      Invented
• Everything is up for grabs
• What the office looks like
• What constitutes a productive meeting
• How we collaborate
• How we use technology
• Reference: http://37signals.com/rework/
50. Taste Graphs Matter
50. Taste Graphs Matter

•   Everyone knows about social graphs, but what
    about Taste Graphs

•   Can we have a better understanding of what we
    might like- based on the experiences of others?

•   Take a look at Hunch and see what you learn
    about yourself

•   Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/
    article/2470/the-taste-graph--the-future-of-
    ecommerce-.html

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Predictions for 2011

  • 1. 50 Predictions for 2011 Prepared by: Influx Insights/BSSP January 2011
  • 2. 50 Predictions for 2011 • Some educated guesswork on some of the things we might see in 2011 • Inspired by posts written on Influx Insights in 2010 • No specific order or structure • Just some thought starters
  • 3. 50 Predictions for 2011 Facebook as End of Status Quo, Brand Educators, corporate icon, Explosive Rise of Banking Recovery, China as Skype, Census Revolutionized, Innovator, Emerging Impacts, Old Curators Rule, Uber Markets, Not Made Society, Behavioral Luxury, Cultural in China, More Experiments, Google Cage Matches, Leaks, Walled Meltdown, Business Intelligence Gardens, Social Underground Revolution, In Love Media Management, Massive, Brands Like with Analog, Power Mobile Power, Data Media Cos, Brands Unleashed, as Marketing, Amateurs will The Sharing Generational Strife, Continue to Economy, More Peak Travel, Peak Surprise, Re-Use and Start Arounds, The Water, Peak Oil, The Recycle, Gaming Rise of Cultural Rise of Reputation Everywhere, Change Agents, Management, Hybrid Extreme Local, Brands will be Real- Creative, London, Labs,Brand Time Relevant, Brazil, Publishers Re- Universes, Work will Be Think, iPad Customer Service Reinvented, Taste Explosion, Returns, Graphs Matter
  • 5. 1. Facebook as Corporate Icon • Facebook will rise from corporate newbie to be the envy of Corporate America • Companies will seek its magic • Its internal culture will be studied and written about extensively- with a best- seller by the year end • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2654/facebook-s-culture--all-
  • 7. 2. Recovery • The “R” word will be everywhere this year • Things will be turning around in a number of categories, but not all and the craziness of the past won’t return • Some things will take longer than others- unemployment and housing • Reference: http://seekingalpha.com/ currents/post/65007
  • 8. 3. China as Innovator
  • 9. 3. China as Innovator • Look for China to look for a new path of value add • Not content to copy- it will have to innovate • Look for world class design talent emerging from China • Look for technological innovation • As labor costs rise - China will be looking for phase 2 of its miracle to kick in • Reference: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/02/ business/02unboxed.html?_r=1
  • 11. 4. Emerging Markets • With slowing growth in the West- the corporate titans will look to emerging markets for growth • This could mean moving their best people overseas • Marketing in emerging markets will become increasingly sophisticated with new tools, channels and new audiences • Reference: http://www.foodmanufacture.co.uk/ Business-News/City-Unilever-to-enter-a-decade-of- growth
  • 12. 5. Not Made in China
  • 13. 5. Not Made in China • Increasingly people will look to find ways to bring local manufacture to prominence • Rising labor costs in China will be the excuse to look elsewhere • Not having anything made in China will be a status symbol for certain stores, hotels and restaurants
  • 15. 6. Retailing Re-Thought • Greater transparency on pricing will prove to be a huge challenge for most retailers • Only way to compete will be to re-think the experience • How can they do something different? • What role can service play? • How can mobile promotions impact? • Reference: http://influxinsights.com/blog/article/ 2659/retail-hacking.html
  • 17. 7. More Leaks • Leaks will become more widespread • People who’ve been done wrong will find allies in hacker culture • Companies will try to spin the leaks and minimize damage with aggressive lawsuits • Reference: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/03/ business/03wikileaks-bank.html • http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2664/ brands-and-wikileaks.html
  • 19. 8. Walled Gardens • Consumers will be building their own “Walled Gardens” and be more careful about who they engage and interact with • They want to create and manage their own spaces- social spaces, media spaces, etc • Marketers will have to work so much harder to gain access • Reference: http://www.getnewstoday.com/ getit/2684
  • 20. 8. Social Media Management
