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Highereducationinthe21stcentury:
Meetingreal-worlddemands
An Economist Intelligence Unit research programme
sponsored by Academic Partnerships
Aboutthis report
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands is an Economist Intelligence Unit research
report, sponsored by Academic Partnerships. Our thanks go to all survey respondents and interviewees for
their time and insight.
The report was written by Lauren Barack and edited by Steven Mintz and Christine Emba. The findings
and views expressed in the report do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsor.
March 2014
In September 2013 the Economist Intelligence Unit conducted a survey sponsored by Academic
Partnerships of 317 higher education practitioners. The majority of respondents (51%) held teaching/
faculty roles, followed by those in research (28%), administrative (27%) and management positions
(26%). Of the institutions represented by the respondents, 52% were public, non-profit institutions,
33% were private, non-profit institutions, 12% were for-profit institutions and 2% comprised other
groups, including institutions that had charity and public, for-profit status. Of the respondents, 36%
hailed from North America, 33% from Asia-Pacific and 32% from Western Europe.
About the survey
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2014
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20141
Executive summary 2
Introduction 4
Crossing geographic boundaries 6
  Springtime for Asia 7
Creative financing 8
The digital domain 10
  Georgia Tech’s experiment 11
Conclusion: new avenues await 13
Appendix: survey results 14
Contents
1
2
3
4
5
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20142
As technology evolves and the financial climate
shifts, the world of higher education is changing
quickly and dramatically. In the US and the UK,
tuition and fees are increasing while public funding
for educational institutions is decreasing.
Enrolment is also declining as sceptical students
weigh the price of a degree against their odds of
employment after graduation. Colleges and
universities must look for ways to cut costs and
uncover new revenue streams.
At the same time, however, an expanding global
middle class and growing young adult populations
are increasing the demand for higher education in
the developing world, especially in key areas of
research and vocational study. But as technology
expands access worldwide, online institutions,
open-source classrooms and virtual campuses will
compete with traditional structures. Higher
education may well move from the current
producer-driven business model to one that is
increasingly shaped by student and consumer
demands.
To investigate the ramifications of these
changes and identify the steps that institutions are
taking to flourish and remain relevant in a new
climate, The Economist Intelligence Unit, on behalf
of Academic Partnerships, conducted a survey of
more than 300 higher-education practitioners from
around the world.
Key findings from the survey include:
l	 Institutions are courting new student
populations. Global visibility has become a top
priority for colleges and universities, with
expansion abroad a key goal for many. Thirty-
three percent of the higher-education
institutions polled say they are increasing their
recruiting of international students, targeting a
rapidly growing global middle class. Fifty-one
percent of institutions are “strongly to
moderately” considering expanding abroad
through physical campuses, online presences or
other means. That said, competition to recruit
and retain top students is heating up
worldwide—well-funded institutions in
developing nations, especially in Asia, are eager
to hold on to their student populations.
l	 Creative financing is needed to balance
shrinking budgets. Fifty-one percent of survey
respondents say that reduced government
subsidies have negatively or somewhat
negatively affected their institutions’ financial
standing; 40% cite the shrinking availability of
research grants. Especially in the US and the UK,
sustainability will depend on rigorous cost-
cutting in tandem with finding new sources of
revenue. Cuts in basic spending remain the first
choice for higher-education institutions looking
to balance their books, but 30% of respondents
also state that partnering with private
Executive summary
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20143
enterprise is one of their top three strategies to
counter funding declines. Raising tuition is also
a common strategy, but doing so can have
negative ramifications for students and schools.
l	 Online learning is the new frontier. Today’s
institutions of higher learning have high hopes
for technology-based delivery of instruction.
Massive open online courses (MOOCs) have both
supporters and detractors, but 61% of survey
respondents say that they believe online and
distance courses will have the greatest effect on
how higher education is delivered in the next
five years. One in four survey respondents
expects online and hybrid courses to attract
more students and bring more revenue to their
colleges or universities, and digital programmes
are allowing students to lower their own costs
and shorten time to degree.
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20144
Introduction
Pensacola, Florida has earned a reputation for
training US Navy pilots to fly state-of-the-art
jets—not so much for launching state-of-the-art
academic programmes with a global reach. But as
home to the University of West Florida (UWF),
Pensacola is right in the thick of global trends
sweeping 21st-century higher education.
Traditional admission formulae have filled
classrooms ever since West Florida began enrolling
students in 1963—historically, nine students in ten
come from Florida or neighbouring Alabama and
Georgia. But today, even a 12,000-student school
nestled in the Florida Panhandle must respond to
market forces that are reshaping the academic
realm. Moreover, its reputation is now compared
with those of colleges and universities in the US,
Europe and even the developing world. To expand
its reach and stay abreast of new trends, the
university has launched an “online campus” that
offers 30 fully online degree and certificate
programmes accessible from anywhere in the
world.
So it goes in higher education today.
Sustainability depends on tailoring business
models to the shifting needs of students. To
survive, institutions must tap new revenue
streams, ease budget pressures and shift reliance
away from public or private subsidies, harness
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013
How does your higher-education institution attract students today?
(% respondents)
Increasing the professional
relevance of course offerings
Improving the strength of the
institution’s reputation/brand
Offering opportunities
to study abroad
Integrating professional
work into classes
Partnering with industry
Providing more tuition subsidies
(scholarships, grants, etc)
Building online, hybrid, blended
and/or flipped classrooms
Offering fully online
degree programmes
49
42
34
33
28
27
25
16
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20145
interactive technologies that all students and
faculty expect schools to offer, and promote their
brands outside the usual markets.
The stakes are vital. Economic realities will soon
force or have already pushed schools to trim
resources even as students expect an upgraded
learning experience—these often mutually
exclusive objectives are becoming critical.
Innovation and upheaval in job markets will
continue to influence students’ thinking about
careers and thus their decisions about which
institution might offer the most career-relevant
courses. Rising costs will continue to push tuition
rates beyond the reach of many even before an
expected uptick in interest rates makes significant
college loans a more onerous burden. Shrinking
state budgets have already curtailed support for
public universities while private universities and
colleges are finding that they must scramble harder
for every donated dollar.
To fulfil their academic missions in challenging
conditions, schools will either adapt or perish.
New business models go beyond the subjects and
practices usually found in brick-and-mortar
classrooms. Solutions combine trimming costs,
raising schools’ public profiles and deploying new
technology. “By making degree programmes in the
high-demand fields of nursing and education
available online, we are doing just that,” says UWF
provost Martha Saunders.
Such upheaval prompted The Economist
Intelligence Unit to take the pulse of academia in
August 2013. Responses to a global survey
represent faculty (51%), researchers (28%),
administrators (27%) and managers (26%) located
in North America (36%), Asia-Pacific (33%) and
Western Europe (32%).
Results of this survey highlight strategies aimed
at keeping colleges and universities viable. The top
trend today: increasing the professional relevance of
course offerings (49%). Students invest in college to
advance careers, and tailoring curriculum boosts
their return on investment (ROI)—and incentive to
enrol. Some schools (33%) have elected to integrate
professional work into classes. Asked whether their
schools are strongly, moderately or marginally
considering expansion through technical training
courses, a clear majority say “yes”.
Learning technology has graduated from
experimental to fully operational. One in four
respondents intends to promote online, hybrid or
blended programmes or to offer “flipped
classrooms” where students secure remote
instruction by watching videos, then attend class
to do exercises formerly called “homework”.
Meanwhile, 16% of the schools represented now
offer degree programmes that are completely
online.
❛❛
To fulfil their
academic missions
in challenging
conditions,
schools will either
adapt or perish.
❜❜
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20146
Crossing geographic boundaries
1
Global visibility has become a top priority for many
colleges and universities, with expansion abroad a
key goal for many. Thirty-three percent of higher-
education institutions polled in the EIU survey say
they are increasing their recruiting of international
students. These institutions are targeting a rapidly
growing demographic that is hungry for higher
education: a global middle class (those earning
from US$10 to US$100 per day) predicted by the
Brookings Institute to grow from 1.8bn in 2009 to
4.9bn by 2030, with the bulk of that growth
happening in Asia.
But many foreign students already study in the
US. The 2013 Open Doors Report on International
Education Exchange, issued by the Institute of
International Education, reports that the number
of international students attending colleges and
universities in the US increased by 7% in the
2012-13 academic year—to a record 820,000
students.1
Over the past three years, 49% of survey
respondents report that the proportion of
international students has increased. That figure
swells to 57% when looking ahead three years to
the change in the proportion of international
students. Although more would like to come to the
US, capacity is limited and costs are prohibitive.
Competition to recruit and retain top students is
heating up worldwide, not just at home. Even US
institutions with lofty cachet face significant global
rivals, warns Andrew J Policano, the Dean’s
1	http://www.iie.org/Who-We-Are/News-and-Events/Press-Center/
Press-Releases/2013/2013-11-11-Open-Doors-Data#.Uuu0rXnl1Fx
Leadership Circle Endowed Professor of Economics/
Public Policy at UC Irvine’s The Paul Merage School
of Business. “This new global dynamic will be a
major influence,” he says.
