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Exponentials and Networks

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Exponentials and Networks - The Existential Challenge Of Radical Innovation For The Enterprise

Exponential technologies tend to take even the experts by surprise. The centralized and hierarchical organizations are under threat by nimbler and more resilient decentralized networks.

How can modern enterprises survive the combined challenges of technological and organizational innovation, internalizing the processes that make companies great and thrive?

Exponentials and Networks

  1. 1. Exponentials And Networks The Existential Challenge Of Radical Innovation For The Enterprise October 2014, Salerno, Italy
  2. 2. David Orban CEO, Dotsub Advisor & Faculty, Singularity University ! @davidorban @dotsub @singularityu
  3. 3. 1. Exponentials 2. Networks 3. Organizations 4. Principles 5. Q&A
  4. 4. Exponentials Intro To 2 x
  5. 5. ..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...
  6. 6. ..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128
  7. 7. 2000: First Human Genome at $3B
  8. 8. 2014: Human Genome at $2K
  9. 9. Confusing Obvious
  10. 10. 2002 16% 2004 14% 2006 12% 2008 10%
  11. 11. Networks From hierarchies to heterarchies
  12. 12. The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet
  13. 13. Exponential
  14. 14. Pyramids archer10 Dreams
  15. 15. Network Age jurvetson Achievements
  16. 16. 99% 1% 2% 98% 10.000 BC Today terrestrial vertebrates in the wild humans pets cattle Anthropocene
  17. 17. Anthropocene Unsustainable
  18. 18. myfavoritedinosaur.com, LadyofHats, OpenClips Reason
  19. 19. Science
  20. 20. Hierarchy
  21. 21. Network
  22. 22. La tesi fondamentale della Network Society 1.!! Il cambiamento sociale ed economico può diffondersi solo quando si appoggia su una base tecnologica solida che la rende sostenibile.! ! 2. ! Sono emerse tecnologie globali decentralizzate che ottengono risultati superiori rispetto a quelle centralizzate e gerarchiche.! ! 3. ! Queste tecnologie inarrestabili minano alla base i pilastri che supportano lo Stato Nazione. L’organizzazione socioeconomica risultante è la Network Society. David Orban – Network Society Project – http://netsoc.org
  23. 23. Network Society Pillars
  24. 24. Photovoltaics - Ecat? 1. Energy
  25. 25. 2. Manufacturing
  26. 26. 3D hydroponics - Plantlab plantlab 3. Food
  27. 27. 4. Health
  28. 28. 5. Learning
  29. 29. P2P Currency - Bitcoin sylvar 6. Finance
  30. 30. 7. Security
  31. 31. 8. Policy
  32. 32. thecrazyfilmgirl Unstoppable
  33. 33. Toolbox
  34. 34. Living In The Network Society
  35. 35. New Organizations
  36. 36. Empowerment
  37. 37. Emancipation
  38. 38. Experiential
  39. 39. Learning
  40. 40. Title Text Body Level One Body Level Two Body Level Three Body Level Four Body Level Five Overcoming Dichotomy Sustainability For-Profit Nonprofit New Economical ✔ ✘ ✔ Social & ! Environmental ✘ ✔ ✔
  41. 41. Dignity
  42. 42. Community Ilya Frankazoid / shutterstock.com
  43. 43. Spiking State of Alarm
  44. 44. Incumbent systems https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zongli_Yamen#mediaviewer/File:Zongli_Yamen_members_1894.jpg Bureaucracies
  45. 45. Resistant
  46. 46. http://bestandworstever.blogspot.it/2012/04/worst-playground-sign-ever.html Precaution
  47. 47. http://pixabay.com/en/mimic-panic-scratch-woman-person-156928/ Panic
  48. 48. Overreaction
  49. 49. Overreaction
  50. 50. Overreaction
  51. 51. Overreaction
  52. 52. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Don't_Panic_Badge.jpg It’s All OK
  53. 53. Proactionary
  54. 54. Organizations Networked exponentials
  55. 55. Questions 1. Who is an Entrepreneur? 2. Who is a Manager? 3. Who is a Creative (Designer, Engineer)?
  56. 56. The average lifespan of an S&P 500 company has decreased from 67 years in the 1920s to 15 years today.
  57. 57. Ten Times Better Performance
  58. 58. New Information Layers HTML (text) Video Social Profiles Location Health Data Sensor Networks Internet of Things
  59. 59. Unexpected Consequences
  60. 60. Unanticipated Communications
  61. 61. Video has the broadest emotional bandwidth
  62. 62. 90% of Global Traffic by 2015 Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015 Over 60% of doctors learn from online video 93% take action after viewing them
  63. 63. A billion people to have their own voice to contribute ! to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”
  64. 64. Video Discovery “shield of red shadows”
  65. 65. Unmanageable Complexity
  66. 66. Unprecedented Value
  67. 67. PrinciplesSome
  68. 68. Transparency
  69. 69. Identity
  70. 70. Trust
  71. 71. Any body where time {
  72. 72. Open Source Distributed Decentralized
  73. 73. Searching
  74. 74. Topic Area DepthofExploration A B C 1 2 … ∞ 3 … ∞ Solution Search Space
  75. 75. Depth First Search Strategy A B C 1 2 3 4 5 Topic Area DepthofExploration … ∞
  76. 76. Breadth First Search Strategy A B C D E 1 2 3 Topic Area DepthofExploration … ∞
  77. 77. David Gelb
  78. 78. Winning strategy – Jiro Ono A B C 1 2 … ∞ sushi! Topic Area DepthofExploration Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi” 3 … ∞
  79. 79. cosimoorban
  80. 80. Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman A B … ∞ 1 2 design! Topic Area DepthofExploration Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED … ∞ 3 C
  81. 81. Trying
  82. 82. The Privilege of Failure • Social Networks • Global markets • Location • Mobile “The formula for success? 
 Double your rate of failure.” Thomas J. Watson, IBM “The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate, without increasing the cost of our success” Cory Doctorow
  83. 83. The Privilege of Failure
  84. 84. Innovating
  85. 85. Inventing
  86. 86. Questions Answers Ignorance
  87. 87. Competitiveness Innovation Invention!
  88. 88. Adapting
  89. 89. Adopting
  90. 90. davidorban.com @davidorban ! @dotsub @singularityu

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