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ETP SG General Assembly leading to ETIP SmartGrids and Storage: 'Smart, adaptive & integrated grid for facilitating the sustainable repowering'
1. Opening Session
• Welcome, Nikos Hatziargyriou, ETP SG Chairman.
• Policy Keynote Speech
• Marie Donnelly, European Commission, DG ENER, Directorate for Renewables,
Research and Innovation, Energy Efficiency
• Industry Keynote Speech
• Livio Gallo, ENEL (tbc).
ETP SG General Assembly leading to ETIP SmartGrids and Storage: 'Smart,
adaptive & integrated grid for facilitating the sustainable repowering'
2. Session 1: The ETP Smartgrids: reflecting 10 years of success stories
Moderated by Tahir Kapetanovic, APG (Austrian TSO)
• Presentation of the ETP SG video
• Exchange of views with key ETP Smartgrids members,
• Panel with former and current ETP SG members/chairs to share their experience.
• Invitedpanelists (tbc): Miguel Sanchez, Joao Baptista, Pier Nabuurs, Tahir
Kapetanovitch, Livio Gallo, Nick Jenkins, Manuel Sanchez, Nikos Hatziargyriou, Bernd
Buchholz, Richard Charnah, Carlo Sabelli, Norberto Santiago.
ETP SG General Assembly leading to ETIP SmartGrids and Storage: 'Smart,
adaptive & integrated grid for facilitating the sustainable repowering’
3. Session 2: Future Challenges of the smartgrids Moderated by Richard Charnah
• ETP SG introduces main challenges of smartgrids(digitalisation; resilience; smart
meters; asset management), Pieter Vingerhoets, ETP SmartGrids
• The challenge of the digitalization of the grid, Maher Chebbo, Task Force leader
• Asset management Challenge, Venizelos Efthymiou, Task Force Leader
• Grid resilience in transition, Goran Strbac, Task Force Leader
ETP SG General Assembly leading to ETIP SmartGrids and Storage: 'Smart,
adaptive & integrated grid for facilitating the sustainable repowering’
4. Closing session: Future of Utilities
• Panorama 2020 towards the Utility of the future Moderated by Thierry Pollet, Task Force Leader.
• Panel with: Innovation and Business developmentManagers, strategists from leadingEuropeanutilities and
retailers.
• Invited panelists:
• David Peters, Stedin Director Strategie & Innovatie
• Inken Braunschmidt, RWE, Head of Innovation
• Andrea Edelmann, Head of Innovation at EVN AG
• Markus Lehtonen Senior Vice President, Strategy and New Business at Helen ...
• Closing remarks, Introduction to the ETIP, Nikos Hatziargyriou & European Commission
ETP SG General Assembly leading to ETIP SmartGrids and Storage: 'Smart,
adaptive & integrated grid for facilitating the sustainable repowering’
9. Industry-led stakeholder forum charged with
defining research priorities in a broad range of
technological areas
– provides an independent framework
– to define agendas, priorities, and action plans
– for research and technological developments
– in areas where Europe requires major advances
– in the medium to long term.
The ETP SG is also there to:
– provide input to European and National research
funding schemes.
– foster effective public-private partnerships,
– contribute to development of a European
Research Area
What is the ETP ?
5
Current
ETP SG Steering Committee
- Stakeholders represented
regulators TSOs
DSOsresearch
organisations
academia
ICT industry
equipment
manu-
facturers
Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
10. To offer strategic guidance for its stakeholders on the development of
technologies related to Smart Grids that will address the future needs of
electricity networks in the European electricity supply system.
Mobilise the expertise resident in the stakeholders and exerts its
influence through efficient dissemination of the strategic agendas
developed.