Internships and study abroad programmes, now
common, could become even more so. Students
may start college at their home university and then
embark on a series of specialised learning
programmes elsewhere. To keep educationally
exploratory students connected to the institutions
where they began their studies, some universities
are forging alliances with schools in other
locations. For instance, in 2012 the Wharton
School of the University of Pennsylvania created an
alliance with INSEAD in France that allows MBA and
doctoral students to study at either school for
periods of time.
Convinced that a physical presence would
capture tuition dollars overseas, some well-heeled
institutions have embarked on aggressive
expansion programmes over the past decade; today
prominent US universities have outposts from
Shanghai to Dubai. Fifty-one percent of surveyed
institutions say that they are “moderately
considering” establishing an overseas physical site
to bolster their international presence.
However, newer trends cast doubt on the merits
of filling actual classrooms abroad. Rents and
salaries, to say nothing of construction costs, make
for costly ventures with myriad hurdles and
uncertain rewards. For schools with limited
resources, low visibility or state funding subject to
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20147
local taxpayer scrutiny, sending assets overseas is
not an attractive or viable option.
And in the rush to enrol foreign students,
developing nations have entered the fray. Their
higher-education institutions combine improving
reputations with lower costs because of lower
faculty salaries, less expensive real estate and—in
contrast with the more-developed world—generous
subsidies from regional and national governments
eager to hold on to their student populations.
For many higher-education institutions, Asia looks
like the Promised Land. Three-quarters of surveyed
higher-education stakeholders say Asia holds
the greatest interest for them as they consider
expansion beyond their own geographic borders;
56% of respondents say that the key attraction is
the potential for increased revenue.
Looking to Asia makes sense. According to the
OECD, 66% of the 3.2bn people expected to make up
the middle class in 2030 will reside in Asia. Western
universities that establish themselves in the region
will be able to build their reputations and reap the
financial benefits.
Asian nations appear to understand this well.
Many governments are giving their own universities
generous new subsidies—a far cry from the cuts
institutions are experiencing in the US and the
UK. Arnoud De Meyer, president of Singapore
Management University, notes that institutions
in Singapore and the rest of the Pacific Rim have
benefitted from the region’s economic growth.
“In China, governments are heavily investing in
new buildings and faculty, improving services for
students,” he explains.
But Mr De Meyer adds that the generosity
will not last forever. In the coming decades, he
predicts that many institutions will experience a
major funding shift as a large proportion of their
population begins to age out of school-going
range. By 2050, approximately one out of every
four people in China is expected to be older than
65. “We have a relatively young population, but
the ageing of the Asian population is happening
fast,” says Mr De Meyer. “And I am sure there will
be a reduction of resources in education that will
go into infrastructure to support the ageing and
health costs.” Governments are likely to spend
more supporting the post-employed, rather than
subsidising training for the new wave.
As for now, however, Asia remains a region
to contend with. As Mr De Meyer notes, “The
commitment in Asia from government is still very
strong.”
Springtime for Asia
❛❛
[The] new global
dynamic will be a
major influence
❜❜
Andrew J Policano
Professor of Economics/
Public Policy
The Paul Merage School of
Business, UC Irvine
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20148
Creative financing
2
Colleges and universities in developed countries
are under pressure to find new sources of income in
the wake of financial crises. In the US, state
governments short of cash have tightened the
reins on grants that furnished most academic
funding to public institutions. Fifty-one percent of
survey respondents say that reduced government
subsidies have negatively or somewhat negatively
affected their institutions’ financial standing; 40%
cite the shrinking availability of research grants.
Basic arithmetic underscores the magnitude of
financial challenges that arise when governments
slash funding. To replace a collective US$100m in
operating income lost to budget cuts, universities
must secure a US$2bn endowment, says Mr
Policano. Such windfalls are unlikely at best.
In the private sector, meanwhile, financial gifts
from alumni, foundations, corporations and other
groups rose less than 1% in the US during 2012
(after inflation), according to data collected by the
National Association of College and University
Business Officers (NACUBO). In years marked by
financial turmoil, financial gifts from private
donors slipped. Even if the run-up in stock prices
during 2013 fuels generosity, donations may not
reach pre-recession levels and will only rise for
select academic institutions.
With reduced incomes and absent full access to
former funding sources, leaner university treasuries
cannot afford the same levels of services and
staffing—even where endowments provide a
cushion. Increased financial constraints have
resulted in bigger class sizes (31%), difficulty in
attracting top faculty (22%), the loss of academic
programmes (22%) and even the elimination of
faculty positions (18%). In a bid to support their
bottom lines, some universities located near each
other have explored sharing resources and facilities.
Sustainability will depend on rigorous cost-
cutting in tandem with finding new sources of
revenue. Toward these ends, nearly two-thirds of
the academic institutions polled in our survey
indicate that they plan to streamline budgets and
look for new revenue streams.
Cuts in basic spending remain the first choice for
higher-education institutions looking to balance
their books, notes Thomas Estermann, director of
governance, funding and public policy
development for the European University
Association (EUA). He has seen institutions cap the
number of paid holidays and increase the amount
of time faculty and administration must work.
Difficult decisions on where to spend or save money
will mean tighter scrutiny than before.
“Institutions are looking much more closely at
their activity portfolios,” says Mr Estermann.
Automating roles through technology (37%)
leads as a strategy aimed at reducing operational
costs. Limited options will compel schools to
eliminate courses and programmes (31%) and cut
faculty positions (22%). While academic
institutions can eliminate programmes deemed
ancillary to their primary educational missions,
they can trim budgets only so far before they start
to imperil their missions.
Thirty-two percent of survey respondents are
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20149
attempting to increase revenue even as they cut
costs by raising student tuition. However, doing so
tends to invite adverse consequences at all but a
handful of colleges and universities with stellar
reputations and many more applicants than
places—education in developed nations is
approaching the limits of what students will pay,
says Mr De Meyer.
Hardest hit are schools like Sewanee, the
University of the South, whose alumni include the
Pulitzer Prize-winning biographer and former
Newsweek editor Jon Meacham. In 2011 Sewanee
cut its tuition by 10% after students Sewanee had
hoped to enrol chose to attend less-expensive
schools.
Tuition deflation is possible, even probable—
many schools’ discount strategies have used grants
intended for academic initiatives to subsidise
tuitions. Unbeknownst to parents footing the full
bill for their children attending college, the
average tuition discount has climbed six years in a
row to 45% of cost.1
1	http://www.nacubo.org/Business_Officer_Magazine/Magazine_
Archives/June_2013/Demand_Drives_Discount_Rates.html
Universities are reaching out to the private
sector as well. Sponsored research agreements
(SRA), where private sources underwrite research
at universities, boost revenue at Stanford
University, the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology and other pre-eminent US research
institutions. Universities in Europe and Asia are
also eyeing private sources, as well as competitive
grants and contracts from businesses and industry.
Trinity University in Dublin has aligned itself with
developers and England’s University of
Loughborough now rents out its world-class sports
facilities to private organisations.
With or without strings attached, forming
partnerships with special interests can impinge on
cherished academic freedoms. In the eyes of some
observers, the Florida State University tarnished
the integrity of its economics department when, in
exchange for a US$6.5m cash contribution, it
surrendered veto power over two tenured posts and
the right to shut down unacceptable programmes
to a politically motivated foundation.
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013
What are your top three strategies to offset declining revenues and/or public subsidies?
(% respondents)
Reducing non-instruction-related operating costs
(eg, facilities and maintenance, administration)
Increasing student tuition
Adding online courses
Partnering with private industry
Increasing appeal to
international students
Fundraising/attempting to
increase endowments
Increasing enrolment of non-traditional
and part-time students
Increasing enrolment of traditional,
non-international students
Reducing instruction-related operating costs
(eg, faculty benefits)
We have not been affected by
declining public subsidies
38
32
30
30
30
29
20
16
16
9
❛❛
Institutions are
looking much
more closely at
their activity
portfolios.
❜❜
Thomas Estermann
Director of governance,
funding and public policy
development
European University
Association
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201410
The popularity of massive open online courses, or
MOOCs, looks to many universities like a mixed
blessing. They are free and available to anyone
with no need for lecture halls, textbooks or
teaching assistants. Fans applaud MOOCs for those
reasons, while critics fear a weakening or watering
down of education after centuries of progress and
question the long-term economic sustainability of
the new model.
Nevertheless, today’s institutions of higher
learning have high hopes for technology-based
delivery of instruction. While administrators and
board members at some schools debate whether to
test the waters with one or two courses, the roster
of schools offering broad portfolios of online
degree or certificate programmes is growing.
One in four administrators surveyed by the EIU
expects online and hybrid courses to attract more
students and bring more revenue to their colleges
or universities. More than six in ten say that online
learning tools will help them broaden their mission
in education, reach more students and expand
globally. And, because virtual courses may also
reduce the costs associated with offering on-site
classes, they may become another means of
balancing budgets.
An online subsidiary of Cornell University,
eCornell exemplifies this expansion into the digital
domain. It lists more than 30 professional online
certificate programmes in disciplines ranging from
management and supervisory skills to project
leadership and systems design. Similarly, Georgia
The digital domain
3
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013
What are your higher-education institution’s three main areas of focus over the next five years?
