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MIDYEAR 2012:
Office – CBD/Suburban Divide
Industrial – Going Strong
Chicago Economic, Office & Industrial   August 2nd 2012
Market Overview
Presenters
Cushman &
                                                                    Wakefield
                                                                     Research




AGENDA


   2012 NATIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK - KEN McCARTHY

   2012 CHICAGO REGION ECONOMIC OUTLOOK - KEN McCARTHY

   NATIONAL OFFICE MARKETS – MARIA SICOLA

   NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL MARKETS – MARIA SICOLA

   CHICAGO OFFICE MARKETS – SIMONE SCHUPPAN

   CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL MARKET – AMANDA ORTIZ

   Q&A




                                                         CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    3
NATIONAL AND CHICAGO ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
Cushman &
                                                                                                           Wakefield
OVERVIEW                                                                                                    Research




2012: The year of government deleveraging

■ Reasons for Optimism
     – Business, households, investors still cautious, but balance sheets continue to improve
     – Labor market fundamentals getting healthier
     – Tech, Tech, Tech

■ Reasons for Concern
     –   Uncertainty about taxes, regulations, financial, political, oil prices, Europe/U.S.
     –   Election uncertainty
     –   Fiscal Cliff
     –   Business and Consumer confidence flagging
     –   Europe

■ Real Estate Impact
     –   Cautious users
     –   Risk Averse
     –   Tech impacted markets among the best
     –   Full recovery occurs in 2013
     –   Supply remains constrained in most markets

■ Chi
  Chicago O tl k
          Outlook
     – Employment slow to recover
     – Industrial fundamentals healthier
                                                                                                CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    5
Cushman &
                                                                                                                      Wakefield
                   U.S. GDP GROWTH IN RECOVERIES                                                                       Research




                                                                                                                       +14.0%
             114

             112

             110                                                                                                           +9.4%
     h=100
Trough




             108

             106
                                                                                                                            +6.7%

             104

             102

             100
                         1          2          3          4   5       6        7         8    9       10      11      12          13
                       Average Recovery (8 previous)          Average Recovery (2 previous)       2009 Recovery




                   Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

                                                                                                           CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD         6
Cushman &
                                                                                                            Wakefield
                           U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE                                                            Research




                         11.0%

                         10.0%

                          9.0%
                   rce
Percent of Labor For




                          8.0%

                          7.0%
      t




                          6.0%

                          5.0%

                          4.0%
                          4 0%

                          3.0%
                              1990   1992   1994   1996   1998   2000   2002   2004   2006   2008    2010       2012




                                                                                               CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      7
Cushman &
                        U.S. PRIVATE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT GROWTH                                                                       Wakefield
                                                                                                                                     Research

                        Monthly Average-Preceding Three Months



                       250

                                                                                                                        225.7
                       200                                                          212.3
                                                                                                               183.7
                       150                                                                   158.0
                                                                           156.7
                                                                                                      147.7
Thousands of Persons




                       100                              123.0
                                                                  111.7

                                                                                                                                  75.0
                        50

                                             24.7
                         0


                         50
                        -50


                       -100
                               -131.3

                       -150
                        150
                               Dec-09      Mar-10       Jun-10    Sep-10   Dec-10   Mar-11   Jun-11   Sep-11   Dec-11   Mar-12   Jun-12

                        Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
                                                                                                                         CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    8
Cushman &

  U.S. WEEKLY UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS
                                                                                                                     Wakefield
                                                                                                                      Research




650,000

600,000

550,000

500,000

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000
          2002      2003         2004           2005    2006   2007          2008    2009   2010           2011     2012

                                  National Recessions          Unemployment Claims          Healthy Labor Market




  Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

                                                                                                          CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    9
Cushman &

                        EMPLOYMENT CHANGE SINCE FEBRUARY 2010                                                                  Wakefield
                                                                                                                                Research

                        By Industry Sector



                   1,450           1,353         1,324                                    Total Increase: +3.8 mil.
                                                                                          Private Sector: +4.4 mil.
                                                                                          Pi t S           4 4 il
                   1,250
                   1,050                                          900
              ersons




                       850
                                                                        669
                       650
 housands of Pe




                                                                              500
                       450                                                          353
                                                                                              236
                       250
                                                                                                             77
                         50
Th




                       -150
                                                                                                                        -106
                       -350
                       -550
                                                                                                                                    -528
                                                                                                                                     528




                        Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

                                                                                                                  CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      10
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                                                     Wakefield
    JOBS RECOVERED SINCE TROUGH                                                                                                                                                       Research

    As a Percent of Jobs Lost




160.0%
160 0%

140.0%
          150.9%

                   131.6%




120.0%
                             30.3%
                            13




100.0%
100 0%
                                     91.2%




80.0%
                                             87.4%

                                                     71.6%



60.0%
                                                             70.5%

                                                                     59.1%

                                                                             55.6%

                                                                                     54.1%
                                                                                         %
                                                             7




                                                                                             51.3%
                                                                                                 %
40.0%




                                                                                                     50.5%
                                                                                                         %



                                                                                                                     44.0%
                                                                                                             46.2%



                                                                                                                             41.8%

                                                                                                                                     39.9%

                                                                                                                                             38.9%



                                                                                                                                                             31.9%
                                                                                                                                                     34.6%




                                                                                                                                                                                             19.3%
                                                                                                                                                                     29.1%

                                                                                                                                                                             27.3%

                                                                                                                                                                                     25.1%
20.0%

  0.0%




    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

                                                                                                                                                                CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD                  11
Cushman &
                                                                                                                         Wakefield
                     INDUSTRIAL DRIVERS                                                                                   Research

                     Manufacturers’ Shipments



                    475,000




                    425,000
Millio of Dollars




                    375,000
     ons




                    325,000




                    275,000
                              1995      1997        1999        2001         2003        2005       2007   2009      2011


                                                            National Recessions           Mfg Shipments

                     Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services                        CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    12
Cushman &

            TRUCK TONNAGE INDEX                                                                                       Wakefield
                                                                                                                       Research




           125


           120


           115


           110


           105
2000=100




           100


            95


            90


            85


            80


            75
                 1995      1997         1999         2001         2003         2005        2007   2009         2011


                                                 National Recessions            Truck Tonnage


            Source: American Trucking Association, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services                 CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      13
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                     Wakefield
                       U.S. IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF GOODS                                                                              Research

                       Excluding Bulk Items



                    190,000




                    170,000




                    150,000
Millio of Dollars




                    130,000
     ons




                    110,000




                     90,000




                     70,000
                              1995    1997         1999        2001         2003         2005         2007       2009         2011


                                                          National Recessions             Exports Plus Imports

                     Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services                                  CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      14
Cushman &
                                                                                                                  Wakefield
   ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & FORECAST                                                                                    Research

   Payroll Employment Chicago versus U.S.


