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Infrastructure Finance Fundamentals

         Adam Nicolopoulos, President and CEO
                              February 21, 2012
What is Project Finance?

                                  Establishes	
  a	
  single	
  purpose	
  company	
  

      Project finance is
                                  Lenders	
  are	
  totally	
  reliant	
  on	
  the	
  assets	
  and	
  cash	
  flows	
  of	
  
 the arrangement of financing     that	
  project	
  for	
  interest	
  and	
  loan	
  repayment	
  
             and
    sharing of risk between       The	
  debt	
  is	
  secured	
  by	
  the	
  asset	
  and	
  various	
  associated	
  
                                  contracts	
  
        capable parties
              for
                                  No	
  direct	
  (or	
  only	
  limited)	
  recourse	
  to	
  the	
  project’s	
  
 infrastructure and industrial    sponsors,	
  other	
  than	
  their	
  equity	
  commitments	
  

     projects based upon
the projected cash flows of the   Project	
  risks	
  are	
  transferred	
  and	
  shared	
  amongst	
  
                                  stakeholders	
  	
  
           project.

                                  Two	
  main	
  debt	
  funding	
  op�ons:	
  
                                  *	
  	
  Commercial	
  banks	
  /	
  lenders	
  provide	
  loans,	
  o�en	
  sharing	
  
                                  exposure	
  through	
  a	
  syndicate	
  structure	
  
                                  *	
  	
  Bonds	
  are	
  sold	
  to	
  capital	
  markets,	
  arranged	
  by	
  investment	
  
                                  banks	
                                                                                          1
Project Parties and Commercial Arrangements

                                   Project	
  team	
  &	
  advisors	
  /	
  areas	
  of	
  exper�se	
  	
  

              Financial	
               Revenue	
                   Technical	
         Insurance	
                  Legal
                                                                                                                                              Capital Providers
                                                                                                                                              Owners

                                                                                           Other	
  Investors	
  /	
  
 Sponsors	
  –	
  Equity	
  	
                                                                Sponsors    	
  

               Technology	
                                                              PPA/ Offtake         U�lity	
  /	
  Industrial	
  
                                                                                                                                       	
  
                 Supplier
                        	
                                                                Agreement                 Client	
    	
  

                                      Fixed Price
                                                         Project	
  Company	
          Operations and

              Contractor	
            Construction                                      Maintenance                  Operator
                                                                                                                            	
  
                                        Contract               -­‐	
  SPC	
              Agreement

                                                                                               Credit Agreement and Security


                                        Fees
                                                                                                              Senior	
  Debt	
  
            Byproducts/
                      	
                               Enabling                                             Providers	
  /	
  Bond	
  
                                                      legislation
             Services                                                                                           Holders       	
  


                                                State	
  –	
  governance                   Permits	
  
                                                                                                  	
  




                                                                                                                                                         2
Project Finance is about Sharing Risks

♦  Transfers risk to the private sector / off-loads responsibilities and
   obligations
  –    Development
  –    Construction                                         maintenance

  –    Operation                             construction
  –    Maintenance
  –    Financing
                                               operation
                                                             financing
♦  Brings off-balance-sheet financing

♦  Focuses on life-cycle costs

♦  Introduces private sector disciplines (management, efficiencies,
   innovation, value engineering)

♦  Improves operating and management efficiencies


                                                                           3
Key Project Risks

                      Public	
             Private	
  
                                   	
                    	
     Lenders	
       	
                              Structural/Comments	
  
                      Sector	
             Sector	
  
   Design	
  &	
                                                                           ♦ Technology	
  performance	
  /	
  	
  warranties	
  /	
  support	
  /	
  
                     Depends	
                                     No	
  	
  
  Technology	
                                                                               technology	
  vendor	
  
       	
                                                           	
                 	
  
 Construction	
         No                     EPC                 No	
                    ♦ Fixed	
  price	
  contract	
  facilitates	
  cost	
  overrun	
  
