This document discusses several trends related to technology and the future, including: - Increased global mobility and connectivity - A shift towards free agency and less traditional careers/retirement models - Accelerating technological change and its impact on businesses and society - Emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, robotics, and biotechnology - The importance of foresight, innovation and adapting to changes

1. Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert
www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
craig@futuretrendsgroup.com
Up

2. Up

3. Up

4. Up

5. www.VaclavSmil.com
Up

6. Question:
There are two durable camps out
there, those who warn that humanity
has overshot and is destined to crash,
like Wile E. Coyote over the cliff, and
those who insist that the human traits
of innovation and adaptation will get
us through. Who’s right?
Up

7. Answer:
People want to have it not so messy,
but both are true…
We keep redefining resources all the
time…
On the other hand, we have news
like GM is unloading Hummer onto
who, the Chinese…
Up

8. The Case for Foresight:
things might be moving faster
than you think...
Up

9. Craig Venter Invents the Future...Again
Up

10. Data Storage of the Future: Bacteria?
Chinese researchers
have developed a way to
use E.coli to store data
One gram of the
bacteria could store
90 Gigabytes of Data
Up

11. Up

12. Up

13. Up

14. THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE
Ultimate Upgrades
24 Will we be able to regrow body parts, organs in the near future? Scientists are making major breakthroughs right now.
Up

15. Up

16. Questions:
Do you think foresight and innovation is important
- or just a bunch of hooey?
What happens to organisations that don’t truly
innovate?
Can you think of any books, talks or videos have you
enjoyed about the above subjects?
What is your opinion of the developments in the
area of synthetic life forms - opportunity or threat?
Up

17. TED.com - Started by Futurists!
Sign In Register Sign In Register
Themes TED Conferences TED Conversations About TED
Themes TED Conferences TED Conversations About TED
Speakers TEDx Events TED Community TED Blog
Speakers TEDx Events TED Community TED Blog
Talks TED Prize TED Initiatives
Talks TED Prize TED Initiatives
Translations TED Fellows
Translations TED Fellows
Search
Search
Talks Tag > Future Talks Tag > Innovation
Showing 1 - 12 of 36
Showing 1 - 12 of 29
Sort by: Sort by: Alphabet
Sort by: Sort by: Alphabet
Amber Case: We are all cyborgs now Aimee Mullins and her 12 pairs of legs
07:53 Posted: Jan 2011 09:58 Posted: Mar 2009 Anil Gupta: India's hidden hotbeds of Anupam Mishra: The ancient ingenuity of
Comments 181 Emailed 583 Comments 142 Emailed 2129 invention water harvesting
22:55 Posted: May 2010 17:14 Posted: Dec 2009
Comments 92 Emailed 333 Comments 110 Emailed 511
Alex Tabarrok on how ideas trump crises Aubrey de Grey says we can avoid aging
14:33 Posted: Apr 2009 22:45 Posted: Oct 2006 Brian Cox: Why we need the explorers Carne Ross: An independent diplomat
Comments 166 Emailed 313 Comments 342 Emailed 1214 16:29 Posted: Jun 2010 20:38 Posted: Sep 2010
Comments 1216 Emailed 224 Comments 96 Emailed 220
Bill Joy: What I'm worried about, what I'm Bjorn Lomborg sets global priorities
excited about 16:41 Posted: Jan 2007 Cat Laine: Engineering a better life for all Charles Leadbeater on innovation
19:02 Posted: Nov 2008 Comments 300 Emailed 559 14:49 Posted: Dec 2009 19:01 Posted: Jan 2007
Comments 29 Emailed 131 Comments 94 Emailed 222 Comments 51 Emailed 657
David Byrne sings "(Nothing But) Flowers" David Byrne: How architecture helped
03:15 Posted: Oct 2010 music evolve
Charles Leadbeater: Education innovation Chris Anderson: How web video powers
Comments 63 Emailed 163 17:47 Posted: Jun 2010
in the slums global innovation
Comments 125 Emailed 910
18:58 Posted: Jun 2010 18:53 Posted: Sep 2010
Comments 113 Emailed 711 Comments 530 Emailed 1384
Eric Giler demos wireless electricity George Dyson on Project Orion
10:09 Posted: Aug 2009 08:38 Posted: Feb 2008
Comments 297 Emailed 2295 Comments 31 Emailed 239
Dale Dougherty: We are makers Dean Kamen on inventing and giving
11:47 Posted: Feb 2011 20:07 Posted: Apr 2007
Comments 74 Emailed 228 Comments 47 Emailed 192
Ian Goldin: Navigating our global future Jamais Cascio on tools for a better world
07:06 Posted: Oct 2009 16:15 Posted: Jan 2009
Comments 75 Emailed 236 Comments 23 Emailed 106 Eric Lewis rocks the jazz world Gever Tulley teaches life lessons through
10:36 Posted: Mar 2009 tinkering
Comments 181 Emailed 568 04:05 Posted: Jun 2009
Comments 148 Emailed 875
Up

