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Q1 2012 | office



      cincinnati, oh

      the knowledge report




                                                                                     OFFICE MARKET OFF TO A GOOD START
                                                                                     executive summary
                                                                                     The Greater Cincinnati Office Market saw a good amount of activity in the first quarter of 2012,
                                                                                     producing 449,759 square feet of positive absorption. The overall vacancy rate fell from 19.6% to
                                                                                     18.7%, a clear sign that we are headed in the right direction. The overall weighted asking rate for
                                                                                     office properties averaged $18.14 per square foot, up 11 cents from the close of 2011.

                                                                                     central business district
                                                                                     In the Central Business District, the office market saw a great deal of activity, but not enough velocity
 market indicators                                                                   to create any significant absorption. For all property classes, the first quarter net absorption totaled
                                          Q1 12           Q2 12*                     negative 8,596 square feet and the overall vacancy rate stands at 17.82%. As a follow-up to last year’s
                                                                                     string of larger lease signings in the CBD, this submarket continued to make news as KAO USA
                       VACANCY                                                       relocated to 312 Plum Street. The company signed a 55,000-square-foot lease in the Class A building
                                                                                     and will relocate its operations from Spring Grove Avenue. URS also announced it will relocate from
      NET ABSORPTION                                                                 the URS Tower on 7th Street to 525 Vine after signing a 20,551-square-foot lease. This wave of
                                                                                     larger lease signings and announcements should settle for the balance of 2012.
          construction

              rental rate                    —                   —                   suburban markets
                                                                                     The Suburban Submarkets saw the most activity this quarter, producing a total of 458,355 square
                                                                                     feet of position absorption. The vacancy rate for all suburban properties averaged 19.2%, down from
                                        *Projected Change to
                                                                                     20.5% in the fourth quarter of 2011. The Tri-County submarket was the biggest gainer, as net
                                        Following Quarter
                                                                                     absorption totaled 333,434 square feet. Humana Right Source contributed the most square footage
                                                                                     to this absorption when it leased all of the 177,184 SF at Executive Centre I at 111 Merchant Street.
                                                                                     The average rental rate for suburban properties was $20.37 per square foot, compared to an average
                                                                                     rental rate for CBD properties of $19.35 per square foot.
         overall vacancy rate
                                Overall Vacancy Rate                                 construction
24%                                                                                  Construction activity is picking up in the office market, as several new projects have come to life in
22%                                                                                  2012. The most notable is dunnhumbyUSA’s recent announcement to build its headquarters at the
20%                                                                                  long dormant Fifth and Race site downtown. The company is planning up to 250,000 SF of office
18%                                                                                  space to meet its needs of future employment growth. In Mason, Seapine Software announced it will
16%                                                                                  build a 50,000-square-foot headquarters on Western Row. The company will vacate the 38,000 SF
14%                                                                                  space it currently occupies at Triangle Office at Kings Mill. As noted last quarter, several other build-
12%                                                                                  to-suit projects continue to move forward. These projects include the FBI site in Kenwood (109,000
               2Q 10




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                                                                                     square feet), Urology Group’s 45,000-square-foot facility in Norwood, and itelligence’s 85,000-square-
                                                                                     foot building in Blue Ash. For the rest of 2012, these smaller projects will continue to be the norm for
                                                                                     the majority of construction activity in the market.



 www.colliers.com/cincinnati
the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati

         UNEMPLOYMENT                                                                                                                                                                 employment                                     forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                      The Bureau of Labor Statistics                 2012 should to be an interesting year
11.00%                                                                                                                                                                                announced good news for the market,            for commercial real estate. Several
10.50%
                                                                                                                                    Ohio Unemployment Rate
                                                                                                                                                                                      as the U.S. unemployment rate                  variables at play will affect our
10.00%
                                                                                                                                    US Unemployment Rate
                                                                                                                                                                                      continued to fall. While the validity of       market - the overall employment of
                                                                                                                                                                                      these government numbers can be                our country’s workforce, the
 9.50%
                                                                                                                                                                                      debatable, it’s a good sign that               upcoming 2012 elections, and the
 9.00%
                                                                                                                                                                                      companies are beginning to hire and            record-level maturing commercial
 8.50%
                                                                                                                                                                                      put people back to work. The overall           real estate debt. With the first quarter
 8.00%                                                                                                                                                                                U-3 unemployment rate came in at               recording more than 449,000 square
 7.50%                                                                                                                                                                                8.2% for March, down from 8.3% in              feet of positive absorption, we hope
 7.00%
                                                                                                                                                                                      January and February. In comparison,           we can continue to capitalize on this
                                                                                                                                                                                      in October of 2010, the rate stood at          activity and the market will stay on
                                                                                                                                        May-11



                                                                                                                                                          Sep-11
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                                                                         Mar-10
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                                                                Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                      10.0%. Ohio’s unemployment rate is             the upswing of the commercial real
                                                                                                                                                                                      at 7.6%, a nice sign that our state is a       estate cycle.
                                                                                                                                                                                      little healthier than the other 49
                                                                                                                                                                                      states across the country. As
                                                                                                                                                                                      commercial real estate is tied directly
                                                                                                                                                                                      to job growth, we hope these
                                                                                                                                                                                      numbers continue to push us in a
                                                                                                                                                                                      positive direction.


 update               Recent Transactions

 first quarter activity

 Property                                                                                                    submarket                                                               tenant                                      size                       type
 5th & Race Development Site                                                                                 CBD                                                                     dunnhumbyUSA                                250,000                    Build-to-Suit
 237 William Howard Taft                                                                                     Midtown                                                                 Christ Hospital                             152,000                    Lease
 312 Plum                                                                                                    CBD                                                                     KAO USA                                     55,000                     Lease
 Western Row Road Development Site                                                                           I-71 North                                                              Seapine Software LLC                        50,000                     Build-to-Suit
 525 Vine                                                                                                    CBD                                                                     Weltman, Wineberg & Reis                    37,365                     Lease Renewal
 5300 Kings Island Drive                                                                                     I-71 North                                                              ACT, Inc.                                   30,014                     Lease
 312 Elm                                                                                                     CBD                                                                     USI Midwest                                 24,600                     Lease Renewal
 525 Vine                                                                                                    CBD                                                                     URS                                         20,551                     Lease
 8600 Governors Hill Drive                                                                                   I-71 North                                                              General Electric                            20,000                     Lease
 Centre Pointe II                                                                                            I-75 North                                                              General Electric                            14,034                     Lease
 RiverCenter II                                                                                              NKY                                                                     Tier 1 Performance                          12,500                     Lease
 Northmark Business Center 2                                                                                 Blue Ash                                                                CTI                                         11,318                     Lease Expansion
 Wright’s Summit II                                                                                          NKY                                                                     Indiana Institute of Technology             10,767                     Lease
 Kenwood Crossing II                                                                                         Kenwood/Montgomery                                                      St. Elizabeth Physicians                    10,155                     Lease
 6725 Miami Avenue                                                                                           Midtown                                                                 RSW/US                                      10,000                     Lease
 4138 Hamilton Avenue                                                                                        Tri-County/Union Centre                                                 Caracole, Inc.                              9,600                      Lease
 One Riverfront Place                                                                                        NKY                                                                     Local TV, LLC                               8,424                      Lease
 125 East Court Street                                                                                       CBD                                                                     Daymon Worldwide                            7,938                      Lease
 Kenwood Executive Center                                                                                    Kenwood/Montgomery                                                      Care Connections                            6,489                      Lease
 600 Vine                                                                                                    CBD                                                                     Fox Sports Ohio                             6,000                      Lease
 Towers of Kenwood                                                                                           Kenwood/Montgomery                                                      Johnson & Johnson                           5,880                      Lease
 4555 Lake Forest Drive                                                                                      Blue Ash                                                                Cuni, Rust & Strenk                         5,835                      Lease
 312 Elm                                                                                                     CBD                                                                     Union Security Insurance Co.                5,106                      Lease Renewal


p. 2     | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                Transactions are believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.
the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati



                  SUBMARKET DATA

                                                                                             Total Vacant                                         Quarterly
                  SUBMARKET                              Total Inventory                                            Vacancy Rate                                         YTD Absorption                    Avg. Rate
                                                                                                  SF                                             Absorption

                  Blue Ash                                   4,553,708                         768,619                 16.88%                         78,450                      78,450                     $17.81

                  CBD                                        18,008,286                       3,208,790                17.82%                         (8,596)                     (8,596)                    $19.35

                  CBD Periphery                              3,498,638                         901,617                 25.77%                         88,994                      88,994                     $25.77

                  East                                       2,454,545                         443,537                 18.07%                         (1,446)                     (1,446)                    $15.84

                  I-71 Corridor
                                                             4,058,537                         891,709                 21.97%                         36,206                      36,206                     $18.85
                  North
                  I-75 Corridor
                                                             2,247,624                         214,250                 9.53%                          41,553                      41,553                     $20.11
                  North
                  Kenwood /
                                                             2,070,071                         263,156                 12.71%                         21,567                      21,567                     $22.35
                  Montgomery

                  Midtown                                    3,317,554                         490,364                 14.78%                         (9,261)                     (9,261)                    $15.00

                  Northern
                                                             7,366,882                        1,498,959                20.35%                     (111,647)                      (111,647)                   $17.83
                  Kentucky

                  Tri-County                                 4,754,848                        1,069,219                22.49%                         333,434                    333,434                     $15.57

                  West                                        774,742                          193,473                 24.97%                         (19,495)                   (19,495)                    $15.21

                  Market Totals                              53,105,435                       9,943,693                18.72%                         449,759                    449,759                     $18.14




                  avg. asking rates (per sf-full service gross)                                                                              quarterly net absorption

                                                                                                                                           500,000
               $22.00
               $21.00                                                                                                                      400,000
               $20.00
                                                                                                                                           300,000
               $19.00
                                                                                                                             Square Feet




               $18.00                                                                                                                      200,000
                                                                                                                         Class A Rate
               $17.00
               $16.00                                                                                                    Class B Rate 100,000

               $15.00                                                                                                    Overall Rate            0
               $14.00
                                                                                                                                           -100,000
               $13.00
               $12.00                                                                                                                      -200,000
                                                                            1Q11
                               1Q 10




                                                                                               3Q11


                                                                                                      4Q11
                                                     3Q 10


                                                               4Q 10




                                                                                      2Q11




                                                                                                             1Q12
                                          2Q 10




                                                                                                                                                         1Q 10


                                                                                                                                                                 2Q 10




                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q 10
                                                                                                                                                                         3Q 10




                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q 11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q 11


                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q 11




                                                                       Class A Rate

                                                                       Class B Rate

                                                                       Overall Rate
        1Q11




                        3Q11


                                       4Q11
4Q 10




               2Q11




                                                  1Q12




                                                                                                                                                                                           Colliers International |                p. 3
the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati


                                                                          OUTLYING WARREN                         522 offices in
                                                                              COUNTY
                                                                                                                  62 countries on
                                                   I-75 NORTH OF
                                                        I-275
                                                                                                                  6 continents
                                                                                                                  United States: 147
                                                                                                                  Canada: 37
                                                                                                                  Latin America: 19
                                                           I-71 NORTH OF I-275                                    Asia: 36
                                             TRI-COUNTY                                                           ANZ: 165
                             WEST                   BLUE ASH                                                      EMEA: 118
                                                                                                                  •	$1.8   billion in annual revenue
                                                                 KENWOOD/MONTGOMERY
                                                                                                                  •	1.25 billion square feet under
                                                                                                                    management
                                                    MIDTOWN
                                                                                                                  •	Over 12,300 professionals
                                        CBD-PERIPHERY
                                              3                             EAST
                                                                                                                  CEO | Principal:
                              INT’L                                                                               Shenan P. Murphy, CCIM
                              AIRPORT                                                                             +1 513 721 4200
                                                                                                                  Colliers International | Greater Cincinnati
                                 NORTHERN KENTUCKY                                                                425 Walnut Street, Suite 1200
                                            8                                                                     Cincinnati, OH 45202
                                                                                                                  Colliers International statistics are audited annually