      	
                                                            	
                 	
  ♦ Operator’s	
  risk	
  /	
  guarantees	
  &	
  warranties	
  /	
  
  Operation	
           No                                         No	
  
                                          Operator                                           contractual	
  /	
  incentives	
  &	
  penalties	
  mechanism	
  	
  	
  
       	
                                                           	
                 	
  ♦ Maintenance	
  responsibility	
  &	
  reserves	
  /	
  equity	
  
 Maintenance	
          No                                         No	
  
                                                                                           returns	
  post-­‐funding	
  of	
  maintenance	
  service	
  
        	
                                                          	
                 	
  ♦ Most	
  often	
  this	
  function	
  and	
  risk	
  is	
  assumed	
  by	
  
      Land	
                                 No                    No	
  
                                                                                             the	
  public	
  sector	
  (infrastructure	
  projects)	
  	
  
       	
                                                           	
                 	
  ♦ All	
  project	
  permits	
  and	
  construction	
  permits	
  are	
  
    Permits	
           No                                         No	
  	
  
                                                                                           the	
  responsibility	
  of	
  the	
  developers	
  	
  
         	
  
   Revenue	
  	
                                                                       	
  ♦ Key	
  investment	
  driver	
  /	
  project	
  viability	
  /	
  	
  
                                                                Minimal
       	
                                                                                    thorough	
  analysis	
  of	
  traffic	
  and	
  revenue	
  risk	
  	
  
         	
                                                                            	
  ♦ Project	
  type	
  /	
  Capital	
  structure	
  /	
  reserves	
  /	
  
   Finance	
         Depends	
  
                                                                                           viability	
  	
  




                                                                                                                                                                           4
Typical Cash Flow Profile

                          800



                          600



                          400
Millions of US$ nominal




                          200



                             0
                                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

                                                                                  year of concession
                          (200)

                                                                          Opex                          Capex
                          (400)
                                                                          Senior debt interest & fees   Senior debt repayment

                                                                          Dividends                     Tax
                          (600)
                                                                          Equity subscribed             Debt drawdown
                                                                          Total Revenues
                          (800)




                                                                                                                                   5
Requirements for Private Participation

Category            Definition

Definition          Tightly-bound, ironclad definition of project with good & clean limits

                    Large enough to attract strong international interest, but not so large as to force need for
Size                large bidding groups, thus limiting competition
                    Adequate to bring project to completion – balanced, sufficient time to organize tender
Timeframe           competition but short enough to maintain high level of bidder interest
                    Should not require extensive skillsets – avoid complex, extensive multi-purpose projects that
Skill-sets          require expensive and diverse skills
                    Complex project structure and inter-organizational agreements take longer to implement than
Interfaces          simpler networks
                    Avoid projects with unproven technology, significant business risks, complex implementation
“Financeability”    techniques, etc.
                    Required to establish project privatization with defined mechanisms on setting tariffs. Legal
Regulation          framework for the Government to regulate and monitor PPP performance

Technical Factors   Wealth of technical data available for more efficient monetization

Land &Permits       Clear definition of ownership of land, right of way and permitting process

Competition         From other projects or sectors

                                                                                                               6
Key Project Stakeholders

     Contractors                           Asset Operators
u  ACS Dragados                        u  Port operators (PSA)
u  Vinci                               u  Road operators (Autostrade)
u  Bouygues                            u  Airport operators (TBI)
u  Skanska                             u  Rail Operators (Virgin)
u  Fluor…                Project /     u  …Public Agencies

     Developers          Corporate        Financial Sponsors

u  Cintra              Relationships   u  Infrastructure Funds

u  Abertis                             u  Pension Funds

u  Hochtief PPP                        u  Private Equity

u  Macquarie                           u  Institutional investors

u  Serco and others                    u  …Government / Public
                                            Agencies
u  …Public Agencies…
                                                                      7
Forms of Private Sector Involvement
                                          Concession/	
                                                                   JV/strateg ic	
                                                                  Manag ement	
  
