1.
Exponentials And Networks
The Existential Challenge Of Radical Innovation For The Enterprise
October 2014, Salerno, Italy

2.
David Orban
CEO, Dotsub
Advisor & Faculty, Singularity University
!
@davidorban
@dotsub
@singularityu

3.
1. Exponentials
2. Networks
3. Organizations
4. Principles
5. Q&A

4.
Exponentials
Intro To 2
x

5.
..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...

6.
..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128

7.
2000: First Human Genome at $3B

8.
2014: Human Genome at $2K

9.
Confusing
Obvious

10.
2002
16%
2004
14%
2006
12%
2008 10%

11.
Networks
From hierarchies to heterarchies

12.
The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet

13.
Exponential

14.
Pyramids
archer10
Dreams

15.
Network Age
jurvetson
Achievements

16.
99%
1% 2%
98%
10.000 BC Today
terrestrial
vertebrates
in the wild
humans
pets
cattle
Anthropocene

17.
Anthropocene
Unsustainable

18.
myfavoritedinosaur.com, LadyofHats, OpenClips
Reason

19.
Science

20.
Hierarchy

21.
Network

22.
La tesi fondamentale della Network Society
1.!! Il cambiamento sociale ed economico può diffondersi solo quando si appoggia
su una base tecnologica solida che la rende sostenibile.!
!
2. ! Sono emerse tecnologie globali decentralizzate che ottengono risultati superiori
rispetto a quelle centralizzate e gerarchiche.!
!
3. ! Queste tecnologie inarrestabili minano alla base i pilastri che supportano lo
Stato Nazione. L’organizzazione socioeconomica risultante è la Network Society.
David Orban – Network Society Project – http://netsoc.org

23.
Network Society Pillars

24.
Photovoltaics - Ecat?
1. Energy

25.
2. Manufacturing

26.
3D hydroponics - Plantlab
plantlab
3. Food

27.
4. Health

28.
5. Learning

29.
P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
6. Finance

30.
7. Security

31.
8. Policy

32.
thecrazyfilmgirl
Unstoppable

33.
Toolbox

34.
Living In The Network Society

35.
New Organizations

36.
Empowerment

37.
Emancipation

38.
Experiential

39.
Learning

40.
Title Text
Body Level One
Body Level Two
Body Level Three
Body Level Four
Body Level Five
Overcoming Dichotomy
Sustainability For-Profit Nonprofit New
Economical ✔ ✘ ✔
Social & !
Environmental ✘ ✔ ✔

41.
Dignity

42.
Community
Ilya Frankazoid / shutterstock.com

43.
Spiking State of Alarm

44.
Incumbent systems
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zongli_Yamen#mediaviewer/File:Zongli_Yamen_members_1894.jpg
Bureaucracies

45.
Resistant

46.
http://bestandworstever.blogspot.it/2012/04/worst-playground-sign-ever.html
Precaution

47.
http://pixabay.com/en/mimic-panic-scratch-woman-person-156928/
Panic

48.
Overreaction

49.
Overreaction

50.
Overreaction

51.
Overreaction

52.
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Don't_Panic_Badge.jpg
It’s All OK

53.
Proactionary

54.
Organizations
Networked exponentials

55.
Questions
1. Who is an Entrepreneur?
2. Who is a Manager?
3. Who is a Creative (Designer, Engineer)?

56.
The average lifespan of an
S&P 500 company has
decreased from 67 years in
the 1920s to 15 years today.

57.
Ten Times Better Performance

58.
New Information Layers
HTML (text)
Video
Social Profiles
Location
Health Data
Sensor Networks
Internet of Things

59.
Unexpected Consequences

60.
Unanticipated Communications

61.
Video has the broadest
emotional bandwidth

62.
90% of Global Traffic by 2015
Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015
Over 60% of doctors
learn from online video
93% take action after
viewing them

63.
A billion people to have their own voice to contribute !
to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”

64.
Video Discovery
“shield of red shadows”

65.
Unmanageable Complexity

66.
Unprecedented Value

67.
PrinciplesSome

68.
Transparency

69.
Identity

70.
Trust

71.
Any
body
where
time
{

72.
Open Source
Distributed
Decentralized

73.
Searching

74.
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
A B C
1
2
…
∞
3
… ∞
Solution Search Space

75.
Depth First Search Strategy
A B C
1
2
3
4
5
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
… ∞

76.
Breadth First Search Strategy
A B C D E
1
2
3
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
…
∞

77.
David Gelb

78.
Winning strategy – Jiro Ono
A B C
1
2
…
∞
sushi!
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”
3
… ∞

79.
cosimoorban

80.
Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman
A B … ∞
1
2
design!
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED
…
∞
3
C

81.
Trying

82.
The Privilege of Failure
• Social Networks
• Global markets
• Location
• Mobile
“The formula for success?
Double your rate of failure.”
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate,
without increasing the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow

83.
The Privilege of Failure

84.
Innovating

85.
Inventing

86.
Questions
Answers
Ignorance

87.
Competitiveness
Innovation
Invention!

88.
Adapting

89.
Adopting

90.
davidorban.com
@davidorban
!
@dotsub
@singularityu