Contribute to realise the SET Plan Integrated Roadmap vision by:
– Finding gaps in technology by evaluating RD&D projects
– Identifying barriers to Smartgrids deployment
– Adopting an integrated energy systems approach including all energy
carriers
– Bringing together views and efforts of all Smartgrids stakeholders:
National TPs and various ETPs which are working in isolation
ETP SG’s Mission
6Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
11. 2006/2007
2005: EU SmartGrids TP,
2006: SmartGrids Vision
2007: 1st SRA (Strategic Research Agenda)
Nov 2007: SET (Strategic Energy Technology) Plan
– Initiatives: Wind, Solar, EEGI, Bio-energy, CO2 capture,
transport and storage, JTI on fuel cells and hydrogen,
Smart Cities
– EERA (European Alliance of SmartGrids laboratories)
– JRC: Joint Research Center
Ημερίδα «Πράσινη Ηλεκτρική Ενέργεια και Έξυπνα Δίκτυα», Παν. Πατρών, 22 Μαΐου 2013
13. 2006/2007
2006: EU SmartGrids TP, SmartGrids Vision
2007: 1st SRA (Strategic Research Agenda)
Nov 2007: Commission proposal for SET Plan (Strategic
Energy Technology Plan)
– Initiatives: Wind, Solar, EEGI, Bio-energy, CO2 capture,
transport and storage, JTI on fuel cells and hydrogen,
Smart Cities
– EERA (European Alliance of SmartGrids laboratories)
– JRC: Joint Research Center
14. 2008/2012
2008: SmartGrids ERA-Net (Cooperation and Coordination
of Research Activities carried out at National or Regional
Level)
2009: 1st SDD (Strategic Deployment Document) by SG ETP
2009: New SmartGrids EU Technology Platform (ETP)
2010: EC sets up the SmartGrids Task Force (SGTF)
2010: EEGI (European Electricity Grid Initiative)
– Roadmap for SmartGrids research 2020
– SG ETP - Stakeholder based review process
2010: CEN, CENELEC and ETSI
– Smart Meters Coordination Group (M/441)
– Joint Working Group on standards for the smart grid (M/490)
2011&2012: Update of SmartGrids SRA 2035
15. 2013/2016
2013 New ETP on SmartGrids, Update of Vision and Scope,
reactivation and set up of new WGs
2014 SRA 2035 Priorities
2015 Joint activities with National Technology Platforms
2015 Consultation on new market design, on H2020
2016 Consultation on Setplan Issue paper 4 on Energy
Systems, on ETIP Governance
2016 Memorandum of Understanding between ECTP, EU
PVTP and ETP SmartGrids
19 May 2016 General Assembly – NEW ERA, ETP Evolution
16. ETP Smartgrids
10+ Years of History
12
2005
Creation of
the ETP
SmartGrids
2006
Vision
2015
NTP Overview H2020 WP View
2007
SRA
2007
SET Plan 2008
SmartGrids ERA-
Net
2008 - 2010
ETP SG Strategic
Deployment
Document
2009
KiC
InnoEnergy
2010
SmartGrids
World
Forum
2010
EC
SmartGrids
Task Force
2010
Launch of
EEGI
2010
CEN
CENELEC
ETSI
Smart Meter
& Standard.
WG
2012
SRA 2035
2016
4 New ETP reports on current
& future SG challenges
17. 10 years of massive growth in new
variable power generation capacity
Electricity generation capacity, EU-28, 1990-2014
In 10 years Wind
and Solar PV
have added
more generation
capacity (170
GW) together
than the current
total Hydro
installed
capacity in EU
28 (150 GW)
Source: Eurostat
Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels 13
18. March 2013 - Working days
Southern regions
March 2010 - Working days
Southern regions
Hour (h) Hour (h)
Steep ramps
in the evening
Apparent reduction
in the morningLoad covered by
wind and PV
19. Hour (h) Hour (h)
March 2013 - Sundays & holidays
Southern regions
March 2010 - Sundays & holidays
Southern regions
Reverse power flow (from MV to HV)
Load covered by
wind and PV
20. 2030 hourly variations over 1 week in
August in the EU (GW)
16Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
Future power
generation
becoming
increasingly
variable
25. #RepowerEU
In the beginning
2Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
European Technology Platform
SmartGrids
Strategic Deployment Document
for Europe’s Electricity Networks
of the Future
27. A shared vision
Sustainability, competitiveness,
security of supply, innovation
Flexible: fulfilling customers needs
Accessible: to all network users, particularly RES and
high efficiency DG with zero or low CO2 emissions
Reliable: assuring and improving Quality of Supply and
resilient to hazards and uncertainties
Economic: best value through innovation, efficient
energy management and level playing field competition
and regulation
29. Drivers towards SmartGrids
Regulation of
Monopolies
Innovation and
Competitiveness
Low Prices
And Efficiency
Primary Energy
Sources
Reliability and
Quality
Capacity
Nature
Preservation
Climate
Change
Kyoto and
Post-Kyoto
Environment
31. #RepowerEU
Customers are part of the “network-loop”, both
producer and consumer of electricity = “prosumer”
– Real-time price information (smart meters)
– Automated and embedded systems (DR/DSM)
– Adequate investment and reward incentives
Integration of millions small scale generators
Bulk power and small scale sustainability coexistence
Demand and supply balance solutions
Efficient operated (and reliable) network
Differentiated Power Quality at connection point
Mature markets and regulation
SmartGrid characteristics
35. #RepowerEU
What is SmartGrids deployment?
SmartGrids deployment must include not only technology, market and commercial considerations,
environmental impact, regulatory framework, standardization usage, ICT (Information and
Communication Technology) and migration strategy but also societal requirements and governmental
edicts. The definition of a SmartGrid is therefore defined as:
A SmartGrid is an electricity network that can intelligently integrate the actions of all
users connected to it - generators, consumers and those that do both - in order to
efficiently deliver sustainable, economic and secure electricity supplies.
A SmartGrid employs innovative products and services together with intelligent monitoring,
control, communication, and self-healing technologies to:
•better facilitate the connection and operation of generators of all sizes and technologies;
•allow electricity consumers to play a part in optimising the operation of the system;
•provide consumers with greater information and choice in the way they secure their
electricity supplies;
•significantly reduce the environmental impact of the total electricity supply system;
and
•deliver enhanced levels of reliability and security of supply.