IPO 	
                                    BO O (T)	
                              Trade	
  sale	
                         partner	
                                   Desig n-­‐Build	
                    contract	
  
u Ownership	
  of	
  the	
               u Most	
  common	
  form	
             u An	
  existing	
  road	
             u Government	
  retains	
                  u Public	
  procurement	
           u C ontractor	
  receives	
  a	
  
       asset	
  is	
  w idely	
                  of	
  privatization	
                 operating	
  company	
                    an	
  interest	
  in	
  the	
            of	
  designed	
  projects	
             (management)	
  fee	
  
       distributed	
                      u C ontractual	
                            or	
  its	
  assets	
   are	
  sold	
     asset	
  (minority)	
                u Private	
  bidding	
  for	
               from	
  the	
  authority	
  
u Assets	
  are	
   at	
  a	
                   arrangement	
  and	
                  to	
  corporate	
   investors	
   u      Majority	
  interest	
                   the	
  construction	
                    based	
  on	
  
       mature	
  stage	
   o f	
                 transfer	
   o f	
  the	
             or	
  joint	
  ventures	
                 goes	
  to	
  the	
   p rivate	
                                                  performance	
  and	
  
                                                                                                                                                                      u Public	
  ownership	
   and	
  
       developments	
                            “ rights” 	
   to	
  manage,	
   u Requires	
  careful	
                       sector	
                                                                          implementation	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          public	
  operation	
  
                                                 operate	
   and	
  maintain	
       drafting	
  of	
   b idding	
                                                                                                 services	
  provided	
  
u “ Politically” 	
   and	
                                                                                              	
  
       socially	
  more	
                        a	
  road	
                         terms	
                                                                                                               u Fees	
  and	
  charges	
   are	
  
       acceptable	
   o f	
  the	
      u Suitable	
  for	
                      u Suitable	
  for	
  mature	
                                                                                                   paid	
  by	
  users	
  to	
  the	
  
       privatization	
  options	
  	
      greenfield	
   assets	
  	
                 assets	
  	
                                                                                                                asset	
  authority	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   (government)	
  
	
                                        	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                           	
  

	
  




         DBB                         BT                    BL                            BTO                                     DBFO                                   BOT                              BOO(T)

            Public Management

                                                                                                                                  Private Sector Participation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Higher

           Private Construction


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8
Different Models for Infrastructure Delivery

                      Public Finance Model - USA        PPP / Concession Model

  Management
                                þ                                þ
     Rating                    AA-BBB                         Mostly BBB

      Debt                      100%                          55% - 85%

                     None or possibly development       10-20% optional capital
     Equity
                           cost / investment                  structure
 IRR/dividends                  None                          over 10%+

    Taxation                    None                Incentives-limited tax holiday(s)

  Depreciation                  None                 Yes – depends on asset base

  Cost of Debt              [4.0% – 5.5%]                    [5.5% – 8.5%]
Control of Tolls /
   User Fees           State / Public Enterprise      Private Sector / Regulated
                                                                                    9
Structuring Challenges for Project Finance

♦  Greenfield projects are highly complex
♦  Require careful preparation
♦  High risk profile / who pays for the risk and how
♦  Must prove profitability AND affordability
♦  Highly capital intensive
♦  Long construction periods
♦  Highly contested projects (unions; citizens; etc..)
♦  Expensive undertakings




                                                         10
Non Finance Challenges and Issues

♦  Public sector as counterparty
♦  Lack of resources trained in new implementation models
♦  Managing procurement change
♦  Easy targets to challenge / high level of scrutiny
♦  Complex design – impact to costs
♦  Necessity for sophisticated/experienced resources in Gov. teams
♦  Long gestation horizon
♦  High uncertainty and risk

