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Age Friendly Workforce Asia 2011 Conference

             3 November 2011




               Dr Philbert Chin
                  President
WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050
SCENARIO 1

Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman
Net migration added annually: Zero

 Total Population: 3.03 million
 Total Young people aged 15 and below: 274,400 (9.1% of population)
 No. of working adults will decline to 1.73 million, making up just over
  half – 57.3% – of the population
 No. of Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.02 million (33.6% of the population)
 Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 1.7: 1
 Median Age: 54.6 years old
WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050

SCENARIO 2

Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman
Net migration added annually: 30,000

 Total population will grow to 4.89 million by 2050
 Total Young people aged 15 and below: 651,300 (13.3% of population)
 No. of Working-age adults: 3.1 million (63.3% of population)
 Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.14 million (23.4% of population)
 Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 2.7: 1
 Median age: 45.7 years old

       The assumptions here reflect most closely Singapore’s
                        current situation
WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050

SCENARIO 3

Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman
Net migration added annually: 60,000

 Total population will almost double to 6.76 million by 2050
 Young people aged below 15 will increase to 1.04 million by 2050
  (15.3% of population)
 No. of working adults: 4.45 million (65.9% of population)
 Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.27 million (18.8% of the population)
 Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 3.5: 1
 Median age: 41.6 years old
WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050
SCENARIO 4
Total Fertility rate rises gradually to 1.85 births per woman by 2025 before
stabilising at this level

Net migration added annually: Zero

TFR of 1.85 is optimistic
Total Population declines to 3.37 million in 2050
No. of Young people aged 15 and below will decline to 447,100
 (13.3% of population)
No. of working-age adults: 1.91 million (56.6% of population)
Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.02 million (30.2% of the population)
Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 1.9: 1
Median age: 50.9 years old
FROM MR LEE KUAN YEW




“20,000 to 25,000 migrants is digestible
politically”

         Former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew
         said at a recent forum
•Total Population: 4.8 million
•Working age population: 3.1 million
•Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.14 million
•Ratio of working-age adults supporting each
 elderly person: 2.7: 1
SINGAPORE’S CURRENT DEFINITION ON THE
DISABLED

“The Singapore’s current definition uses
the medical criteria as the base and builds
on top of that, an examination of the
socio-functional limitations.”
COMMITTEE ON AGEING ISSUES: REPORT ON AGEING
   POPULATION
                           Ambulant Status of Seniors

 Are you able to move around physically    65 years old       65 to 74      75 years old
           without any help?              and above (%)     Years old (%)   & above (%)

Ambulant and Physically Independent            87                93             78

Ambulant and Physically independent            8                 5              13
but require walking aid
Require some physical assistance to            3                 1               6
move around and need some assistive
device
Not bedridden but require total               0.7               0.4              1
physical assistance for movement
Bedridden                                      1                0.5              2

                                                          Source: NCSS 2005
ESTIMATED AMBULATORY STATUS OF SENIORS IN 2050
   SHOWN IN FIGURES

Projected number of elderly aged 65 and older     1,140,000
in 2050

Ambulant and Physically Independent             991,800 (87%)

                                                                1,083,000
Ambulant and Physically independent but         91, 200 (8%)
require walking aid

Require some physical assistance to move         34,200 (3%)
around and need some assistive device


Not bedridden but require total physical        7,980 (0.7%)     53,580
assistance for movement

Bedridden                                        11,400 (1%)
HEALTH PROMOTION BOARD SINGAPORE
            ARTICLE ON VOLUNTEERISM
Giving to the community the benefit derives by the recipient are:

1)Sense of Achievement
        a) A sense of achievement, satisfaction and fulfilment

2)Way from the Rat Race
        a) By extending a helping hand, you will realise that your problems
            are not as big as you think they are

3)Meet new people
        a) Get a chance to meet new people and broaden your social network
        b) Learn to work with people from different backgrounds
        c) Get to know people from various professions

4)Pick up a new skill
        a) This will allow you to learn more and help in your personal
             development
PROMOTING VOLUNTEERISM

Mr Goh Chok Tong highlighted two ways to promote
volunteering:

  By providing volunteer opportunities that are flexible and
   bite-sized

  Organisations to invest more in volunteer management
CHANGING MINDSETS

“ It will take a long time, not just months
 but years, to change mindsets about what ageing
means and to realise the opportunities to help our
seniors be confident participants in society for as
long as they are able.”
                  Mr Lim Boon Heng,
                  then Minister in charge of ageing issues
LEADERSHIP FROM THE GOVERNMENT


 The government must create an environment where positive
  social capital will flourish


 The government must also provide the leadership and
  resources in engaging and nurturing the proper allocation
  of available and willing human capital.
ACHIEVEMENTS OF RSVP

Programmes & Committees                   Number of Active            Number of              Number of Volunteer
                                          Senior Volunteers          Clients served            Hours clocked
Active Ageing Seniors                            241                     6,973                      996
Cyberguide & MUP                                    80                     7,282                       6305
Changi Senior Ambassador                           151                   213,740                      24,216
Hosting                                             9                       18                         180
Learning Journey/ Senior Guiding                   103                    16,300                      6,297
Mentoring                                           40                      182                        2465
Mentally Disadvantaged Outreach                     50                      200                        3393
Administrative Support                             107                     8,000                      12,791
Committee Members of all                           110                                                4,415
Committees
ProGuide                                            17                                                2,268
Total                                              908                   252,695                     63,326
        Note:
        Some volunteers volunteered in more than 1 programme / committee.
        Total number of members: 1,022
        Number of unique active volunteers: 456 / 44.6%
        Each volunteer volunteered an average of 139 hours annually (National average: 48 hours annually)
VOICES FROM THE VOLUNTEERS OF RSVP
1540 dr philbert chin   strengths and potential of singapore’s active seniors volunteer workforce

