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Office
Property Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | OCTOBER | 2012




Accelerating success.
3Q 2012 | OFFICE


Research & forecast report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India office market




                                                                 MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
                                                                                                                                 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                 •	India’s GDP growth has slowed to a 3 year
                                                                   low recorded at 5.3% in the April-June                                                                                    Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost
                                                                   quarter of the current fiscal. The wholesale                  10.0%
                                                                                                                                  9.0%
                                                                   price index reached 7.81 per cent in                           8.0%

                                                                   September, and 7.55 per cent in August 2012                    7.0%
                                                                                                                                  6.0%
                                                                   this year much above the RBI’s comfort level.                  5.0%

                                                                 	                                                               4.0%
                                                                                                                                  3.0%
                                                                 •	As the inflation remained higher, the central                 2.0%

                                                                   bank did not provide any repo rate cut this                    1.0%
                                                                                                                                 0.0%
                                                                   quarter. However, in September 2012, the




                                                                                                                                                    Jan - Mar 09

                                                                                                                                                                      Apr - Jun 09

                                                                                                                                                                                        Jul - Sep 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct - Dec 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan - Mar 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Apr - Jun 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jul - Sep 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Oct - Dec 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Apr - Jun 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jul - Sep 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Oct - Dec 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar 12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Apr - Jun 12
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                                RBI did reduced the (CRR) Cash Reserve
                                                                   Ratio by 25 basis points to induce immediate
                                Sep-11                 Sep-12
                                                                   liquidity in the market in its mid year policy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  FDI in Real Estate
                                                                   review. Earlier, in July 2012, the RBI also              16,000
      REPO RATE                     8.50%               8.00%
                                                                   reduced its SLR (Statutory Liquidity                     14,000


                                                                   Requirement) by 1%.
                                                                                                                            12,000
  REVERSE REPO
                                    7.00%               7.00%                                                               10,000
             RATE                                                	                                                               8,000
                                                                                                                     INR Crore




              CRR                   6.00%               4.50%    •	Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India was                  6,000

                                                                   around $1.76 billion in July 2012. Sectors                    4,000


                                                                   which received large FDI inflows were
                                                                                                                                 2,000
       INFLATION                    9.78%                7.81%
                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                   services, pharmaceuticals, construction and
                                                                                                                                                          2005 - 06



                                                                                                                                                                                        2006 - 07



                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2007 - 08



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2008 - 09



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2009 - 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2010 - 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2011-12



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          April -Jun 12
            PRIME
   LENDING Rate
                      10.00% - 10.75%          10.00% - 10.50%     power.
   DEPOSIT RATE
        (<1 YEAR)
                         7.75% - 9.50%           8.00% - 9.25%   •	In 3Q 2012, the Indian Rupee remained under
     Foreign Ex-
                                                                   pressure and closed at 54.31 to 1.00 USD on                     120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                BSE Sensex & Realty Index


         change                     47.55                54.31     15th Sep 2012. The INR further weekend                          115


        INR - USD                                                  against Euro and close at INR 71.30 to 1.00                     110

                                                                                                                                  105
                                                                   Euro.                                                          100
      INR- Euro                     65.60                71.30
                                                                 	                                                                 95

                                                                 •	The new Finance Minister P Chidambaram                          90

                                                                                                                                   85
                                                                   has taken a slew of reform measures such as                     80
Return on Alternative Investments                                  diesel price hike, cap on the number of
                                                                                                                                          2-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                      14-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              27-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9-Aug-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          22-Aug-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4-Sep-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           17-Sep-12




                                                                   subsidised cooking gas cylinders per family,
                          Sep-11        Sep-12          YoY %
                                                                   liberalising foreign holding norms in aviation,     * Rebase to 100                                                                                   BSE Sensex                                                                                  Realty Index


                                                       Change
                                                                   multi-brand retail, non-news broadcasting
            Gold          27,750            31,925     15.05%      and power exchanges sectors, and divesting                     120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Exchange Rates

                                                                   its stake in five companies. However, most of                  115

          SILVER          63,359        63,188         -0.27%      these reform measures faced strong                             110


                                                                   opposition and implementation of these
                                                                                                                                  105

    EQUITY (BSE                                                                                                                   100
                                                                   measures is still uncertain.                                    95
        SENSEX)           16,876        18,542          9.87%
                                                                                                                                   90

