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Adapting a Rice Farm to Climate
           Change.


          Laurie Arthur
           Rice Farmer
The problem
NSW Murray Allocation announcements modelled since 1892 on todays development

               120




               100




                80
% Allocation




                60




                40




                20




                 0




                                                           Year ending June



                                           Oct Announced      June Announced
Grain tonnage per financial year

                     6000                                                                                                                  120




                     5000                                                                                                                  100




                     4000                                                                                                                  80
Tonnes of grain




                                                                                                                                                 % of allocation
                                                                                                                                                                   Cereal ton

                                                                                                                                                                   Rice ton
                     3000                                                                                                                  60
                                                                                                                                                                   Allocation




                     2000                                                                                                                  40




                     1000                                                                                                                  20




                         0                                                                                                                 0
                               91/9292/9393/9494/9595/9696/9797/9898/9999/0000/0101/0202/0303/0404/0505/0606/0707/0808/0909/1009/1109/12
                  Cereal ton                                 193 194 242 229 341 217 234 255 374 232 460 220 713 290
                  Rice ton     167 237 264 272 243 335 330 279 352 487 460 188 310 318 480 936                   0   0   544 420
                  Allocation 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100            45   100 100   10     56   50   60   0   0   9    21   100

                                                                             Financial Year
Managing Climate change Risk
•   Invest in on farm efficiency
•   Move to dry land farming systems
•   Reduce gearing to allow opportunity cropping
•   Move to new crops and cropping systems
•   Spend nothing and tough it out
•   Create a rice industry in Northern Australia

     All after several years of minimal income
Why rice in the Ord?
• Tired of no water in south
• Australia’s highest security water
• Murray Valley and Ord Valley rainfall patterns
  seem to be counter cyclical
• With a critical mass it has a logistical
  advantage
• Rice has a deep world market
• Australians have the expertise
Moulamein to Kununurra 3800km
Rice out in head
The magpie geese stayed away
Lessons to date
•   M Valley Quest med grain 150 days12ml/ha
•   Ord Quest medium grain 100 days- 6ml/ha
•   M Valley yield 10.5 tons / ha
•   Ord yield 8 tons / ha
•   Sowing rates need to increase
•   M V grain quality- premium 65% w g mill-out
•   Ord grain quality- results from PNG soon
Will there be a rice industry up north?
• Must contain rice handling costs
• Need to increase the yields
• Need additional storage facilities
• A rice R&D program must breed
  dedicated northern varieties
• Must reach a critical mass
  (10,000 ton) soon
What I would like to do
• Grow 800 ha each year in the north
• Grow up to 800 ha in the south when water is
  available
• Run both enterprises as related units
• Help to establish an agricultural powerhouse
  in the north
• Not break the southern operation pursuing
  the north

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Adapting a rice farm to climate change - Laurie Arthur

  • 1. Adapting a Rice Farm to Climate Change. Laurie Arthur Rice Farmer
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5. NSW Murray Allocation announcements modelled since 1892 on todays development 120 100 80 % Allocation 60 40 20 0 Year ending June Oct Announced June Announced
  • 6. Grain tonnage per financial year 6000 120 5000 100 4000 80 Tonnes of grain % of allocation Cereal ton Rice ton 3000 60 Allocation 2000 40 1000 20 0 0 91/9292/9393/9494/9595/9696/9797/9898/9999/0000/0101/0202/0303/0404/0505/0606/0707/0808/0909/1009/1109/12 Cereal ton 193 194 242 229 341 217 234 255 374 232 460 220 713 290 Rice ton 167 237 264 272 243 335 330 279 352 487 460 188 310 318 480 936 0 0 544 420 Allocation 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 45 100 100 10 56 50 60 0 0 9 21 100 Financial Year
  • 7. Managing Climate change Risk • Invest in on farm efficiency • Move to dry land farming systems • Reduce gearing to allow opportunity cropping • Move to new crops and cropping systems • Spend nothing and tough it out • Create a rice industry in Northern Australia All after several years of minimal income
  • 8. Why rice in the Ord? • Tired of no water in south • Australia’s highest security water • Murray Valley and Ord Valley rainfall patterns seem to be counter cyclical • With a critical mass it has a logistical advantage • Rice has a deep world market • Australians have the expertise
  • 9.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Rice out in head
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. The magpie geese stayed away
  • 36. Lessons to date • M Valley Quest med grain 150 days12ml/ha • Ord Quest medium grain 100 days- 6ml/ha • M Valley yield 10.5 tons / ha • Ord yield 8 tons / ha • Sowing rates need to increase • M V grain quality- premium 65% w g mill-out • Ord grain quality- results from PNG soon
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Will there be a rice industry up north? • Must contain rice handling costs • Need to increase the yields • Need additional storage facilities • A rice R&D program must breed dedicated northern varieties • Must reach a critical mass (10,000 ton) soon
  • 40. What I would like to do • Grow 800 ha each year in the north • Grow up to 800 ha in the south when water is available • Run both enterprises as related units • Help to establish an agricultural powerhouse in the north • Not break the southern operation pursuing the north