Tour 2010 TECH SQUAD

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Angele Champigny

Our Tour 2010 Tech Squad!

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In today’s digital world, the average person is exposed to over 3,000 marketing messages a day, most of which are immediately forgotten. Regardless of whether you’re a national business, a small mom and pop shop, or a local nonprofit organization, that’s a problem. So how can your organization succeed in creating a lasting impression? Learn how to use the art of storytelling to engage with your target audience and find success in the modern world regardless of the size of your organization, industry, or goals. When it comes down to it, there’s nothing our brains crave more than a well-crafted, captivating story. So if you’re ready to increase sales and engage your listeners, it’s time to forgo some of the data and start using storytelling to make a personal connection with your clients and donors. This presentation was given by John Foley, Jr., CEO/CEO of interlinkONE and Grow Socially, at NEDMA's 2015 Annual Conference.

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WHAT’S DIFFERENT ABOUT THIS HIKING BOOK? It’s a highly visual full-color book with 400+ photos and customized maps displayed throughout. Four pages are dedicated to each hike, which include up to 15 color photos and detailed maps featuring topography, marked trails, distances, elevation, and trail highlights. As a graphic designer, I’ve focused on making the book’s design easy to use and providing a much more visual approach to the subject than currently exists. WHO IS THE BOOK FOR? Anyone who loves to spend time in the outdoors. Most of the hikes covered are easy to moderate in difficulty, with only a few that are more difficult challenges. You don’t need to be an avid hiker, but I hope you will become one after exploring the areas covered in this book. Along with several hikes that are well known and popular, I’ve shown areas that are less familiar yet still have enough interesting features to make a longer drive or extra physical effort on the trail well worth it. WHAT AREAS DOES IT COVER? Instead of trying to cover all hiking possibilities in the region, I focused on 25 hikes that I consider to be the best in the Portland region: ranging from the Oregon Coast to Mount Hood, and from Southwest Washington to the Central Cascades.

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The format of this document is essentially "two papers in one," with the first chapter focusing on mostly theoretical considerations (although illustrated with an example), while the second chapter provides a practical, real-world example presented in the form of a tutorial. Methods of Causal Inference: We will first introduce the reader to the idea of formal causal inference using the well-known example of Simpson\’s Paradox. Secondly, we will provide a brief summary of the Neyman-Rubin model, which represents a traditional statistical approach in this context. Once this method is established as a reference point, we will introduce two methods within the Bayesian network paradigm, Pearl\’s Do-Operator, which is based on "Graph Surgery", and a method based on "Likelihood Matching" algorithm (LM). LM allows fixing probability distributions and can be considered as a probabilistic extension of statistical matching. Practical Applications of Direct Effects and Causal Inference: While our treatment of Neyman-Rubin is limited to the first chapter, the two Bayesian network-based methods will be further illustrated as practical applications in the second chapter. Special weight will be given to Likelihood Matching (LM), as it has not yet been documented in literature. We will explain the practical benefits of LM with a real-world business application and discuss observational and causal inference in the context of a marketing mix model. Using the marketing mix model as the principal example, we will go into greater detail regarding the analysis workflow, so the reader can use this example as a step-by-step guide to implementing such a model with BayesiaLab.

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