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1540 dr philbert chin strengths and potential of singapore’s active seniors volunteer workforce

  • 1. Age Friendly Workforce Asia 2011 Conference 3 November 2011 Dr Philbert Chin President
  • 2. WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050 SCENARIO 1 Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman Net migration added annually: Zero  Total Population: 3.03 million  Total Young people aged 15 and below: 274,400 (9.1% of population)  No. of working adults will decline to 1.73 million, making up just over half – 57.3% – of the population  No. of Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.02 million (33.6% of the population)  Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 1.7: 1  Median Age: 54.6 years old
  • 3. WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050 SCENARIO 2 Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman Net migration added annually: 30,000  Total population will grow to 4.89 million by 2050  Total Young people aged 15 and below: 651,300 (13.3% of population)  No. of Working-age adults: 3.1 million (63.3% of population)  Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.14 million (23.4% of population)  Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 2.7: 1  Median age: 45.7 years old The assumptions here reflect most closely Singapore’s current situation
  • 4. WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050 SCENARIO 3 Total Fertility rate: 1.24 births per woman Net migration added annually: 60,000  Total population will almost double to 6.76 million by 2050  Young people aged below 15 will increase to 1.04 million by 2050 (15.3% of population)  No. of working adults: 4.45 million (65.9% of population)  Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.27 million (18.8% of the population)  Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 3.5: 1  Median age: 41.6 years old
  • 5. WHAT SINGAPORE WILL LOOK LIKE IN 2050 SCENARIO 4 Total Fertility rate rises gradually to 1.85 births per woman by 2025 before stabilising at this level Net migration added annually: Zero TFR of 1.85 is optimistic Total Population declines to 3.37 million in 2050 No. of Young people aged 15 and below will decline to 447,100 (13.3% of population) No. of working-age adults: 1.91 million (56.6% of population) Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.02 million (30.2% of the population) Ratio of working age adult supporting each elderly person = 1.9: 1 Median age: 50.9 years old
  • 6. FROM MR LEE KUAN YEW “20,000 to 25,000 migrants is digestible politically” Former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew said at a recent forum
  • 7. •Total Population: 4.8 million •Working age population: 3.1 million •Elderly aged 65 and older: 1.14 million •Ratio of working-age adults supporting each elderly person: 2.7: 1
  • 8. SINGAPORE’S CURRENT DEFINITION ON THE DISABLED “The Singapore’s current definition uses the medical criteria as the base and builds on top of that, an examination of the socio-functional limitations.”
  • 9. COMMITTEE ON AGEING ISSUES: REPORT ON AGEING POPULATION Ambulant Status of Seniors Are you able to move around physically 65 years old 65 to 74 75 years old without any help? and above (%) Years old (%) & above (%) Ambulant and Physically Independent 87 93 78 Ambulant and Physically independent 8 5 13 but require walking aid Require some physical assistance to 3 1 6 move around and need some assistive device Not bedridden but require total 0.7 0.4 1 physical assistance for movement Bedridden 1 0.5 2 Source: NCSS 2005
  • 10. ESTIMATED AMBULATORY STATUS OF SENIORS IN 2050 SHOWN IN FIGURES Projected number of elderly aged 65 and older 1,140,000 in 2050 Ambulant and Physically Independent 991,800 (87%) 1,083,000 Ambulant and Physically independent but 91, 200 (8%) require walking aid Require some physical assistance to move 34,200 (3%) around and need some assistive device Not bedridden but require total physical 7,980 (0.7%) 53,580 assistance for movement Bedridden 11,400 (1%)
  • 11. HEALTH PROMOTION BOARD SINGAPORE ARTICLE ON VOLUNTEERISM Giving to the community the benefit derives by the recipient are: 1)Sense of Achievement a) A sense of achievement, satisfaction and fulfilment 2)Way from the Rat Race a) By extending a helping hand, you will realise that your problems are not as big as you think they are 3)Meet new people a) Get a chance to meet new people and broaden your social network b) Learn to work with people from different backgrounds c) Get to know people from various professions 4)Pick up a new skill a) This will allow you to learn more and help in your personal development
  • 12. PROMOTING VOLUNTEERISM Mr Goh Chok Tong highlighted two ways to promote volunteering:  By providing volunteer opportunities that are flexible and bite-sized  Organisations to invest more in volunteer management
  • 13. CHANGING MINDSETS “ It will take a long time, not just months but years, to change mindsets about what ageing means and to realise the opportunities to help our seniors be confident participants in society for as long as they are able.” Mr Lim Boon Heng, then Minister in charge of ageing issues
  • 14. LEADERSHIP FROM THE GOVERNMENT  The government must create an environment where positive social capital will flourish  The government must also provide the leadership and resources in engaging and nurturing the proper allocation of available and willing human capital.
  • 15. ACHIEVEMENTS OF RSVP Programmes & Committees Number of Active Number of Number of Volunteer Senior Volunteers Clients served Hours clocked Active Ageing Seniors 241 6,973 996 Cyberguide & MUP 80 7,282 6305 Changi Senior Ambassador 151 213,740 24,216 Hosting 9 18 180 Learning Journey/ Senior Guiding 103 16,300 6,297 Mentoring 40 182 2465 Mentally Disadvantaged Outreach 50 200 3393 Administrative Support 107 8,000 12,791 Committee Members of all 110 4,415 Committees ProGuide 17 2,268 Total 908 252,695 63,326 Note: Some volunteers volunteered in more than 1 programme / committee. Total number of members: 1,022 Number of unique active volunteers: 456 / 44.6% Each volunteer volunteered an average of 139 hours annually (National average: 48 hours annually)
  • 16. VOICES FROM THE VOLUNTEERS OF RSVP