  • 21. 9. Social Media Management • Users will become savvier about how they manage their social networks • They will optimize their friendships and better organize the layers
  • 23. 10. Mobile Power • Phones will be getting more powerful • Cameras much more sophisticated • Video functionality enhanced • Location based opportunities expanded- limited only by imagination and creativity • We will see a very big idea in this space by the year end • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2666/with-smarter- phones--all-mobile-ads-will-be-like-iads.html
  • 24. 11. Data as Marketing
  • 25. 11. Data as Marketing • Look for marketers to share more data with their users • Anything that can help enhance the relationship • Help users better understand themselves in contrast to others • Visualization will make it accessible
  • 27. 12. Generational Strife • It’s already started, but the Boomer backlash is just beginning • See it Europe with student tuition fees • What looks currently like a happy co- existence is likely to change • Reference: http://www.guardian.co.uk/ books/2010/feb/07/the-pinch-david-willetts
  • 28. 13. Peak Travel, Peak Water, Peak Oil
  • 29. 13. Peak Travel, Peak Water, Peak Oil • Much discussion about “peaks” in limited resources • Won’t be widely understood, but many will try to grabble with the challenges of finding solutions • PR management will be key here • Reference: http://www.wired.com/autopia/ 2011/01/study-suggests-weve-hit-peak-
  • 30. 14. The Rise of Reputation Management
  • 31. 14. Reputation Management • Everyone will have a transparent reputation • Brands, employees • Reputation is everything so how it’s managed is key • Brands will be looking to generate increased volume of user comments and review, but also manage and control them • Reference: http://thesocialpenguinblog.com/2010/11/25/social-media- interview-joe-fernandez-from-klout/
  • 33. 15. Hybrid Creative • Look for more creative ideas that combine multiple media • Video and HTML code • Out of home and mobile • Mobile and performance • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/ article/2582/communication-hybrids-- interesting-or-die.html
  • 35. 16. London • As London readies itself for the 2012 Olympics look for more creativity to come out of the city • Greater focus and attention, world class design and art schools > exposure for new ideas • Digital creative talent will continue to shine • Reference: http://www.economist.com/ node/17581635
  • 37. 17. Brazil • Brazil’s rise from the BRIC will be startling • Companies now cash rich and looking to expand • More Brazilian brands will make their mark • Focus on the country in the lead up to the World Cup • Reference: http://www.reuters.com/article/ idUSN0526454820110105
  • 39. 18. Publishers Re-Think • Publishers will continue to struggle • Core print publications will shed readers • Experiments in micro-payments and walled gardens will be problematic • iPad experiments will fail • Reference: http://www.mondaynote.com/ 2011/01/02/ipad-publishing-time-to-switch- to-v2-0/
  • 41. 19. iPad Explosion • Not that it hasn’t already happened, but tablets will be bigger and better • More features and more technology will mean more capable machines and therefore more opportunities for interesting experiences • Past efforts in understanding tablets will pay off for those with patience and discipline • Reference: http://www.onlinesocialmedia.net/20110105/ces-2011-tablet- frenzy-%E2%80%93-sales-forecast/
  • 42. 20. End of Status Quo
  • 43. 20. End of Status Quo • CEO’s of broken brands will be hoping that the recovery will happen fast to drive some growth to their bottom line • Reality is that weaklings will be found out and culled • If you don’t have a POV or a point of difference, get one, fast.
  • 44. 21. Explosive Rise of Skype
  • 45. 21. The Explosive Rise of Skype • Skype will become a power brand in 2011 • It will be widely used • It’s platform will become more sophisticated • Corporations will embrace it • Brands will find interesting ways to partner with it
  • 47. 22. Census Impacts • By the middle of the year, we will have all the census data available • It will chronicle a population who’s growth is slowing, is getting older and more diverse • Smart marketers will meta-analyze the data and work out the real implications • Reference: http://online.wsj.com/article/ SB100014240529702042040045760499524
  • 49. 23. Old Society • Old age in America will become more pronounced as a cultural phenom • Boomers are getting old at a faster rate • Healthcare will be the issue • Retirement will be delayed • Look for culture to cater even more to those aging boomers • Reference: http://www.slashgear.com/witlings-blood-pressure-monitors- plugs-into-your-iphone-05123278/
