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DEVELOPER ECONOMICS Q3 2013:
THE STATE OF THE DEVELOPER NATION

Mobicamp 2013

Page 1
ARE YOU TWEETING THIS?
SAY HELLO TO @ANDREASCON
FROM @VISIONMOBILE

Page 2
VisionMobile | THE LEADING APP economy analysts
Developer Economics

Mobile Business Models

Market Sonar

The biggest, most global mobile
developer research platform

Mobile business models and strategy for
managing disruption and reinventing
your business

Uncover hidden trends of app demand
for platform owners and app makers

Tier-1 clients

Digital ecosystem experts

Media coverage

trusted by the top brand names in
mobile

Thought leaders in the economics of
ecosystems and telecoms in the
software era

Global media reach

Page 3
6,000+
Mobile app developers
Biggest APP developer research
to date
www.DeveloperEconomics.com

4
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The OS wars are over
Android and iOS are the vast majority of smartphones sold and platforms used
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What’s wrong with this picture?
Who will win, HTML5 or native?
Page 11
The new frontier for HTML5 mobile is beyond the browser

Page 12

Source: Visionmobile, Developer Economics 2013 Q3 | Survey conducted in April – May 2013 | n = 2275
beyond the browser, HTML5 can achieve a better balance

Performance
Mobile browser
Web wrapper
(hybrid app)
Web-to-native converter
Native JavaScript API

13
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Source: VisionMobile

Reach

API depth
BEYOND THE BROWSER, HTML5 mobile can “reach” more apps
% of apps in Google Play US store that can be implemented with each HTML5 route to market, that utilise
APIs available through that HTML5 route to market alone.

% of Android apps in Google Play US store
Page 14
PR
CR
LCWD

Standardization Status

MOBILE Browser EVOLUTION STILL HAMPERS HTML5 APPS
◦Geolocation
◦Vibration
◦Battery
◦Compass
◦Network

WD
ED

◦Microphone
◦Camera
◦Notifications

◦SMS
◦Calendar
◦Telephony
◦Contacts

None

◦Motion

◦NFC ◦WiFi
◦Power management
◦Audio Settings
◦Bluetooth

0

1

!  ED: Early Draft
!  WD: Working Draft
15
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◦Filesystem

Source: VisionMobile

Number of adopting browsers
2

3

4

!  LCWD: Last Candidate
Working Draft

5

6

7

!  CR: Candidate Release
!  PR: Production Release
What stops developers from using HTML5?
Marketing
Education

Tools

APIs
Performance

16
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Source: Developer Economics Q3 2013
HTML5 mobile: Myth vs reality
Myth

Reality

Performance is slow

•  It is not about performance, it is about tools and the ability to
measure performance and improve.
•  Technology gets better (asm.js), but browser vendors choose to
ignore it. Better performance depends on browser politics.

Lack of APIs

•  37% of Android apps could be implemented using HTML5 via the
Mobile browser, 49% via Phonegap, 63% via Appcelerator and 98%
via Firefox OS.
•  The APIs that would make the biggest difference in app addressable
market are not even on the browser roadmap.

Ease of development

•  Instrumentation tools, especially debugging and memory profiling
are sorely missing.

Page 17
THE FUTURE OF HTML5 is beyond the browser

Page 18

Source: Visionmobile, Developer Economics 2013 Q3 | Survey conducted in April – May 2013 | n = 2275
Is Android catching up with iOS?
On average, the gap is closing
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THE GLOBAL APP ECONOMY 2013

Page 22

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
THE GLOBAL APP ECONOMY 2013

Page 23

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
JOBS IN THE EU28 APP ECONOMY

Page 24

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
The app trade routes
And why most developers are missing out
Page 25
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Beneath the app economy
The SDK economy as the supporting infrastructure
Page 28
1,000:1 apps:tools
Page 29
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The future of developers
Page 34
Developers at the centre of attention
100s of dev tools makers

telecom overlays
Developer mindshare leaders

chipset makers

competing platforms

35
Page 35

telco API

handset makers

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
WHO ARE DEVELOPERS?

Page 36

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
WHAT DRIVES DEVELOPERS?

Page 37

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
THE FUTURE OF DEVELOPERS IS BEYOND THE APP ECONOMY
EXPERIMENTERS
2012

INVESTORS

RESELLERS

2011

2013

INNOVATORS
2009

38
Page 38

BIZ MODEL EXTENDERS
2014

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
Want More? Get IT Now!

Developer Economics .com

Page 39

Copyright VisionMobile 2013
Thanks for listening..
Knowledge. Passion. Innovation.

Now let’s talk!