37. #RepowerEU
What does the smart grid do? (1)
Management of energy use
(energymanagement@home)
– Shifting load based on availibility of generation and
grid and price
– Automated with smart appliances, storage and
through demand/load management software
Allowing of microtrading (energysale)
– Sell own generation (PV, µ-CHP, small wind) and
storage (EV, H2, batteries) to anyone anywhere
– Hire distribution capacity
38. #RepowerEU
What does the smart grid do? (2)
Lower operational cost and capex (grid@work)
– Remote diagnosis, condition based maintenance,
embedded systems, load management
Integrate large scale renewables in stead of
accomodating them (Powersystem climate)
– new balancing mechanism,
– sustainable marketmodel,
– automated dispatch
39. Vision: worlwide accepted and appreciated
Strategic Research Agenda: rejected by EC as input for
FP7
SDD: where is SG deployed further than pilots, demo’s
and demonstration. EC blocked setting op Association
like for GSM.
Smart meter roll out as a digital version with remote
meterreading; where do customers receive instant real
data?
How many distribution networks are smart?
For how many consumers is a reasonable full fletch SG
standard?
Where are we now?
16Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
40. Lack of innovation power at utilities
Protection of existing businessmodels by companies and
governments
Regulators are risk avoiding in protection of customers
Fear of new marketmodels: governments, regulators,
utilities
Smart meter deployment for better invoicing blocked
innovation
Big data are useful, but not for consumers.
Barriers? Failures?
17Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
41. Local balancing
Local capacity markets: generation, storage, grid,…..
Local energy markets (kWh’s)
All based on variable pricing
As long as this market doesn’t exist,
the rest is useless.
New market model needed
18Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
42. force DSO’s to react and implement
new technologies worthwile to be developed
enable Cooperatives and Communities to build
give regulators opportunities to serve consumers
create business cases for ESCO’s
Enables easily DRM
………
The new marketmodel will:
19Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
45. Increasing distributed
RES
Aging assets
Increased
electrification
Reliability of supply
Challenges for the grid
2Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
All
Communication
technologies
IoT and big data
Storage cost
Need for a smart grid
Need for a
smart energy system
Challenges 2006 Challenges 2016
Opportunities
The ETP Smart Grids
±150 Independent Experts
Working groups –
secretariat – SC
Mix of academia, industry,
utilities…
Non-funded and personal
46. ETP strategic documents
3Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
SmartGrids will use revolutionary new
technologies, products and services to
create a strongly user-centric approach
for all customers
2006
Vision and Strategy for Europe’s
Electricity Networks of the Future’
2007
2010
2012
2015
‘The strategic
Research agenda’
‘Strategic Deployment Document’
For Europe’s electricity networks
‘The Strategic
Research Agenda
2035’
‘ETP SmartGrids view
on WP2016-2017’
47. The ETP SmartGrids:
Not in islanding mode
4Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
Public consultations of the European Commission
The future electricity market design in Europe
Risk management in the area security of electricity supply
Regulatory incentives for R&D investments
Issues paper: SET plan targets for the energy system
Issues paper: Targets for storage
Support to other vision projects (e.g. Grid+Storage): second public
consultation (25th of May, www.gridplusstorage.com)
48. National platforms
5Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
Smart Grid Webinars
Common workshops
Booklet, available on:
www.smartgrids.eu
Or via e-mail:
Secretariat@smartgrids.eu
49. Challenges for the system
6Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
SmartGrids will use revolutionary new
technologies, products and services to
create a strongly user-centric approach
for all customers
2006
‘Need for new electricity
grid reliability standards’
2006
Smart houses will become capable of
communicating, interacting and negotiating
with energy utilities on the one hand and
customer appliances on the other hand
2016
‘The Digital Energy System 4.0’
‘Progress and challenges
for Asset Management
for future Smart Grids’
51. #RepowerEU
Session 2: Future Challenges of the smartgrids
The challenge of the digitalization of the grid
Maher Chebbo
ETP SmartGrids Digital Task Force Leader
General Manager Energy for EMEA, SAP
President of ESMIG
52. Strong forces challenge the century old
business model of Energy
DE-CARBONIZATION DE-REGULATION
§§
DE-CENTRALIZATION DIGITIZATION
Climate and Energy regulations
change faster than traditional
business models and business
operations can adjust...
53. Customer Centric Smart Energy : A
challenging Equation
CUSTOMER
CENTRIC
MARKET DESIGN
DATA AVAILABILITY
PRIVACY & CY-SECURITY
ENERGY MIXTE
ECONOMICS
ENERGY 2020 NEW
BUSINESS MODELS
INTERNET OF THINGS
SENSING, MONITORING
BIG DATA, IT/OT,
TELECOM
REAL TIME PREDICTION
ENERGY VALUE CHAIN
CUSTOMER DEMAND
DISTRIBUTED ENERGY
STORAGE
CUSTOMER
DEMAND
SUPPLY
VALUE
CHAIN
POLICIES
SOCIO-
ECONOMICS
TECHNOLOGIES & TELECOMS
These factors have been considered but not as ONE Equation or ONE Model.
2016 … 2020 SET Plan should put it all together in ONE integrated Strategic Energy Technology Plan
54. 5 Technology Trends that are
changing the world
3B Internet Users Worldwide
30T Smart objects by 2020
90% of Samsung products would be able to connect to the Web by 2017
30% growth of Cloud Computing infrastructure and platforms up to 2018
87% of CFOs agree that growth requires faster data analysis
12% only are able to respond to critical information requests in real-time
45% of enterprises are building direct-to-consumer fulfillment capabilities
50% Networked enterprises more likely to increase their P&L & m-share
50%-75% faster transaction cycles achieved with business Networks
Hyper-Connectivity
Super-Computation
Cloud
IoT
Cyber-security
$ 1.36 Trillion Additional Productivity & GDP Output in 2020 from digitization.
