How disinformation and lies drive the immigration debate and what you can do about it.
A presentation by Todd Landfried, Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform. Presented at the Unitarian Universalist General Assembly , June 21, 2012 in Phoenix, Arizona
1. “They’re Taking Our Jobs”
How disinformation and lies drive the
immigration debate and what you can do
about it
Todd Landfried
Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform
Presented at the Unitarian Universalist General Assembly
June 21, 2012 in Phoenix, Arizona
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2. “It's not what you don't know that
gets you into trouble. It's what you
know for sure that just ain't so.”
Mark Twain
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3. How’d We Get In This Mess?
Partisanship, ideology and fear raise emotions
Myths, distortions and outright lies frame the issue
Rhetoric makes scapegoats of government, employers and
workers, and families, intimidating them into silence
Polarizes people on moral, ethnic and economic grounds
Created a “third-rail” issue where any disagreement is attacked
and solutions are pushed aside
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4. “A salient characteristic of the
current debate on U.S.
immigration policy is the high
ratio of hot air to data.”
Dr. Douglas Massey
Co-director, Mexican Migration Project
Princeton University
mmp.opr.princeton.edu
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12. 9 out of 10
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49 11
13. g
9 out on 10
of
W r
Source: AZ Fact Check immigration topic, updated 3/14/12. N = 49 11
14. “The greatest threat to democracy
is having a public that thinks it is
fully informed, but really isn’t very
well informed at all.”
Linda Foley
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15. Birthright Fallacy
U.S. Citizen
Spouse 3 years
Minor Child 7 years
Sibling 22 years
Citizen Child
Parents Ineligible Penalty Wait 38 years
Siblings Ineligible Penalty Wait 53 years
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
Years
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service
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17. Crime Fallacies
Unauthorized Claim Reality Difference
% in Federal Prison 35% 17.5% +200%
% in AZ Prisons* 33% 13.2% +240%
Hate Crime
Not a problem +68% +6,800%
Increase ‘07-’10
Identity Theft 100% 0.9% -99.1%
* Includes green card and undocumented prisoners
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27. 84% I L
F A
Source: National Council of State Legislators, 2011 Legislative Summary, SB1070 Copycat Bills Failed 23
28. Been There, Done That
Restrictive immigration laws are not new to our country
Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882, The Gentleman’s Agreement of 1907, The
Immigration Act of 1924, and Bracero Program of 1942
Since 2007, restrictive laws have regained favor:
All started with one elected or community member with an ax to grind
All relied upon the same bad data we’ve just discussed
So, how’s that been working out?
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29. A Disastrous Record of Failure
Prince William County, VA (2007) - $14.9M to train & enforce
county officers, increase property tax rate by $0.15/$1,000;
foreclosure rate 3X regional rate; business closures up 45%
Farmer’s Branch, TX (2007) - $3.2M for lawyers, $5M in settlement
fees, increased vacancy rates, lower property values, businesses
closed
Hazelton, PA (2007) - $1M for lawyers, $2.4M in settlement fees,
increased foreclosure and vacancy rates, lower property values,
businesses closed
30. A Disastrous Record of Failure
Oklahoma Taxpayer & Citizen Protection Act (2007) - Oklahoma
Bankers Association study found the loss of 90,000 unauthorized
workers/families resulted in net Gross State Product loss of $1.9B
Urban Institute found negligible impact on savings on public services
from departure of the undocumented because by law they’re ineligible
for those benefits in the first place
Source: A Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Analysis of the Impact of the Oklahoma Taxpayer and Citizen Protection Act of 2007
31. A Disastrous Record of Failure
Arizona “Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhoods
Act” - SB1070 (2010)
$5M+ to train law enforcement
$186M in near-term convention and related tourism losses
$14.4B loss in Arizona GSP with departure of 30% undocumented
workers and families; $48.4B if they all leave
172,000 related job losses
$40.7M loss in state tax revenues
32. Sound Good?
✓Shrinking workforce
✓Significant population loss
✓Significantly fewer consumers
✓Business layoffs & closures
✓Broad tax base decline
✓Foreclosures up, values down
✓Damage to business climate
✓Loss of investment interest
34. Georgia’s HB 87
Ignoring previous failures, Gov. Deal signed it on May 12, 2011
Georgia felt the impact within days
Farmers lost field workers during prime spring harvest season and the
state’s Farm Bureau projected immediate losses at $330M
Gov. Deal called for impact study 14 days AFTER the law was passed
“Pilot” probationer employment program for agriculture failed
miserably: needed 11,000 and 14 showed up and seven remained a
week later
35. GA Governor: Use Prison Labor
How many support giving prison laborers this knife?
12”
36. Alabama’s HB 56
Ignoring previous failures, Gov. Bentley signed it on June 9, 2011
Alabama felt the impact within days
Construction industry stalled as workers leave, slowing down
rebuilding process following spring tornado storms
Long-term growers of crops that are hand-picked are switching to
crops that can be mechanized
Recent study show community tax receipts are down so low in
agricultural communities, they are considering cutting services
37. Quiz
Doing the same thing over and over and
expecting a different result is the definition of...
INSANITY
38. “Attrition” Laws Don’t Work
Local and state immigration laws have not worked anywhere
No study exists that shows positive impacts of any local or state-
level immigration law
All studies show negative economic and social consequences
Successful Russell Pearce recall shows sensible immigration
reform can be a winning campaign issue
Federal reform cannot occur without state and local pressure
39. Your Take-aways
Bad data = bad policy = bad outcomes
Misinformation, distortions, half-truths, lies and fear are driving the
debate and are justifying extreme and exaggerated actions
Arizona’s approach has been tried before and failed everywhere
Demand better solutions - our economic future depends on it
Encourage others to get informed, involved and say enough!
