Acxiom Interactive Marketing Summit 2011- Real-World Perspectives on Real Time Decisioning
Scott DeAngelo, Marketing Strategy Practice Leader Acxiom Global Consulting Group
3. The Story of a Casino “Customer”…
…and Unrealized Customer Value
and
3
4. Maximizing Value (vs. Only Minimizing
Loss) Across the Customer Lifecycle
Customer Value
But it remains a challenge to…
> Quantify untapped upside
Quantify untapped upside
r
> Indentify events / MOTs
> Understand their signals
> Act quickly on those signals
Most have become good at…
> Quantifying potential loss
> Setting investment levels
> Identifying loss triggers
> Acting to save / win back
Time
5. A Common Customer Experience: Offers
Delivered via Batch or “Real-time Push”
Real-time Push
Channel serves up recommendations that
Targeted offer recommendations often based on
Success of interaction now depends on non‐
Real‐time decisions need to be made based on
…but the most critical information – that which
are based completely on historical data…
personalized factors…customer is “flying solo”
a broad segment, rather than an individual
historical data and new information …but no
is provided at the immediate point of contact –
access to knowledge held within batch systems
is not factored into recommendations
6. Revenue Lost and Costs Incurred When
Customers Don t Find What They Need
Don’t
Financial Impact to Average Retailer
> Revenue Lost due to “Site Failure”
Revenue Lost due to “Site Failure” = $31 million
$31 million
> Avoidable Servicing Costs Incurred = $23 million
> Total “Cost” = $54 million
> Plus Opportunity Cost = $?? million
Source: Forrester
7. An Interactive Customer Experience: Offers
Delivered Based on Real-time Interaction
Maybe
Query about
Answer query
q y
later
my billYes please!
Proposition C
Proposition B
Proposition A
7
8. Key Ways of Putting Decisions Into Play
Customer
Enterprise- Customer- Relationship-
initiated
i iti t d triggered
ti d driven
di
“Intrusive” “Reactive” “Interactive”
Enterprise
Batch Real‐
Real‐time Real‐
Real‐time
Scores Scores Decisions
Decision Rules
Scoring Models
Pre‐
Pre‐interaction Data In‐
In‐session Data
Source: Gartner
9. Maximizing Value with Real-time Decision-
making (Not Just Real-time Offer Delivery)
10X
Customer Value
r
5X
Offers Offers Offers Driven by Time
Delivered in Delivered in Decisions Made
Batch Real‐time in Real‐time
Source: Gartner
11. Fundamental Considerations for Evaluating
and Implementing Real-time Decisioning
What is the current state of our
What is the current state of our
customer experience…
…and its impact on our
relationships with customers?
relationships with customers?
What should be done next to How can real‐time
enhance that experience… decisioning help
…in order to nurture broader us deliver the desired
and deeper relationships? customer
experience?
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12. Identifying and Addressing Key Events
Across the Customer Lifecycle
Lifecycle…
Example Key Events
> Behaviors
Custom Value
– Purchase
– Register
mer
– Subscribe
> Life Events
– Marriage
– Children
– Job Change
> Seasonal Events
Time
13. …by Receiving and Sending Signals
that Influence Customer Behavior
Example Signals
> Search terms
Custom Value
> Referring URL
> Click stream
mer
> Preference
update
> Tweet/blogging
> Display click
thru
> Ratings /
reviews
> Login recency
> Website idling
Time
14. …by Receiving and Sending Signals
that Influence Customer Behavior
Real‐time
Real‐time
Decisions
Custom Value
Events
mer
Signals
Actions
Time
15. Here’s an Example from Insurance for
Linking Events Signals and Actions
Events,
Franny’s Experience
Time Seduceable Moment Channel Brand(s)
6am Wake up to my alarm radio playing a GEICO ad.
Go out to my mailbox and find my State Farm renewal bill
as well as a couple other insurance offers from Nationwide
6:30am
6 30
and Allstate. Looks like State Farm increased my rate quite
a bit. Can’t afford to pay that high of rates. Time to shop!
Turn on the TV to watch the morning news and I see a
7am Progressive commercial. I click through on my Interactive
TV to get a quote. Progressive’s timing couldn’t be better.
7:30am Start searching online for a cheaper quote.