8% of organizations have identified digital transformation as a 2Y priority
55. First two era’s of IT
have answered the
question of
“How do we
manage our
Business?”
Digital era
answers the
question of “What
Business are
we in?”
The 3rd Era of Enterprise IT :
Digitalization
56. By 2020-25 Customer Data available 100% for SMEs and
Corporates to innovate in Energy Efficiency Services
(100s to 1000s available)
BUSINESS
PROCESS
PLATFORM
Forecasting
Predictions
Benchmarking
Real Time Intelligence
INFORMATION
PLATFORM
POWERED BY DIGITAL (BIG DATA – E.G. IN-MEMORY HANA)
By 2020-25, Customer Data needs to be 100% available that SMEs & Corp. can innovate in EE services.
Being simple & adapted to their Profile, energy self control will become part of their daily « casual »
tasks as Smart phones are
57. Strong forces challenge the century old business model of Utilities
DE-CARBONIZATION DE-REGULATION
§§
DE-CENTRALIZATION DIGITIZATION
Digitization changes the game
and creates opportunities for
Utilities to re-imagine business
models and re-engage with the
consumers
58. Workshop Energy Digitalisation at the European Commission
in Brussels on 24th of November 2015 and
White paper in April 2016
9:00 – 9:30 Registration and welcome coffee
9:30 – 9:40 Welcome and introduction
Prof. Nikos Hatziargyriou, HEDNO, ETP SmartGrids Chair
9:40 – 10:10 ETP SmartGrids paper on “Energy digitalisation”
Maher Chebbo, SAP, ETP Smart Grids, leader of WG3 and Energy
Digitalisation Task Force
10:10 – 10:40 European Commission Digital Smart Grids Strategy
Patrick van Hove, Rolf Riemenschneider, Kimmo Rossi, Henrik Dam, t.b.c
10:40 – 11:10 Coffee Break
11:10 – 12:40 Companies’ presentations on their Energy/SmartGrids
Digitalisation Strategy:
• Aachen University, E.on Research Center, Prof. Antonello Monti
• EDP, Joaquim Teixeira
• ENEL, Alessio Montone
• ESB, Paul Hickey
• IoT, Tom Raftery
• SAP, Svend Wittern
• IT & Energy Innovator, Jean-Luc Dormoy
12:40 – 13:30 Networking Lunch Break
13:30 – 15:00 Break-out sessions (work on use cases)
1. Digital Customer and Demand – moderation by Maher
Chebbo
2. Digital Networks and Assets – moderation by Prof. Nikos
Hatziargyriou
15:15 – 15:45 Summary and conclusions
Results from the break-out sessions
Appointed rapporteurs from break-out sessions, moderated by
Maher Chebbo
15:45 – 16:00 Closing Words
Prof. Nikos Hatziargyriou, HEDNO, ETP SmartGrids Chair
24 November 2015 – Expert workshop “Energy
Digitalisation”
A group focusing on Digital Energy Transformation was formed within the ETP SmartGrids chaired
by M. Chebbo with the objective to issue a white paper to policy makers (EC) by April 2016
Input from Analysts, Digital Experts and Utilities (ENEL, EDP, ESB, EDF, Iberdrola, …)
60. Probabilistic forecasting of wind generation, forecasting
of extremes and optimal use of forecasts in power
system operations and markets
Network of 2000 weather stations considered in SafeWind. (center) Analysis of weather
patterns to detect large errors and model their propagation in space, (right) Illustration
of the spatiotemporal forecasting for the case of Denmark.
61. Innovative Tools for Electrical System Security
within Large Areas (iTesla)
The iTesla platform consists of two major parts, namely the offline and online analysis. The
offline toolbox generates the generation rules and forecasts the error characteristics based
on historical data. The online analysis is a continuously running analysis that perform the
security analysis from D-2 up to real time
62. Autonomous grid reconfiguration and forecasting
in the MV grid
The German Demonstrator in the GRID4EU project (www.grid4eu.com) addressed the
challenge of integrating more distributed energy sources in the grid with the demonstrator
built up in the area of “Reken”, located in North Rhine-Westphalia. In this demonstration,
monitoring and control are implemented.
64. [NEW] Asset Intelligence Network :
“The Facebook of Assets”
Manufacturer apps Asset lifecycle
Ticketing/
notifications
Joint work
scheduling
Benchmarking Parts verification Knowledge base
Predictive remote
maintenance
Manufacturer
side
Nameplate info
Service bulletins & revs
Maint./inspection strategy
Structure/parts
Recalls
Op & maint. instructions
Failure modes
Safety controls
Process controls
Designs & drawings
Measuring point
Product training
Licensing
Design improvements
Installation parameters
definecontroloperateimprove
Collaboration
Network learning on assets
Secure
Anonymized information for
industry-wide comparisons
Content
Consume any information from any
party using a standardized taxonomy
Open
Any manufacturers and customers
1
2
3
4
Publish Subscribe
Measurement/telemetry
Usage information
Installation information
Failure/incident data
Service bulletin processing
Risks and controls
Design recommendations
Recall processing
M2M / IOT initiative
Maintenance history
definecontroloperateimprove
Reviews
Operatorside
Challenges for collaboration around assets. A network to bring together business
partners. A new approach for collaborative asset management using a network
sharing the definition of machines
65. Smart houses in a smart grid environment
The SmartHouse/SmartGrid
project goal is to design, develop
and validate new ICT‐based,
market‐oriented and
decentralized control concepts for
the electricity system in Europe.