138,000
                                                                                                                    3,925
137,000
137 000

136,000                                                                                                             3,875

135,000
                                                                                                                    3,825
                                                                                                                    3 825
134,000
                                                                                                                    3,775
133,000

132,000                                                                                                             3,725

131,000
                                                                                                                    3,675
130,000
130 000
                                 US          Chicago                                                                3,625
129,000          12/07-2/10      -6.3%        -7.3%
                 2/10-6/12       +3.0%       +2.4%
128,000                                                                                                             3,575
          2000    2001    2002     2003      2004     2005       2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012
                                             U.S. (Left Scale)                   Chicago

   Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics                                                           CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      15
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                  Wakefield
         EMPLOYMENT STRUCTURE                                                                                                      Research

         U.S. versus Chicago
                                             Natural Resources
                     Information
U.S.                     2%
                                                    1%
          Construction
              4%                                                    Trade; Transport;
              Financial                                                 Utilities
                 6%                                                       20%


  Manufacturing
      9%
                                                                 Government
                                                                    17%
         Leisure and
         Hospitality
            11%                                                                                   Construction   Information
                                                                                        Financial     3%             2%
                                                   Education and                           7%
             Professional and
            Business Services                     Health Services
                                                  H lhS                                                                                    Trade;
                  14%                                  16%                                                                               Transport;
                                                                       Manufacturing                                                      Utilities
                                                                           9%                                                               21%


                                                                                                                                       Professional
                                                                       Leisure and                                                    and Business
                                                                       Hospitality                                                      Services
                                                                          10%                                                             18%



                                                     Chicago                                                                    Education and
                                                                            Government                                         Health Services
                                                                               14%                                                  16%
        Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
                                                                                                                   CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD           16
Cushman &
 ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & FORECAST                                           Wakefield
                                                                         Research
 Jobs Recovered Since February 2010
 As a Percent of Jobs Lost
                 J




50.0%

45.0%                                      44.0%

40.0%

35.0%
35 0%                                               31.9%
                                                    31 9%
30.0%

25.0%

20.0%

15.0%

10.0%

5.0%

0.0%

                                            U.S.
                                            US     Chicago
 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

                                                             CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    17
Cushman &
                                                                                           Wakefield
CHICAGO EMPLOYMENT CHANGE                                                                   Research

Since February 2010 , by Industry Sector


                       75                                Total Increase: +92,400
                       65                                Private Sector: +112 400
                                                         Pi t S          +112,400
                             57
                       55         47
Thousands of Persons




                       45
                       35                 27
             P




                       25                      21
                                                    16
                       15                                    8          8
                        5
T




                        -5                                                          0      -3
                       -15                                                                             -7
                       -25




Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics                                         CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    18
Cushman &
                                                                                           Wakefield
        EMPLOYMENT FORECAST                                                                 Research

        Payroll Employment Forecast: Chicago

4,000

3,950
                                                                     Full
3,900                                                                recovery
                                                                     Q4-15

3,850

3,800

3,750

3,700
3 700

3,650

3,600

3,550

3,500




        Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody’s Analytics              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    19
Cushman &

            MIDWEST MANUFACTURING INDEX                                                                                    Wakefield
                                                                                                                            Research




           115


           110


           105


           100


            95
2007=100




            90


            85


            80


            75


            70


            65
                 1995      1997         1999          2001        2003          2005        2007       2009         2011


                                            National Recessions          Midwest Manufacturing Index

            Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
                                                                                                              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      20
U.S. OFFICE MARKET
Cushman &

    U.S. OFFICE MARKET                                                                  Wakefield
                                                                                         Research




   Leasing activity totaled 29.8 msf in the CBDs; down 29% from 2q 2011


   Suburban leasing was up marginally – by 3msf – to 61.7 msf


   San Francisco and New York remain strong especially in comparison to other markets


   Positive absorption in both CBD and suburban markets


   Rental increases are submarket and asset driven


   Oversupply is not the issue; the issue remains uncertainty in the global economy


   Investment activity remains extremely weak with exception of core and trophy assets but real
    estate remains attractive with low Treasury bond yields and volatile stock market

                                                                             CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    22
Cushman &

                         NATIONAL OFFICE                                                                   Wakefield
                                                                                                            Research
                         CBD & Suburban Leasing Activity



                       200

                       180

                       160

                       140
                  et
Millions Square Fee




                       120

                       100

                        80

                        60

                        40

                        20

                         0
                             1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12


                                                               CBD   Suburban




                         Source: Cushman & Wakefield                                            CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    23
Cushman &

                         NATIONAL OFFICE                                                                   Wakefield
                                                                                                            Research
                         CBD & Suburban Overall Absorption



                       100


                        80


                        60
                  et
Millions Square Fee




                        40


                        20


                         0


                       -20


                       -40
                             1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12


                                                               CBD   Suburban




                         Source: Cushman & Wakefield                                            CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    24
Cushman &
                                                                                                          Wakefield
                        NATIONAL OFFICE                                                                    Research

                        Sublease Availabilities


                       90

                       80

                       70

                       60
                  et
Millions Square Fee




                       50

                       40

                       30

                       20

                       10

                        0
                            1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12


                                                              CBD   Suburban




                        Source: Cushman & Wakefield                                            CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    25
NATIONAL OFFICE                                                                         Cushman &
                                                                                        Wakefield
Construction Completions vs. Overall Vacancy Rates                                       Research




120                                                                                           24.0%


                                                                                              22.0%
100
                                                                                              20.0%


80                                                                                            18.0%


                                                                                              16.0%
60
                                                                                              14.0%


40                                                                                            12.0%


                                                                                              10.0%
20
                                                                                              8.0%


 0                                                                                            6.0%



       CBD Completions          Suburban Completions   CBD Vacancy Rate   Suburban Vacancy


  Source: Cushman & Wakefield                                              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD        26
U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKET
Cushman &

                      U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS                                                                                          Wakefield
                                                                                                                                        Research

                      Industrial Overall Leasing Activity



                       400


                       350


                       300
million square feet
               f




                       250


                       200
                                                                     354.5




                                                                                     326.
                                                                             322.2
                                                             316




                                                                                                                      306.4
                                         282.9
                                         2




                                                               6.6




                       150




                                                                                             278.8
                                                                                             2
                                                   277.9
                                                   2
                                277.3
                                2




                                                                                        .2




                                                                                                             268.8
                                                                                                     230.8
                       100




                                                                                                                               152.8
                        50


                         0
                               2001     2002      2003       2004    2005    2006    2007    2008    2009    2010    2011     YTD12




                      *Data as of Second Quarter 2012
                      Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
                                                                                                                     CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD           28
Cushman &
                                                                                                                       Wakefield
                         U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS                                                                        Research

                         Overall Absorption



                      200


                      150
million square feet




                      100
               f




                                                             146.0



                                                                     111.9



                                                                             94.4




                                                                                                           94.4
                       50
                                           14.2



                                                      75.9




                                                                                                    13.1
                                                                                    -6.4




                                                                                                                    39.7
                        0
                                -48.9




                       -50




                                                                                           -125.1
                      -100
                       100


                      -150
                               2002       2003       2004    2005    2006    2007   2008   2009     2010   2011   YTD12




                        *Data as of Second Quarter 2012
                        Source: Cushman & Wakefield
                                                                                                           CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD     29
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                         Wakefield
                       U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS                                                                                            Research

                       Construction Completions versus Overall Vacancy Rates



                                                                                                                                             14.0%
                      145.0
                      145 0

                                                                                                                                             12.0%
                      125.0
million square feet




                                                                                                                                             10.0%
                      105.0
                      105 0
               f




                                                                                                                                                     vacancy
                                                                                                                                             8.0%
                       85.0


                       65.0
                       65 0                                                                                                                  6.0%



                       45.0                                                                                                                  4.0%



                       25.0
                       25 0                                                                                                                  2.0%


                        5.0                                                                                                                  0.0%
                              96     97     98     99    00    01   02    03       04   05    06     07        08   09   10     11   YTD12

                                                                New Construction        Overall Vacancy Rate


                        *Data as of Second Quarter 2012
                        Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
                                                                                                                              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD         30
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                                    Wakefield
         U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS                                                                                                                                     Research

         Warehouse Overall Vacancy Rates vs. Rental Rates



        $7.00                                                                                                                                                         14.0%
                                 $6.51
                         $6.50




                                         $6.45
                 $6.44




        $6.00                                                                                                                                                         12.0%


                                                 $6.17

                                                         $5.89
        $5.00                                                                                                                                                         10.0%




                                                                  $4.96

                                                                          $4.84

                                                                                  $4.70




                                                                                                                                                            $4.64




                                                                                                                                                                                vacancy
                                                                                          $4.62




                                                                                                                                                    $4.62
                                                                                                          $4.61




