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Leadership & Media Communication
in the Face of a Potentially Catastrophic Hurricane
Hurricane Rita: Crisis Communication Model



                                 Intensification Loop

 NOAA          Media           Officials            Media       Public     Media
                               Insiders
                            Aid Services                     Discussion
                           1st Responders
                                                             Experience



                                Context: Hurricane Katrina



Gatekeeping functions & sensationalism reduces the Cone of Uncertainty.
Path of devastation becomes inevitable.
Discussion of alternative scenario becomes irresponsible.
MEDIA COMMUNICATION

“When this is over and
everybody’s home, two things
need to be investigated and
corrected: Houston’s evacuation
plans - and television news’ role
in making us all crazy this past
week.” Ken Hoffman (Houston Chronicle)
‣ An official category 5 monster
                                           ‣ The most powerful hurricane ever to
                                            enter the gulf
                                           ‣ One of the largest storms ever to hit
                                            the Gulf Coast
                                           ‣ One of the largest and most
                                            destructive storms that people in
                                            these parts have ever seen
                                           ‣ Third strongest Atlantic hurricane
                                            ever recorded
                                           ‣ A very enormous storm
                                           ‣ The worst of hurricanes

                                           ‣ About as strong as a hurricane gets



Naming the Storm in the Media
(Examples from news broadcasts between Sept. 21 & Sept. 22)
Media Descriptions of Worst Case Scenarios

“Pretty much everything in
its path is going down,
Wolf. Well constructed
buildings, they’d have to
be pretty solid concrete to
be able to sustain winds
like that.” CNN meteorologist


“Well-built homes will be       “Residences and industrial buildings (will) be
destroyed. [...] But well-      destroyed. All shrubs, trees, signs (will be)
constructed homes, (will        blown down.”
be) very well demolished
through the storm system,       “There could be as much as $73 billion worth
not much can survive            of damage, 124 million tons of debris,
that.” CNN meteorologist        destroying maybe 120,000 homes.”
Graphics as Fear
Appeals

“You see Galveston there, the
inlet. What we’re talking about,
if you went to this category of
storm would be flooding [sic]
that would make the picture
look like that.”

“Basically the island would
disappear underwater.”

“Essentially it would all go
completely underwater.”
-- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent
              (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
Blitzer: Hurricane Rita now officially a
                                              Category 5 monster [...] the mayor
                                              now calling for a voluntary evacuation
                                              of the Houston area. That’s about 4
                                              million people in the Greater Houston
                                              Metropolitan Area. Mayor Bill White
                                              said this only a few moments ago.
                                                          (Begin Video Clip)

                                              White: All people who are in the storm
                                              surge areas, all the regions, A, B, and
                                              C, are encouraged to evacuate.



Amplifying the Problem in the News
The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer (Sept. 21, 2005)
Hurricane Rita: Crisis Communication Model


                      Intensification Loop

NOAA   Media        Officials           Media       Public     Media
                    Insiders
                 Aid Services                    Discussion
                1st Responders
                                                 Experience



                    Context: Hurricane Katrina
“We are calling for voluntary evacuation from several
different areas.” Mayor Bill White, Sept. 21.

“Is there a mandatory evacuation in Houston or is this
simply voluntary?” “There is a mandatory, and
mandatory does not mean that we’re going to force
people to leave.” Wolf Blitzer talking to Houston Police Chief Harold
Hurtt, Sept. 22.



“We’re not going to stop anybody. And now we are in
the process of adjusting the plans to accommodate
everybody that wants to leave.” Police Chief Hurtt, Sept. 22.


“If some people insist on staying -- perhaps they should
write their Social Security numbers on their arms with
indelible ink.” Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco & Port Lavaca Mayor
Alan Tharling, Sept. 22.



42% of people outside evacuation areas left.

Mandatory, voluntary, or general evacuation?
Messages before &
during the evacuation

‣ Get see Galveston there,
“You water & batteries      the
inlet. What we’re talking about,
‣ Stay on the evacuation route
if you went to this category of
‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic]
storm would be underway
that would make the picture
‣ Contra-flow is about to open
look like that.”
‣ You made the right choice

“Basically the island a hotel
‣ Drive until you find would
disappear underwater.”