Office Services | Greater Cincinnati
                
                                                                                                                  and may result in revisions to previously reported
                                                                                                                  quarterly and final year-end figures




Brian T. Graham, CCIM                   Fred A. Macke, Jr., SIOR             Richard P. Meder                  John P. Schenk, CCIM, SIOR
Brokerage Associate                     Brokerage Senior Vice President      Brokerage Senior Vice President   Brokerage Senior Vice President
brian.graham@colliers.com               Principal | Cincinnati               Principal | Cincinnati            Principal | Cincinnati
dir +1 513 562 2214                     fred.macke@colliers.com              richard.meder@colliers.com        john.schenk@colliers.com
                                        dir +1 513 562 2233                  dir +1 513 562 2253               dir +1 513 562 2279




Matthew H. Smyth                        Chris Vollmer, SIOR                  Chris Vollmer, Jr.
Brokerage Senior Associate              Brokerage Senior Vice President      Brokerage Vice President
matt.smyth@colliers.com                 Principal | Cincinnati               chrisjr.vollmer@colliers.com
dir +1 513 562 2260                     chris.vollmer@colliers.com           dir +1 513 562 2242
                                        dir +1 513 562 2244



www.colliers.com/cincinnati

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Q1 2012 - Cincinnati Office

  • 1. Q1 2012 | office cincinnati, oh the knowledge report OFFICE MARKET OFF TO A GOOD START executive summary The Greater Cincinnati Office Market saw a good amount of activity in the first quarter of 2012, producing 449,759 square feet of positive absorption. The overall vacancy rate fell from 19.6% to 18.7%, a clear sign that we are headed in the right direction. The overall weighted asking rate for office properties averaged $18.14 per square foot, up 11 cents from the close of 2011. central business district In the Central Business District, the office market saw a great deal of activity, but not enough velocity market indicators to create any significant absorption. For all property classes, the first quarter net absorption totaled Q1 12 Q2 12* negative 8,596 square feet and the overall vacancy rate stands at 17.82%. As a follow-up to last year’s string of larger lease signings in the CBD, this submarket continued to make news as KAO USA VACANCY relocated to 312 Plum Street. The company signed a 55,000-square-foot lease in the Class A building and will relocate its operations from Spring Grove Avenue. URS also announced it will relocate from NET ABSORPTION the URS Tower on 7th Street to 525 Vine after signing a 20,551-square-foot lease. This wave of larger lease signings and announcements should settle for the balance of 2012. construction rental rate — — suburban markets The Suburban Submarkets saw the most activity this quarter, producing a total of 458,355 square feet of position absorption. The vacancy rate for all suburban properties averaged 19.2%, down from *Projected Change to 20.5% in the fourth quarter of 2011. The Tri-County submarket was the biggest gainer, as net Following Quarter absorption totaled 333,434 square feet. Humana Right Source contributed the most square footage to this absorption when it leased all of the 177,184 SF at Executive Centre I at 111 Merchant Street. The average rental rate for suburban properties was $20.37 per square