18. Audible.com
/twit2
Up

19. Free Download: is.gd/think
Up

20. Education
Re-Engineering
Global Free
Mobility Agency
Age Gap People End of
Retirement
Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size
or
Sh k/L - n
ift ife ter tio
In nec
Marketing Co
n Unbreakable
Megatrend Tech
Acceleration
Globalised
Outrageous Business Technology Cloud
Outsourcing Computing
Crowdsourcing eMemory
Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile
Business Imperative Rise Madness
Up

21. Education
Re-Engineering
Global Free
Mobility Agency
Age Gap People End of
Retirement
Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size
or
Sh k/L - n
ift ife ter tio
In nec
Marketing Co
n Unbreakable
Megatrend Tech
Acceleration
Globalised
Outrageous Business Technology Cloud
Outsourcing Computing
Crowdsourcing eMemory
Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile
Business Imperative Rise Madness
Up

22. Cray-1 US$8 million
80 MegaFLOPS
Speed & Size
Up

23. Sony
PlayStation 3
US$400
218 GigaFLOPS
Up

24. Up

25. The $100 PC - nComputing.com
Share this login blog languages
enterprise
powerful computing
for powerful companies
small & medium business
whatever the size of your
business we have a solution
education
invest in solutions that give
more tools to your students
government
get things running smoothly
with our computing power
Looking for an all-inclusive, pre-tested and easy to deploy solution that will
give you the ability to virtualize your budget? With NComputing’s new In a
NComputing is the fastest growing desktop virtualization company in the
Box solutions you are getting just that. Find out how you can reduce
world with over 20 million daily users in 140 countries. The company's
maintenance and support costs by 75%, reduce power and cooling
award-winning, patented technology lowers desktop computing costs,
requirements by 90% and be a leader in your community with Green
improves manageability, and reduces both energy consumption and e-waste.
computing.
It is the perfect solution for leveraging the power and potential of PCs and
cloud computing.
Up

26. Millimetre-Scale Computer
Up

27. Education
Re-Engineering
Global Free
Mobility Agency
Age Gap People End of
Retirement
Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size
or
Sh k/L - n
ift ife ter tio
In nec
Marketing Co
n Unbreakable
Megatrend Tech
Acceleration
Globalised
Outrageous Business Technology Cloud
Outsourcing Computing
Crowdsourcing eMemory
Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile
Business Imperative Rise Madness
Up

28. Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp –
The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
120
~120MM+
Mobile Internet
100 iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
Desktop Internet
80
Subscribers (MM)
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
60
Mobile Internet
~32MM NTT docomo i-mode
40 Launched 6/99
Desktop Internet
20 ~27MM
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~9MM
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 8
Data as of CQ3:10.
Up

29. 380M
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
100
~85MM
Mobile Internet Desktop Internet
80
iPhone + iTouch Netscape*
Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)
60
Mobile Internet
~31MM NTT docomo i-mode
40
Launched 6/99
~18MM Desktop Internet
20
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~8MM
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7
Up

30. 468M
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
100
~85MM
Mobile Internet Desktop Internet
80
iPhone + iTouch Netscape*
Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94
Subscribers (MM)
60
Mobile Internet
~31MM NTT docomo i-mode
40
Launched 6/99
~18MM Desktop Internet
20
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
~8MM
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
Up
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7