   REALTY INDEX             1,799            1,734      -3.61%                                                                     85

                                                                                                                                   80
                                                                                                                                         1-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                     14-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            27-Jul-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9-Aug-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          22-Aug-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4-Sep-12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           17-Sep-12




 Note : As on 15th of September, 2011 and September, 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      USD                                                                                          Euro
                                                                                                                       * Rebase to 100




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
INDIA | 3Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    MUMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	 Approximately 9.4 million sq ft of commercial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Grade ‘A’ office space was available for fit-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Goregoan / JVLR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Kalina
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Worli / Prabhadevi 8%        1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Powai 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     out in 3Q 2012. More than 65% of this total                                                                                     4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Malad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     available space was concentrated in Andheri                                                                       5%                                                                                                                                                         Thane / LBS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     22%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     East, Thane/LBS Marg and Lower Parel.                                                   Navi Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  6%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          CBD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	Project launched this quarter includes “One                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      BKC” by Wadhwa Developers at Bandra-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Kurla-Complex. This Project constitutes                                                      Lower Parel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      19%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      approximately 1.2 million sq ft of Grade ‘A’                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Andheri East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                24%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      office space and expected to be completed by                                                                                                                    BKC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      9%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q 2015.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    •	In 3Q 2012, Grade ‘A’ new supply added up
MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                to approximately 1.2 million sq ft. Project or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      part of project contributing to this new supply                    RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      was “The Capital” by Wadhwa Developers at
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Bandra-Kurla-Complex.                                                         300

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    250

                                                                                                                              2Q 2012                                                             3Q 2012                                           •	Absorption in Mumbai remained upbeat                                          200


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      during the surveyed period and a few large                                    150




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        INR Per Sq ft Per Month
                                                            VACANCY                                                                                                                                                                                   floor plates deals were concluded. Despite                                    100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      increased absorption, average rents for grade
                                           ABSORPTION                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ‘A’ office premises remained stable in almost                                   0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      all of the micro-markets.



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              CBD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Andheri East

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      BKC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Lower Parel

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Malad

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Navi Mumbai

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Powai

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Worli/Prabhdevi

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Goregaon / JVLR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Kalina

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Thane / LBS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Andheri East (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower Parel (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Malad (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Navi Mumbai (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Powai (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Goregaon / JVLR (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Thane / LBS (IT)
                                CONSTRUCTION

                                  RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                      •	Looking ahead, rental values are expected
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Grade A                                                                Grade B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      to remain stable as substantial under
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      construction supply in the pipeline is expected
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      to enter the market in the near future.

             GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                         •	This quarter the LBS Marg flyover has                              prime office space rental trend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      become operational, which is a part of a
                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      crucial Santacruz-Chembur Link Road. The                                      420


                          210                                                                                                                                                                                                                         565 meter long and 17 meter wide flyover is                                   370

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    320

                          175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      expected to decongest the overall traffic by                                  270

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      helping more than 50,000 commuters daily.                                     220
INR per Sq ft per Month




                          140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    170

                          105                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       120

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     70
                           70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q2012



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2Q2012
                           35


                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CBD                                                       Andheri East                                                             Malad                                                                       BKC
                                1Q2008
                                         2Q2008
                                                  3Q2008
                                                           4Q2008
                                                                    1Q2009
                                                                             2Q2009
                                                                                      3Q2009
                                                                                               4Q2009
                                                                                                        1Q2010
                                                                                                                 2Q2010
                                                                                                                          3Q2010
                                                                                                                                   4Q2010
                                                                                                                                            1Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2013F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Lower Parel                                               Navi Mumbai                                                              Powai                                                                       Worli /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Prabhadevi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Goregaon                                                  Kalina                                                                   Thane / LBS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            / JVLR




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                                                         building name                                                  AREA                                        LOCATION                                                                                                                                                              TRANSACTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (Sq. Ft.)                                                                                                                                                                                                            TYPE

                          Ceva Logistics                                                                                                                                                                                 The Qube                                                      18,540                                       Andheri (E)                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Cipla                                                                                                                                                                                          Peninsula Business Park                                      250,000                                       Lower Parel                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Delta Corp.                                                                                                                                                                                    FCH House                                                     55,000                                       Lower Parel                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Rediffusion                                                                                                                                                                                    Indiabulls Finance Centre                                     30,000                                       Lower Parel                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Tata AIG                                                                                                                                                                                       Peninsula Business Park                                       32,000                                       Lower Parel                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Technip KTI                                                                                                                                                                                    Boomerang                                                     56,000                                       Andheri (E)                                                                                                                                                           Lease