...suitable team and strategy is crucial
to address these issues



                                                                     11
Capital Structure and Providers of Capital

                                             NewCo – Project Co



         Equity investors                                               Debt lenders
          (10% — 30%)                                                   (70% — 90%)
                Candidates
                  —    Project sponsors
                  —    Project vendors
                                                             Bank market        Capital markets
                  —    Operators
                  —    Financial
                       investors                            Syndicated loan       Bond issues
                                                                market            —    TIFIA
                       or                                                         —    144A
                                                                 Credit           —    Bonds
        IPO / Equity capital
                                                              enhancement         —    Monoline wraps
              markets
____________________
(1)  Does not include public sector support (grants or guarantees)
                                                                                                  12
...so how much do I pay for capital?

            Equity:                              Debt:
Shareholders / financial investors   Lenders / debt capital markets
     Risk free rate (treasuries)         Risk free rate (treasuries)
                  +                                   +
         Construction risk                 Project risk premium
                  +                                  +
          Revenue model                          Swap rate
                  +                                   +
           Operation risk                        [Premium]
                  +
             [Seniority]
                  +
       Ownership premium




       Expected Returns
                                        Margins [250 – 400bp]
        IRR [12% – 28%]
                                                                       13
Project Stages

                                           Development         Construction         Ramp-up     Operation
Project’s equity performance & costs




                                                                    Capital                   Risk to investor
                                                                    Investment



                                                                                                        Project life

                                                  Financial Close             Construction
                                                                              Completion                        14
Project Stages (with Finance Events)

                                               Development           Construction             Ramp-up          Operation


                                                                    Refinancing
Project’s equity performance & costs




                                                                    Equity 10-15%
                                                                     Debt / Bond                        l
                                                                      85-90%             l
                                                  Capital                                       Equity value increased
                                                 Structure
                                                Equity 20%
                                               [Subsidy 30%]
                                                 Debt 50%                 Capital                            Risk to investor
                                                                          Investment

                                                               l

                                          l                                                                           Project life
                                                        Financial Close             Construction
                                                                                    Completion                                  15
Rationale for Project Equity

♦  …“Skin in the game”…
♦  Economic requirement
♦  Strong management discipline
♦  Accountability on performance
♦  Focus on the “bottom line”
♦  Design innovation
♦  Cost savings over life cycle
♦  EPC – completion on time; on budget and with quality
♦  O&M performance



                                                          16
Types of Debt Products

 Form of Debt                   Provider

                                US & international commercial banks; syndicated
 Commercial bank debt
                                market / underwritten
 Public bond market             Investment banks / best efforts
                                Institutional market; investment banks / best
 Private placement
                                efforts

 Subordinated debt              Commercial banks; developers; project sponsors


 Multilateral A/B loans         World Bank; IFC; IADB; others

 Credit enhancement             ECAs; commercial banks

 Insurance cover & guarantees   ECAs; public agencies


….however, the project characteristics will determine the type of debt
and debt structure that is suitable for the project
                                                                                  17
Raising Bank Debt …

♦  Lead-arrangers versus Club
♦  “Personalized” service
♦  Highly iterative approach
♦  Managed approach
♦  Hands on and lots of input
♦  Ongoing negotiations
♦  Banks do add value to a deal
♦  Unrated deals possible (no need for S&P / Moody’s rating)
♦  Different structuring culture



                                                               18
Capital Suppliers in Infrastructure

 Commercial Banks   Investment Banks     Institutional Investors     Government Bodies

      BNP                                                            Governments –
                         UBS
     Calyon                                                        Ministries of Finance
      Dexia          Credit Suisse           DB RREEF

     BBVA           Deutsche Bank          Multi-Laterals                      (TIFIA)

   Santander        Goldman Sachs                                    Departments of
                                                                     Transportation
                                       Canada Pension Plan            PPP Teams /
      RBS           Morgan Stanley
                                                                       Task Force
    Barclays            Lazard