                                                                                                                                  $4.59

                                                                                                                                          $4.58
                                                                                                  $4.57




                                                                                                                          $4.57
                                                                                                                  $4.56
$/psf




        $4.00                                                                                                                                                         8.0%


        $
        $3.00                                                                                                                                                         6.0%


        $2.00                                                                                                                                                         4.0%


        $1.00                                                                                                                                                         2.0%


        $0.00                                                                                                                                                         0.0%
                1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12

                                                                 Rental Rates
                                                                 R t lR t                  Overall V
                                                                                           O    ll Vacancy R t
                                                                                                           Rate

           *Data as of Second Quarter 2012
           Source: Cushman & Wakefield
                                                                                                                                                  CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD                31
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                         Wakefield
U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS                                                                                                                   Research

Warehouse/Distribution Cycle




                                                                                                                                                        ORABLE
       Slow Growth                                                                                                Accelerating




                                                                                                                                            LANDLORD FAVO
                                                                                        Palm Beach, FL


                                                             Chicago, Houston, Inland Empire




                                                                                                                                            LTENANT FAVORABLE
                                                                                                  Baltimore, Long Island NY,
                                                                                               PA I-81/I-78 Corridor, Orange County
                                                                                             Philadelphia, Silicon Valley, Seattle
                                                                                        Denver, Greater LA
                                   Sacramento                                        Atlanta, Dallas, Miami
                                                                                Ft. Lauderdale, Portland, New Jersey
                      Central Valley CA, Suburban MD
                                                                          Minneapolis, Orlando, Phoenix, Tampa
                                                                               eapo s, O a do         oe , a pa




                                                                                                                                                  T
                                                                      Oakland, North Bay CA, Jacksonville
                                                                 Boston, Northern VA
                                                               San Diego
       Downturn                                                                                                      Recovering




            Rent still elevated but falling from top of                           Rent growth accelerating
                                                                                  Ideal for owners of property
            market cycle
            Falling rents promise future opportunity for tenants
            Rent at or near bottom of market cycle                               Rent growth slowing
            Ideal for tenants leasing or seeking to lease property               Still landlord favorable but growth is down from peak




*Data as of Second Quarter 2012
Source: Cushman & Wakefield
                                                                                                                              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD                32
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                                             Wakefield
     NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                                                                      Research

     Second Quarter 2012 Industrial Stats
                                                                       D irect           Overall        Annual D irect  Under     YTD 2012 Total YTD 2012 Total
                                            Total Industrial          Vacancy           Vacancy          Asking Rent Construction    Leasing       Overall Net
Market                                         Inventory               Rate               Rate             (NNN)                     Activity      Absorption


Greater Los Angeles                           1,068,818,710              4.3%              4.6%               $6.34             2,327,316           18,872,249        1,288,544
Inland Empire                                   415,478,185              7.4%
                                                                            %              7.6%
                                                                                              %               $4.53
                                                                                                              $                 6,642,648           12,876,110        5,115,073
Orange County                                   275,686,012              5.5%              5.6%               $7.94               26,000             6,324,863        865,070
LOS ANGELES BASIN*                           1,745,270,256               5.2%             5.5%               $6.12             8,995,964           37,723,218        7,253,356

CH ICAGO                                     1,148,952,426               8.9%             9.4%               $4.10             3,683,246           18,171,803        6,078,532

Central
C t l NJ                                        327,076,264
                                                327 076 264              8.0%
                                                                         8 0%              8.6%
                                                                                           8 6%               $5.28
                                                                                                              $5 28              864,000
                                                                                                                                 864 000             6,635,679
                                                                                                                                                     6 635 679        2,789,636
                                                                                                                                                                      2 789 636
Northern NJ                                     284,938,891              9.3%              9.9%               $6.08              567,639             3,460,048       (1,817,530)
Long Island NY                                  126,195,121             11.9%             12.5%               $6.99              196,000              980,212         (853,249)
NEW YORK/NEW JERSEY                            738,210,276               9.2%             9.8%               $5.97             1,627,639           11,075,939         118,857

Miami                                              ,   ,
                                                160,875,806              7.4%              7.4%               $5.24              189,906
                                                                                                                                    ,                1,433,878
                                                                                                                                                      ,   ,           510,664
                                                                                                                                                                         ,
Orlando                                         105,579,186             12.1%             12.4%               $5.35              237,960             2,444,058        633,394
Jacksonville                                    100,687,468             11.0%             11.1%               $3.80                  0                609,026         (101,596)
FLORIDA*                                       659,073,817               8.5%             8.7%               $5.31             1,307,935            8,793,529        3,067,552

ATLANTA                                        516,011,066               9.7%             9.8%               $3.75             2,325,047            9,069,777        3,017,391

D ALLAS/FORT WORTH                             514,412,336              10.8%            11.2%               $4.18             2,955,146            9,766,869        4,075,023

PA I-81/I-78 Distribution Corridor              215,270,850              8.6%              9.1%               $3.79             6,044,673            4,250,909        1,997,175
Philadelphia, PA                                277,464,546              6.0%              6.4%               $4.94             1,348,000            3,229,224        1,903,090
PH ILADELPH IA                                 492,735,396               7.1%             7.6%               $4.33             7,392,673            7,480,133        3,900,265

H OUSTON                                       353,750,019               7.3%             7.6%               $4.70             2,087,404            9,130,399         700,914

PH OENIX                                       263,298,403              11.7%            12.2%               $6.96              237,992             5,233,062        2,528,122

  Not all large markets are included on this list. LA Basin: two markets are included in both LA and Orange Counties - LA Basin total reflects adjusted                                  33
                                                                                                                                                                CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD
 figures; Florida total also includes Ft Lauderdale, Tampa, Palm Beach & Pinellas Counties and Lakeland Area.
CHICAGO OFFICE MARKET
Cushman &
                                                                                      Wakefield        24
   CHICAGO CBD                                                                         Research

   Market Trends and Indicators


                                                TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 218.7 MILLION SQUARE FEET
                                                             CBD = 123.1 MILLION SQUARE FEET
                                                       SUBURBAN = 95.6 MILLION SQUARE FEET
• Overall vacancy dropped 0.7 percentage
  points to 14.2% year-over-year.

• New leasing activity slowed during the
  second quarter. Year-to-date activity
          quarter Year to date                                                       12 Month
                                                                                        M th
  equaled approximately 2.4 msf, 41.5% less         CHICAGO             YTD 2012
                                                                                     Forecast
  than the 4.1 msf reported at mid-year 2011.
                                                     Total Absorption   639,425 sf
• Investment activity totaled 8.2 msf, more
  than d bl th
  th double the amount recorded at this
                          t      d d t thi           Leasing Activity    2.4 msf
  time last year.
                                                     Overall Vacancy
                                                                          14.2%
• Many renewals, which do not count towards          Rate
  leasing activity, were signed in the second        Overall Asking
                                                                         $31.79
  quarter.                                           Rents
                                                     R
                                                     Under
                                                                          0 msf
                                                     Construction




                                                                           CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    35
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                        Wakefield
    CHICAGO CBD                                                                                                                                          Research

    Class A Direct Vacancy vs. Asking Rental Rates

$40.00                                                                                                                                                      14.0%



                                                                                                                                                            12.0%
                                                                                                                                                            12 0%
$38.00
                    $38.45


                              $38.41


                                        $38.28




                                                                      $38.28
          $38.17




                                                            $38.05




                                                                                                                                               $38.02
                                                                                                                                     $38.01
                                                                                                       $38.00
                                                  $37.78




                                                                                                                 $37.65
                                                                                                                                                            10.0%




                                                                                                                           $37.63
                                                                                             $37.55
                                                                                $37.3


                                                                                                  5
                                                                                    32
$36.00
                                                                                                                                                            8.0%