Support the efficient integration
of energy loads and distributed
generators into a Service oriented
electricity infrastructure.
66. Smart charging of electric vehicles
FINESCE has developed a radical solution
based on low cost computing, software
defined communications and systems layers
by utilising Future Internet technologies to
reduce software development costs.
The FINESCE project provides best-practice
examples showing the importance to work with
digitalised and cloud-based solutions for the
energy sector getting ready for the next step:
the service based Utility 4.0.
67. Neighborhood energy management
Real-time Monitoring of the Consumption of a Neighbourhood
Forecasting of the consumption and local Generation
Flexibility services to the market
68. Universal Smart Energy Framework
USEF provides a set of specifications, designs and implementation guidelines that enable
establishing a fully functional smart energy system. USEF allows each partner to develop smart
energy products and services that together form a commercially viable smart energy system
that allows large-scale international deployment.
69. FLEXICIENCY, The pan-European Cloud
Marketplace for Distribution & Retail
H2020 project led by ENEL
18 Companies contributing
ENR HCP “FLEXICIENCY “ Electricity
pan-European Marketplace for Distribution &
Retail :
Kind of “Apple Store” for Energy Demand
Services running on
SAP HANA Cloud Platform
Potential of 10 000 Utilities on the same
Public Marketplace
70. FLEXICIENCY use cases
Description of use-case and associated services B2B/B2C
Countries
involved
Lead partner Market Place function
Customer support
New customer with new contract (existing POD)
B2C Sweden Vattenfall
Service request
Customer changes retailer Market data, service request
Customer buys HAN/IHC service Service request
Billing and administrating (energy consumptions, specific tariffs for DR)
B2C Spain ENDESA
Service request
Negotiating and updating consumers' contracts Market data, service request
Advanced monitoring
Data analytics: load curves B2B/B2C
France ERDF
Service request
Spain ENDESA
Customer sends specific information related to their contracts when
participating in DR: energy consumption profile, critical loads, billing,..
B2C Spain ENDESA Service request
Real-time or given frequency data processing B2B Italy ENEL Service request
Energy monitoring (history, forecast, alerts, support) for customers B2C
Austria Verbund Market data, service request
Italy ENEL
Customer subscribes to outage information in real-time (e.g. power failures in
secondary homes)
B2C Sweden Vattenfall Service request
Local energy control
Local energy optimization by customer with packaged consumption data;
supervision of heating equipment by customer
B2C Sweden Vattenfall Market data, service request
Local energy optimization at customer installation (demand/generation) B2C
Italy/Austria Verbund
Service request EU wide
Italy ENEL
Executing demand response (simulated) B2B France, UK, Holland ERDF Service request
Flexibility (service at aggregated customers level)
Demand response at aggregated level for a city B2C Spain ENDESA service request
Investigation of flexibility service by using VPP (e.g. voltage control,
balancing and/or congestion management)
B2C/B2B ≥2 CyberGrid Service request
71. At Europa Forum in Lech (Austria) on
14/04/2016, I suggested 5 Strategic Digital
Energy Projects
BUILD ENERGY UNION OF RESOURCES
GARANTY OF ENERGY INDEPENDENCE
FASTER DISSEMINATION ACROSS EUROPE
MAKE ENERGY SIMPLE TO CONSUMERS
CREATE JOBS & GDP GROWTH
CROSS-BORDER ENERGY MANAGEMENT
EU ENERGY SIMULATOR COCKPIT
ENERGY EXCHANGE PLATFORMS
PLUG & PLAY ENERGY TO CONSUMERS
VENTURING & STARTUPS HUB
Fostering Digital skills will help fill some 900.000 vacancies coming in the future
The potential contribution to European GDP from achieving a Digital Single Market is estimated 415 B€
Europe Single Digital Market will spend 50 b€ on Digital according to Commissioner Oettinger.
74. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
Progress and Challenges on Asset
Management for future Smart Grids
Dr Venizelos Efthymiou
Chairman of FOSS Research Centre
for Sustainable Energy
University of Cyprus
75. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
2
Key principles and attributes
of Asset Management
Effective implementation of
asset management requires
a disciplined approach which
enables an organization to
maximise value and deliver
its strategic objectives
through managing its assets
over their whole life cycles.
This includes determination
of appropriate assets to
acquire or create in the first
place, how best to operate
and maintain them and the
adoption of optimal renewal,
decommissioning and / or
disposal options.
76. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
3
Electrical power systems are very complex, because of
their dynamic and interconnected nature.
In most cases, the current network infrastructure was not
designed to deal with this new paradigm of distributed
renewable resources whose share on the final electricity
generation has been increasing in the last decade.