     WestLB            JPM                     Others

      HSH
  MedioCredito

  Espirito Santo




                                                                                           19
Financing Models for Less Economic Assets
                  or Social Infrastructure (*)
                              800
                                                                              Project Revenues < Annual Costs
                              600
  Millions of Euros nominal




                              400

                              200

                                0
                                      1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
                                                                                   year of concession
                              (200)

                                                                            Opex                          Capex
                              (400)
                                                                            Senior debt interest & fees   Senior debt repayment
                                                                            Dividends                     Tax
                              (600)
                                                                            Equity subscribed             Debt drawdown

                              (800)                                           Revenues



Solution may entail:                                                                 (*) Social Infrastructure includes hospitals, schools or
                                                                                     universities, and other projects with no direct user fees
♦  Availability Payment
♦  Government Support
♦  Hybrid payment mechanisms
                                                                                                                                         20
An Innovative yet Practical Structure that
      Supplements Project Revenues

                   Costs        =      Revenues        Liquidity Support



                                    Forecasted user
                    Opex
                                        revenue

                     +                    +
  PROJECT




               Debt service                             12 month debt
                                                        service reserve
                     +                 Financial
                                      contribution1
                 1A-firm
             Return on equity

                     +                    +           Any intra-year
                                       DSRA           cash flow shortfall is
              DSRA amount                             covered by the
                                    Replenishment
                                                      DSRA
Note: 1 State budget items



                                                                           21
City Actions for Successful Implementation

♦  Sophisticated management team (leverage private-sector advisors)
♦  Establish clear priorities and objectives (public needs & project aligned)
♦  Maintain transparency throughout the project development
♦  Conduct competitive tender BUT accept unsolicited offers
♦  Mayor’s governance & powers
♦  Create investment incentives (tax deferral, tax holiday, fiscal support)
♦  Standardize tender process
♦  Offer fast track permitting
♦  Stick to the timetable




                                                                              22
What have I learned along the way?


ü    Sound structures that are sustainable (withstand recession)
ü    Experienced advisors are worth the money
ü    Understand and prioritize objectives
ü    Aim for “win-win” among all stakeholders
ü    Identify multiple funding options
ü    Delays destroy project value ( value of time )


... and…


ü  It all about people relationships



                                                                    23
Contacts



Adam Nicolopoulos              Scott D. Henderson
President and CEO              Director, Finance
ADN Capital Venture, Inc.      C40, in partnership with the Clinton Climate Initiative

810 College Avenue, Suite 7    Berkeley, CA 94708
Kentfield, California, 94904   USA
USA
                               Cell: +1 415-548-0099
Office: +1 415-785-4613        shenderson@clintonfoundation.org
Cell: +1 415-246-1765          http://live.c40cities.org/
anicolopoulos@adnvc.com
www.adncv.com




                                                                               24

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Infrastructure Finance Fundamentals (ADN Capital Ventures)

