Growing Opportunities for African Agricultural Development

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Agricultural Science & Technology Indicators (ASTI)

By Hans P. Binswanger-Mkhize, Derek Byerlee, Alex McCalla, Michael Morris and John Staatz. Presented at the ASTI-FARA conference Agricultural R&D: Investing in Africa's Future: Analyzing Trends, Challenges, and Opportunities - Accra, Ghana, December 5-7, 2011. http://www.asti.cgiar.org/2011conf

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GROWING OPPORTUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Hans P. Binswanger-Mkhize, Derek Byerlee, Alex McCalla, Michael Morris and John Staatz ASTI-FARA-IFPRI Conference December 5, 2011

Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Africa’s constraints ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Recent Positive Trends in Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Macroeconomic Conditions and Agricultural Growth Improving macro-economic score  Higher agric. growth

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Improving policy environment

The recent twin food crises Source: World Bank

Determinants of higher food prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

World prices are expected to settle at higher levels than in the past Source: OECD-FAO, 2011

Climate change is expected to contribute to higher world prices Source: Nelson et al, 2011

Higher international prices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Where are Africa’s market opportunities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Removing Barriers To Trade And Improving Markets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Brazilian Cerrado ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Northeast Thailand ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Farm-level productivity lower in Africa Example of cassava Cassava yield (t/ha)

But shipment values similar Example of cassava Shipment value (US$/t) other family labor hired labor crop chemicals fertilizer seed

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Scale of production ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Alternatives to large farms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Scale of production ,[object Object],[object Object]

Bright prospects for Africa ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Growing Opportunities for African Agricultural Development

1. GROWING OPPORTUNITIES FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT Hans P. Binswanger-Mkhize, Derek Byerlee, Alex McCalla, Michael Morris and John Staatz ASTI-FARA-IFPRI Conference December 5, 2011

5. Macroeconomic Conditions and Agricultural Growth Improving macro-economic score  Higher agric. growth

7. The recent twin food crises Source: World Bank

9. World prices are expected to settle at higher levels than in the past Source: OECD-FAO, 2011

10. Climate change is expected to contribute to higher world prices Source: Nelson et al, 2011

11.

12.

13.

14. World Bank FAO Roma Tre Michigan State

15.

16.

17.

18. Farm-level productivity lower in Africa Example of cassava Cassava yield (t/ha)

19. But shipment values similar Example of cassava Shipment value (US$/t) other family labor hired labor crop chemicals fertilizer seed

20.

21.

22.

23.

24.

25.

Growing Opportunities for African Agricultural Development

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