These changes are bringing forward new challenges to the
electricity system, especially in the areas related to
balancing, reliability, flexibility, resilience or
environmental constraints which require re-optimizing
transmission and distribution networks.
Grid Assets are gaining
overwhelming importance in this
paradigm change
77. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
4
Asset management enables an organization to
understand the value of its assets in the
achievement of its organizational objectives.
The value itself depends on the objectives, the
nature and purpose of the organization and the
needs and expectations of its stakeholders.
Asset management supports the apprehension of
value while balancing financial, environmental and
social costs, risk, quality of service and
performance related to assets.
The values of Asset Management
4
78. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
5
Improved financial performance;
Informed asset investment decisions;
Risk management covering different aspects;
Improved services and outputs;
Demonstrated social responsibility;
Demonstrated compliance;
Enhanced reputation;
Improved organizational sustainability;
Improved efficiency and effectiveness.
Improved EHS (environmental, health and safety)
Improved quality of service
Extension of assets life span
The benefits of asset management
are diverse and may include
79. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
6
Transmission and Distribution R&I
Activities in Asset Management
Developing approaches to
determine and to maximize
the lifetime of critical
power components for
existing and future
networks
Development and
validation of tools
which optimize asset
maintenance at the
system level, based on
quantitative
cost/benefit analysis
Demonstrations of
new asset
management
approaches at EU
level
T&D A1
T&D A2
T&D A3
Adapted from the EEGI
Roadmap
80. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
7
Technology Readiness Levels:
Strengthening R.I.&D
81. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
8
Maturity level of the
innovation
Description Colour
-1 Not relevant
0 Ready to deploy at large scale
1
Need more demonstration or pilot
project to validate the maturity
2
Need development (work with
manufacturers)
3
Requires more research (work with
research institutions)
Ranking scheme adopted by
Grid+ for the analysis of projects
82. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
9
-1
0
1
2
3
Hardware
Software tools
Integration into the
system
Business model
Cost-benefit
analysis
Regulation of grid
services
Stakeholders
involvement
System reliability
Demonstration of Maturity Level - T&D A1
Developing approaches to determine and to maximize the
lifetime of critical power components for existing and
future networks
T&D A1
Gap analysis results for T&D A1
83. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
10
-1
0
1
2
3
Hardware
Software tools
Integration into the system
Business model
Cost-benefit analysis
Regulation of grid services
Stakeholders involvement
System reliability
Demonstration of Maturity Level - T&D A2
Development and validation of tools which optimize asset
maintenance at the system level, based on quantitative
cost/benefit analysis
T&D A2
Gap analysis results for T&D A2
84. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
11
-1
0
1
2
3
Hardware
Software tools
Integration…
Business model
Cost-benefit…
Regulation of…
Stakeholders…
System…
Demonstrations Maturity Level - T&D A3
Demonstrations of new asset management approaches at
EU level
T&D A3
Gap Analysis results for T&D A3
85. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
12
According to ENTSO-E R&D Monitoring Report 2015,
which considers a specific cluster 5 dedicated to the
subject of Asset Management, most of the R&D effort
is still to be done
86. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
13
Asset planning tools are to be accommodated with
techno-economical models of new energy infrastructure
Decision-aid tools supporting the expert knowledge of
asset managers
Collection of grid status information at lower voltage
levels can create value for the asset management and
operations
Organizational redesign to attract new roles such as
business development
Long-term asset management should take a holistic
approach, considering common applications with
multiple energy carriers
Asset Managers: insights provided
from the eyes of experts
87. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
14
Methods for more cost-effective asset management
Optimal utilisation of asset life
Real-Time monitoring of the power flow and asset
condition
New techniques for using remote surveillance in
asset management
Optimal outage and maintenance planning
New business models for asset management
Handling of large amounts of asset condition data
Innovative Asset Management
88. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
15
Methods for more cost-effective asset management
Optimal utilisation of asset life
Real-Time monitoring of the power flow and asset
condition
New techniques for using remote surveillance in
asset management
Optimal outage and maintenance planning
New business models for asset management
Handling of large amounts of asset condition data
Innovative Asset ManagementThank you !!!
89. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
The need for a fundamental
review of electricity networks
reliability standards
White Paper
Goran Strbac
ETP SmartGrids
90. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
2
55%
2015
Asset
Utilisation
BaU
Smart Grid
2020 2030+
35%
25%
2
Smart network
technologies
Demand
Response
Storage Flexible Generation
Paradigm shift in delivering security
of supply: from redundancy in
assets to intelligence
Response to the system
integration challenge:
Smart Grid
Potential volume of the
market for smart grid
technologies post 2030 in
EU >€300b
91. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
3
• The historic network reliability standards require that
network security is provided through network asset
redundancy (historical network asset heavy
paradigm) – will this fundamentally contradict the
concepts of Smart Grids that focuses on non-
network asset based solutions to network problems?
• The historic electricity network reliability standards
may be inefficient and may prevent higher utilisation
of the existing network infrastructure and hence may
not deliver value for money to network users
Why network security should be of
paramount importance to regulators
& policy makers?
92. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
4
Inherent inadequacies of the present
network planning and operational
standards /1
• Are the operation & investment costs and
benefits closely align?