foot, compared to an average rental rate for CBD properties of $19.35 per square foot. overall vacancy rate Overall Vacancy Rate construction 24% Construction activity is picking up in the office market, as several new projects have come to life in 22% 2012. The most notable is dunnhumbyUSA’s recent announcement to build its headquarters at the 20% long dormant Fifth and Race site downtown. The company is planning up to 250,000 SF of office 18% space to meet its needs of future employment growth. In Mason, Seapine Software announced it will 16% build a 50,000-square-foot headquarters on Western Row. The company will vacate the 38,000 SF 14% space it currently occupies at Triangle Office at Kings Mill. As noted last quarter, several other build- 12% to-suit projects continue to move forward. These projects include the FBI site in Kenwood (109,000 2Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11 4Q 11 2Q 11 1Q 12 1Q 10 3Q 10 4Q 10 square feet), Urology Group’s 45,000-square-foot facility in Norwood, and itelligence’s 85,000-square- foot building in Blue Ash. For the rest of 2012, these smaller projects will continue to be the norm for the majority of construction activity in the market. www.colliers.com/cincinnati
  • 2. the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati UNEMPLOYMENT employment forecast The Bureau of Labor Statistics 2012 should to be an interesting year 11.00% announced good news for the market, for commercial real estate. Several 10.50% Ohio Unemployment Rate as the U.S. unemployment rate variables at play will affect our 10.00% US Unemployment Rate continued to fall. While the validity of market - the overall employment of these government numbers can be our country’s workforce, the 9.50% debatable, it’s a good sign that upcoming 2012 elections, and the 9.00% companies are beginning to hire and record-level maturing commercial 8.50% put people back to work. The overall real estate debt. With the first quarter 8.00% U-3 unemployment rate came in at recording more than 449,000 square 7.50% 8.2% for March, down from 8.3% in feet of positive absorption, we hope 7.00% January and February. In comparison, we can continue to capitalize on this in October of 2010, the rate stood at activity and the market will stay on May-11 Sep-11 May-09 Mar-10 Sep-09 Jul-10 Nov-10 Mar-11 Mar-09 Jan-09 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Jul-09 Nov-09 Jan-12 Jan-10 10.0%. Ohio’s unemployment rate is the upswing of the commercial real at 7.6%, a nice sign that our state is a estate cycle. little healthier than the other 49 states across the country. As commercial real estate is tied directly to job growth, we hope these numbers continue to push us in a positive direction. update Recent Transactions first quarter activity Property submarket tenant size type 5th & Race Development Site CBD dunnhumbyUSA 250,000 Build-to-Suit 237 William Howard Taft Midtown Christ Hospital 152,000 Lease 312 Plum CBD KAO USA 55,000 Lease Western Row Road Development Site I-71 North Seapine Software LLC 50,000 Build-to-Suit 525 Vine CBD Weltman, Wineberg & Reis 37,365 Lease Renewal 5300 Kings Island Drive I-71 North ACT, Inc. 30,014 Lease 312 Elm CBD USI Midwest 24,600 Lease Renewal 525 Vine CBD URS 20,551 Lease 8600 Governors Hill Drive I-71 North General Electric 20,000 Lease Centre Pointe II I-75 North General Electric 14,034 Lease RiverCenter II NKY Tier 1 Performance 12,500 Lease Northmark Business Center 2 Blue Ash CTI 11,318 Lease Expansion Wright’s Summit II NKY Indiana Institute of Technology 10,767 Lease Kenwood Crossing II Kenwood/Montgomery St. Elizabeth Physicians 