(% respondents)
Integrating online learning
tools into degree programmes
Competing internationally
Increasing post-secondary enrolment
Aligning programmes
with workforce needs
Providing greater access to
non-traditional students
Expanding footprint to other countries
Reducing administration costs
Lowering or stabilising tuition costs
39
37
36
35
30
29
25
15
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201411
Tech Professional Education Online targets working
professionals. Online courses lower or eliminate
travel costs, fit learning to individual schedules,
budgets and pace of knowledge acquisition, and
advance careers without interrupting them.
Students can also earn full undergraduate and
graduate degrees online. The University of Texas at
Arlington offers a Bachelor of Science degree in
nursing as part of the offerings of the largest
college of nursing among public universities in the
US driven primarily by online programmes. The
university also offers online bachelors’ and
masters’ degree programmes in other areas,
including education and public policy.
A singular benefit of online learning is the time
required to earn degrees. Full-time students or
busy working adults eager to finish online
academic programmes do not have to wait for
requisite courses to come around again in autumn
or spring semesters. Frequent cycles permit
students to take the courses necessary to earn all
the credits they need when they need them.
Shorter roads to diplomas and certificates allow
students to begin or advance their careers sooner,
a substantial economic benefit that pays off over
the course of a career. “Technology will allow more
students to get an education, but now they may be
able to do so in three years instead of four,” says
UC Irvine’s Mr Policano. “This could ease the cost
for some students.”
Students born into the digital era, aka “digital
natives”, unlike baby boomers, will streamline and
individualise online college instruction, says
Arthur Levine, head of the Woodrow Wilson
National Fellowship Foundation. “Digital media is
personalising,” says Mr Levine. “I can give you
what you need and tie it to your personal style.”
According to this blueprint, online courses
would emphasise useful, pertinent information
over the focus on abstract knowledge that is a
hallmark of traditional education. Says Mr Levine:
“A professor can be an avatar in your living room.”
The Georgia Institute of Technology is an
example of the new frontier for advanced degree
programmes that require only virtual attendance.
Past experience with individual online courses in
computer science convinced Georgia Tech educators
and administrators to confer an online master’s
degree. “It’s not an accident that we presented
this option,” says Dr Rafael Bras, Georgia Tech’s
provost. “I want to make sure this is done right, and
frankly make sure the clientele is there.”
Online students can earn Georgia Tech
credentials at a significant discount. At US$6,600,
the online programme is one-sixth as expensive as
the current on-campus degree. Students will take
all 12 required courses through MOOCs, but will
not need to visit the Atlanta campus during the
two to three years typically required to complete
a degree. Today, the school is able to accept fewer
than 200 of the approximately 1,400 who apply
each year for the residential degree. The school
hopes to attract—and enrol—thousands more. In
view of its substantial investment in launching the
online degree programme, Georgia Tech is hedging
expectations on the outcome. “It’s definitely a
numbers game for us,” Dr Bras says.
Methods and technologies that take root will
guide other departments. If successful, added
revenues would offset pressure to raise tuition or
build facilities to house more students. No one
imagines moving the entire school online or even
offering a full roster of undergraduate degrees, but
the school plans to add Internet-based master’s
programmes and prerequisites as time goes on. The
tools and technologies that “take” will be seeded
throughout an undergraduate’s residential tenure.
“If, through blended courses and inverted
courses, I manage to eliminate 500-large lecture
halls, I’ll be a happy man—because I think that
will be a better education,” says Dr Bras. “We can
increase opportunity, open up to new audiences,
increase efficiency and get better outcomes. That’s
certainly why we are [doing] it.”
Georgia Tech’s experiment
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201412
Mr Levine and some of his peers assign MOOCs a
historic place in the progress of online earning. “We
know they are the prototype of this development,”
Mr Levine says. These observers welcome massive
open online courses that—at the very least—stir up
interest in technology-based learning at water
coolers, cocktail receptions and dinner tables.
Not everyone considers MOOCs to be benign.
Critics worry that casual college courses could
water down rigorous academic pursuits and divert
serious students from pursuing a real education.
The University of Pennsylvania Graduate School of
Education probed MOOC popularity for signs of its
impact. Researchers analysed the study habits of
1m students who signed up for MOOC courses over
12 months through June 2013. Data gave support
to the doubters. “Massive open online courses have
relatively few active users,” the authors reported.
Furthermore, they found that user engagement
seldom persists beyond the first two weeks, with
“few users” getting all the way to the end.
Transition to online learning in any venue comes
naturally to college students today, says Mr
Policano. As students enter the workforce in
greater numbers, a growing population of young
professionals will appreciate online learning that
bestows recognition identical to diplomas or
degrees earned on a campus. What is more, they
will welcome the chance to forgo impersonal
classes taught in packed lecture halls.
“When I was in college I remember sitting in the
back of a 500-person room,” says Mr Policano. “The
reality is that we have a whole new generation
much more in tune with self-directed, digital
education. They can find information much more
quickly and they are much more accepting of online
courses. There will be a very big demand for them.”
The optimism is palpable: 61% of survey
respondents say that they believe online and
distance courses will have the greatest effect on
how higher education is delivered in the next five
years. “Does this mean that the physical campuses
disappear?” Mr Levine asks. “No. When we moved
to public schools, Andover and Exeter didn’t
disappear. We’re going to have colleges that are
still there. Education is going to be more
interactive and personal than it’s ever been.”
❛❛
Education is going
to be more
interactive and
personal than it’s
ever been.
❜❜
Arthur Levine
President, Woodrow Wilson
Foundation
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201413
The world of higher education will need to reassess
priorities as its “customers”—its students—demand
changes in the accessibility of higher learning.
Today, a profound disconnect separates the
needs of students and the models of higher
education that prevailed in the 20th century. Four
years of two semesters divided by summers do not
fit the requirements of a growing number of global
students eager to gain footholds in the real world
and their careers. In addition, a world gone mobile
has extended to education. Virtual proximity to
far-off places shrinks physical distance; students
can take classes wherever they have access to the
Internet.
Student preferences are not the only factor
challenging conventional models of post-
secondary education. A new economic environment
has disrupted old practices. Tuition is approaching
a ceiling just as government and private funding
sources pull back, and, though rising affluence in
developing countries fuels a growing demand for
education, the competition for these new students
is intensifying.
However, technology is altering the playing
field. Deployed properly in the right circumstances,
online learning can help colleges and universities
stay relevant in an increasingly technology-based
world, expand their markets globally and
streamline business models without building new
classrooms and dormitories.
Moving forward, sustaining a robust higher-
education institution will require a new outlook:
fresh sources of revenue, improved cost
management, innovative means of delivering
higher education and an increased understanding
of students’ new needs. A changing landscape will
require higher-education institutions to adapt to
stay competitive and to fulfil the mission for which
they were founded.
Conclusion: new avenues await
4
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201414
Appendix: survey results
Percentages may not
add to 100% owing to
rounding or the ability
of respondents to
choose multiple
responses.
What are your higher-education institution’s main areas of focus over the next five years?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Integrating online learning tools into degree programmes
Competing internationally
Increasing post-secondary enrolment
Aligning programmes with workforce needs
Providing greater access to non-traditional students
Expanding footprint to other countries
Reducing administration costs
Lowering or stabilising tuition costs
Other
Don’t know/Not applicable
39
37
36
35
30
29
25
15
5
6
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201415
How does your higher-education institution attract students today?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Increasing the professional relevance of course offerings
Improving the strength of the institution’s reputation/brand
Offering opportunities to study abroad
Integrating professional work into classes
Partnering with industry
Providing more tuition subsidies (scholarships, grants, etc)
Building online, hybrid, blended and/or flipped classrooms
Offering fully online degree programmes
None of the above
Don’t know
49
42
34
33
28
27
25
16
1
3
How does your higher-education institution plan to attract students five years from now?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Building online, hybrid, blended and/or flipped classrooms
Improving the strength of the institution’s reputation/brand
Integrating professional work into classes
Increasing the professional relevance of course offerings
Offering opportunities to study abroad
Partnering with industry
Offering fully online degree programmes
Providing more tuition subsidies (scholarships, grants, etc)
None of the above
Don’t know
37
33
32
30
30
26
26
22
1
5
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201416
Strong
effect
Moderate
effect
Minimal
effect
No effect
at all
Don’t know/
Not applicable
Partnerships with private industry
Government subsidies
Research grants
Tuition
Fees
Philanthropic contributions
To what extent do you believe that each of the following factors affects your higher-education institution’s
budgetary strategy?
Please select a response in each row.
(% respondents)
27 38 25 4 5
42 29 17 7 5
37 27 24 7 5
52 33 9 3 2
41 37 16 3 3
21 36 26 9 8
Very positive
impact
Somewhat
positive impact
Somewhat
negative impact
Very negative
impact
Partnerships with private industry
Government subsidies
Research grants
Tuition
Fees
Philanthropic contributions
How do you believe these factors will affect your institution’s financial well-being overall over the next five years?
Please select a response in each row.