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Colliers International |                                                                                                                                                                                            p. 3
INDIA | 3Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           DELHI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •		 pproximately 1.7 million sq ft of grade
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ‘A’ office space was ready for fit-out in 3Q                                                                                                                                          Connaught Place 2%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2012. The majority of this supply was located                                                            Nehru Place 10%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             in suburban locations such as Jasola and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Saket.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •	During this quarter, the major office                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jasola 59%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             development completed were “Konnectus”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             by Pratibha Group along Minto Road and                                                       Saket 29%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             “Ambience Corporate Tower” by Ambience
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Group at Vasant Kunj. These projects jointly
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             contributed around 0.3 million of grade
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ‘A’ office space addition to the city total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             inventory.
delhi                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •	In 3Q 2012, new commercial projects were                         RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             launched in the city including, “Suncity
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Projects” by Suncity Group at East Delhi,                                     400


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             “Ambience Towers” by Ambience Group at                                        350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           300
                                                                                                                          2Q 2012                                                        3Q 2012                                             Rohini and “Redfort Capital Parsvnath Towers”                                 250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             by Parsvnath Ltd at Connaught Place. All of




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               INR per Sq Ft per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           200
                                                           VACANCY                                                                                                                                                                           these projects are expected to contribute                                     150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             more than 0.7 million sq ft of grade ‘A’ office                               100
                                         ABSORPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             space to the city’s total inventory.                                           50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             0
                                CONSTRUCTION




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Nehru Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Netaji Subhash




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jasola




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Connaught
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           •	In 3Q 2012, absorption remained positive
                                RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                 and rental values for grade ‘A’ properties
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Grade A                                            Grade B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             increased in the range of 3 to 5% quarter on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             quarter across the micro-markets. Looking
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ahead, the absorption momentum is likely to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             continue and rentals are expected to increase
                 GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                              moderately due to limited addition of supply.                    prime office space rental trend


                          300                                                                                                                                                                                                              •	The Delhi State Government has sanctioned                                     450

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             INR 520 crore for the Municipal Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         400
                          275

                          250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             of Delhi (MCD) to redevelop 674 roads, each                                   350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           300
                          225
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             over 60 feet wide. The project would further                                  250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 INR per Sq ft per Month
INR per Sq ft per Month




                          200                                                                                                                                                                                                                improve the infrastructure of the city and is                               200

                          175                                                                                                                                                                                                                expected to complete by the end of 2014.                                      150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           100
                          150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            50
                          125
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q2012

                          100
                                2Q2008
                                         3Q2008
                                                  4Q2008
                                                           1Q2009
                                                                    2Q2009
                                                                             3Q2009
                                                                                      4Q2009
                                                                                               1Q2010
                                                                                                        2Q2010
                                                                                                                 3Q2010
                                                                                                                          4Q2010
                                                                                                                                   1Q2011
                                                                                                                                            2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q2013F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Nehru Place                                     Jasola                                             Cannaught                                    Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Netaji Subhash




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                                             building name                                                     AREA                                        LOCATION                                                                                                                         TRANSACTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (Sq. Ft.)                                                                                                                                                                       TYPE

                          Avnet                                                                                                                                                                              Jasola DLF Tower A                                                2,500                                       Jasola                                                                                                                           Lease

                          Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation                                                                                                                                                  The Capital Court                                                 8,930                                       Munirka                                                                                                                          Lease

                          Nexant                                                                                                                                                                             Vasant Square Mall                                                2,500                                       Vasant Kunj                                                                                                                      Lease

                          TATA AIG                                                                                                                                                                           Kanchenjunga                                                     10,000                                       Connaught Place                                                                                                                  Lease




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Source: Colliers International India Research



p. 4                                | Colliers International
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012
India office property market overview 3Q 2012

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India office property market overview 3Q 2012