@andreascon
andreas@visionmobile.com

Updated: 12 November 2010

Page 40

Copyright VisionMobile 2011

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State of the Developer Nation: Developer Economics Q3 2013 (MobiCamp Keynote)

  • 1. DEVELOPER ECONOMICS Q3 2013: THE STATE OF THE DEVELOPER NATION Mobicamp 2013 Page 1
  • 2. ARE YOU TWEETING THIS? SAY HELLO TO @ANDREASCON FROM @VISIONMOBILE Page 2
  • 3. VisionMobile | THE LEADING APP economy analysts Developer Economics Mobile Business Models Market Sonar The biggest, most global mobile developer research platform Mobile business models and strategy for managing disruption and reinventing your business Uncover hidden trends of app demand for platform owners and app makers Tier-1 clients Digital ecosystem experts Media coverage trusted by the top brand names in mobile Thought leaders in the economics of ecosystems and telecoms in the software era Global media reach Page 3
  • 4. 6,000+ Mobile app developers Biggest APP developer research to date www.DeveloperEconomics.com 4 Page 4
  • 5. The OS wars are over Android and iOS are the vast majority of smartphones sold and platforms used Page 5
  • 11. What’s wrong with this picture? Who will win, HTML5 or native? Page 11
  • 12. The new frontier for HTML5 mobile is beyond the browser Page 12 Source: Visionmobile, Developer Economics 2013 Q3 | Survey conducted in April – May 2013 | n = 2275
  • 13. beyond the browser, HTML5 can achieve a better balance Performance Mobile browser Web wrapper (hybrid app) Web-to-native converter Native JavaScript API 13 Page 13 Source: VisionMobile Reach API depth
  • 14. BEYOND THE BROWSER, HTML5 mobile can “reach” more apps % of apps in Google Play US store that can be implemented with each HTML5 route to market, that utilise APIs available through that HTML5 route to market alone. % of Android apps in Google Play US store Page 14
  • 15. PR CR LCWD Standardization Status MOBILE Browser EVOLUTION STILL HAMPERS HTML5 APPS ◦Geolocation ◦Vibration ◦Battery ◦Compass ◦Network WD ED ◦Microphone ◦Camera ◦Notifications ◦SMS ◦Calendar ◦Telephony ◦Contacts None ◦Motion ◦NFC ◦WiFi ◦Power management ◦Audio Settings ◦Bluetooth 0 1 !  ED: Early Draft !  WD: Working Draft 15 Page 15 ◦Filesystem Source: VisionMobile Number of adopting browsers 2 3 4 !  LCWD: Last Candidate Working Draft 5 6 7 !  CR: Candidate Release !  PR: Production Release
  • 16. What stops developers from using HTML5? Marketing Education Tools APIs Performance 16 Page 16 Source: Developer Economics Q3 2013
  • 17. HTML5 mobile: Myth vs reality Myth Reality Performance is slow •  It is not about performance, it is about tools and the ability to measure performance and improve. •  Technology gets better (asm.js), but browser vendors choose to ignore it. Better performance depends on browser politics. Lack of APIs •  37% of Android apps could be implemented using HTML5 via the Mobile browser, 49% via Phonegap, 63% via Appcelerator and 98% via Firefox OS. •  The APIs that would make the biggest difference in app addressable market are not even on the browser roadmap. Ease of development •  Instrumentation tools, especially debugging and memory profiling are sorely missing. Page 17
  • 18. THE FUTURE OF HTML5 is beyond the browser Page 18 Source: Visionmobile, Developer Economics 2013 Q3 | Survey conducted in April – May 2013 | n = 2275
  • 19. Is Android catching up with iOS? On average, the gap is closing Page 19
  • 22. THE GLOBAL APP ECONOMY 2013 Page 22 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 23. THE GLOBAL APP ECONOMY 2013 Page 23 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 24. JOBS IN THE EU28 APP ECONOMY Page 24 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 25. The app trade routes And why most developers are missing out Page 25
  • 28. Beneath the app economy The SDK economy as the supporting infrastructure Page 28
  • 34. The future of developers Page 34
  • 35. Developers at the centre of attention 100s of dev tools makers telecom overlays Developer mindshare leaders chipset makers competing platforms 35 Page 35 telco API handset makers Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 36. WHO ARE DEVELOPERS? Page 36 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 37. WHAT DRIVES DEVELOPERS? Page 37 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 38. THE FUTURE OF DEVELOPERS IS BEYOND THE APP ECONOMY EXPERIMENTERS 2012 INVESTORS RESELLERS 2011 2013 INNOVATORS 2009 38 Page 38 BIZ MODEL EXTENDERS 2014 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 39. Want More? Get IT Now! Developer Economics .com Page 39 Copyright VisionMobile 2013
  • 40. Thanks for listening.. Knowledge. Passion. Innovation. Now let’s talk! @andreascon andreas@visionmobile.com Updated: 12 November 2010 Page 40 Copyright VisionMobile 2011