(% respondents)
39 56 5
37 42 18 3
41 47 11 1
44 41 13 2
39 45 14 3
29 65 6 1
Why is your higher-education institution partnering, or seeking to partner, with private industry?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Increase funding and endowments
Encourage research
Offer more degrees aligned with needs in the workforce
Grow the institution’s reputation/brand
Attract adjunct faculty with real-world experience
Offer professional internships
Broaden programme offerings
Other
Don’t know
47
39
39
39
33
28
27
1
2
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201417
Very
positively
Somewhat
positively
No effect Somewhat
negatively
Very
negatively
Don’t know/
Not applicable
Reduction in government subsidies
Growth of competitive online education offerings (MOOCs, free courses, etc)
Increase in tuition costs
Reduction in enrolment
Rising internal costs
Decrease in availability of research grants
Decrease in gifts and endowments
Change in performance of investments
How have the following factors affected your institution’s financial position over the last two years?
Please select a response in each row.
(% respondents)
8 10 23 31 20 9
9 19 43 19 2 9
9 26 24 29 7 6
6 11 34 24 12 14
7 14 22 43 7 6
5 11 29 33 7 15
3 10 40 22 6 18
5 16 32 22 5 21
To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
‘Cuts in government subsidies have driven my institution to look for additional revenue streams’?
(% respondents)
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Somewhat disagree
Strongly disagree
Not applicable/Our public subsidies have not been cut
28
37
17
7
4
8
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201418
What are your top strategies to offset declining revenues and/or public subsidies?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Reducing non-instruction-related operating costs (eg, facilities and maintenance, administration)
Increasing student tuition
Adding online courses
Partnering with private industry
Increasing appeal to international students
Fundraising/Attempting to increase endowments
Increasing enrolment of non-traditional and part-time students
Increasing enrolment of traditional, non-international students
Reducing instruction-related operating costs (eg, faculty benefits)
We have not been affected by declining public subsidies
Other
Don’t know/Not applicable
38
32
30
30
30
29
20
16
16
9
1
4
What are your top strategies to reduce operational costs?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Automating roles through technology
Eliminating courses and programmes
Cutting faculty positions
Reducing community outreach (eg, opening facilities for public use, providing cultural enrichment activities, making financial contributions, etc)
Reducing student services
Closing extension campuses
Closing campus facilities (eg, laboratories, cafeterias, dormitories, etc)
We have not needed to reduce operational costs
Other
Don’t know/Not applicable
37
31
22
14
14
13
10
23
7
10
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201419
What main effects have financial constraints had on your institution, if any?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Made it necessary to increase class size
Made it necessary to eliminate non-academic positions
Forced the loss of academic programmes
Made it more difficult to attract top faculty
Forced the institution to defer expansion plans
Made it necessary to eliminate faculty positions
Made it more difficult to attract post-doctoral students
Made it more difficult to attract endowments
Other
Don’t know
Financial limitations have not had any effect on our institution
31
30
22
22
21
18
14
8
2
9
16
How has the composition of traditional, non-international students changed over the past three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of traditional, non-international students has increased
Proportion of traditional, non-international students has decreased
Proportion of traditional, non-international students has not changed
37
27
37
How do you expect the composition of traditional, non-international students to change in the next three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of traditional, non-international students will increase
Proportion of traditional, non-international students will decrease
Proportion of traditional, non-international students will not change
42
27
31
How has the composition of non-traditional and part-time students changed over the past three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has increased
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has decreased
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has not changed
39
19
42
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201420
How do you expect the composition of non-traditional and part-time students to change in the next three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will increase
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will decrease
Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will not change
46
19
34
How has the composition of international students changed over the past three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of international students has increased
Proportion of international students has decreased
Proportion of international students has not changed
49
17
34
How do you expect the composition of international students to change in the next three years?
(% respondents)
Proportion of international students will increase
Proportion of international students will decrease
Proportion of international students will not change
57
15
29
To what extent have concerns about the employment prospects of graduates from your institution
affected your administration’s setting of tuition fees?
(% respondents)
Strongly affected
Moderately affected
Minimally affected
Not affected at all
Don’t know
8
25
25
31
11
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201421
How has your institution modified its setting of tuition fees, if at all?
Of respondents whose institutions have already instituted changes in the setting of fees:
Select all that apply.
(% respondents)
Increased overall tuition costs
Provided more tuition assistance (grants, scholarships, etc)
Changed tuition fee structure (eg, tuition per class, per degree, including/not including facilities, etc)
Changed the terms of tuition payment (eg, loan forgiveness programmes, personalised repayment schedules, etc)
Lowered overall tuition costs
Other
Have made no changes to tuition fees
57
40
33
28
18
5
11
How has your institution modified its setting of tuition fees, if at all?
Of respondents whose institutions plan to institute changes in the setting of fees in the next 1-3 years:
Select all that apply.
(% respondents)
Increased overall tuition costs
Changed the terms of tuition payment (eg, loan forgiveness programmes, personalised repayment schedules, etc)
Changed tuition fee structure (eg, tuition per class, per degree, including/not including facilities, etc)
Lowered overall tuition costs
Provided more tuition assistance (grants, scholarships, etc)
Other
Have made no changes to tuition fees
32
29
26
25
24
3
10
Is your institution offering more personalised degree tracks and coursework than it was three years ago?
(% respondents)
Yes
No
Don’t know
39
44
17
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201422
Is your institution considering an expansion through technical training courses?
(% respondents)
Strongly considering
Moderately considering
Marginally considering
Not considering at all
Don’t know
16
26
19
25
14
Does your institution offer credit to previous outside experience before college, or from the workplace?
(% respondents)
Yes
No
Don’t know
46
40
14
If not, how much are you considering offering credit to outside experience?
(% respondents)
Strongly considering
Moderately considering
Marginally considering
Not considering at all
Don’t know
3
16
15
60
6
What are your top strategies to offset declining student enrolment?
Please select top three.
(% respondents)
Adding online courses and degree programmes
Directing recruitment effort towards international students
Directing recruitment effort towards non-traditional and part-time students
Directing recruitment effort towards traditional, non-international students
Adding technical degree programmes
We are not experiencing declining student enrolment
Other
Don’t know/Not applicable
34
33
32
24
18
30
3
8
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201423
Which technologies do you believe will have the greatest effect on how higher education is delivered
in the next five years?
Please select up to three.
(% respondents)
Distance and online courses
Hybrid in-person/online learning (eg, MOOCs, online course with in-person sections)
Mobile devices in classes
E-textbooks
Interactive teaching methods/Gamification
Learning analytics (eg, tracking student behaviour with reading materials, ie, time spent on a page, or retention of information)
3D printing (eg, printing ancient artefacts for art history, print physical model of chemical structure)
Wearable technology (eg, sensors that track student attendance to seminars, detect overexposure to elements in a chemistry lab)
Other
Don’t know
61
39
38
36
30
22
10
7
1
4
Yes, for some
disciplines
Yes, for all
disciplines
No, but we are
considering
this for some
disciplines
No, but we are
considering
this for all
disciplines
No, and we
are not
considering it
Don’t know
Degrees earned online
Certifications earned online
Do you have degrees or certifications available online?
Please select one in each row.
(% respondents)
21 9 21 7 34 8
24 8 21 6 32 10
Is your institution adapting any of its current courses or degree programmes to offer them online?
(% respondents)
Yes
No
Don’t know
51
36
12
How many courses is your institution adapting to deliver online?
(% respondents)
High percentage
Moderate percentage
Low percentage
Don’t know
19
37
35
9
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201424
How many degree programmes is your institution adapting to deliver online?
(% respondents)
High percentage
Moderate percentage
Low percentage
Don’t know
17
36
34
13
Is your institution increasing its budget for online learning in the next 12 months?
(% respondents)
Yes
No
Don’t know
40
35
25
Is your institution looking to expand its footprint into other countries? (eg, physical campuses,
online presence, recruiting internationally)
(% respondents)
Strongly considering
Moderately considering
Marginally considering
Not considering at all
Don’t know
20
31
15
25
10
What are your main motivating factors for expanding into other countries?
Please select up to two.
(% respondents)
Widening institution’s profile internationally
Raising revenue
Increasing research opportunities
Fostering student exchange
Building alumni network
Expanding course offerings
Other
Don’t know
61
56
21
19
11
10
3
2
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201425
Which regions are of greatest interest when considering international expansion?
Please select up to two.
(% respondents)
Asia-Pacific/Japan
Middle East and Africa
North America
Latin America
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
74
35
21
13
13
8
US
UK
Singapore
Australia
India, Philippines, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea
Vietnam
In which country are you personally located?
(% respondents)
36
32
5
4
3
1
North America
Asia-Pacific
Western Europe
Latin America
Eastern Europe
Middle East and Africa
In which region are you personally located?
(% respondents)
36
33
32
0
0
0
Professor
Instructor/Lecturer (non-tenure track)
Department head
Dean
Department director
Department manager
Assistant/Associate professor (tenure track)
Adjunct faculty
President
Librarian
Teaching assistant
Chancellor
Board member
Rector
Provost
Other
Which of the following best describes your job title?
(% respondents)
16
13
13
10
9
9
8
8
4
3
3
2
1
1
0
2
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201426
Teaching/Faculty
Research
Administrative
Management
Curriculum
Student services
Strategy and business development
Admissions
Financial management
Marketing/Public relations
IT
Investment
Legal
Other
What are your main functional roles?