                                                                                                                                                            6.0%
$34.00


                                                                                                                                                            4.0%

$32.00
                                                                                                                                                            2.0%
                                                                                                                                                            2 0%



$30.00                                                                                                                                                      0.0%
         1Q09      2Q09      3Q09      4Q09      1Q10      2Q10      3Q10      4Q10         1Q11      2Q11      3Q11      4Q11      1Q12      2Q12

                                                 Class A Asking Rent                     Class A Vacancy Rate


                                                                                                                                    CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD             36
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                Wakefield
              CHICAGO CBD                                                                                                        Research

              New Leasing Activity


                       14


                       12


                       10
                            5.4
Millions Square Feet




                        8          8.9
                                                                           4.6
                                                                                     3.6
                                                               4.9                                                            3.3
                        6   6.7           5.0
                                                 3.1    2.8                                    3.9
                                                                           5.1
                                                                           51        5.3
                                                                                     53                  3.4
                                                                                                         34                   5.1
                                                                                                                              51
                        4                               4.3
                                                 4.2           4.2                                                    2.2
                                          3.6                                                  3.6
                                   8.7                                                                   3.0
                        2                                                                                             2.4             2.4


                        0
                            2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005    2006         2007      2008      2009         2010    2011    YTD
                                                                                                                                     2012
                                                                      1H     2H

                                                                                 12-year historical average for 1H



                                                                                                                     CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    37
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                     Wakefield
                          CHICAGO CBD                                                                                                                 Research

                          Renewal Activity

                          8.0                                                                                                                                    70.0%


                                                                                                                                                                 60.0%
                                                                                                                                                                 60 0%

                          6.0
                                                                                                                                                                 50.0%
                                                                                              5.3
                                                                                   5.1                                                   5.1
                                5.0
                    ons
Square Feet in Millio




                                                              4.4        4.2                                                                                     40.0%
                                                    4.2
                          4.0            3.6                                                             3.6
                                                                                                                                                                 30.0%
                                                                                                                    3.0
                                                                                                                              2.4
                                                                                                                              24                   2.4
                                                                            2.3
                                                                                                                                                                 20.0%
                          2.0
                                                                1.4                                                              1.4        1.4
                                                                                                                       1.3
                                                                                                0.9         1.1                                       1.1
                                                                                     0.8                                                                         10.0%
                                             0.6       0.7
                                  0.5
                                  05

                          0.0                                                                                                                                    0.0%
                                2001      2002       2003     2004        2005     2006       2007       2008       2009       2010      2011       YTD
                                                                                                                                                    2012
                                  Leasing Activity 1st Half
                                  L i A i i 1 H lf                  Renewal Activity 1 H lf
                                                                    R     l A i i 1st Half            1st H lf
                                                                                                      1 Half renewal activity as % of overall leasing activity
                                                                                                                   l i i            f      ll l i        i i



                                                                                                                                       CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD          38
Cushman &
                                                                                         Wakefield        26
  CHICAGO CBD                                                                             Research


  YTD 2012 Leasing by Industry
                 g y         y



                                     g
                              Building                Legal Services
                        Construction/General               28%
                            Contractors
                Government      2%
                     4%
         Non-profits/
         Associations
             5%
             Other
              5%




Engineers/Architects/
    Accountants
         6%                                                                  Business Services
            Education Health &                                                     21%
               Social Services
                     6%                        FIRE            Technology
                                               11%                12%




   Source: Cushman & Wakefield
   NOTE: Includes renewals

                                                                            CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD      39
Cushman &
                                                                                  Wakefield
                   CHICAGO CBD                                                     Research

                   Investment Activity


                       30



                       25


                                     14.1
                       20   13.2
Millions Square Feet




                       15



                       10

                                     14.2                             6.2
                            12.9
                        5
                                            1.6         0.3                         8.2
                                                               4.0
                                            3.1
                                            31          0.2
                                                        02            4.0
                        0                                      0.9
                            2006     2007   2008    2009       2010   2011       YTD 2012

                                                   1H     2H




                                                                       CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    40
Cushman &

      CHICAGO CBQuarter Lease Comps
       Selected               4th                                                                                                  Wakefield           27
                D                                                                                                                   Research

      Top Q1 & Q2 2012 Leasing and Sales Transactions

       Type                     Address                      Submarket                 Tenant               SF              Industry

Renewal               321 North Clark                 River North             Foley Lardner              169,000 Legal

                      330 North Wabash
                          N hW b h
New                                                   River North             Latham & Watkins LLP       137,000 Legal
                      Avenue
                                                                              SmithBucklin
New                   330 North Wabash                River North                                        111,081 Business Services
                                                                              Corporation
                                                                              U.S. Securities and
Renewal               175 West Jackson Blvd           Central Loop                                       102,613 Government
                                                                              Exchange Commission

New                   10 South LaSalle                Central Loop            Chicago Title & Trust        86,207 FIRE


                             Sales
                                           Price
       Address               Price                               Seller              Buyer
                                                                                       y              Buyer Type
                                                                                                        y    yp              Comments
                                           PSF
                           (Millions)
                                                                                                                      Civic Opera, 75% occupied,
20 North Wacker Dr             $126         $149     Tishman Speyer         Berkley Properties     Institutional
                                                                                                                      renovations planned
500 North Michigan                                                          The Macerich                              New owner plans to
                               $71          $222     Zeller Realty Group                           U.S. Investor
Ave                                                                         Company                                   convert to retail space
350 North Orleans St                                                                                                  96% leased; Chicago Sun-
                               $228         $190     Vornado Realty Trust   Shorenstein Properties U.S. Investor
                                                                                                                      Times major tenant
                                                                                                                      Partial sale-leaseback by the
141 West Jackson Blvd                                                       GlenStar Properties JV Regional Private
                               $151         $120     CME Group                                                        Chicago Mercantile
                                                                            USAA Real Estate       Investor
                                                                                                                      Exchange
                                                                                                   Foreign Private
                                                     Onni Development                                                 Loan on building was past
200 North LaSalle St           $101         $161                            Younan                 Real Estate
                                                     Capital Corp                                                     due
                                                                                                   Developer

 Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research & Real Capital Analytics                                                        CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD         41
Cushman &
                                                                                           Wakefield        36
    CHICAGO SUBURBAN                                                                        Research

    Market Trends and Indicators


                                                   TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 95.6 MILLION SQUARE FEET


•   Year-to-date leasing activity is at 2.5 msf,     SUBURBAN              YTD          12 Month
    10.7% higher than the 2.3 msf recorded at        CHICAGO               2012         Forecast
    mid-year 2011.
                                                      Total Absorption
                                                                 p       (
                                                                         (355,075) sf
                                                                             ,   )
•   Mid-year investment sale activity increased
    to 1.7 msf in 2012 from 1.2 msf in 2011.          Leasing Activity   2,539,175 sf

                                                      Overall Vacancy
•   Direct weighted average asking rents                                    22.5%
                                                      Rate
    stood at $21.74 psf b the end of Q2
        d $21 74 f by h          d f                  Overall Asking
    2012, an increase of 1% from $21.53.Q2                                 $21.56
                                                      Rents
    2011.                                             Under
                                                                            0 msf
                                                      Construction




                                                                                CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    42
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                        Wakefield
    CHICAGO SUBURBAN                                                                                                                                     Research

    Class A Direct Vacancy vs. Rental Rates

$30.00                                                                                                                                                      20.5%



$28.00
$28 00
                                                                                                                                                            20.0%
                    $26.67




$26.00
                              $2
          $2




                                        $2
                               25.52
           25.50




                                         25.32


                                                  $25.00
                                                                                                                                                            19.5%




                                                                      $24.94
                                                            $24.90




                                                                                $24.76
$24.00




                                                                                             $24.53




                                                                                                                                     $24.45
                                                                                                       $24.41