  • 1. Infrastructure Finance Fundamentals Adam Nicolopoulos, President and CEO February 21, 2012
  • 2. What is Project Finance? Establishes  a  single  purpose  company   Project finance is Lenders  are  totally  reliant  on  the  assets  and  cash  flows  of   the arrangement of financing that  project  for  interest  and  loan  repayment   and sharing of risk between The  debt  is  secured  by  the  asset  and  various  associated   contracts   capable parties for No  direct  (or  only  limited)  recourse  to  the  project’s   infrastructure and industrial sponsors,  other  than  their  equity  commitments   projects based upon the projected cash flows of the Project  risks  are  transferred  and  shared  amongst   stakeholders     project. Two  main  debt  funding  op�ons:   *    Commercial  banks  /  lenders  provide  loans,  o�en  sharing   exposure  through  a  syndicate  structure   *    Bonds  are  sold  to  capital  markets,  arranged  by  investment   banks   1
  • 3. Project Parties and Commercial Arrangements Project  team  &  advisors  /  areas  of  exper�se     Financial   Revenue   Technical   Insurance   Legal Capital Providers Owners Other  Investors  /   Sponsors  –  Equity     Sponsors   Technology   PPA/ Offtake U�lity  /  Industrial     Supplier   Agreement Client     Fixed Price Project  Company   Operations and Contractor   Construction Maintenance Operator   Contract -­‐  SPC   Agreement Credit Agreement and Security Fees Senior  Debt   Byproducts/   Enabling Providers  /  Bond   legislation Services Holders   State  –  governance Permits     2
  • 4. Project Finance is about Sharing Risks ♦  Transfers risk to the private sector / off-loads responsibilities and obligations –  Development –  Construction maintenance –  Operation construction –  Maintenance –  Financing operation financing ♦  Brings off-balance-sheet financing ♦  Focuses on life-cycle costs ♦  Introduces private sector disciplines (management, efficiencies, innovation, value engineering) ♦  Improves operating and management efficiencies 3
  • 5. Key Project Risks Public   Private       Lenders     Structural/Comments   Sector   Sector   Design  &   ♦ Technology  performance  /    warranties  /  support  /   Depends   No     Technology   technology  vendor         Construction   No EPC No   ♦ Fixed  price  contract  facilitates  cost  overrun        ♦ Operator’s  risk  /  guarantees  &  warranties  /   Operation   No No   Operator contractual  /  incentives  &  penalties  mechanism            ♦ Maintenance  responsibility  &  reserves  /  equity   Maintenance   No No   returns  post-­‐funding  of  maintenance  service        ♦ Most  often  this  function  and  risk  is  assumed  by   Land   No No   the  public  sector  (infrastructure  projects)          ♦ All  project  permits  and  construction  permits  are   Permits   No No     the  responsibility  of  the  developers       Revenue      ♦ Key  investment  driver  /  project  viability  /     Minimal   thorough  analysis  of  traffic  and  revenue  risk        ♦ Project  type  /  Capital  structure  /  reserves  /   Finance   Depends   viability     4
  • 6. Typical Cash Flow Profile 800 600 400 Millions of US$ nominal 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 year of concession (200) Opex Capex (400) Senior debt interest & fees Senior debt repayment Dividends Tax (600) Equity subscribed Debt drawdown Total Revenues (800) 5
  • 7. Requirements for Private Participation Category Definition Definition Tightly-bound, ironclad definition of project with good & clean limits Large enough to attract strong international interest, but not so large as to force need for Size large bidding groups, thus limiting competition Adequate to bring project to completion – balanced, sufficient time to organize tender Timeframe competition but short enough to maintain high level of bidder interest Should not require extensive skillsets – avoid complex, extensive multi-purpose projects that Skill-sets require expensive and diverse skills Complex project structure and inter-organizational agreements take longer to implement than Interfaces simpler networks Avoid projects with unproven technology, significant business risks, complex implementation “Financeability” techniques, etc. Required to establish project privatization with defined mechanisms on setting tariffs. Legal Regulation framework for the Government to regulate and monitor PPP performance Technical Factors Wealth of technical data available for more efficient monetization Land &Permits Clear definition of ownership of land, right of way and permitting process Competition From other projects or sectors 6