  • 51. 24. Behavioral Experiments • Agencies fresh from lunches and dinners with Behavioral Economists will start putting their ideas into action • Agencies “Behavioral Experiments” will make great case study films and document how a brand tried to change the behavior of an Alaskan village • They will win awards and demonstrate the new generation of smart creative • Reference: http://www.ddb.com/ddblogs/creativity/the-fun-theory-idea- winner.html
  • 53. 25. Google Meltdown • Google will have had enough of Facebook’s fame and try to deal with its own problems • “Google has become a snake that too readily consumes its own keyword tail. Identify some words that show up in profitable searches -- from appliances, to mesothelioma suits, to kayak lessons -- churn out content cheaply and regularly, and you're done. On the web, no-one knows you're a content-grinder.The result, however, is awful. Pages and pages of Google results that are just, for practical purposes, advertisements in the loose guise of articles, original or re-purposed. It hearkens back to the dark days of 1999, before Google arrived, when search had become largely useless, with results completely overwhelmed by spam and info-clutter.” -Paul Kedosky • It will try to do something big to make up the “gap” • Could be an acquisition • Could be a focused initiative • Could be a big cultural change
  • 54. 26. Underground Massive
  • 55. 26. Underground Massive • The unmentioned underground is huge • Sites like BitTorrent might be the “no go” zone for brands, but they have 20 million daily users • Environments like 4Chan might have been off the radar, but their power is undisputed • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/ article/2565/inside-the-souls-of-young- males--4chan.html
  • 56. 27. Brands More Like Media Cos
  • 57. 27. Brands More Like Media Cos • Brands will look more and more like media companies • They will look to develop and create content at every opportunity • Some content will be developed in-house, others will be collaborations with outside parties like bloggers
  • 59. 28. Amateurs Will Continue to Surprise • With low-cost technology, some knowledge and a lot of time- amateurs will continue to surprise us • Recently a British amateur astronomer discovered 4 planets- without a telescope, but used his spare time to analyze University data
  • 60. 29. Re-Use and Recycle
  • 61. 29. Re-Use and Recycle • New markets will emerge for new product forms made from old • If companies are recycling and re-using, questions will be asked • Reference: http://www.carloversmagazine.com/ index.php/2010/12/21/chevrolet-volt-recycling-gulf- of-mexico-oil-spill-components/
  • 63. 30. Gaming Everywhere • Games will play a more important role in unexpected areas • Energy efficiency, car fuel efficiency, dieting, exercise, nutrition • Look at SCVNGR- location based, but game focused • Reference: http://www.mobile-ent.biz/features/308/ Interview-SCVNGR-talks-social-location-brands- and-check-in-competition
  • 65. 31. Extreme Local • Restaurants will follow NOMA- Copenhagen • Looking to create the best dishes from ingredients found in their backyards • Restaurants will hire foragers to help them find ingredients • Creativity will come from constraints • Reference: http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/ 2010/07/10/urban-forager-from-sidewalk-cracks-a- side-dish/#more-195553
  • 67. 32. Labs • Demands for new technological solutions aren’t going away • Labs are going to be need to help companies stay ahead of the advances • Some will take the form of internal teams of technologists- inspiring the current process- others will be skunk works-like and external • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/ article/2636/why-agencies-need-labs.html
  • 69. 33. Brand Universes • Instead of thinking about media as networks, sites and publishers think of your brand universe • If brands are now “media”- what brands compliment yours and how could you best work together for mutual gain? • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2662/think-beyond-media-what- s-your-brand-s--brand-universe-.html
  • 70. 34. TV to Dominate Media
  • 71. 34. TV to Dominate Media • Not only are more people watching TV in more places, other media is becoming more like TV • Established publisher brands are looking to develop TV properties • Web properties want to be more like TV • Demand for TV ads isn’t going away, but they will need to evolve-shorter, more interactive, etc. • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2660/internet-media- will-be-television.html
  • 73. 35. Customer Service Returns • Companies will pay more attention to customer service in 2011 • They will remember what a powerful differentiator it can be if its done right • It won’t all be about people, but the unison of people, technology and self- service to deliver excellence • Reference: http://www.cityofsound.com/blog/2011/01/next-generation- check-in-qantas.html