“Essentially it would all go
  Problem:
completely underwater.”
  ‣ No routes out & no gas
-- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent
   ‣ No hotels Situation Room, Sept. 21)
              (The

  ‣   100+ degree heat
Official Advice: “Buy water and batteries”
Empty store shelves in the wake of Rita
Messages before &
during the evacuation

‣ Get see Galveston there,
“You water & batteries      the
inlet. What we’re talking about,
‣ Stay on the evacuation route
if you went to this category of
‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic]
storm would be underway
that would make the picture
‣ Contra-flow is about to open
look like that.”
‣ You made the right choice

“Basically the island a hotel
‣ Drive until you find would
disappear underwater.”

“Essentially it would all go
completely underwater.”
-- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent
              (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
Traffic
Traffic




    21% spent 20 hours
    or more on the road
Messages before &
during the evacuation

‣ Get see Galveston there,
“You water & batteries      the
inlet. What we’re talking about,
‣ Stay on the evacuation route
if you went to this category of
‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic]
storm would be underway
that would make the picture
‣ Contra-flow is about to open
look like that.”
‣ You made the right choice

“Basically the island a hotel
‣ Drive until you find would
disappear underwater.”

“Essentially it would all go
completely underwater.”
-- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent
              (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
“Drive until you find a hotel”   Best Western Vacancies
“Drive until you find a hotel”   Best Western Vacancies
Rita: A Communication Crisis?

‣   Unclear evacuation orders           ‣   Media graphics as fear appeals

‣   Unhelpful advice to stranded        ‣   Media discussion of worst case
    motorists                               scenarios

‣   Exaggerated statements of the way   ‣   Media sensationalism in naming
    back                                    the storm

                                        ‣   Media misrepresentations of
                                            official messages
CREDITS
Corinne Weisgerber, Ph.D.          Shannan Butler, Ph.D.
Associate Prof. of Communication   Associate Prof. of Communication
St. Edward’s University            St. Edward’s University
@corinnew                          @shannanbutler

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Communicating Hurricane Evacuation Orders: A Case Study