8am
Franny’s Experience
Ask my friends on Facebook for recommendations on
companies that offer cheap auto insurance.
Time Seduceable Moment Channel Brand(s)
Review sites and ratings of companies that my Facebook
9am
friends recommended. While reading a news article, an ad for Insurance Co. pops
12pm up on my screen. I begin filling out their application, but get
called away.
Later that day as I am searching online for something else, I
2pm see a display ad for Insurance Co. I realize I never finished
my quote. I click on the link and submit.
After I get my quote from Insurance Co., I get on the phone
2:30pm
with a customer service agent.
A local agent, Jason Roberts, sends me an email, suggesting
3pm
that I come down to his office for an in-person meeting.
SOLD! Jason was able to help me save hundreds by
5pm
bundling my auto, home and boat policies.
g y p
I submit my down-payment to Insurance Co. via a mobile bill
7pm
payment website.
I am so excited about my savings with Insurance Co. that I
10pm
recommend them to my friends via social networks.
Map the events, to signals plan potential
link and
actions 15
16. The Game is Still the Same…
…It Just Gets So Much Faster 16
17. Fundamentals of Making Good Decisions
>H i
Having a Single, Complete Customer View
Si l C l C Vi
> Building Propensity Scoring Models
> Determining Customer Eligibility
> Optimizing Offer Selection
> Incorporating “Context‐aware” Data
p g
> Incorporating Customer Reaction Learning
17
18. Playing Faster Has Great Benefits...
Cost/Benefit
Ideal
+
Useable
U bl Respon
se time
0
- Disorienting Irrelevant
Too Fast Too Slow
Source: Gartner
19. …But it Obviously Doesn’t Matter How Fast
an Organization Can’t Be Relevant
Can t
20. Here’s an Example from Automotive for
Actions Based on Time and Relevance
“Competitive “Direct Sales
ntile
Mode” Mode”
ed Controls
s
ming Percen
Action Series Action Series
n‐Market Tim
Rules Base
“Branding “Relationship
Mode
Mode” Mode
Mode”
In
Action Series Action Series
Brand Propensity Percentile
20
21. Evolution for Multi-channel, Real-time
Interactions Across the Enterprise
Enterprise‐
Enterprise‐
Wide
Integration
Multi‐
Multi‐
Channel
n Complexity
y
Integration
I t ti
Real‐
Real‐time
Decisions
Interaction
Real‐
Real‐time
Scores
Batch
Scores
Integration Complexity
22. Evolution for Multi-channel, Real-time
Interactions Across the Enterprise
Enterprise‐
Enterprise‐
Wide
Best Practice Elements
Best Practice Elements Integration
Multi‐
Multi‐
1. Dynamic, Individual Conversation
Channel
n Complexity
y
Integration
I t ti
Real‐
Real‐time
2. Spanning Time and Channels
Decisions
Interaction
Real‐
Real‐time
3. Bi‐Scores
Bi‐directional Negotiation
g
Batch
Scores
Integration Complexity
23. Evolution for Multi-channel, Real-time
Interactions Across the Enterprise
Enterprise‐
Enterprise‐
Wide
Best Practice Elements
Best Practice Elements Integration
Multi‐
Multi‐
1. Actionable Single View of Customer
Channel
n Complexity
y
Integration
I t ti
Real‐
Real‐time
2. Central Customer Decision Authority
Decisions
Interaction
Real‐
Real‐time
3. Front/Back Process Orchestration
/
Scores
Batch
Scores
Integration Complexity
27. A More Complete View of the Customer
Drives More Sound Decisioning Strategy
27
28. Here’s an Example from Retail on How
Enhancement Data Improved Actions
Next
Action Series based on who she Best Action Series based on who she
is, as well as how often, when,
i ll h ft h is, as well as how often, when,
i ll h ft h
what and where she buys
Offer what and where she buys
28
29. Data Fuels the Engine that Drives
Intelligent Customer Interactions
Customer Intelligence (Power Ratio)
Predictive Modelling & Analytics
Power Ratio
Enhanced inputs:
• Derived variables
132:1 ethod of Matching
g • Enhancement data Ratings
• Event Triggers
• Suppressions
76:1 Purchases
uracy
44:1 Searches
Accu
Me
28:1 Clicks
Enhancement Data Insights
g
7:1 (lifestage and lifestyle, activities and interests, media consumption,
channel responsiveness, brand/product affinities, and more)
Baseline
Visitors
Breadth of Data
32. Coordinate Into a Single, Next Best Action
Across the Enterprise Across Channels
Enterprise,
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33. The Vision: Sustained Personalized Customer
Engagement Across Channels, Over Time
Channels
33
34. Reaching and Engaging Your Audience with
Certainty…Across Channels…Over Time
Advertiser Safe Haven Publisher
Product Propensities Just Your Audience
Online Display TV
Channel Preferences Anonymous Match 180mm Profiles 59mm Households
Media Preferences
Match
Mobile Call Center
60mm Users 100 million numbers
Anonymize
Enhance
Advertiser Publisher
Audience Audience
Social Apps
650mm Profiles
Customer Behavior Real Time Data Exchange
External Insights Delivery Integration
Attitudes / Personas Partnership Ecosystem Email Print
224mm Addresses 292mm Households
35. Welcoming TV to Addressable Media
The ability to maintain uninterrupted personalized conversations – and,
moreover, relationships – with customers across and within channels
Getting it figured out here… …is great preparation for what’s next!