• Degree of security delivered to users varies
significantly across the system - no direct
relationship with costs
• Is the Redundancy a direct measure for
security? Is the degree of security provided
optimal in any particular instance?
• Likelihood of network component outages is
not considered by the present standards
93. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
5
Inherent inadequacies of present
network planning and operational
standards /2
• Why is the binary approach to risk fundamentally
problematic?
– “no” risk at all if compliant with the standard
– “unacceptable” risk if not compliant to the standard
• Can non-network solutions e.g. in the form of
energy storage, flexible demand be considered and
applied as an alternative to traditional network
based reinforcements?
• Clear trend in enhancing system flexibility: from
investment in primary plant to investment into
more sophisticated operation and control
94. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
6
Cost benefits analysis to determine trade-off
– Cost of interruptions of supply
– Cost of additional investment
Network
redundancy
Cost
Cost of
investment
Interruptions,
Operational
measures,
Losses
Cost of
Total
Cost
Fundamental approach to determining
optimal level of network security
95. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
7
Degree of
redundancy
Low load
factor
High load
factor
N-0.75
5,822,100 336,473
N-0.5
928,626 38,581
N-0.25
405,725 30,430
N-0
117,881 6,148
5 MW
2 x 5 MW
N-1
7.5 MW
2 x 5 MW
N-0.5
10 MW
2 x 5 MW
N-0
Cost effectiveness of the
present network security
standard / example
Minimum value of VoLL (£/MWh)
that would justify network
reinforcement to N-1
VoLL = 17,000 £/MWh
MV network 2.5 MW
96. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
8
30 30
Demand
30
MW
Demand
grows
to
35
MW
30
Demand
35
MW
Network
Solution
30 T3 30
Demand
35
MW
with
DSM
DSM
Solution
3030
Demand
35
MW
DG
Solution
30 G
10MW
30
Demand
35
MW
Storage
Solution
30 Storage
Non-network solutions dealing with network
problems
? ? ?OK
97. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
9
Towards Smart, High Utilisation
T & D Grids
Control
Control
Paradigm shift in
delivering
security of
supply: from
redundancy in
assets to
intelligence
Can you trust Smart
when it comes to
security of supply?
98. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
10
Towards consumer choice driven
network design
§ Network congestion can be
managed by scarcity pricing
§ Essential supplies would be
delivered to all consumers
§ Bill for low flexibility
consumer would be higher
than the bill for flexible
consumer
§ Flexibility will inform
extent and time of network
reinforcement.
10
!"##
Demand(kWh)
Price(£/kWh)
High
Flexibility
Low
Flexibility
99. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
11
Longer term: loss inclusive
network design
Significant opportunity to make full use of large network
capacity and enhance network security beyond present
standard
Under-
ground
Cables
Peak
U'lisa'on(%)
Ratio of peak
capacity and
peak demand
LV
12 - 25
4.0
–
8.3
MV
14 - 27
3.7
–
7.1
HV
17 - 33
3.0
–
5.9
About 50% -70% of network losses in
urban areas are in HV and LV networks Loss-inclusive network design
6%#
18%#
23%#
23%#
5%#
10%#
7%#
8%#
SC# LV# HV/LV#
HV# EHV/HV# EHV#
100. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
12
Smart grid paradigm: development of
future network reliability standards
§ Radical departure from the current network design practice
will provide the basis for future network reliability
standards, significant increases in network assets utilisations
with improved reliability performance
(1) Shift in the source of the system control and flexibility
from redundancy in physical network assets to more
sophisticated system management – Smart Grid
(2) Opportunities include demand side, distributed generation
technologies, energy storage and other modern network
technologies, in addition to network primary assets.
101. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
13
(1) Strengthening the incentives for development
& implementation of cost effective smart grid
measures – from the stick to a carrot approach
(2)Recognise increased risk and complexity
associated with innovation and deployment of
new technologies - Need to establish provisions to
allow network operators to account for increased risks
(3) Facilitate investment under uncertainty
- option value of smart and traditional investment
(4) Role of the Regulator
From acting as a buyer of network services to
developing appropriate incentive mechanisms
Improving current regulatory
& commercial regime
102. Repowering Europe - 19 May 2016 - Brussels
The need for a fundamental
review of electricity networks
reliability standards
White Paper
Goran Strbac
ETP SmartGrids
105. #RepowerEU
ETP Survey RESULTS
Policy on
Renewables
Energy Efficiency
Policy
Securing Supply
Electrification
Customer Service
Market Model
Design
Self-generation
Grid-divorce
Demand Response
Smart Cities
Urbanization
Wind technology
Solar technology
Battery Technology