                                                                                                                 $24.37


                                                                                                                           $24.28




                                                                                                                                               $24.19
$22.00
                                                                                                                                                            19.0%


$20.00

                                                                                                                                                            18.5%
$18.00
$18 00



$16.00                                                                                                                                                      18.0%
         1Q09      2Q09      3Q09      4Q09      1Q10      2Q10      3Q10      4Q10         1Q11      2Q11      3Q11      4Q11      1Q12      2Q12

                                                 Class A Asking Rent                     Class A Vacancy Rate


                                                                                                                                    CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD             43
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                Wakefield
                   CHICAGO SUBURAN                                                                                               Research

                   New Leasing Activity


                       12



                       10



                        8
                            4.9
                            49
Millions Square Feet




                                   8.9                                     3.7
                        6                               4.6
                                                 2.9           3.1                   3.5
                                                                                               3.1
                            4.9                                                                                               2.6
                        4                                                  4.4
                                                                           44                                         2.6
                                                                                                                      26
                                          1.7    3.7    3.8    3.5                   3.6                 1.9
                                                                                               3.3
                                                                                                                      2.8     2.9
                        2          8.7
                                          2.5                                                                                         2.5
                                                                                                         1.9

                        0
                            2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005    2006         2007      2008      2009         2010    2011    YTD
                                                                                                                                     2012
                                                                      1H     2H

                                                                                 12-year historical average for 1H



                                                                                                                     CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    44
Cushman &
                                                                                                                                                  Wakefield
                          CHICAGO SUBURBAN                                                                                                         Research

                          Renewal Activity

                          6.0                                                                                                                               70.0%


                                                                                                                                                            60.0%
                                                                                                                                                            60 0%

                                                                                4.4
                                          4.1                                                                                                               50.0%
                          4.0   3.8                           3.8
                                                     3.7                                  3.6
                    ons




                                                                       3.5
Square Feet in Millio




                                                                                                     3.3                                                    40.0%
                                                                                                                                     2.9
                                                                                                                           2.8
                                                                                                                                                2.5
                                                                                                                                                            30.0%

                                                                                                                1.9
                                                                                                                19
                          2.0
                                                                                                                                                            20.0%
                                                                                            1.1                    1.1        1.1       1.1
                                                                         1.0
                                                                0.6                0.6                                                                      10.0%
                                                                                                        0.5
                                                                                                                                                   0.4
                                  0.2        0.2        0.2

                          0.0                                                                                                                               0.0%
                                2001      2002       2003     2004     2005     2006      2007        2008      2009       2010       2011      YTD
                                                                                                                                                2012
                                 Leasing Activity 1st Half
                                 L i A i i 1 H lf               Renewal Activity 1 H lf
                                                                R     l A i i 1st Half           1st H lf
                                                                                                 1 Half renewal activity as % of overall leasing activity
                                                                                                              l i i            f      ll l i        i i



                                                                                                                                    CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD        45
Cushman &

    SUBURBAN CHICAGO                                                                             Wakefield
                                                                                                  Research
                                                                                                                    38
    2012 YTD Leasing by Industry


                                      Building
                                Construction/General
    Printing, Publishing and                            Manufacturing/Industrial
                                    Contractors
            Related                                              29%
                                        1%
               2%
Communications
       3%
  Technology
      4%
 Legal
Services
  4%




     Other
      4%

        Non-
profits/Associations                                                               Education Health & Social
         5%                                                                                Services
                                                               FIRE                          18%
                                    Business Services
                                          13%                  17%




      Source: Cushman & Wakefield
      NOTE: Includes renewals                                                       CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD        46
Cushman &
           Selected
          CHICAGO SUBURBAN        4th
                    Quarter Lease Comps                                                                                                   Wakefield
                                                                                                                                           Research
                                                                                                                                                            33

          Top Q1 & Q2 2012 Leasing and Sales Transactions

     Type                    Address                            Submarket                    Tenant                   SF                Industry
                          3800 Golf Rd,
     New            Atrium Corporate Center                     Northwest                  Capital One             158,582                FIRE
                         Rolling Meadows
                        75 North Fairway                                                                                         Manufacturing/Industrial
     New                                                 Central North/Tri-State            Carefusion             150,000
                           Vernon Hills                                                                                                (medical)
                         3 Parkway North                                              Mondelez International                     Manufacturing/Industrial
     New                                                 Central North/Tri-State                                   105,000
                             Deerfield                                                       (Kraft)                                     (food)
                   5550 Prairie Stone Parkway                                         American Continental
   Renewal                                                      Northwest                                          74,000               Education
                        Hoffman Estates.                                                   University
                       Columbia Centre III                                                                                       Manufacturing/Industrial
     New                                                         O’Hare                   World Kitchen            55,000
                           Rosemont                                                                                                  (kitchenware)

                               Sales
        Address                Price Price PSF                     Seller                   Buyer                   Type               Comments
                             (Millions)
                                                                                                                                    100% occupied; CF
   4 Parkway North,                                                                                              Institutional
                                $40.9         $238          John Buck Company       Wells Core Office REIT                         Industries, Lundbeck
       Deerfield                                                                                                   Investor
                                                                                                                                       main tenants
 Continental E
 C          l Executive                                                                                        National private
                                                                                                               N      l
                                $27.5         $123                PacTrust             PWA Real Estate
   Park, Vernon Hills                                                                                             investor

  Caremark Towers I                                                                White Oak Realty Partners Regional private
                                 $21          $123        Fulcrum Asset Services
     Northbrook                                                                     JV Syndicated Equities      investor
                                                                                                                            67% leased; building
     6400 Shafer Ct,                                                               Crossroads Development Regional private
                                $10.8          $66              Ruben Ybara                                                traded for 3rd time in
       Rosemont                                                                           Partners           investor
                                                                                                                                  5 years

Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research & Real Capital Analytics                                                              CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD         47
CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL MARKET
Cushman &

   CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL                                                                Wakefield
                                                                                      Research
                                                                                                      48
   Market Trends and Indicators




                                            TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 1.1 BILLION SQUARE FEET
                                                                11
• Leasing activity gaining momentum
                                                                       YTD       12 Month
• Large leasing transactions have fueled      CHICAGO
                                                                       2012      Forecast
  recovery in the region
                                               Total Absorption       6.1 msf
• Asking rental rates have yet to
                                               Leasing Activity       18.2 msf
  increase significantly, still favorable
  climate for tenants                          Overall Vacancy
                                                             y
                                                                       9.4%
                                                                       9 4%
                                               Rate
• New construction is on the rise and
                                               Overall Asking Rents    $4.05
  some speculative projects have begun
  in the Chicago market                        Under Construction     3.7 msf




                                                                          CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD    49
Cushman &

        CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL                                                                                    Wakefield
                                                                                                               Research
                                                                                                                                 48
        Market Trends and Indicators

        Chicago MSA Employment (% Change)
0.20
0.10
0.00
0 00                                                • Business sectors impacting industrial
-0.10                                                 activity added jobs in recent months
-0.20
-0.30
                                                    • Local economy slowly improving
-0.40
-0.50
-0 50
-0.60
-0.70
                                                  Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI)




                                            Manufacturing Output Indexes                               % Change from
                                                                                              1 month ago 3 months ago 1 year ago

                                            Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI)      1.1          2.1         11.0
                                            US Industrial Production-Manufacturing (IPMFG)       0.7          0.8          5.6


                                                                                               CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD          50
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)
Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)

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Midyear Review Chicago 2012 (3)