  • 1. Office Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | OCTOBER | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 3Q 2012 | OFFICE Research & forecast report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India office market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORS • India’s GDP growth has slowed to a 3 year low recorded at 5.3% in the April-June Gross Domestic Product at Factor Cost quarter of the current fiscal. The wholesale 10.0% 9.0% price index reached 7.81 per cent in 8.0% September, and 7.55 per cent in August 2012 7.0% 6.0% this year much above the RBI’s comfort level. 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% • As the inflation remained higher, the central 2.0% bank did not provide any repo rate cut this 1.0% 0.0% quarter. However, in September 2012, the Jan - Mar 09 Apr - Jun 09 Jul - Sep 09 Oct - Dec 09 Jan - Mar 10 Apr - Jun 10 Jul - Sep 10 Oct - Dec 10 Jan - Mar 11 Apr - Jun 11 Jul - Sep 11 Oct - Dec 11 Jan - Mar 12 Apr - Jun 12 ECONOMIC BAROMETER RBI did reduced the (CRR) Cash Reserve Ratio by 25 basis points to induce immediate Sep-11 Sep-12 liquidity in the market in its mid year policy FDI in Real Estate review. Earlier, in July 2012, the RBI also 16,000 REPO RATE 8.50% 8.00% reduced its SLR (Statutory Liquidity 14,000 Requirement) by 1%. 12,000 REVERSE REPO 7.00% 7.00% 10,000 RATE 8,000 INR Crore CRR 6.00% 4.50% • Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India was 6,000 around $1.76 billion in July 2012. Sectors 4,000 which received large FDI inflows were 2,000 INFLATION 9.78% 7.81% 0 services, pharmaceuticals, construction and 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 2011-12 April -Jun 12 PRIME LENDING Rate 10.00% - 10.75% 10.00% - 10.50% power. DEPOSIT RATE (<1 YEAR) 7.75% - 9.50% 8.00% - 9.25% • In 3Q 2012, the Indian Rupee remained under Foreign Ex- pressure and closed at 54.31 to 1.00 USD on 120 BSE Sensex & Realty Index change 47.55 54.31 15th Sep 2012. The INR further weekend 115 INR - USD against Euro and close at INR 71.30 to 1.00 110 105 Euro. 100 INR- Euro 65.60 71.30 95 • The new Finance Minister P Chidambaram 90 85 has taken a slew of reform measures such as 80 Return on Alternative Investments diesel price hike, cap on the number of 2-Jul-12 14-Jul-12 27-Jul-12 9-Aug-12 22-Aug-12 4-Sep-12 17-Sep-12 subsidised cooking gas cylinders per family, Sep-11 Sep-12 YoY % liberalising foreign holding norms in aviation, * Rebase to 100 BSE Sensex Realty Index Change multi-brand retail, non-news broadcasting Gold 27,750 31,925 15.05% and power exchanges sectors, and divesting 120 Exchange Rates its stake in five companies. However, most of 115 SILVER 63,359 63,188 -0.27% these reform measures faced strong 110 opposition and implementation of these 105 EQUITY (BSE 100 measures is still uncertain. 95 SENSEX) 16,876 18,542 9.87% 90 REALTY INDEX 1,799 1,734 -3.61% 85 80 1-Jul-12 14-Jul-12 27-Jul-12 9-Aug-12 22-Aug-12 4-Sep-12 17-Sep-12 Note : As on 15th of September, 2011 and September, 2012 USD Euro * Rebase to 100 Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. INDIA | 3Q 2012 | OFFICE MUMBAI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • Approximately 9.4 million sq ft of commercial Grade ‘A’ office space was available for fit- Goregoan / JVLR Kalina Worli / Prabhadevi 8% 1% Powai 1% out in 3Q 2012. More than 65% of this total 4% Malad available space was concentrated in Andheri 5% Thane / LBS 22% East, Thane/LBS Marg and Lower Parel. Navi Mumbai 6% CBD • Project launched this quarter includes “One 1% BKC” by Wadhwa Developers at Bandra- Kurla-Complex. This Project constitutes Lower Parel 19% approximately 1.2 million sq ft of Grade ‘A’ Andheri East 24% office space and expected to be completed by BKC 9% 2Q 2015. • In 3Q 2012, Grade ‘A’ new supply added up MUMBAI to approximately 1.2 million sq ft. Project or 3Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ part of project contributing to this new supply RENTAL VALUES was “The Capital” by Wadhwa Developers at CITY OFFICE BAROMETER Bandra-Kurla-Complex. 