35
LOOKING AT CUSTOMER VALUE OVER TIME, MOST COMPANIES – LIKE CASINOS IN THE EXAMPLE – HAVE BECOME GOOD AT QUICKLY SPRINGING INTO ACTION WHEN THEY STAND TO LOSE MONEY. HOWEVER, IT REMAINS A CHALLENGE WHEN IT COMES TO QUANTIFYING AND CAPTURING THE DOLLARS MOST COMPANIES “LOSE” (OR, MORE ACCURATELY STATED, “FAIL TO GET”) AMONG CUSTOMERS WHO GIVE THEM LESS THAN THEY “SHOULD”. SHOPPING CART EXAMPLE DURING THE SESSION YOUR BASKET IS FLUCTUATING BETWEEN $200 AND $400… DI-DIRECTIONAL NEGOTIATIONLEADING TO PERSONALIZED PRICING
SO IF WE LOOK AT A COMMON CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE – WHETHER IT’S OFFERS DELIVERED IN BATCH OR IN REAL-TIME “PUSH” FASHION – THEY BOTH FALL SHORT OF MAKING THE MOST OUT OF A GIVEN CUSTOMER INTERACTION BECAUSE THEY ARE SERVING UP OFFERS THAT ARE BASED SOLELY ON HISTORIC INFORMATION…AND NO MATTER HOW RECENT THAT HISTORIC INFORMATION IS, THE OFFER BEING PRESENTED FAILS TO REFLECT INFORMATION FROM THAT SESSION…AND THERE’S NOTHING THAT CAN BE DONE ABOUT IT AT THAT POINT. BECAUSE THERE’S NO WAY TO INCORPORATE THAT IN SESSION INFORMATION WITH THE HISTORIC INFORMATION IN REAL TIME TO DECIDE ON AND PRESENT A MORE RELEVANT OFFER. (EXAMPLE: READING PAPER ALOUD TO IDENTIFY GRAMMAR MISTAKES – DO THE SAME WITH THE CUSTOMER “CONVERSATION” – IN A CALL CENTER, THE CONVERSATION IS LITERAL SO YOU CAN EASILY IDENTIFY HOLES…BUT ONLINE, DO THE VOICEOVER AND SEE HOW MUCH SENSE THE CONVERSATION IS MAKING). NOW, I TEND TO TAKE A STEP BACK AT THIS POINT AND SAY “ALRIGHT, THE ABILITY TO PRESENT A RELEVANT OFFER IS AN IMPORTANT FEATURE…BUT THE WEBSITE IS STILL THERE, SEARCH FUNCTIONALITY IS STILL THERE….SO WE GOT BACKUP.
SO THAT REFOCUSES US ON THE NEED TO BE ABLE TO NOT ONLY BE GOOD AT PREDICTING WHAT A CUSTOMER IS INCLINED TO WANT OR DO…BUT ALSO AT ADAPTING TO WHAT THEY SHOW US OR TELL US IN A SPECIFIC SESSION WHAT THEY INTEND TO DO.
THE 3 HALLMARKS OF MASTERING THE INTERACTION COMPLEXITY ARE… 1.