  • 75. 36. Brand Educators • People are keen to learn new skills and learn about new things? • Could you brand help them to become better drivers, cooks, mothers, fathers, athletes? • How can a brand go beyond information and educate instead?
  • 77. 37. Banking Revolutionized • Look out for the launch of start-up BankSimple • This company is trying to challenge the status-quo of traditional personal banking • Its focus will be on customer service • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2658/changing-the-face-of- banking.html
  • 79. 38. Curators Rule • The role of the curator will become even more important • They will help select music, food, fashion • They will have their own stores, restaurants, web experiences • They will have followers and fans • They will help launch new careers and new brands
  • 81. 39. Uber-Luxury • Forget luxury as usual • Luxury brands will look to create new lines that cater for only the super-rich
  • 82. 40. Cultural Cage Matches
  • 83. 40. Cultural Cage Matches • The power of two • The power of juxtaposition • The power of collaboration • Bringing the unusual and iconic together guarantees interesting results • Think Banksy and The Simpsons • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/ article/2609/expression-of-the-day---cultural-cage- match-.html
  • 85. 41. Business Intelligence Revolution • Think real-time data correlations • Smart brands will simply become more intelligent than their competitors • They will know more, faster and be able to take competitive advantage • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2597/the-data-intelligence-
  • 86. 42. In Love with Analog
  • 87. 42. In Love with Analog • As the world gets more digital, analog will become more important • Old technology will acquire new value and will return to culture- think Polaroid • Don’t forget reading real books • Watch out for new analog experiences- new book formats and new newspapers • Look for new technology with old design cues
  • 88. 43. Power Brands Unleashed
  • 89. 43. Power Brands Unleashed • Brand owners will wake up • They will realize the power brands they have sitting in their portfolios • They will “shine them up” and unleash them into new categories and territories • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2588/p-g-s-practical-
  • 90. 44. The Sharing Economy
  • 91. 44. Sharing Economy • Forget buying and think renting and sharing • Car sharing of course, but what about land and tools? • People will start thinking about what they really have to buy • Reference: http:// www.collaborativeconsumption.com/
  • 92. 45. More Start Arounds
  • 93. 45. More Start Arounds • Tim Armstrong of AOL coined the term • It’s all about how you take a dying brand and breathe life into it • Infuse some of the key elements of discipline of start-up culture and see if it works • Others will try it, but success will be hard to achieve • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/tag/ startaround.do
  • 95. 46. Thought Leadership Returns • Nothing wrong with a brand having a POV and some leadership • Pepsi- thinking about health, environment and technology • Levi’s- rebuilding community- teaching and educating • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/tag/braddock.do
  • 96. 47. The Rise of Cultural Change Agents
  • 97. 47. The Rise of Cultural Change Agents • Corporate America’s biggest problem is its internal culture • CEOs will get frustrated with the challenge of cultural change- can’t make change happen fast enough • New breed of consultants will emerge to fast-track culural change • Inspire, inform, give people new codes to work by • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/article/2538/wanted--cultural- change-agencies.html
  • 98. 48. Brands Will Be Real- Time Relevant
  • 99. 48. Brands will be Real- Time Relevant • Brands will need to think in the “now” • They will have conversational calendars • They will also be able to respond and contribute to the conversation • It’s not about the campaign- it’s about what you are doing right now • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/ blog/article/2339/a-new-communication- space.html
  • 100. 49. Work Will Be Re- Invented
  • 101. 49. Work Will be Re- Invented • Everything is up for grabs • What the office looks like • What constitutes a productive meeting • How we collaborate • How we use technology • Reference: http://37signals.com/rework/
  • 102. 50. Taste Graphs Matter
  • 103. 50. Taste Graphs Matter • Everyone knows about social graphs, but what about Taste Graphs • Can we have a better understanding of what we might like- based on the experiences of others? • Take a look at Hunch and see what you learn about yourself • Reference: http://www.influxinsights.com/blog/ article/2470/the-taste-graph--the-future-of- ecommerce-.html

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