10,155 Lease 6725 Miami Avenue Midtown RSW/US 10,000 Lease 4138 Hamilton Avenue Tri-County/Union Centre Caracole, Inc. 9,600 Lease One Riverfront Place NKY Local TV, LLC 8,424 Lease 125 East Court Street CBD Daymon Worldwide 7,938 Lease Kenwood Executive Center Kenwood/Montgomery Care Connections 6,489 Lease 600 Vine CBD Fox Sports Ohio 6,000 Lease Towers of Kenwood Kenwood/Montgomery Johnson & Johnson 5,880 Lease 4555 Lake Forest Drive Blue Ash Cuni, Rust & Strenk 5,835 Lease 312 Elm CBD Union Security Insurance Co. 5,106 Lease Renewal p. 2 | Colliers International Transactions are believed to be accurate but not guaranteed.
  • 3. the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati SUBMARKET DATA Total Vacant Quarterly SUBMARKET Total Inventory Vacancy Rate YTD Absorption Avg. Rate SF Absorption Blue Ash 4,553,708 768,619 16.88% 78,450 78,450 $17.81 CBD 18,008,286 3,208,790 17.82% (8,596) (8,596) $19.35 CBD Periphery 3,498,638 901,617 25.77% 88,994 88,994 $25.77 East 2,454,545 443,537 18.07% (1,446) (1,446) $15.84 I-71 Corridor 4,058,537 891,709 21.97% 36,206 36,206 $18.85 North I-75 Corridor 2,247,624 214,250 9.53% 41,553 41,553 $20.11 North Kenwood / 2,070,071 263,156 12.71% 21,567 21,567 $22.35 Montgomery Midtown 3,317,554 490,364 14.78% (9,261) (9,261) $15.00 Northern 7,366,882 1,498,959 20.35% (111,647) (111,647) $17.83 Kentucky Tri-County 4,754,848 1,069,219 22.49% 333,434 333,434 $15.57 West 774,742 193,473 24.97% (19,495) (19,495) $15.21 Market Totals 53,105,435 9,943,693 18.72% 449,759 449,759 $18.14 avg. asking rates (per sf-full service gross) quarterly net absorption 500,000 $22.00 $21.00 400,000 $20.00 300,000 $19.00 Square Feet $18.00 200,000 Class A Rate $17.00 $16.00 Class B Rate 100,000 $15.00 Overall Rate 0 $14.00 -100,000 $13.00 $12.00 -200,000 1Q11 1Q 10 3Q11 4Q11 3Q 10 4Q 10 2Q11 1Q12 2Q 10 1Q 10 2Q 10 4Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 2Q 11 4Q 11 1Q 12 3Q 11 Class A Rate Class B Rate Overall Rate 1Q11 3Q11 4Q11 4Q 10 2Q11 1Q12 Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. the knowledge report | Q1 2012 | office | cincinnati OUTLYING WARREN 522 offices in COUNTY 62 countries on I-75 NORTH OF I-275 6 continents United States: 147 Canada: 37 Latin America: 19 I-71 NORTH OF I-275 Asia: 36 TRI-COUNTY ANZ: 165 WEST BLUE ASH EMEA: 118 • $1.8 billion in annual revenue KENWOOD/MONTGOMERY • 1.25 billion square feet under management MIDTOWN • Over 12,300 professionals CBD-PERIPHERY 3 EAST CEO | Principal: INT’L Shenan P. Murphy, CCIM AIRPORT +1 513 721 4200 Colliers International | Greater Cincinnati NORTHERN KENTUCKY 425 Walnut Street, Suite 1200 8 Cincinnati, OH 45202 Colliers International statistics are audited annually Office Services | Greater Cincinnati and may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly and final year-end figures Brian T. Graham, CCIM Fred A. Macke, Jr., SIOR Richard P. Meder John P. Schenk, CCIM, SIOR Brokerage Associate Brokerage Senior Vice President Brokerage Senior Vice President Brokerage Senior Vice President brian.graham@colliers.com Principal | Cincinnati Principal | Cincinnati Principal | Cincinnati dir +1 513 562 2214 fred.macke@colliers.com richard.meder@colliers.com john.schenk@colliers.com dir +1 513 562 2233 dir +1 513 562 2253 dir +1 513 562 2279 Matthew H. Smyth Chris Vollmer, SIOR Chris Vollmer, Jr. Brokerage Senior Associate Brokerage Senior Vice President Brokerage Vice President matt.smyth@colliers.com Principal | Cincinnati chrisjr.vollmer@colliers.com dir +1 513 562 2260 chris.vollmer@colliers.com dir +1 513 562 2242 dir +1 513 562 2244 www.colliers.com/cincinnati