31. New Computing Cycle Characteristics
B-Billions not M-Millions
Reduce Usage Friction Via Better Processing Power + Improved User Interface +
Smaller Form Factor + Lower Prices + Expanded Services = 10x More Devices
Computing Growth Drivers Over Time, 1960-2020E
More than
Just Phones
1,000,000
Mobile iPad
Internet Smartphone
100,000 Kindle
Devices/Users (MM in Log Scale)
Desktop Tablet
10,000 Internet MP3
Cell phone/
PDA
1000
10B+ Car Electronics
PC GPS, ABS, A/V
Units???
100 Mobile
1B+ Units/ Video
Minicomputer
Users
100MM+ Home
10 Entertainment
Units
Mainframe Games
10MM+ Units
1 Wireless Home
Appliances
1MM+ Units
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Note: PC installed base reached 100MM in 1993, cellphone/Internet users reached 1B in 2002/2005 respectively;
Source: ITU, Mark Lipacis, Morgan Stanley Research.
49
Up

32. Security Metering
Access
Control
Money
Body
Engines
Up

33. Forecast:
1 Trillion Connected
Devices by 2015
Source: IBM
Up

34. Your mobile phone has
more computing power than
all of NASA in 1969.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732

35. NASA put a man on the moon.
http://history.nasa.gov/ap11ann/kippsphotos/apollo.html

36. ...We put a bird into pigs.
– @moskovich
http://www.flickr.com/photos/denisdervisevic/4568726847

37. over 100 million
iPhones sold*
h p://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/iPhone
On March 2, 2011, at the iPad 2 event, Apple announced that they have sold 100 million iPhones.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/36340796@N05/4862291108

38. but...

39. 6.8 billion
number of people on the planet...
*2010 estimates put the population over 6.8 billion inhabitants...

40. 77%
number of people with a mobile device
or 5.3 billion at the end of 2010 – U.N. Telecommunications Agency, http://www.itu.int

41. smartphones
Global smartphone penetration is only 23%...
http://www.visionmobile.com/blog/2011/04/100-million-club-2h10/

42. Education
Re-Engineering
Global Free
Mobility Agency
Age Gap People End of
Retirement
Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size
or
Sh k/L - n
ift ife ter tio
In nec
Marketing Co
n Unbreakable
Megatrend Tech
Acceleration
Globalised
Outrageous Business Technology Cloud
Outsourcing Computing
Crowdsourcing eMemory
Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile
Business Imperative Rise Madness
Up

43. What is Cloud Computing?
Up

44. Up

45. “Cloud
Computing isn’t
really about
technology - it’s
really about
thinking of IT in a
whole new way.”
Up

46. Cloud Computing - The Buzz
Sign in to see and export additional Trends
data.
cloud computing
Search Trends
Tip: Use commas to compare multiple search terms.
Searches Websites All regions All years
cloud computing
Google looks to be 'cloud-computing' rainmaker
for other online business services
Winnipeg Free Press - Mar 10 2010
Cloud computing and the economy
CNET - Apr 13 2010
Microsoft's Top Software Architect, a Cloud
Computing Advocate, Quits
New York Times - Oct 19 2010
Cloud computing 'could give EU 763bn-euro
boost'
BBC News - Dec 7 2010
Technology expo in Germany harnesses 'cloud
computing'
BusinessWorld Online - Feb 28 2011
Rank by cloud computing
Local IT firm unveils cloud computing services
Inquirer.net - May 10 2011
Up

47. Google’s Green Data Centers
Up

48. Amazon’s Cloud Powers Innovative Startups
Amazon Web Services Growth - Source: www.JackofAllClouds.com
Up

49. Up

50. Cloud Computing Top Apps
1. Google Apps (Worldclass Mail, Calendar, Docs, Sites)
2. Google Apps Market Place (100’s of click-to-install apps)
3. MailChimp.com (Best Email Marketing Service)
4. BatchBook.com (Social-Aware Customer DB System)
5. ShoeBoxed.com.au (Fantastic Card & Receipt Scanning)
6. Setster.com (Online Appointement System)
7. SquareSpace.com (Killer Website Builder Including Hosting)
8. Evernote.com (Capture/Find Any Digital Files Instantly)
9. AwayFind.com (Email Alerting System)
10. Aviary.com (Free Alternative To Photoshop)
Up

51. Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert
www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
craig@futuretrendsgroup.com
Up