300 250 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 • Absorption in Mumbai remained upbeat 200 during the surveyed period and a few large 150 INR Per Sq ft Per Month VACANCY floor plates deals were concluded. Despite 100 increased absorption, average rents for grade ABSORPTION 50 ‘A’ office premises remained stable in almost 0 all of the micro-markets. CBD Andheri East BKC Lower Parel Malad Navi Mumbai Powai Worli/Prabhdevi Goregaon / JVLR Kalina Thane / LBS Andheri East (IT) Lower Parel (IT) Malad (IT) Navi Mumbai (IT) Powai (IT) Goregaon / JVLR (IT) Thane / LBS (IT) CONSTRUCTION RENTAL VALUE • Looking ahead, rental values are expected Grade A Grade B to remain stable as substantial under construction supply in the pipeline is expected to enter the market in the near future. GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE • This quarter the LBS Marg flyover has prime office space rental trend become operational, which is a part of a 245 Forecast crucial Santacruz-Chembur Link Road. The 420 210 565 meter long and 17 meter wide flyover is 370 320 175 expected to decongest the overall traffic by 270 helping more than 50,000 commuters daily. 220 INR per Sq ft per Month 140 INR per Sq ft per Month 170 105 120 70 70 20 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 3Q2012 2Q2012 35 0 CBD Andheri East Malad BKC 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012F 4Q2012F 1Q2013F 2Q2013F 3Q2013F Lower Parel Navi Mumbai Powai Worli / Prabhadevi Goregaon Kalina Thane / LBS / JVLR MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION (Sq. Ft.) TYPE Ceva Logistics The Qube 18,540 Andheri (E) Lease Cipla Peninsula Business Park 250,000 Lower Parel Lease Delta Corp. FCH House 55,000 Lower Parel Lease Rediffusion Indiabulls Finance Centre 30,000 Lower Parel Lease Tata AIG Peninsula Business Park 32,000 Lower Parel Lease Technip KTI Boomerang 56,000 Andheri (E) Lease Source: Colliers International India Research Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. INDIA | 3Q 2012 | OFFICE DELHI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • pproximately 1.7 million sq ft of grade A ‘A’ office space was ready for fit-out in 3Q Connaught Place 2% 2012. The majority of this supply was located Nehru Place 10% in suburban locations such as Jasola and Saket. • During this quarter, the major office Jasola 59% development completed were “Konnectus” by Pratibha Group along Minto Road and Saket 29% “Ambience Corporate Tower” by Ambience Group at Vasant Kunj. These projects jointly contributed around 0.3 million of grade ‘A’ office space addition to the city total inventory. delhi 3Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ • In 3Q 2012, new commercial projects were RENTAL VALUES launched in the city including, “Suncity CITY OFFICE BAROMETER Projects” by Suncity Group at East Delhi, 400 “Ambience Towers” by Ambience Group at 350 300 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 Rohini and “Redfort Capital Parsvnath Towers” 250 by Parsvnath Ltd at Connaught Place. All of INR per Sq Ft per Month 200 VACANCY these projects are expected to contribute 150 more than 0.7 million sq ft of grade ‘A’ office 100 ABSORPTION space to the city’s total inventory. 50 0 CONSTRUCTION Nehru Place Netaji Subhash Jasola Saket Place Connaught • In 3Q 2012, absorption remained positive RENTAL VALUE and rental values for grade ‘A’ properties Grade A Grade B increased in the range of 3 to 5% quarter on quarter across the micro-markets. Looking ahead, the absorption momentum is likely to continue and rentals are expected to increase GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE moderately due to limited addition of supply. prime office space rental trend 300 • The Delhi State Government has sanctioned 450 INR 520 crore for the Municipal Corporation Forecast 400 275 250 of Delhi (MCD) to redevelop 674 roads, each 350 300 225 over 60 feet wide. The project would further 250 INR per Sq ft per Month INR per Sq ft per Month 200 improve the infrastructure of the city and is 200 175 expected to complete by the end of 2014. 150 100 150 50 125 0 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2008 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2009 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2010 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 100 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012F 4Q2012F 1Q2013F 2Q2013F 3Q2013F Nehru Place Jasola Cannaught Saket place Netaji Subhash MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION (Sq. Ft.) TYPE Avnet Jasola DLF Tower A 2,500 Jasola Lease Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation The Capital Court 8,930 Munirka Lease Nexant Vasant Square Mall 2,500 Vasant Kunj Lease TATA AIG Kanchenjunga 10,000 Connaught Place Lease Source: Colliers International India Research p. 4 | Colliers International