Hydrogen & P2G
Safe Nuclear
Micro-grid
IoT
Big Data/Analytics
Cloud Technology
ImpactLow High
Uncertainty
Low
High
Survey:
184
Qualitative
Responses
Key Uncertainties for the Utility of the Future (2035)
106. #RepowerEU
ETP Survey RESULTS
Policy on
Renewables
Energy Efficiency
Policy
Securing Supply
Electrification
Customer Service
Market Model
Design
Self-generation
Grid-divorce
Demand Response
Smart Cities
Urbanization
Wind technology
Solar technology
Battery Technology
Hydrogen & P2G
Safe Nuclear
Micro-grid
IoT
Big Data/Analytics
Cloud Technology
ImpactLow High
Uncertainty
Low
High
Key Uncertainties for the Utility of the Future (2035)
Policy, Regulation, Politics
4 pillars of EU policy
Survey:
184
Qualitative
Responses
107. #RepowerEU
ETP Survey RESULTS
Policy on
Renewables
Energy Efficiency
Policy
Securing Supply
Electrification
Customer Service
Market Model
Design
Self-generation
Grid-divorce
Demand Response
Smart Cities
Urbanization
Wind technology
Solar technology
Battery Technology
Hydrogen & P2G
Safe Nuclear
Micro-grid
IoT
Big Data/Analytics
Cloud Technology
ImpactLow High
Uncertainty
Low
High
Key Uncertainties for the Utility of the Future (2035)
Generation Technology & ICT
Has innovation potential
Consensus on solar
the top renewable
Survey:
184
Qualitative
Responses
108. #RepowerEU
ETP Survey RESULTS
Policy on
Renewables
Energy Efficiency
Policy
Securing Supply
Electrification
Customer Service
Market Model
Design
Self-generation
Grid-divorce
Demand Response
Smart Cities
Urbanization
Wind technology
Solar technology
Battery Technology
Hydrogen & P2G
Safe Nuclear
Micro-grid
IoT
Big Data/Analytics
Cloud Technology
ImpactLow High
Uncertainty
Low
High
Key Uncertainties for the Utility of the Future (2035)
User Behavior
Survey:
184
Qualitative
Responses
109. #RepowerEU
ETP Survey RESULTS
What do users want ? (2035)
Self-generation
4 of 10: 10-25%
3 of 10: 25-50%
Grid-divorce
4 of 10: 1- 5%
3 of 10: 5-10%
Demand
Response
5 of 10: 5- 25%
3 of 10: 25- 50%
3 of 10: <5%
5 of 10: 5- 25%
Direct
Marketing
110. #RepowerEU
Source: Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Solarchoice,
METI, BSW-Solar, California Solar Initiative, Vivint and SolarCity
filings
sources of uncertainty:
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015
Germany California Japan Chinese multi module Australia (3kW) Vivint SolarCity
Vivint
SolarCity
$/W (DC) PUBLIC BENCHMARKS OF RESIDENTIAL PV SYSTEM CAPEX
solar technology
111. #RepowerEU
Note: Values from 2010-2014 are based on BNEF’s annual battery price index. Cumulative production is
based on total EVs sold and their respective battery pack size.
Source: Bloomberg New Energy
Finance.
sources of uncertainty:
0
100
200
300
400
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Global EV li-ion
battery
production
BNEF observed
values
Moderate
scenario: 15%
learning rate
Aggressive
scenario: 22%
learning rate
BNEF observed values: annual
lithium-ion battery price index
2010-15
Long-term
cost range
EV battery pack costs ($/kWh) Global volumes (GWh)
EV LITHIUM-ION BATTERY COST OUTLOOK, 2011-2030
stationary storage
112. #RepowerEU
Only passenger EV models available for sale to the general public are included. Renault Twizy and Smart
Fortwo ED sales are not included
Source:Bloomberg New Energy Finance, carmakers, vehicle
registration agencies
sources of uncertainty:
19.9
23.6 23.4
29.2
36.9
39.8
36.9
68.3
0.0%
0.4%
0.8%
1.1%
1.5%
1.9%
2.3%
2.7%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Other
Sweden
France
Germany
UK
Netherlands
Norway
EV share of total
car sales (%)
EV sales (‘000 units) % of new vehicle sales
EUROPEAN BEV AND PHEV SALES BY COUNTRY,
Q1 2014 – Q4 2015
electric vehicles
113. #RepowerEU
Source: Bloomberg New Energy
Finance New Energy Outlook, 2015
sources of uncertainty:
-2% Min
0% Mid
+2% Max
Average annual demand growth
No data
1990-2015 2015-2040
electricity demand
114. #RepowerEU
sources of uncertainty:
SUPPORT SCHEMES FOR LARGE-SCALE
RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS
WIDER ELECTRICITY MARKET
REFORM
Centralised comprehensive capacity market
Decentralised comprehensive capacity market
Capacity payments
Capacity reserve
Considering a capacity mechanism
Part of European Commission
inquiry
PAYMENT MECHANISM
Premium
Green certificates
Competitive auctions
Feed-in tariff (FiT)
ALLOCATION
European energy policy
117. Secretariat
European Commission
New ETIP
Governing Board
~30 representatives from
stakeholders
Research &
Academia
National
Representatives
(government repres.)
Renewable
Energy Sources
Non ICT - equipment
Manufacturers/ suppliers
ICT technology
providers
Experts (coordinated via
WG/task forces)
Regulators
National actors
Consumers
(aggregated and
not aggregated)
ICT service
providers
Sector Interface
(Heat, Transport,
Gas,…)
Flexible Thermal
Generation
2
Exco
Chairmen + WG
convenors
Distribution
System
Operators
Transmission
System
Operators
Storage
118. Public announcement: today
Call for nomination process: End May until Mid June
1st Governing Board meeting: End June
Next Steps
3