Select up to three.
(% respondents)
51
28
27
26
22
14
10
7
6
6
5
2
2
7
Public, non-profit institution
Private, non-profit institution
For-profit institution
Other
Which of the following best describes your institution?
(% respondents)
52
33
12
2
Small two-year (fewer than 2,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Medium two-year (2,000-5,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Large two-year (more than 5,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Small four-year (fewer than 3,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Medium four-year (3,000-10,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Large four-year (more than 10,000 full-time students attend this institution)
Which of the following best describes the size of your
higher-education institution?
Please select one.
(% respondents)
17
14
9
6
18
35
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201427
Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this
information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the
sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability
for reliance by any person on this white paper or any of the
information, opinions or conclusions set out in the white paper.
Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
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E14 4QW
United Kingdom
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Fax: (44.20) 7576 8476
E-mail: london@eiu.com
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5th Floor
New York, NY 10017
United States
Tel: (1.212) 554 0600
Fax: (1.212) 586 0248
E-mail: newyork@eiu.com
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Wanchai
Hong Kong
Tel: (852) 2585 3888
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Higher education in the 21st century

  • 1. Highereducationinthe21stcentury: Meetingreal-worlddemands An Economist Intelligence Unit research programme sponsored by Academic Partnerships
  • 2. Aboutthis report Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands is an Economist Intelligence Unit research report, sponsored by Academic Partnerships. Our thanks go to all survey respondents and interviewees for their time and insight. The report was written by Lauren Barack and edited by Steven Mintz and Christine Emba. The findings and views expressed in the report do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsor. March 2014 In September 2013 the Economist Intelligence Unit conducted a survey sponsored by Academic Partnerships of 317 higher education practitioners. The majority of respondents (51%) held teaching/ faculty roles, followed by those in research (28%), administrative (27%) and management positions (26%). Of the institutions represented by the respondents, 52% were public, non-profit institutions, 33% were private, non-profit institutions, 12% were for-profit institutions and 2% comprised other groups, including institutions that had charity and public, for-profit status. Of the respondents, 36% hailed from North America, 33% from Asia-Pacific and 32% from Western Europe. About the survey Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2014
  • 3. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20141 Executive summary 2 Introduction 4 Crossing geographic boundaries 6   Springtime for Asia 7 Creative financing 8 The digital domain 10   Georgia Tech’s experiment 11 Conclusion: new avenues await 13 Appendix: survey results 14 Contents 1 2 3 4 5 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 4. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20142 As technology evolves and the financial climate shifts, the world of higher education is changing quickly and dramatically. In the US and the UK, tuition and fees are increasing while public funding for educational institutions is decreasing. Enrolment is also declining as sceptical students weigh the price of a degree against their odds of employment after graduation. Colleges and universities must look for ways to cut costs and uncover new revenue streams. At the same time, however, an expanding global middle class and growing young adult populations are increasing the demand for higher education in the developing world, especially in key areas of research and vocational study. But as technology expands access worldwide, online institutions, open-source classrooms and virtual campuses will compete with traditional structures. Higher education may well move from the current producer-driven business model to one that is increasingly shaped by student and consumer demands. To investigate the ramifications of these changes and identify the steps that institutions are taking to flourish and remain relevant in a new climate, The Economist Intelligence Unit, on behalf of Academic Partnerships, conducted a survey of more than 300 higher-education practitioners from around the world. Key findings from the survey include: l Institutions are courting new student populations. Global visibility has become a top priority for colleges and universities, with expansion abroad a key goal for many. Thirty- three percent of the higher-education institutions polled say they are increasing their recruiting of international students, targeting a rapidly growing global middle class. Fifty-one percent of institutions are “strongly to moderately” considering expanding abroad through physical campuses, online presences or other means. That said, competition to recruit and retain top students is heating up worldwide—well-funded institutions in developing nations, especially in Asia, are eager to hold on to their student populations. l Creative financing is needed to balance shrinking budgets. Fifty-one percent of survey respondents say that reduced government subsidies have negatively or somewhat negatively affected their institutions’ financial standing; 40% cite the shrinking availability of research grants. Especially in the US and the UK, sustainability will depend on rigorous cost- cutting in tandem with finding new sources of revenue. Cuts in basic spending remain the first choice for higher-education institutions looking to balance their books, but 30% of respondents also state that partnering with private Executive summary Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 5. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20143 enterprise is one of their top three strategies to counter funding declines. Raising tuition is also a common strategy, but doing so can have negative ramifications for students and schools. l Online learning is the new frontier. Today’s institutions of higher learning have high hopes for technology-based delivery of instruction. Massive open online courses (MOOCs) have both supporters and detractors, but 61% of survey respondents say that they believe online and distance courses will have the greatest effect on how higher education is delivered in the next five years. One in four survey respondents expects online and hybrid courses to attract more students and bring more revenue to their colleges or universities, and digital programmes are allowing students to lower their own costs and shorten time to degree. Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 6. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20144 Introduction Pensacola, Florida has earned a reputation for training US Navy pilots to fly state-of-the-art jets—not so much for launching state-of-the-art academic programmes with a global reach. But as home to the University of West Florida (UWF), Pensacola is right in the thick of global trends sweeping 21st-century higher education. Traditional admission formulae have filled classrooms ever since West Florida began enrolling students in 1963—historically, nine students in ten come from Florida or neighbouring Alabama and Georgia. But today, even a 12,000-student school nestled in the Florida Panhandle must respond to market forces that are reshaping the academic realm. Moreover, its reputation is now compared with those of colleges and universities in the US, Europe and even the developing world. To expand its reach and stay abreast of new trends, the university has launched an “online campus” that offers 30 fully online degree and certificate programmes accessible from anywhere in the world. So it goes in higher education today. Sustainability depends on tailoring business models to the shifting needs of students. To survive, institutions must tap new revenue streams, ease budget pressures and shift reliance away from public or private subsidies, harness Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013 How does your higher-education institution attract students today? (% respondents) Increasing the professional relevance of course offerings Improving the strength of the institution’s reputation/brand Offering opportunities to study abroad Integrating professional work into classes Partnering with industry Providing more tuition subsidies (scholarships, grants, etc) Building online, hybrid, blended and/or flipped classrooms Offering fully online degree programmes 49 42 34 33 28 27 25 16 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 7. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20145 interactive technologies that all students and faculty expect schools to offer, and promote their brands outside the usual markets. The stakes are vital. Economic realities will soon force or have already pushed schools to trim resources even as students expect an upgraded learning experience—these often mutually exclusive objectives are becoming critical. Innovation and upheaval in job markets will continue to influence students’ thinking about careers and thus their decisions about which institution might offer the most career-relevant courses. Rising costs will continue to push tuition rates beyond the reach of many even before an expected uptick in interest rates makes significant college loans a more onerous burden. Shrinking state budgets have already curtailed support for public universities while private universities and colleges are finding that they must scramble harder for every donated dollar. To fulfil their academic missions in challenging conditions, schools will either adapt or perish. New business models go beyond the subjects and practices usually found in brick-and-mortar classrooms. Solutions combine trimming costs, raising schools’ public profiles and deploying new technology. “By making degree programmes in the high-demand fields of nursing and education available online, we are doing just that,” says UWF provost Martha Saunders. Such upheaval prompted The Economist Intelligence Unit to take the pulse of academia in August 2013. Responses to a global survey represent faculty (51%), researchers (28%), administrators (27%) and managers (26%) located in North America (36%), Asia-Pacific (33%) and Western Europe (32%). Results of this survey highlight strategies aimed at keeping colleges and universities viable. The top trend today: increasing the professional relevance of course offerings (49%). Students invest in college to advance careers, and tailoring curriculum boosts their return on investment (ROI)—and incentive to enrol. Some schools (33%) have elected to integrate professional work into classes. Asked whether their schools are strongly, moderately or marginally considering expansion through technical training courses, a clear majority say “yes”. Learning technology has graduated from experimental to fully operational. One in four respondents intends to promote online, hybrid or blended programmes or to offer “flipped classrooms” where students secure remote instruction by watching videos, then attend class to do exercises formerly called “homework”. Meanwhile, 16% of the schools represented now offer degree programmes that are completely online. ❛❛ To fulfil their academic missions in challenging conditions, schools will either adapt or perish. ❜❜ Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 8. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20146 Crossing geographic boundaries 1 Global visibility has become a top priority for many colleges and universities, with expansion abroad a key goal for many. Thirty-three percent of higher- education institutions polled in the EIU survey say they are increasing their recruiting of international students. These institutions are targeting a rapidly growing demographic that is hungry for higher education: a global middle class (those earning from US$10 to US$100 per day) predicted by the Brookings Institute to grow from 1.8bn in 2009 to 4.9bn by 2030, with the bulk of that growth happening in Asia. But many foreign students already study in the US. The 2013 Open Doors Report on International Education Exchange, issued by the Institute of International Education, reports that the number of international students attending colleges and universities in the US increased by 7% in the 2012-13 academic year—to a record 820,000 students.1 Over the past three years, 49% of survey respondents report that the proportion of international students has increased. That figure swells to 57% when looking ahead three years to the change in the proportion of international students. Although more would like to come to the US, capacity is limited and costs are prohibitive. Competition to recruit and retain top students is heating up worldwide, not just at home. Even US institutions with lofty cachet face significant global rivals, warns Andrew J Policano, the Dean’s 1 http://www.iie.org/Who-We-Are/News-and-Events/Press-Center/ Press-Releases/2013/2013-11-11-Open-Doors-Data#.Uuu0rXnl1Fx Leadership Circle Endowed Professor of Economics/ Public Policy at UC Irvine’s The Paul Merage School of Business. “This new global dynamic will be a major influence,” he says. Internships and study abroad programmes, now common, could become even more so. Students may start college at their home university and then embark on a series of specialised learning programmes elsewhere. To keep educationally exploratory students connected to the institutions where they began their studies, some universities are forging alliances with schools in other locations. For instance, in 2012 the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania created an alliance with INSEAD in France that allows MBA and doctoral students to study at either school for periods of time. Convinced that a physical presence would capture tuition dollars overseas, some well-heeled institutions have embarked on aggressive expansion programmes over the past decade; today prominent US universities have outposts from Shanghai to Dubai. Fifty-one percent of surveyed institutions say that they are “moderately considering” establishing an overseas physical site to bolster their international presence. However, newer trends cast doubt on the merits of filling actual classrooms abroad. Rents and salaries, to say nothing of construction costs, make for costly ventures with myriad hurdles and uncertain rewards. For schools with limited resources, low visibility or state funding subject to Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 9. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20147 local taxpayer scrutiny, sending assets overseas is not an attractive or viable option. And in the rush to enrol foreign students, developing nations have entered the fray. Their higher-education institutions combine improving reputations with lower costs because of lower faculty salaries, less expensive real estate and—in contrast with the more-developed world—generous subsidies from regional and national governments eager to hold on to their student populations. For many higher-education institutions, Asia looks like the Promised Land. Three-quarters of surveyed higher-education stakeholders say Asia holds the greatest interest for them as they consider expansion beyond their own geographic borders; 56% of respondents say that the key attraction is the potential for increased revenue. Looking to Asia makes sense. According to the OECD, 66% of the 3.2bn people expected to make up the middle class in 2030 will reside in Asia. Western universities that establish themselves in the region will be able to build their reputations and reap the financial benefits. Asian nations appear to understand this well. Many governments are giving their own universities generous new subsidies—a far cry from the cuts institutions are experiencing in the US and the UK. Arnoud De Meyer, president of Singapore Management University, notes that institutions in Singapore and the rest of the Pacific Rim have benefitted from the region’s economic growth. “In China, governments are heavily investing in new buildings and faculty, improving services for students,” he explains. But Mr De Meyer adds that the generosity will not last forever. In the coming decades, he predicts that many institutions will experience a major funding shift as a large proportion of their population begins to age out of school-going range. By 2050, approximately one out of every four people in China is expected to be older than 65. “We have a relatively young population, but the ageing of the Asian population is happening fast,” says Mr De Meyer. “And I am sure there will be a reduction of resources in education that will go into infrastructure to support the ageing and health costs.” Governments are likely to spend more supporting the post-employed, rather than subsidising training for the new wave. As for now, however, Asia remains a region to contend with. As Mr De Meyer notes, “The commitment in Asia from government is still very strong.” Springtime for Asia ❛❛ [The] new global dynamic will be a major influence ❜❜ Andrew J Policano Professor of Economics/ Public Policy The Paul Merage School of Business, UC Irvine Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 10. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20148 Creative financing 2 Colleges and universities in developed countries are under pressure to find new sources of income in the wake of financial crises. In the US, state governments short of cash have tightened the reins on grants that furnished most academic funding to public institutions. Fifty-one percent of survey respondents say that reduced government subsidies have negatively or somewhat negatively affected their institutions’ financial standing; 40% cite the shrinking availability of research grants. Basic arithmetic underscores the magnitude of financial challenges that arise when governments slash funding. To replace a collective US$100m in operating income lost to budget cuts, universities must secure a US$2bn endowment, says Mr Policano. Such windfalls are unlikely at best. In the private sector, meanwhile, financial gifts from alumni, foundations, corporations and other groups rose less than 1% in the US during 2012 (after inflation), according to data collected by the National Association of College and University Business Officers (NACUBO). In years marked by financial turmoil, financial gifts from private donors slipped. Even if the run-up in stock prices during 2013 fuels generosity, donations may not reach pre-recession levels and will only rise for select academic institutions. With reduced incomes and absent full access to former funding sources, leaner university treasuries cannot afford the same levels of services and staffing—even where endowments provide a cushion. Increased financial constraints have resulted in bigger class sizes (31%), difficulty in attracting top faculty (22%), the loss of academic programmes (22%) and even the elimination of faculty positions (18%). In a bid to support their bottom lines, some universities located near each other have explored sharing resources and facilities. Sustainability will depend on rigorous cost- cutting in tandem with finding new sources of revenue. Toward these ends, nearly two-thirds of the academic institutions polled in our survey indicate that they plan to streamline budgets and look for new revenue streams. Cuts in basic spending remain the first choice for higher-education institutions looking to balance their books, notes Thomas Estermann, director of governance, funding and public policy development for the European University Association (EUA). He has seen institutions cap the number of paid holidays and increase the amount of time faculty and administration must work. Difficult decisions on where to spend or save money will mean tighter scrutiny than before. “Institutions are looking much more closely at their activity portfolios,” says Mr Estermann. Automating roles through technology (37%) leads as a strategy aimed at reducing operational costs. Limited options will compel schools to eliminate courses and programmes (31%) and cut faculty positions (22%). While academic institutions can eliminate programmes deemed ancillary to their primary educational missions, they can trim budgets only so far before they start to imperil their missions. Thirty-two percent of survey respondents are Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 11. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20149 attempting to increase revenue even as they cut costs by raising student tuition. However, doing so tends to invite adverse consequences at all but a handful of colleges and universities with stellar reputations and many more applicants than places—education in developed nations is approaching the limits of what students will pay, says Mr De Meyer. Hardest hit are schools like Sewanee, the University of the South, whose alumni include the Pulitzer Prize-winning biographer and former Newsweek editor Jon Meacham. In 2011 Sewanee cut its tuition by 10% after students Sewanee had hoped to enrol chose to attend less-expensive schools. Tuition deflation is possible, even probable— many schools’ discount strategies have used grants intended for academic initiatives to subsidise tuitions. Unbeknownst to parents footing the full bill for their children attending college, the average tuition discount has climbed six years in a row to 45% of cost.1 1 http://www.nacubo.org/Business_Officer_Magazine/Magazine_ Archives/June_2013/Demand_Drives_Discount_Rates.html Universities are reaching out to the private sector as well. Sponsored research agreements (SRA), where private sources underwrite research at universities, boost revenue at Stanford University, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and other pre-eminent US research institutions. Universities in Europe and Asia are also eyeing private sources, as well as competitive grants and contracts from businesses and industry. Trinity University in Dublin has aligned itself with developers and England’s University of Loughborough now rents out its world-class sports facilities to private organisations. With or without strings attached, forming partnerships with special interests can impinge on cherished academic freedoms. In the eyes of some observers, the Florida State University tarnished the integrity of its economics department when, in exchange for a US$6.5m cash contribution, it surrendered veto power over two tenured posts and the right to shut down unacceptable programmes to a politically motivated foundation. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013 What are your top three strategies to offset declining revenues and/or public subsidies? (% respondents) Reducing non-instruction-related operating costs (eg, facilities and maintenance, administration) Increasing student tuition Adding online courses Partnering with private industry Increasing appeal to international students Fundraising/attempting to increase endowments Increasing enrolment of non-traditional and part-time students Increasing enrolment of traditional, non-international students Reducing instruction-related operating costs (eg, faculty benefits) We have not been affected by declining public subsidies 38 32 30 30 30 29 20 16 16 9 ❛❛ Institutions are looking much more closely at their activity portfolios. ❜❜ Thomas Estermann Director of governance, funding and public policy development European University Association Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 12. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201410 The popularity of massive open online courses, or MOOCs, looks to many universities like a mixed blessing. They are free and available to anyone with no need for lecture halls, textbooks or teaching assistants. Fans applaud MOOCs for those reasons, while critics fear a weakening or watering down of education after centuries of progress and question the long-term economic sustainability of the new model. Nevertheless, today’s institutions of higher learning have high hopes for technology-based delivery of instruction. While administrators and board members at some schools debate whether to test the waters with one or two courses, the roster of schools offering broad portfolios of online degree or certificate programmes is growing. One in four administrators surveyed by the EIU expects online and hybrid courses to attract more students and bring more revenue to their colleges or universities. More than six in ten say that online learning tools will help them broaden their mission in education, reach more students and expand globally. And, because virtual courses may also reduce the costs associated with offering on-site classes, they may become another means of balancing budgets. An online subsidiary of Cornell University, eCornell exemplifies this expansion into the digital domain. It lists more than 30 professional online certificate programmes in disciplines ranging from management and supervisory skills to project leadership and systems design. Similarly, Georgia The digital domain 3 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, September 2013 What are your higher-education institution’s three main areas of focus over the next five years? (% respondents) Integrating online learning tools into degree programmes Competing internationally Increasing post-secondary enrolment Aligning programmes with workforce needs Providing greater access to non-traditional students Expanding footprint to other countries Reducing administration costs Lowering or stabilising tuition costs 39 37 36 35 30 29 25 15 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 13. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201411 Tech Professional Education Online targets working professionals. Online courses lower or eliminate travel costs, fit learning to individual schedules, budgets and pace of knowledge acquisition, and advance careers without interrupting them. Students can also earn full undergraduate and graduate degrees online. The University of Texas at Arlington offers a Bachelor of Science degree in nursing as part of the offerings of the largest college of nursing among public universities in the US driven primarily by online programmes. The university also offers online bachelors’ and masters’ degree programmes in other areas, including education and public policy. A singular benefit of online learning is the time required to earn degrees. Full-time students or busy working adults eager to finish online academic programmes do not have to wait for requisite courses to come around again in autumn or spring semesters. Frequent cycles permit students to take the courses necessary to earn all the credits they need when they need them. Shorter roads to diplomas and certificates allow students to begin or advance their careers sooner, a substantial economic benefit that pays off over the course of a career. “Technology will allow more students to get an education, but now they may be able to do so in three years instead of four,” says UC Irvine’s Mr Policano. “This could ease the cost for some students.” Students born into the digital era, aka “digital natives”, unlike baby boomers, will streamline and individualise online college instruction, says Arthur Levine, head of the Woodrow Wilson National Fellowship Foundation. “Digital media is personalising,” says Mr Levine. “I can give you what you need and tie it to your personal style.” According to this blueprint, online courses would emphasise useful, pertinent information over the focus on abstract knowledge that is a hallmark of traditional education. Says Mr Levine: “A professor can be an avatar in your living room.” The Georgia Institute of Technology is an example of the new frontier for advanced degree programmes that require only virtual attendance. Past experience with individual online courses in computer science convinced Georgia Tech educators and administrators to confer an online master’s degree. “It’s not an accident that we presented this option,” says Dr Rafael Bras, Georgia Tech’s provost. “I want to make sure this is done right, and frankly make sure the clientele is there.” Online students can earn Georgia Tech credentials at a significant discount. At US$6,600, the online programme is one-sixth as expensive as the current on-campus degree. Students will take all 12 required courses through MOOCs, but will not need to visit the Atlanta campus during the two to three years typically required to complete a degree. Today, the school is able to accept fewer than 200 of the approximately 1,400 who apply each year for the residential degree. The school hopes to attract—and enrol—thousands more. In view of its substantial investment in launching the online degree programme, Georgia Tech is hedging expectations on the outcome. “It’s definitely a numbers game for us,” Dr Bras says. Methods and technologies that take root will guide other departments. If successful, added revenues would offset pressure to raise tuition or build facilities to house more students. No one imagines moving the entire school online or even offering a full roster of undergraduate degrees, but the school plans to add Internet-based master’s programmes and prerequisites as time goes on. The tools and technologies that “take” will be seeded throughout an undergraduate’s residential tenure. “If, through blended courses and inverted courses, I manage to eliminate 500-large lecture halls, I’ll be a happy man—because I think that will be a better education,” says Dr Bras. “We can increase opportunity, open up to new audiences, increase efficiency and get better outcomes. That’s certainly why we are [doing] it.” Georgia Tech’s experiment Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 14. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201412 Mr Levine and some of his peers assign MOOCs a historic place in the progress of online earning. “We know they are the prototype of this development,” Mr Levine says. These observers welcome massive open online courses that—at the very least—stir up interest in technology-based learning at water coolers, cocktail receptions and dinner tables. Not everyone considers MOOCs to be benign. Critics worry that casual college courses could water down rigorous academic pursuits and divert serious students from pursuing a real education. The University of Pennsylvania Graduate School of Education probed MOOC popularity for signs of its impact. Researchers analysed the study habits of 1m students who signed up for MOOC courses over 12 months through June 2013. Data gave support to the doubters. “Massive open online courses have relatively few active users,” the authors reported. Furthermore, they found that user engagement seldom persists beyond the first two weeks, with “few users” getting all the way to the end. Transition to online learning in any venue comes naturally to college students today, says Mr Policano. As students enter the workforce in greater numbers, a growing population of young professionals will appreciate online learning that bestows recognition identical to diplomas or degrees earned on a campus. What is more, they will welcome the chance to forgo impersonal classes taught in packed lecture halls. “When I was in college I remember sitting in the back of a 500-person room,” says Mr Policano. “The reality is that we have a whole new generation much more in tune with self-directed, digital education. They can find information much more quickly and they are much more accepting of online courses. There will be a very big demand for them.” The optimism is palpable: 61% of survey respondents say that they believe online and distance courses will have the greatest effect on how higher education is delivered in the next five years. “Does this mean that the physical campuses disappear?” Mr Levine asks. “No. When we moved to public schools, Andover and Exeter didn’t disappear. We’re going to have colleges that are still there. Education is going to be more interactive and personal than it’s ever been.” ❛❛ Education is going to be more interactive and personal than it’s ever been. ❜❜ Arthur Levine President, Woodrow Wilson Foundation Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 15. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201413 The world of higher education will need to reassess priorities as its “customers”—its students—demand changes in the accessibility of higher learning. Today, a profound disconnect separates the needs of students and the models of higher education that prevailed in the 20th century. Four years of two semesters divided by summers do not fit the requirements of a growing number of global students eager to gain footholds in the real world and their careers. In addition, a world gone mobile has extended to education. Virtual proximity to far-off places shrinks physical distance; students can take classes wherever they have access to the Internet. Student preferences are not the only factor challenging conventional models of post- secondary education. A new economic environment has disrupted old practices. Tuition is approaching a ceiling just as government and private funding sources pull back, and, though rising affluence in developing countries fuels a growing demand for education, the competition for these new students is intensifying. However, technology is altering the playing field. Deployed properly in the right circumstances, online learning can help colleges and universities stay relevant in an increasingly technology-based world, expand their markets globally and streamline business models without building new classrooms and dormitories. Moving forward, sustaining a robust higher- education institution will require a new outlook: fresh sources of revenue, improved cost management, innovative means of delivering higher education and an increased understanding of students’ new needs. A changing landscape will require higher-education institutions to adapt to stay competitive and to fulfil the mission for which they were founded. Conclusion: new avenues await 4 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 16. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201414 Appendix: survey results Percentages may not add to 100% owing to rounding or the ability of respondents to choose multiple responses. What are your higher-education institution’s main areas of focus over the next five years? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Integrating online learning tools into degree programmes Competing internationally Increasing post-secondary enrolment Aligning programmes with workforce needs Providing greater access to non-traditional students Expanding footprint to other countries Reducing administration costs Lowering or stabilising tuition costs Other Don’t know/Not applicable 39 37 36 35 30 29 25 15 5 6 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 17. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201415 How does your higher-education institution attract students today? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Increasing the professional relevance of course offerings Improving the strength of the institution’s reputation/brand Offering opportunities to study abroad Integrating professional work into classes Partnering with industry Providing more tuition subsidies (scholarships, grants, etc) Building online, hybrid, blended and/or flipped classrooms Offering fully online degree programmes None of the above Don’t know 49 42 34 33 28 27 25 16 1 3 How does your higher-education institution plan to attract students five years from now? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Building online, hybrid, blended and/or flipped classrooms Improving the strength of the institution’s reputation/brand Integrating professional work into classes Increasing the professional relevance of course offerings Offering opportunities to study abroad Partnering with industry Offering fully online degree programmes Providing more tuition subsidies (scholarships, grants, etc) None of the above Don’t know 37 33 32 30 30 26 26 22 1 5 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 18. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201416 Strong effect Moderate effect Minimal effect No effect at all Don’t know/ Not applicable Partnerships with private industry Government subsidies Research grants Tuition Fees Philanthropic contributions To what extent do you believe that each of the following factors affects your higher-education institution’s budgetary strategy? Please select a response in each row. (% respondents) 27 38 25 4 5 42 29 17 7 5 37 27 24 7 5 52 33 9 3 2 41 37 16 3 3 21 36 26 9 8 Very positive impact Somewhat positive impact Somewhat negative impact Very negative impact Partnerships with private industry Government subsidies Research grants Tuition Fees Philanthropic contributions How do you believe these factors will affect your institution’s financial well-being overall over the next five years? Please select a response in each row. (% respondents) 39 56 5 37 42 18 3 41 47 11 1 44 41 13 2 39 45 14 3 29 65 6 1 Why is your higher-education institution partnering, or seeking to partner, with private industry? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Increase funding and endowments Encourage research Offer more degrees aligned with needs in the workforce Grow the institution’s reputation/brand Attract adjunct faculty with real-world experience Offer professional internships Broaden programme offerings Other Don’t know 47 39 39 39 33 28 27 1 2 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 19. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201417 Very positively Somewhat positively No effect Somewhat negatively Very negatively Don’t know/ Not applicable Reduction in government subsidies Growth of competitive online education offerings (MOOCs, free courses, etc) Increase in tuition costs Reduction in enrolment Rising internal costs Decrease in availability of research grants Decrease in gifts and endowments Change in performance of investments How have the following factors affected your institution’s financial position over the last two years? Please select a response in each row. (% respondents) 8 10 23 31 20 9 9 19 43 19 2 9 9 26 24 29 7 6 6 11 34 24 12 14 7 14 22 43 7 6 5 11 29 33 7 15 3 10 40 22 6 18 5 16 32 22 5 21 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement: ‘Cuts in government subsidies have driven my institution to look for additional revenue streams’? (% respondents) Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Not applicable/Our public subsidies have not been cut 28 37 17 7 4 8 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 20. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201418 What are your top strategies to offset declining revenues and/or public subsidies? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Reducing non-instruction-related operating costs (eg, facilities and maintenance, administration) Increasing student tuition Adding online courses Partnering with private industry Increasing appeal to international students Fundraising/Attempting to increase endowments Increasing enrolment of non-traditional and part-time students Increasing enrolment of traditional, non-international students Reducing instruction-related operating costs (eg, faculty benefits) We have not been affected by declining public subsidies Other Don’t know/Not applicable 38 32 30 30 30 29 20 16 16 9 1 4 What are your top strategies to reduce operational costs? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Automating roles through technology Eliminating courses and programmes Cutting faculty positions Reducing community outreach (eg, opening facilities for public use, providing cultural enrichment activities, making financial contributions, etc) Reducing student services Closing extension campuses Closing campus facilities (eg, laboratories, cafeterias, dormitories, etc) We have not needed to reduce operational costs Other Don’t know/Not applicable 37 31 22 14 14 13 10 23 7 10 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 21. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201419 What main effects have financial constraints had on your institution, if any? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Made it necessary to increase class size Made it necessary to eliminate non-academic positions Forced the loss of academic programmes Made it more difficult to attract top faculty Forced the institution to defer expansion plans Made it necessary to eliminate faculty positions Made it more difficult to attract post-doctoral students Made it more difficult to attract endowments Other Don’t know Financial limitations have not had any effect on our institution 31 30 22 22 21 18 14 8 2 9 16 How has the composition of traditional, non-international students changed over the past three years? (% respondents) Proportion of traditional, non-international students has increased Proportion of traditional, non-international students has decreased Proportion of traditional, non-international students has not changed 37 27 37 How do you expect the composition of traditional, non-international students to change in the next three years? (% respondents) Proportion of traditional, non-international students will increase Proportion of traditional, non-international students will decrease Proportion of traditional, non-international students will not change 42 27 31 How has the composition of non-traditional and part-time students changed over the past three years? (% respondents) Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has increased Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has decreased Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students has not changed 39 19 42 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 22. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201420 How do you expect the composition of non-traditional and part-time students to change in the next three years? (% respondents) Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will increase Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will decrease Proportion of non-traditional and part-time students will not change 46 19 34 How has the composition of international students changed over the past three years? (% respondents) Proportion of international students has increased Proportion of international students has decreased Proportion of international students has not changed 49 17 34 How do you expect the composition of international students to change in the next three years? (% respondents) Proportion of international students will increase Proportion of international students will decrease Proportion of international students will not change 57 15 29 To what extent have concerns about the employment prospects of graduates from your institution affected your administration’s setting of tuition fees? (% respondents) Strongly affected Moderately affected Minimally affected Not affected at all Don’t know 8 25 25 31 11 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 23. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201421 How has your institution modified its setting of tuition fees, if at all? Of respondents whose institutions have already instituted changes in the setting of fees: Select all that apply. (% respondents) Increased overall tuition costs Provided more tuition assistance (grants, scholarships, etc) Changed tuition fee structure (eg, tuition per class, per degree, including/not including facilities, etc) Changed the terms of tuition payment (eg, loan forgiveness programmes, personalised repayment schedules, etc) Lowered overall tuition costs Other Have made no changes to tuition fees 57 40 33 28 18 5 11 How has your institution modified its setting of tuition fees, if at all? Of respondents whose institutions plan to institute changes in the setting of fees in the next 1-3 years: Select all that apply. (% respondents) Increased overall tuition costs Changed the terms of tuition payment (eg, loan forgiveness programmes, personalised repayment schedules, etc) Changed tuition fee structure (eg, tuition per class, per degree, including/not including facilities, etc) Lowered overall tuition costs Provided more tuition assistance (grants, scholarships, etc) Other Have made no changes to tuition fees 32 29 26 25 24 3 10 Is your institution offering more personalised degree tracks and coursework than it was three years ago? (% respondents) Yes No Don’t know 39 44 17 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 24. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201422 Is your institution considering an expansion through technical training courses? (% respondents) Strongly considering Moderately considering Marginally considering Not considering at all Don’t know 16 26 19 25 14 Does your institution offer credit to previous outside experience before college, or from the workplace? (% respondents) Yes No Don’t know 46 40 14 If not, how much are you considering offering credit to outside experience? (% respondents) Strongly considering Moderately considering Marginally considering Not considering at all Don’t know 3 16 15 60 6 What are your top strategies to offset declining student enrolment? Please select top three. (% respondents) Adding online courses and degree programmes Directing recruitment effort towards international students Directing recruitment effort towards non-traditional and part-time students Directing recruitment effort towards traditional, non-international students Adding technical degree programmes We are not experiencing declining student enrolment Other Don’t know/Not applicable 34 33 32 24 18 30 3 8 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 25. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201423 Which technologies do you believe will have the greatest effect on how higher education is delivered in the next five years? Please select up to three. (% respondents) Distance and online courses Hybrid in-person/online learning (eg, MOOCs, online course with in-person sections) Mobile devices in classes E-textbooks Interactive teaching methods/Gamification Learning analytics (eg, tracking student behaviour with reading materials, ie, time spent on a page, or retention of information) 3D printing (eg, printing ancient artefacts for art history, print physical model of chemical structure) Wearable technology (eg, sensors that track student attendance to seminars, detect overexposure to elements in a chemistry lab) Other Don’t know 61 39 38 36 30 22 10 7 1 4 Yes, for some disciplines Yes, for all disciplines No, but we are considering this for some disciplines No, but we are considering this for all disciplines No, and we are not considering it Don’t know Degrees earned online Certifications earned online Do you have degrees or certifications available online? Please select one in each row. (% respondents) 21 9 21 7 34 8 24 8 21 6 32 10 Is your institution adapting any of its current courses or degree programmes to offer them online? (% respondents) Yes No Don’t know 51 36 12 How many courses is your institution adapting to deliver online? (% respondents) High percentage Moderate percentage Low percentage Don’t know 19 37 35 9 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 26. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201424 How many degree programmes is your institution adapting to deliver online? (% respondents) High percentage Moderate percentage Low percentage Don’t know 17 36 34 13 Is your institution increasing its budget for online learning in the next 12 months? (% respondents) Yes No Don’t know 40 35 25 Is your institution looking to expand its footprint into other countries? (eg, physical campuses, online presence, recruiting internationally) (% respondents) Strongly considering Moderately considering Marginally considering Not considering at all Don’t know 20 31 15 25 10 What are your main motivating factors for expanding into other countries? Please select up to two. (% respondents) Widening institution’s profile internationally Raising revenue Increasing research opportunities Fostering student exchange Building alumni network Expanding course offerings Other Don’t know 61 56 21 19 11 10 3 2 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 27. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201425 Which regions are of greatest interest when considering international expansion? Please select up to two. (% respondents) Asia-Pacific/Japan Middle East and Africa North America Latin America Eastern Europe Western Europe 74 35 21 13 13 8 US UK Singapore Australia India, Philippines, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea Vietnam In which country are you personally located? (% respondents) 36 32 5 4 3 1 North America Asia-Pacific Western Europe Latin America Eastern Europe Middle East and Africa In which region are you personally located? (% respondents) 36 33 32 0 0 0 Professor Instructor/Lecturer (non-tenure track) Department head Dean Department director Department manager Assistant/Associate professor (tenure track) Adjunct faculty President Librarian Teaching assistant Chancellor Board member Rector Provost Other Which of the following best describes your job title? (% respondents) 16 13 13 10 9 9 8 8 4 3 3 2 1 1 0 2 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 28. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201426 Teaching/Faculty Research Administrative Management Curriculum Student services Strategy and business development Admissions Financial management Marketing/Public relations IT Investment Legal Other What are your main functional roles? Select up to three. (% respondents) 51 28 27 26 22 14 10 7 6 6 5 2 2 7 Public, non-profit institution Private, non-profit institution For-profit institution Other Which of the following best describes your institution? (% respondents) 52 33 12 2 Small two-year (fewer than 2,000 full-time students attend this institution) Medium two-year (2,000-5,000 full-time students attend this institution) Large two-year (more than 5,000 full-time students attend this institution) Small four-year (fewer than 3,000 full-time students attend this institution) Medium four-year (3,000-10,000 full-time students attend this institution) Large four-year (more than 10,000 full-time students attend this institution) Which of the following best describes the size of your higher-education institution? Please select one. (% respondents) 17 14 9 6 18 35 Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
  • 29. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201427 Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this white paper or any of the information, opinions or conclusions set out in the white paper. Higher education in the 21st century: Meeting real-world demands
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