  • 8. Key Project Stakeholders Contractors Asset Operators u  ACS Dragados u  Port operators (PSA) u  Vinci u  Road operators (Autostrade) u  Bouygues u  Airport operators (TBI) u  Skanska u  Rail Operators (Virgin) u  Fluor… Project / u  …Public Agencies Developers Corporate Financial Sponsors u  Cintra Relationships u  Infrastructure Funds u  Abertis u  Pension Funds u  Hochtief PPP u  Private Equity u  Macquarie u  Institutional investors u  Serco and others u  …Government / Public Agencies u  …Public Agencies… 7
  • 9. Forms of Private Sector Involvement Concession/   JV/strateg ic   Manag ement   IPO   BO O (T)   Trade  sale   partner   Desig n-­‐Build   contract   u Ownership  of  the   u Most  common  form   u An  existing  road   u Government  retains   u Public  procurement   u C ontractor  receives  a   asset  is  w idely   of  privatization   operating  company   an  interest  in  the   of  designed  projects   (management)  fee   distributed   u C ontractual   or  its  assets   are  sold   asset  (minority)   u Private  bidding  for   from  the  authority   u Assets  are   at  a   arrangement  and   to  corporate   investors   u Majority  interest   the  construction   based  on   mature  stage   o f   transfer   o f  the   or  joint  ventures   goes  to  the   p rivate   performance  and   u Public  ownership   and   developments   “ rights”   to  manage,   u Requires  careful   sector   implementation  of   public  operation   operate   and  maintain   drafting  of   b idding   services  provided   u “ Politically”   and     socially  more   a  road   terms   u Fees  and  charges   are   acceptable   o f  the   u Suitable  for   u Suitable  for  mature   paid  by  users  to  the   privatization  options     greenfield   assets     assets     asset  authority   (government)           DBB BT BL BTO DBFO BOT BOO(T) Public Management Private Sector Participation Higher Private Construction 8
  • 10. Different Models for Infrastructure Delivery Public Finance Model - USA PPP / Concession Model Management þ þ Rating AA-BBB Mostly BBB Debt 100% 55% - 85% None or possibly development 10-20% optional capital Equity cost / investment structure IRR/dividends None over 10%+ Taxation None Incentives-limited tax holiday(s) Depreciation None Yes – depends on asset base Cost of Debt [4.0% – 5.5%] [5.5% – 8.5%] Control of Tolls / User Fees State / Public Enterprise Private Sector / Regulated 9
  • 11. Structuring Challenges for Project Finance ♦  Greenfield projects are highly complex ♦  Require careful preparation ♦  High risk profile / who pays for the risk and how ♦  Must prove profitability AND affordability ♦  Highly capital intensive ♦  Long construction periods ♦  Highly contested projects (unions; citizens; etc..) ♦  Expensive undertakings 10
  • 12. Non Finance Challenges and Issues ♦  Public sector as counterparty ♦  Lack of resources trained in new implementation models ♦  Managing procurement change ♦  Easy targets to challenge / high level of scrutiny ♦  Complex design – impact to costs ♦  Necessity for sophisticated/experienced resources in Gov. teams ♦  Long gestation horizon ♦  High uncertainty and risk ...suitable team and strategy is crucial to address these issues 11
  • 13. Capital Structure and Providers of Capital NewCo – Project Co Equity investors Debt lenders (10% — 30%) (70% — 90%) Candidates —  Project sponsors —  Project vendors Bank market Capital markets —  Operators —  Financial investors Syndicated loan Bond issues market —  TIFIA or —  144A Credit —  Bonds IPO / Equity capital enhancement —  Monoline wraps markets ____________________ (1)  Does not include public sector support (grants or guarantees) 12
  • 14. ...so how much do I pay for capital? Equity: Debt: Shareholders / financial investors Lenders / debt capital markets Risk free rate (treasuries) Risk free rate (treasuries) + + Construction risk Project risk premium + + Revenue model Swap rate + + Operation risk [Premium] + [Seniority] + Ownership premium Expected Returns Margins [250 – 400bp] IRR [12% – 28%] 13
