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Federal Debt Held byProductReal Gross Domestic the Public, Historically and January 2012 August 2012 http://go.usa.gov/7QY http://go.usa.gov/nPiAs Projected in CBO’s Baseline and Under an(Percentage change, fourth quarter to fourth quarter)Alternative Fiscal Scenario(Percentage of GDP) 4 Recession 3.9 Recession 2.9 2.9 3 2.8 2.4 2.4 First 2.2 Half 2 1.9 2.0 1.7 1 0.4 0 -0.1 -1 -2 -3 -3.3 -4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Witheconomydeficits anticipated for much of the 10-year projection period of CBO’s GDP rose at an average annual rate the1.7 percent inThe modest has continued to expand modestly this year. Real (inflation-adjusted) current-law baseline, debt held by of publicthe first half of the year, of GDP. However, than in 2011 changes specified in current law did not occur and certain current policiesrecedes as a percentage somewhat slower if some of theand less than its average rate during the previous expansion. CBO anticipateswerethe pace of instead, debt held by will increase slightly during percent of GDP by the end of 2022, the highest figure since justthat continued economic expansion the public would rise to 94 the rest of 2012. C ONGRESSIONAL B UDGET O FFICEafter World War II.

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