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Measuring and Improving the Effectiveness
 of R&D Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa
Leonard Oruko




IAAE Symposium on Improving Returns to
Agricultural Research in Sub-Saharan Africa
Foz do Iguaçu | 20 August 2012
R&D Results Measurement Challenges

• What is an effective R&D system?
   – Outputs impact on poverty, food security and income growth
   – Generates relevant products and services in a timely fashion
   – Has adequate human capacity and financial resources

• Can we demonstrate Results of Ag. R&D Investments?
   – Human capital, infrastructure and operational funding constraints
   – Long time lags from the point of investment to the manifestation of
     returns
   – “ A fishing expedition or a shooting range”
   – Well functioning support services and institutions must be in place for
     research outputs to have an impact on development outcomes
R&D Results Measurement Challenges..

• Research evaluation has supported the case for R&D
   – The tools and information developed for evidence-based policy were
     linked to the development imperatives of the day
• Research evaluation responded to questions being asked
   – Economic returns , welfare analysis, priority setting, funding of
     research issues
   – Concerns with poverty (well beyond producer and consumer surplus),
     NRM and sustainability (beyond production systems) , and later
     climate change at increasing scale
• Impact assessment has had to balance the needs for
  accountability to funders versus learning and change by actors
   – Economic return, experiments and quasi experiments (quantitative)
   – Utilization-focused evaluation, qualitative
Status of Results Measurement in SSA Ag. R&D
Institutions
• Ex-ante impact evaluation
   *CAADP Framework
   – Evidence of some NARS adopting objective criteria, with support from
     the CG Centres
   – ASARECA, CORAF and CCARDESA focus on estimating spillover
     potential
• Managing research implementation process
   – Accountability focus pushing NARS towards RBM-PABRA
   – FARA and SRO gravitating around RBM derived CPMF
   – CG-CRP
• Ex post impact evaluation
   – Adoption
   – Precise measurement of impact with RCT emerging as “ the Gold
     Standard”
Impact of Ag. R&D: Common practice

• Primary focus has been that of establishing the impact on development
  outcomes




        Source: Block, 2010
Outcomes of Ag. R&D
• Estimates of adoption primarily case specific
   – Targeted studies estimate adoption levels and determinants of
     adoption; guide research planning and priority setting
• Important lessons for R&D results measurement systems
   – LSMS-ISA
   – DIVA Initiative
            Adoption of improved varieties
     Crop                                         % cropped area
     Maize (in west and central Africa)                 67
     Cassava                                            39
     Beans                                              32
     Sorghum                                            14


                                             Source: Alene, et al, 2011
Inputs and outputs

         • The DIVA Initiative
             •   Research expenditure
             •   Full Time Equivalent Scientists(FTEs)
             •   Research Intensity
             •   Mean Incidence of varietal Output

          Changes in researcher Intensity ratio over time

                   Commodity                           2010   1998
  Rice                                                 10.9    6
  Maize (west and central Africa)                       9.2    10
  Cassava                                               1.2    3
  Sorghum                                               1.7    5
  *Beans                                               33.7    21


         Source: Alene, et al,2011
Improving the Results measurement of R&D
systems


   “A major knowledge gap in understanding and strengthening
    R&D systems stems from the lack of empirical application of
 framework, metrics, and benchmarks to measure organizational
       performance and institutional impact in the context of
                     agricultural research”
                          Ragasa, 2011
• Organization design theory in the context of innovation
    system
   – Coordination mechanisms that provide incentives for innovation
   – Demand responsiveness and connectivity to other actors in the
     innovation system
Empirics from Ghana and Nigeria : Perception
Ratings)
• Output, outcome and impact indicators are standard
   -Technologies generated
   -Publications
   – Adoption of technologies (most researchers unaware of the adoption
      rates)
   – Limited complementarity and consistency across the indicators
• Connectivity
   – Linkage with other researchers exist, limited in the case of extension,
     farmers and other innovation actors
• Organization culture and job satisfaction
   – Satisfaction with outputs
   – Staff morale
   – Perception on effectiveness of the organization
Way Forwards for results Measurement

• There is no substitute for valid and credible data
    – Real time data for operational management not available in the majority of
      cases
    – Measurement error arising from reported area and output data (LSMS-ISA)
    – Data is a valuable resourcetreasure often kept in “armory”
    – Challenges with data sharing protocols hence despite the noble intentions
      espoused in; CAADP, CRP, SRO

• Getting adequate data for results measurement is costly
    – Owing to scarcity of resources , collection of performance data and
      information is rarely given priority-donors are pushing for a reversal!
    – Greater chances of getting resources when framed as a research endeavor
    – Operational management data is often treated as confidential
Way Forwards for Results Measurement

• Strategic Focus in SSA
   – ASTI initiative to support the NARS in the institutionalization of
     data collection and expand to include output indicators
          – Work with SRO and RECS

   – FARA and SRO’s to focus on quantifying the
     externalities/spillovers and, support the NARS in developing
     measurement approaches for effective coordination and
     management

   – NARS to plug into the broader innovation system and NIMES in
     order to demonstrate contribution to broader development
     agenda
Way Forwards for Results Measurement
• Rigorous impact evaluation approaches recommended
   – Selective use of RCT and other quasi experimental methods given the
     associated costs
   – Develop rapid and robust approaches for measuring the impact of
     R&D on development outcomes
• Operational management support
   – Great research opportunity in the area of agricultural innovation
     systems employing management science tools
• Effective results measurement systems respond to
  information needs in a timely fashion-an art
   – Proactive strategic analyses
   – Consistent data collection effort
   – Focus on generating evidence and catalyzing use
   *Duplication of efforts arising from fragmented approach to data
   collection
THANK YOU