  • 1. MIDYEAR 2012: Office – CBD/Suburban Divide Industrial – Going Strong Chicago Economic, Office & Industrial August 2nd 2012 Market Overview
  • 3. Cushman & Wakefield Research AGENDA 2012 NATIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK - KEN McCARTHY 2012 CHICAGO REGION ECONOMIC OUTLOOK - KEN McCARTHY NATIONAL OFFICE MARKETS – MARIA SICOLA NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL MARKETS – MARIA SICOLA CHICAGO OFFICE MARKETS – SIMONE SCHUPPAN CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL MARKET – AMANDA ORTIZ Q&A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 3
  • 4. NATIONAL AND CHICAGO ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
  • 5. Cushman & Wakefield OVERVIEW Research 2012: The year of government deleveraging ■ Reasons for Optimism – Business, households, investors still cautious, but balance sheets continue to improve – Labor market fundamentals getting healthier – Tech, Tech, Tech ■ Reasons for Concern – Uncertainty about taxes, regulations, financial, political, oil prices, Europe/U.S. – Election uncertainty – Fiscal Cliff – Business and Consumer confidence flagging – Europe ■ Real Estate Impact – Cautious users – Risk Averse – Tech impacted markets among the best – Full recovery occurs in 2013 – Supply remains constrained in most markets ■ Chi Chicago O tl k Outlook – Employment slow to recover – Industrial fundamentals healthier CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 5
  • 6. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. GDP GROWTH IN RECOVERIES Research +14.0% 114 112 110 +9.4% h=100 Trough 108 106 +6.7% 104 102 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Average Recovery (8 previous) Average Recovery (2 previous) 2009 Recovery Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 6
  • 7. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Research 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% rce Percent of Labor For 8.0% 7.0% t 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 4 0% 3.0% 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 7
  • 8. Cushman & U.S. PRIVATE SECTOR EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Wakefield Research Monthly Average-Preceding Three Months 250 225.7 200 212.3 183.7 150 158.0 156.7 147.7 Thousands of Persons 100 123.0 111.7 75.0 50 24.7 0 50 -50 -100 -131.3 -150 150 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 8
  • 9. Cushman & U.S. WEEKLY UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS Wakefield Research 650,000 600,000 550,000 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 National Recessions Unemployment Claims Healthy Labor Market Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 9
  • 10. Cushman & EMPLOYMENT CHANGE SINCE FEBRUARY 2010 Wakefield Research By Industry Sector 1,450 1,353 1,324 Total Increase: +3.8 mil. Private Sector: +4.4 mil. Pi t S 4 4 il 1,250 1,050 900 ersons 850 669 650 housands of Pe 500 450 353 236 250 77 50 Th -150 -106 -350 -550 -528 528 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 10
  • 11. Cushman & Wakefield JOBS RECOVERED SINCE TROUGH Research As a Percent of Jobs Lost 160.0% 160 0% 140.0% 150.9% 131.6% 120.0% 30.3% 13 100.0% 100 0% 91.2% 80.0% 87.4% 71.6% 60.0% 70.5% 59.1% 55.6% 54.1% % 7 51.3% % 40.0% 50.5% % 44.0% 46.2% 41.8% 39.9% 38.9% 31.9% 34.6% 19.3% 29.1% 27.3% 25.1% 20.0% 0.0% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 11
  • 12. Cushman & Wakefield INDUSTRIAL DRIVERS Research Manufacturers’ Shipments 475,000 425,000 Millio of Dollars 375,000 ons 325,000 275,000 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 National Recessions Mfg Shipments Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 12
  • 13. Cushman & TRUCK TONNAGE INDEX Wakefield Research 125 120 115 110 105 2000=100 100 95 90 85 80 75 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 National Recessions Truck Tonnage Source: American Trucking Association, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 13
  • 14. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF GOODS Research Excluding Bulk Items 190,000 170,000 150,000 Millio of Dollars 130,000 ons 110,000 90,000 70,000 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 National Recessions Exports Plus Imports Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Cushman & Wakefield Research Services CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 14
  • 15. Cushman & Wakefield ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & FORECAST Research Payroll Employment Chicago versus U.S. 138,000 3,925 137,000 137 000 136,000 3,875 135,000 3,825 3 825 134,000 3,775 133,000 132,000 3,725 131,000 3,675 130,000 130 000 US Chicago 3,625 129,000 12/07-2/10 -6.3% -7.3% 2/10-6/12 +3.0% +2.4% 128,000 3,575 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 U.S. (Left Scale) Chicago Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 15
  • 16. Cushman & Wakefield EMPLOYMENT STRUCTURE Research U.S. versus Chicago Natural Resources Information U.S. 2% 1% Construction 4% Trade; Transport; Financial Utilities 6% 20% Manufacturing 9% Government 17% Leisure and Hospitality 11% Construction Information Financial 3% 2% Education and 7% Professional and Business Services Health Services H lhS Trade; 14% 16% Transport; Manufacturing Utilities 9% 21% Professional Leisure and and Business Hospitality Services 10% 18% Chicago Education and Government Health Services 14% 16% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 16
  • 17. Cushman & ECONOMIC OVERVIEW & FORECAST Wakefield Research Jobs Recovered Since February 2010 As a Percent of Jobs Lost J 50.0% 45.0% 44.0% 40.0% 35.0% 35 0% 31.9% 31 9% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% U.S. US Chicago Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 17
  • 18. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO EMPLOYMENT CHANGE Research Since February 2010 , by Industry Sector 75 Total Increase: +92,400 65 Private Sector: +112 400 Pi t S +112,400 57 55 47 Thousands of Persons 45 35 27 P 25 21 16 15 8 8 5 T -5 0 -3 -15 -7 -25 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 18
  • 19. Cushman & Wakefield EMPLOYMENT FORECAST Research Payroll Employment Forecast: Chicago 4,000 3,950 Full 3,900 recovery Q4-15 3,850 3,800 3,750 3,700 3 700 3,650 3,600 3,550 3,500 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody’s Analytics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 19
  • 20. Cushman & MIDWEST MANUFACTURING INDEX Wakefield Research 115 110 105 100 95 2007=100 90 85 80 75 70 65 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 National Recessions Midwest Manufacturing Index Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 20
  • 22. Cushman & U.S. OFFICE MARKET Wakefield Research  Leasing activity totaled 29.8 msf in the CBDs; down 29% from 2q 2011  Suburban leasing was up marginally – by 3msf – to 61.7 msf  San Francisco and New York remain strong especially in comparison to other markets  Positive absorption in both CBD and suburban markets  Rental increases are submarket and asset driven  Oversupply is not the issue; the issue remains uncertainty in the global economy  Investment activity remains extremely weak with exception of core and trophy assets but real estate remains attractive with low Treasury bond yields and volatile stock market CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 22
  • 23. Cushman & NATIONAL OFFICE Wakefield Research CBD & Suburban Leasing Activity 200 180 160 140 et Millions Square Fee 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12 CBD Suburban Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 23
  • 24. Cushman & NATIONAL OFFICE Wakefield Research CBD & Suburban Overall Absorption 100 80 60 et Millions Square Fee 40 20 0 -20 -40 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12 CBD Suburban Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 24