  • 1. Leadership & Media Communication in the Face of a Potentially Catastrophic Hurricane
  • 2. Hurricane Rita: Crisis Communication Model Intensification Loop NOAA Media Officials Media Public Media Insiders Aid Services Discussion 1st Responders Experience Context: Hurricane Katrina Gatekeeping functions & sensationalism reduces the Cone of Uncertainty. Path of devastation becomes inevitable. Discussion of alternative scenario becomes irresponsible.
  • 3. MEDIA COMMUNICATION “When this is over and everybody’s home, two things need to be investigated and corrected: Houston’s evacuation plans - and television news’ role in making us all crazy this past week.” Ken Hoffman (Houston Chronicle)
  • 4. ‣ An official category 5 monster ‣ The most powerful hurricane ever to enter the gulf ‣ One of the largest storms ever to hit the Gulf Coast ‣ One of the largest and most destructive storms that people in these parts have ever seen ‣ Third strongest Atlantic hurricane ever recorded ‣ A very enormous storm ‣ The worst of hurricanes ‣ About as strong as a hurricane gets Naming the Storm in the Media (Examples from news broadcasts between Sept. 21 & Sept. 22)
  • 5. Media Descriptions of Worst Case Scenarios “Pretty much everything in its path is going down, Wolf. Well constructed buildings, they’d have to be pretty solid concrete to be able to sustain winds like that.” CNN meteorologist “Well-built homes will be “Residences and industrial buildings (will) be destroyed. [...] But well- destroyed. All shrubs, trees, signs (will be) constructed homes, (will blown down.” be) very well demolished through the storm system, “There could be as much as $73 billion worth not much can survive of damage, 124 million tons of debris, that.” CNN meteorologist destroying maybe 120,000 homes.”
  • 6. Graphics as Fear Appeals “You see Galveston there, the inlet. What we’re talking about, if you went to this category of storm would be flooding [sic] that would make the picture look like that.” “Basically the island would disappear underwater.” “Essentially it would all go completely underwater.” -- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
  • 7. Blitzer: Hurricane Rita now officially a Category 5 monster [...] the mayor now calling for a voluntary evacuation of the Houston area. That’s about 4 million people in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area. Mayor Bill White said this only a few moments ago. (Begin Video Clip) White: All people who are in the storm surge areas, all the regions, A, B, and C, are encouraged to evacuate. Amplifying the Problem in the News The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer (Sept. 21, 2005)
  • 8. Hurricane Rita: Crisis Communication Model Intensification Loop NOAA Media Officials Media Public Media Insiders Aid Services Discussion 1st Responders Experience Context: Hurricane Katrina
  • 9. “We are calling for voluntary evacuation from several different areas.” Mayor Bill White, Sept. 21. “Is there a mandatory evacuation in Houston or is this simply voluntary?” “There is a mandatory, and mandatory does not mean that we’re going to force people to leave.” Wolf Blitzer talking to Houston Police Chief Harold Hurtt, Sept. 22. “We’re not going to stop anybody. And now we are in the process of adjusting the plans to accommodate everybody that wants to leave.” Police Chief Hurtt, Sept. 22. “If some people insist on staying -- perhaps they should write their Social Security numbers on their arms with indelible ink.” Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco & Port Lavaca Mayor Alan Tharling, Sept. 22. 42% of people outside evacuation areas left. Mandatory, voluntary, or general evacuation?
  • 10. Messages before & during the evacuation ‣ Get see Galveston there, “You water & batteries the inlet. What we’re talking about, ‣ Stay on the evacuation route if you went to this category of ‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic] storm would be underway that would make the picture ‣ Contra-flow is about to open look like that.” ‣ You made the right choice “Basically the island a hotel ‣ Drive until you find would disappear underwater.” “Essentially it would all go Problem: completely underwater.” ‣ No routes out & no gas -- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent ‣ No hotels Situation Room, Sept. 21) (The ‣ 100+ degree heat
  • 11. Official Advice: “Buy water and batteries” Empty store shelves in the wake of Rita
  • 12. Messages before & during the evacuation ‣ Get see Galveston there, “You water & batteries the inlet. What we’re talking about, ‣ Stay on the evacuation route if you went to this category of ‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic] storm would be underway that would make the picture ‣ Contra-flow is about to open look like that.” ‣ You made the right choice “Basically the island a hotel ‣ Drive until you find would disappear underwater.” “Essentially it would all go completely underwater.” -- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
  • 14. Traffic 21% spent 20 hours or more on the road
  • 15. Messages before & during the evacuation ‣ Get see Galveston there, “You water & batteries the inlet. What we’re talking about, ‣ Stay on the evacuation route if you went to this category of ‣ Fuel trucks are flooding [sic] storm would be underway that would make the picture ‣ Contra-flow is about to open look like that.” ‣ You made the right choice “Basically the island a hotel ‣ Drive until you find would disappear underwater.” “Essentially it would all go completely underwater.” -- Wolf Blitzer talking to CNN correspondent (The Situation Room, Sept. 21)
  • 16. “Drive until you find a hotel” Best Western Vacancies
  • 17. “Drive until you find a hotel” Best Western Vacancies
  • 18. Rita: A Communication Crisis? ‣ Unclear evacuation orders ‣ Media graphics as fear appeals ‣ Unhelpful advice to stranded ‣ Media discussion of worst case motorists scenarios ‣ Exaggerated statements of the way ‣ Media sensationalism in naming back the storm ‣ Media misrepresentations of official messages
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. CREDITS Corinne Weisgerber, Ph.D. Shannan Butler, Ph.D. Associate Prof. of Communication Associate Prof. of Communication St. Edward’s University St. Edward’s University @corinnew @shannanbutler