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Measuring and improving effectiveness of african ag research systems asti - iaae

  • 1. Measuring and Improving the Effectiveness of R&D Systems in Sub-Saharan Africa Leonard Oruko IAAE Symposium on Improving Returns to Agricultural Research in Sub-Saharan Africa Foz do Iguaçu | 20 August 2012
  • 2. R&D Results Measurement Challenges • What is an effective R&D system? – Outputs impact on poverty, food security and income growth – Generates relevant products and services in a timely fashion – Has adequate human capacity and financial resources • Can we demonstrate Results of Ag. R&D Investments? – Human capital, infrastructure and operational funding constraints – Long time lags from the point of investment to the manifestation of returns – “ A fishing expedition or a shooting range” – Well functioning support services and institutions must be in place for research outputs to have an impact on development outcomes
  • 3. R&D Results Measurement Challenges.. • Research evaluation has supported the case for R&D – The tools and information developed for evidence-based policy were linked to the development imperatives of the day • Research evaluation responded to questions being asked – Economic returns , welfare analysis, priority setting, funding of research issues – Concerns with poverty (well beyond producer and consumer surplus), NRM and sustainability (beyond production systems) , and later climate change at increasing scale • Impact assessment has had to balance the needs for accountability to funders versus learning and change by actors – Economic return, experiments and quasi experiments (quantitative) – Utilization-focused evaluation, qualitative
  • 4. Status of Results Measurement in SSA Ag. R&D Institutions • Ex-ante impact evaluation *CAADP Framework – Evidence of some NARS adopting objective criteria, with support from the CG Centres – ASARECA, CORAF and CCARDESA focus on estimating spillover potential • Managing research implementation process – Accountability focus pushing NARS towards RBM-PABRA – FARA and SRO gravitating around RBM derived CPMF – CG-CRP • Ex post impact evaluation – Adoption – Precise measurement of impact with RCT emerging as “ the Gold Standard”
  • 5. Impact of Ag. R&D: Common practice • Primary focus has been that of establishing the impact on development outcomes Source: Block, 2010
  • 6. Outcomes of Ag. R&D • Estimates of adoption primarily case specific – Targeted studies estimate adoption levels and determinants of adoption; guide research planning and priority setting • Important lessons for R&D results measurement systems – LSMS-ISA – DIVA Initiative Adoption of improved varieties Crop % cropped area Maize (in west and central Africa) 67 Cassava 39 Beans 32 Sorghum 14 Source: Alene, et al, 2011
  • 7. Inputs and outputs • The DIVA Initiative • Research expenditure • Full Time Equivalent Scientists(FTEs) • Research Intensity • Mean Incidence of varietal Output Changes in researcher Intensity ratio over time Commodity 2010 1998 Rice 10.9 6 Maize (west and central Africa) 9.2 10 Cassava 1.2 3 Sorghum 1.7 5 *Beans 33.7 21 Source: Alene, et al,2011
  • 8. Improving the Results measurement of R&D systems “A major knowledge gap in understanding and strengthening R&D systems stems from the lack of empirical application of framework, metrics, and benchmarks to measure organizational performance and institutional impact in the context of agricultural research” Ragasa, 2011 • Organization design theory in the context of innovation system – Coordination mechanisms that provide incentives for innovation – Demand responsiveness and connectivity to other actors in the innovation system
  • 9. Empirics from Ghana and Nigeria : Perception Ratings) • Output, outcome and impact indicators are standard -Technologies generated -Publications – Adoption of technologies (most researchers unaware of the adoption rates) – Limited complementarity and consistency across the indicators • Connectivity – Linkage with other researchers exist, limited in the case of extension, farmers and other innovation actors • Organization culture and job satisfaction – Satisfaction with outputs – Staff morale – Perception on effectiveness of the organization
  • 10. Way Forwards for results Measurement • There is no substitute for valid and credible data – Real time data for operational management not available in the majority of cases – Measurement error arising from reported area and output data (LSMS-ISA) – Data is a valuable resourcetreasure often kept in “armory” – Challenges with data sharing protocols hence despite the noble intentions espoused in; CAADP, CRP, SRO • Getting adequate data for results measurement is costly – Owing to scarcity of resources , collection of performance data and information is rarely given priority-donors are pushing for a reversal! – Greater chances of getting resources when framed as a research endeavor – Operational management data is often treated as confidential
  • 11. Way Forwards for Results Measurement • Strategic Focus in SSA – ASTI initiative to support the NARS in the institutionalization of data collection and expand to include output indicators – Work with SRO and RECS – FARA and SRO’s to focus on quantifying the externalities/spillovers and, support the NARS in developing measurement approaches for effective coordination and management – NARS to plug into the broader innovation system and NIMES in order to demonstrate contribution to broader development agenda
  • 12. Way Forwards for Results Measurement • Rigorous impact evaluation approaches recommended – Selective use of RCT and other quasi experimental methods given the associated costs – Develop rapid and robust approaches for measuring the impact of R&D on development outcomes • Operational management support – Great research opportunity in the area of agricultural innovation systems employing management science tools • Effective results measurement systems respond to information needs in a timely fashion-an art – Proactive strategic analyses – Consistent data collection effort – Focus on generating evidence and catalyzing use *Duplication of efforts arising from fragmented approach to data collection