Energy Sec. Jose Rene D. Almendras was the keynote speaker at the April 23, 2012 Energy Forum hosted by the Joint Foreign Chambers. He discussed in detail the Philippines' diversified energy mix and the development plans for energy resources. One of the highlights of his presentation involved a summary of the power situation for Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao as of April 2012.
2. Diversified Energy Mix
2010 Primary Energy Mix
Total Energy = 40.73 MTOE
Biomass
13.1%* Oil Shares
36.4%
Self-Sufficiency = 57.5%
Geothermal Green Energy = 46.3%
21.0% RE = 38.9%
Biomass Breakdown
Industry = 27%
Residential = 67%
Hydro Commercial = 6%
4.8% Coal
NatGas
17.3%
7.4%
Note:
a) Wind and Solar contribute 0.001% with total capacity of 39 MW
3. Diversified Energy Mix
2010 Power Generation Fuel Mix
Biomass Solar and
0.05% Oil Wind
7.52% 0.05% Total Energy = 19.81 MTOE
Shares
Coal
25.69%
Self-sufficiency = 66.8%
Green Energy = 66.8%
RE = 53.0%
Geothermal
43.11%
Natural Gas Hydro
13.78% 9.79%
4. Diversified Energy Mix
2010 Power Generation Mix
Solar
Biomass 0.002%
Wind
Hydro 0.04% Total Generation = 67,743 GWh
11.52% 0.09%
Coal
Geothermal
34.40%
Shares
14.66%
Self-sufficiency = 62.9%
Green Energy = 55.1 %
RE = 26.3%
Natural Gas Oil Based
28.81% 10.48%
Gross Generatiopn = 67,743 GWh
Note: Generation data includes grid connected, embedded, and off-grid generators
10. Oil/Hydro Carbons
Global oil demand is expected to rise to 89.9 mb/d as
economic growth accelerates through end-2012;
Non-OPEC supply fell in March to 52.7 mb/d. For the
remaining months, supply is expected to grow to 53.4
mb/d
March OPEC supply held near 3 ½ year highs, up by 135
kb/d to 31.43 mb/d
17. Spot
Peak Market
Reserve Margin
Requirement
MW Intermediate
Bilateral
Base-load Contract
TIME OF DAY
18. Capacity Mix
LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO
Installed Capacity Installed Capacity Installed Capacity
= 11,869 MW = 2,393 MW = 1,971 MW
BASELOAD BASELOAD BASELOAD
POWER PLANTS: POWER PLANTS: POWER PLANTS:
63.94% 71.88% 37.31%
Note:
• Base-load Power Plants are the facilities used to meet some or all of a given continuous energy demand,
and produce energy at a constant rate, usually at low cost relative to other facilities available to the
system
19. 2012 Max Peak Min Capacity Max Capacity
= 7,463 MW = 7,592 MW = 9,127 MW
Required Reserve
Margin
2012 Min Peak
= 5847 MW
Legend:
Geothermal Hydro 2012 System Peak Demand
Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin
Natgas
Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
21. 2012 Max Peak Max Capacity
= 1,423 MW = 1,843 MW
Min Capacity
Required Reserve = 1,545 MW
Margin
2012 Min Peak
= 1,205 MW
Legend:
Geothermal Hydro 2012 System Peak Demand
Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin
Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
23. Min Capacity Required Reserve
2012 Curtailed Demand Max Capacity = 1,097 MW Margin
= 1,219 MW = 1,287 MW
2011 Min Demand =
1,034 MW
Legend:
2012 Curtailed Demand
Geothermal Hydro
Coal Oil-based Required Reserve Margin
Source: DOR & DOH of NGCP
25. Power Supply-Demand Situation
Power Supply and Demand LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO
Available Capacity 9,127 1,843 1,280
Peak Demand* 7,346 1,423 1,300
Surplus/(Deficit) 1,781 420 (20)
Required Reserve Margin 1,588 257 150
Peak Demand + Reserve
8,934 1,680 1,450
Margin
Surplus/(Deficit) @ Demand
193 163 (170)
+ Reserve Margin
Pulangi after
100
repair
Embedded
74
Generation
Notes:
• Source of data, NGCP Daily Operation Report
• * Actual System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Luzon-Visayas Grid
• * Projected System Peak Demand for the Month of March 2012 for Mindanao Grid