  • 25. Cushman & Wakefield NATIONAL OFFICE Research Sublease Availabilities 90 80 70 60 et Millions Square Fee 50 40 30 20 10 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2Q12 CBD Suburban Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 25
  • 26. NATIONAL OFFICE Cushman & Wakefield Construction Completions vs. Overall Vacancy Rates Research 120 24.0% 22.0% 100 20.0% 80 18.0% 16.0% 60 14.0% 40 12.0% 10.0% 20 8.0% 0 6.0% CBD Completions Suburban Completions CBD Vacancy Rate Suburban Vacancy Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 26
  • 28. Cushman & U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS Wakefield Research Industrial Overall Leasing Activity 400 350 300 million square feet f 250 200 354.5 326. 322.2 316 306.4 282.9 2 6.6 150 278.8 2 277.9 2 277.3 2 .2 268.8 230.8 100 152.8 50 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD12 *Data as of Second Quarter 2012 Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 28
  • 29. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS Research Overall Absorption 200 150 million square feet 100 f 146.0 111.9 94.4 94.4 50 14.2 75.9 13.1 -6.4 39.7 0 -48.9 -50 -125.1 -100 100 -150 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD12 *Data as of Second Quarter 2012 Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 29
  • 30. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS Research Construction Completions versus Overall Vacancy Rates 14.0% 145.0 145 0 12.0% 125.0 million square feet 10.0% 105.0 105 0 f vacancy 8.0% 85.0 65.0 65 0 6.0% 45.0 4.0% 25.0 25 0 2.0% 5.0 0.0% 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 YTD12 New Construction Overall Vacancy Rate *Data as of Second Quarter 2012 Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 30
  • 31. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS Research Warehouse Overall Vacancy Rates vs. Rental Rates $7.00 14.0% $6.51 $6.50 $6.45 $6.44 $6.00 12.0% $6.17 $5.89 $5.00 10.0% $4.96 $4.84 $4.70 $4.64 vacancy $4.62 $4.62 $4.61 $4.59 $4.58 $4.57 $4.57 $4.56 $/psf $4.00 8.0% $ $3.00 6.0% $2.00 4.0% $1.00 2.0% $0.00 0.0% 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 Rental Rates R t lR t Overall V O ll Vacancy R t Rate *Data as of Second Quarter 2012 Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 31
  • 32. Cushman & Wakefield U.S. INDUSTRIAL MARKETS Research Warehouse/Distribution Cycle ORABLE Slow Growth Accelerating LANDLORD FAVO Palm Beach, FL Chicago, Houston, Inland Empire LTENANT FAVORABLE Baltimore, Long Island NY, PA I-81/I-78 Corridor, Orange County Philadelphia, Silicon Valley, Seattle Denver, Greater LA Sacramento Atlanta, Dallas, Miami Ft. Lauderdale, Portland, New Jersey Central Valley CA, Suburban MD Minneapolis, Orlando, Phoenix, Tampa eapo s, O a do oe , a pa T Oakland, North Bay CA, Jacksonville Boston, Northern VA San Diego Downturn Recovering Rent still elevated but falling from top of Rent growth accelerating Ideal for owners of property market cycle Falling rents promise future opportunity for tenants Rent at or near bottom of market cycle Rent growth slowing Ideal for tenants leasing or seeking to lease property Still landlord favorable but growth is down from peak *Data as of Second Quarter 2012 Source: Cushman & Wakefield CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 32
  • 33. Cushman & Wakefield NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL Research Second Quarter 2012 Industrial Stats D irect Overall Annual D irect Under YTD 2012 Total YTD 2012 Total Total Industrial Vacancy Vacancy Asking Rent Construction Leasing Overall Net Market Inventory Rate Rate (NNN) Activity Absorption Greater Los Angeles 1,068,818,710 4.3% 4.6% $6.34 2,327,316 18,872,249 1,288,544 Inland Empire 415,478,185 7.4% % 7.6% % $4.53 $ 6,642,648 12,876,110 5,115,073 Orange County 275,686,012 5.5% 5.6% $7.94 26,000 6,324,863 865,070 LOS ANGELES BASIN* 1,745,270,256 5.2% 5.5% $6.12 8,995,964 37,723,218 7,253,356 CH ICAGO 1,148,952,426 8.9% 9.4% $4.10 3,683,246 18,171,803 6,078,532 Central C t l NJ 327,076,264 327 076 264 8.0% 8 0% 8.6% 8 6% $5.28 $5 28 864,000 864 000 6,635,679 6 635 679 2,789,636 2 789 636 Northern NJ 284,938,891 9.3% 9.9% $6.08 567,639 3,460,048 (1,817,530) Long Island NY 126,195,121 11.9% 12.5% $6.99 196,000 980,212 (853,249) NEW YORK/NEW JERSEY 738,210,276 9.2% 9.8% $5.97 1,627,639 11,075,939 118,857 Miami , , 160,875,806 7.4% 7.4% $5.24 189,906 , 1,433,878 , , 510,664 , Orlando 105,579,186 12.1% 12.4% $5.35 237,960 2,444,058 633,394 Jacksonville 100,687,468 11.0% 11.1% $3.80 0 609,026 (101,596) FLORIDA* 659,073,817 8.5% 8.7% $5.31 1,307,935 8,793,529 3,067,552 ATLANTA 516,011,066 9.7% 9.8% $3.75 2,325,047 9,069,777 3,017,391 D ALLAS/FORT WORTH 514,412,336 10.8% 11.2% $4.18 2,955,146 9,766,869 4,075,023 PA I-81/I-78 Distribution Corridor 215,270,850 8.6% 9.1% $3.79 6,044,673 4,250,909 1,997,175 Philadelphia, PA 277,464,546 6.0% 6.4% $4.94 1,348,000 3,229,224 1,903,090 PH ILADELPH IA 492,735,396 7.1% 7.6% $4.33 7,392,673 7,480,133 3,900,265 H OUSTON 353,750,019 7.3% 7.6% $4.70 2,087,404 9,130,399 700,914 PH OENIX 263,298,403 11.7% 12.2% $6.96 237,992 5,233,062 2,528,122 Not all large markets are included on this list. LA Basin: two markets are included in both LA and Orange Counties - LA Basin total reflects adjusted 33 CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD figures; Florida total also includes Ft Lauderdale, Tampa, Palm Beach & Pinellas Counties and Lakeland Area.
  • 35. Cushman & Wakefield 24 CHICAGO CBD Research Market Trends and Indicators TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 218.7 MILLION SQUARE FEET CBD = 123.1 MILLION SQUARE FEET SUBURBAN = 95.6 MILLION SQUARE FEET • Overall vacancy dropped 0.7 percentage points to 14.2% year-over-year. • New leasing activity slowed during the second quarter. Year-to-date activity quarter Year to date 12 Month M th equaled approximately 2.4 msf, 41.5% less CHICAGO YTD 2012 Forecast than the 4.1 msf reported at mid-year 2011. Total Absorption 639,425 sf • Investment activity totaled 8.2 msf, more than d bl th th double the amount recorded at this t d d t thi Leasing Activity 2.4 msf time last year. Overall Vacancy 14.2% • Many renewals, which do not count towards Rate leasing activity, were signed in the second Overall Asking $31.79 quarter. Rents R Under 0 msf Construction CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 35
  • 36. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO CBD Research Class A Direct Vacancy vs. Asking Rental Rates $40.00 14.0% 12.0% 12 0% $38.00 $38.45 $38.41 $38.28 $38.28 $38.17 $38.05 $38.02 $38.01 $38.00 $37.78 $37.65 10.0% $37.63 $37.55 $37.3 5 32 $36.00 8.0% 6.0% $34.00 4.0% $32.00 2.0% 2 0% $30.00 0.0% 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 Class A Asking Rent Class A Vacancy Rate CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 36
  • 37. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO CBD Research New Leasing Activity 14 12 10 5.4 Millions Square Feet 8 8.9 4.6 3.6 4.9 3.3 6 6.7 5.0 3.1 2.8 3.9 5.1 51 5.3 53 3.4 34 5.1 51 4 4.3 4.2 4.2 2.2 3.6 3.6 8.7 3.0 2 2.4 2.4 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 1H 2H 12-year historical average for 1H CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 37
  • 38. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO CBD Research Renewal Activity 8.0 70.0% 60.0% 60 0% 6.0 50.0% 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.0 ons Square Feet in Millio 4.4 4.2 40.0% 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.6 30.0% 3.0 2.4 24 2.4 2.3 20.0% 2.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.8 10.0% 0.6 0.7 0.5 05 0.0 0.0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 Leasing Activity 1st Half L i A i i 1 H lf Renewal Activity 1 H lf R l A i i 1st Half 1st H lf 1 Half renewal activity as % of overall leasing activity l i i f ll l i i i CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 38