  • 15. Project Stages Development Construction Ramp-up Operation Project’s equity performance & costs Capital Risk to investor Investment Project life Financial Close Construction Completion 14
  • 16. Project Stages (with Finance Events) Development Construction Ramp-up Operation Refinancing Project’s equity performance & costs Equity 10-15% Debt / Bond l 85-90% l Capital Equity value increased Structure Equity 20% [Subsidy 30%] Debt 50% Capital Risk to investor Investment l l Project life Financial Close Construction Completion 15
  • 17. Rationale for Project Equity ♦  …“Skin in the game”… ♦  Economic requirement ♦  Strong management discipline ♦  Accountability on performance ♦  Focus on the “bottom line” ♦  Design innovation ♦  Cost savings over life cycle ♦  EPC – completion on time; on budget and with quality ♦  O&M performance 16
  • 18. Types of Debt Products Form of Debt Provider US & international commercial banks; syndicated Commercial bank debt market / underwritten Public bond market Investment banks / best efforts Institutional market; investment banks / best Private placement efforts Subordinated debt Commercial banks; developers; project sponsors Multilateral A/B loans World Bank; IFC; IADB; others Credit enhancement ECAs; commercial banks Insurance cover & guarantees ECAs; public agencies ….however, the project characteristics will determine the type of debt and debt structure that is suitable for the project 17
  • 19. Raising Bank Debt … ♦  Lead-arrangers versus Club ♦  “Personalized” service ♦  Highly iterative approach ♦  Managed approach ♦  Hands on and lots of input ♦  Ongoing negotiations ♦  Banks do add value to a deal ♦  Unrated deals possible (no need for S&P / Moody’s rating) ♦  Different structuring culture 18
  • 20. Capital Suppliers in Infrastructure Commercial Banks Investment Banks Institutional Investors Government Bodies BNP Governments – UBS Calyon Ministries of Finance Dexia Credit Suisse DB RREEF BBVA Deutsche Bank Multi-Laterals (TIFIA) Santander Goldman Sachs Departments of Transportation Canada Pension Plan PPP Teams / RBS Morgan Stanley Task Force Barclays Lazard WestLB JPM Others HSH MedioCredito Espirito Santo 19
  • 21. Financing Models for Less Economic Assets or Social Infrastructure (*) 800 Project Revenues < Annual Costs 600 Millions of Euros nominal 400 200 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 year of concession (200) Opex Capex (400) Senior debt interest & fees Senior debt repayment Dividends Tax (600) Equity subscribed Debt drawdown (800) Revenues Solution may entail: (*) Social Infrastructure includes hospitals, schools or universities, and other projects with no direct user fees ♦  Availability Payment ♦  Government Support ♦  Hybrid payment mechanisms 20
  • 22. An Innovative yet Practical Structure that Supplements Project Revenues Costs = Revenues Liquidity Support Forecasted user Opex revenue + + PROJECT Debt service 12 month debt service reserve + Financial contribution1 1A-firm Return on equity + + Any intra-year DSRA cash flow shortfall is DSRA amount covered by the Replenishment DSRA Note: 1 State budget items 21
  • 23. City Actions for Successful Implementation ♦  Sophisticated management team (leverage private-sector advisors) ♦  Establish clear priorities and objectives (public needs & project aligned) ♦  Maintain transparency throughout the project development ♦  Conduct competitive tender BUT accept unsolicited offers ♦  Mayor’s governance & powers ♦  Create investment incentives (tax deferral, tax holiday, fiscal support) ♦  Standardize tender process ♦  Offer fast track permitting ♦  Stick to the timetable 22
  • 24. What have I learned along the way? ü  Sound structures that are sustainable (withstand recession) ü  Experienced advisors are worth the money ü  Understand and prioritize objectives ü  Aim for “win-win” among all stakeholders ü  Identify multiple funding options ü  Delays destroy project value ( value of time ) ... and… ü  It all about people relationships 23
  • 25. Contacts Adam Nicolopoulos Scott D. Henderson President and CEO Director, Finance ADN Capital Venture, Inc. C40, in partnership with the Clinton Climate Initiative 810 College Avenue, Suite 7 Berkeley, CA 94708 Kentfield, California, 94904 USA USA Cell: +1 415-548-0099 Office: +1 415-785-4613 shenderson@clintonfoundation.org Cell: +1 415-246-1765 http://live.c40cities.org/ anicolopoulos@adnvc.com www.adncv.com 24