40. Getting Involved Works!
The approach of building coalitions, public education, proactive
media use, legislative interaction and speaking out works
Utah - - SB1070 copycat bill DEFEATED
Kansas - SB1070 copycat bills DEFEATED TWICE
Texas - 108 immigration bills DEFEATED
Arizona - follow-on immigration bills DEFEATED
41. What You Must Do
Stop believing everything you hear - 9 times out of 10 it’s wrong
Stop remaining silent - demand changes to bad laws
Business, faith, legal, and community leaders must speak out
together
Start publicly challenging false statements and claims
Start demanding state and federal candidates talk about their
solutions and demand specific timelines for action
An estimated 14,748 persons were murdered nationwide in 2010. If the undocumented committed 9,000 of them, that means they committed 61% of the crime. Yeah, sure.\n\nThis was a 4.2 percent decrease from the 2009 estimate, a 14.8 percent decrease from the 2006 figure, and an 8.0 percent decrease from the 2001 estimate. \n
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Does anyone watch lawyer shows on TV? What do they say in the courtroom when they swear someone in as a witness? They swear to tell the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth. The DON’T swear to tell the truth, most of the truth or half of the truth.\n
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The greatest threat to Democracy is having a public that thinks it is fully informed, but really isn’t very well informed at all. Too often in this digital age, we jump right to the debate without having the facts. We need good, quality journalism so we the citizens of the United States, who live in a very complex world are able to say “These are the facts. I know what the facts are and I’m going to make my decision as an informed citizen.”\n\nThree things you need to know about this presentation\nParty and ideology have nothing to do with this presentation. It’s only intent is to present facts. \nIt’s purpose is to challenge false beliefs and preconceived notions.\nThe information presented herein are based on verifiable public data obtained from recognized sources with sources listed at the bottom of each slide.\n
EXAMPLE #1: The Birthright Fallacy\n\n1. Bringing in a Spouse, of a US citizen: This is the fastest possible way to become a U.S. citizen - 3 years\n2. Bringing in minor child or parent: This process depends on whether the child is a minor or not, single or married. Minor children can file for green cards immediately, but cannot apply for citizenship status for an additional five years.\n3. Single or adult children and siblings can apply immediately, but the wait times depend on the country of origin and annual limits set by Congress. Typically, the wait is 11-22 years.\n\nNo U.S. citizen can "sponsor" someone to become a U.S. Citizen until they reach the age of 21. The suggestion that U.S. children of undocumented parents can somehow speed up their parent's entry into the country legally is without merit. The shortest amount of time it would take would be 38 years, but likely never. For siblings, it's even worse, taking up to 53 years.\n
Example #5 - Jobs fallacy\n\nThese next two slides tell an amazing tale. We’re told to believe that wherever there are immigrant workers, there is high unemployment. These maps shows that simply isn’t the case. \n
http://www.dol.ks.gov/LMIS/newsrel/pr1013/map.html\n\nThe other question this begs is what happens to those jobs in the processing plants if ill-conceived immigration laws are passed? What the business owners are telling the legislature and their trade associations, is they will close the plants and move them to where they can get the labor, most likely Mexico. So what impact with THAT decision have on the Kansas economy?\n
EXAMPLE #4: How exaggerating data distorts public perceptions of the problem.\n\nThis table highlights some of the more egregious falsehoods told on a daily basis about immigrants in Arizona. The data for Texas is similar, but all highlight the problems of rhetoric of "hot air."\n\nPrison population data: http://www.azcorrections.gov/adc/reports/Zoya_ethnic.aspx\nEducation costs data: Estimates based on larger estimate of http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/statistics/publications/ois_ill_pe_2010.pdf or http://www.migrationinformation.org/DataHub/charts/MPIDataHub-Children-in-immigrant-families.xls (12.2% or 61,507 undocumented population <=17 yrs x $6,170 = $379,498,190)\nHealth care costs data: Illegal Immigration: Perceptions and Realities, ASU Morrison Inst.\nTax Payments data: &#x201C;A Rising Tide or a Shrinking Pie,&#x201D; CAP, http://www.immigrationpolicy.org/special-reports/rising-tide-or-shrinking-pie \n\n\n
EXAMPLE #4 continued: How exaggerating data distorts public perceptions of the problem.\n\nCrime statistics claims don&#x2019;t match up with reality.\n\nFederal Prison data: http://www.bop.gov/news/quick.jsp#2 \nAZ Prison data: http://www.azcorrections.gov/adc/reports/Zoya_ethnic.aspx\nViolent crime data: http://www.azdps.gov/About/Reports/Crime_In_Arizona/\nHate crime data: http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/ucr#hate\nID Theft data: http://www.adc.state.az.us/BudgetHearings2012.pdf\n
The number of immigration-related bills introduced in 2011\n
The number of immigration-related bills passed in 2011\n
The success rate of immigration-related bills passed in 2011\n
The percentage of immigration-related bills failed in 2011.\n
The number of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills introduced in 2011\n
The number of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills passed in 2011\n
The percentage of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills passed in 2011\n
The percentage of Arizona-style SB1070 copycat bills failing in 2011\n
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SB1070 has had a brutal impact on Arizona&#x2019;s economy already, but what would happen if all aspects of SB1070 were passed into law? \n\nSuffice it to say, the economic and jobs damage would be enormous. If SB1070 is fully implemented, the impacts on Arizona&#x2019;s economy would be worse than during the last recession by doubling the numbers of lost jobs (275,000 to 581,000) and reducing Gross State Product by $48.8B and tax revenues by $4.2B. \n\nThere has to be a better way and there are better ways. What&#x2019;s important is that you hear about them.\n\nSource: http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/03/rising_tide.html \n