  • 39. Cushman & Wakefield 26 CHICAGO CBD Research YTD 2012 Leasing by Industry g y y g Building Legal Services Construction/General 28% Contractors Government 2% 4% Non-profits/ Associations 5% Other 5% Engineers/Architects/ Accountants 6% Business Services Education Health & 21% Social Services 6% FIRE Technology 11% 12% Source: Cushman & Wakefield NOTE: Includes renewals CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 39
  • 40. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO CBD Research Investment Activity 30 25 14.1 20 13.2 Millions Square Feet 15 10 14.2 6.2 12.9 5 1.6 0.3 8.2 4.0 3.1 31 0.2 02 4.0 0 0.9 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 1H 2H CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 40
  • 41. Cushman & CHICAGO CBQuarter Lease Comps Selected 4th Wakefield 27 D Research Top Q1 & Q2 2012 Leasing and Sales Transactions Type Address Submarket Tenant SF Industry Renewal 321 North Clark River North Foley Lardner 169,000 Legal 330 North Wabash N hW b h New River North Latham & Watkins LLP 137,000 Legal Avenue SmithBucklin New 330 North Wabash River North 111,081 Business Services Corporation U.S. Securities and Renewal 175 West Jackson Blvd Central Loop 102,613 Government Exchange Commission New 10 South LaSalle Central Loop Chicago Title & Trust 86,207 FIRE Sales Price Address Price Seller Buyer y Buyer Type y yp Comments PSF (Millions) Civic Opera, 75% occupied, 20 North Wacker Dr $126 $149 Tishman Speyer Berkley Properties Institutional renovations planned 500 North Michigan The Macerich New owner plans to $71 $222 Zeller Realty Group U.S. Investor Ave Company convert to retail space 350 North Orleans St 96% leased; Chicago Sun- $228 $190 Vornado Realty Trust Shorenstein Properties U.S. Investor Times major tenant Partial sale-leaseback by the 141 West Jackson Blvd GlenStar Properties JV Regional Private $151 $120 CME Group Chicago Mercantile USAA Real Estate Investor Exchange Foreign Private Onni Development Loan on building was past 200 North LaSalle St $101 $161 Younan Real Estate Capital Corp due Developer Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research & Real Capital Analytics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 41
  • 42. Cushman & Wakefield 36 CHICAGO SUBURBAN Research Market Trends and Indicators TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 95.6 MILLION SQUARE FEET • Year-to-date leasing activity is at 2.5 msf, SUBURBAN YTD 12 Month 10.7% higher than the 2.3 msf recorded at CHICAGO 2012 Forecast mid-year 2011. Total Absorption p ( (355,075) sf , ) • Mid-year investment sale activity increased to 1.7 msf in 2012 from 1.2 msf in 2011. Leasing Activity 2,539,175 sf Overall Vacancy • Direct weighted average asking rents 22.5% Rate stood at $21.74 psf b the end of Q2 d $21 74 f by h d f Overall Asking 2012, an increase of 1% from $21.53.Q2 $21.56 Rents 2011. Under 0 msf Construction CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 42
  • 43. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO SUBURBAN Research Class A Direct Vacancy vs. Rental Rates $30.00 20.5% $28.00 $28 00 20.0% $26.67 $26.00 $2 $2 $2 25.52 25.50 25.32 $25.00 19.5% $24.94 $24.90 $24.76 $24.00 $24.53 $24.45 $24.41 $24.37 $24.28 $24.19 $22.00 19.0% $20.00 18.5% $18.00 $18 00 $16.00 18.0% 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 Class A Asking Rent Class A Vacancy Rate CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 43
  • 44. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO SUBURAN Research New Leasing Activity 12 10 8 4.9 49 Millions Square Feet 8.9 3.7 6 4.6 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.1 4.9 2.6 4 4.4 44 2.6 26 1.7 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.6 1.9 3.3 2.8 2.9 2 8.7 2.5 2.5 1.9 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 1H 2H 12-year historical average for 1H CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 44
  • 45. Cushman & Wakefield CHICAGO SUBURBAN Research Renewal Activity 6.0 70.0% 60.0% 60 0% 4.4 4.1 50.0% 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 ons 3.5 Square Feet in Millio 3.3 40.0% 2.9 2.8 2.5 30.0% 1.9 19 2.0 20.0% 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.6 10.0% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD 2012 Leasing Activity 1st Half L i A i i 1 H lf Renewal Activity 1 H lf R l A i i 1st Half 1st H lf 1 Half renewal activity as % of overall leasing activity l i i f ll l i i i CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 45
  • 46. Cushman & SUBURBAN CHICAGO Wakefield Research 38 2012 YTD Leasing by Industry Building Construction/General Printing, Publishing and Manufacturing/Industrial Contractors Related 29% 1% 2% Communications 3% Technology 4% Legal Services 4% Other 4% Non- profits/Associations Education Health & Social 5% Services FIRE 18% Business Services 13% 17% Source: Cushman & Wakefield NOTE: Includes renewals CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 46
  • 47. Cushman & Selected CHICAGO SUBURBAN 4th Quarter Lease Comps Wakefield Research 33 Top Q1 & Q2 2012 Leasing and Sales Transactions Type Address Submarket Tenant SF Industry 3800 Golf Rd, New Atrium Corporate Center Northwest Capital One 158,582 FIRE Rolling Meadows 75 North Fairway Manufacturing/Industrial New Central North/Tri-State Carefusion 150,000 Vernon Hills (medical) 3 Parkway North Mondelez International Manufacturing/Industrial New Central North/Tri-State 105,000 Deerfield (Kraft) (food) 5550 Prairie Stone Parkway American Continental Renewal Northwest 74,000 Education Hoffman Estates. University Columbia Centre III Manufacturing/Industrial New O’Hare World Kitchen 55,000 Rosemont (kitchenware) Sales Address Price Price PSF Seller Buyer Type Comments (Millions) 100% occupied; CF 4 Parkway North, Institutional $40.9 $238 John Buck Company Wells Core Office REIT Industries, Lundbeck Deerfield Investor main tenants Continental E C l Executive National private N l $27.5 $123 PacTrust PWA Real Estate Park, Vernon Hills investor Caremark Towers I White Oak Realty Partners Regional private $21 $123 Fulcrum Asset Services Northbrook JV Syndicated Equities investor 67% leased; building 6400 Shafer Ct, Crossroads Development Regional private $10.8 $66 Ruben Ybara traded for 3rd time in Rosemont Partners investor 5 years Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research & Real Capital Analytics CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 47
  • 49. Cushman & CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL Wakefield Research 48 Market Trends and Indicators TOTAL MARKET SIZE = 1.1 BILLION SQUARE FEET 11 • Leasing activity gaining momentum YTD 12 Month • Large leasing transactions have fueled CHICAGO 2012 Forecast recovery in the region Total Absorption 6.1 msf • Asking rental rates have yet to Leasing Activity 18.2 msf increase significantly, still favorable climate for tenants Overall Vacancy y 9.4% 9 4% Rate • New construction is on the rise and Overall Asking Rents $4.05 some speculative projects have begun in the Chicago market Under Construction 3.7 msf CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 49
  • 50. Cushman & CHICAGO INDUSTRIAL Wakefield Research 48 Market Trends and Indicators Chicago MSA Employment (% Change) 0.20 0.10 0.00 0 00 • Business sectors impacting industrial -0.10 activity added jobs in recent months -0.20 -0.30 • Local economy slowly improving -0.40 -0.50 -0 50 -0.60 -0.70 Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) Manufacturing Output Indexes % Change from 1 month ago 3 months ago 1 year ago Chicago Fed Midwest Manufacturing Index (CFMMI) 1.1 2.1 11.0 US Industrial Production-Manufacturing (IPMFG) 0.7 0.8 5.6 CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD 50