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Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit

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Bill Barney's Key Note at the Wan Summit

  1. 1. WAN SUMMIT, San Jose 14 June 2017 BILL BARNEY Chief Executive Officer Reliance Communications & Global Cloud Xchange HOW SMART NETWORKS ARE CHANGING THE CORPORATE WAN
  2. 2.  Introduction  IT and Networks have returned to the priority list of CEOs and CIOs globally  Finance and Tech again rule the world and they use networks at their core • The Fat and Skinny pipe dilemma  Universal service finally showed up enabling new last mile tech to work  Apps have moved from customization for the enterprise to customization for the user  Cloud can give competitors more “horse power” quickly and dangerously  What do smart networks look like and how can they impact the enterprise?  Every enterprise will build or buy and orchestration layer  Like a search engine this layer will be dynamically pushed to the edge  Access will be traditional Ethernet and MPLS at the high speeds and new tech including SDN WAN and more  Where does this leave the enterprise? Agenda
  3. 3. IT is back as a priority for CIOs …
  4. 4. In the top 20 largest companies – IT is on average more than 20% of their annual expenses and in some cases as much as 50%!!! Rank Region Industry Segment 5/31/2012 Value ($B) 2011 Revenue ($B) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Apple Exxon Mobil PetroChina Microsoft ICBC Wal-Mart IBM China Mobile General Electric AT&T Royal Dutch Shell Berkshire Hathaway Chevron Google / Alphabet Nestlé China Construction Bank Johnson & Johnson Procter & Gamble Wells Fargo BHP Billiton USA USA China USA China USA USA China USA USA Netherlands USA USA USA Switzerland China USA USA USA Australia Tech – Hardware Financial Services Energy Tech – Software Financial Services Retail Tech – Hardware Telecom Industrial Telecom Energy Financial Services Energy Tech – Internet Food / Beverages Financial Services Healthcare Consumer Goods Financial Services Metals / Mining $540 368 267 245 227 224 223 203 202 200 197 196 194 189 180 173 171 171 170 170 $128 434 318 72 70 447 107 84 143 127 470 141 236 38 90 58 65 84 73 75 Company Source: CapIQ. Market value data as of 5/26/17 Note: For public companies, colors denote current market value relative to Y/Y market value. Green = higher, red = lower. Rank Region Industry Segment Current Market Value ($B) 2016 Revenue ($B) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Apple Google / Alphabet Microsoft Amazon Facebook Berkshire Hathaway Exxon Mobil Johnson & Johnson Tencent Alibaba JP Morgan Chase ICBC Nestlé Wells Fargo Samsung Electronics General Electric Wal-Mart AT&T Roche Bank of America TOTAL USA USA USA USA USA USA USA USA China China USA China Switzerland USA Korea USA USA USA Switzerland USA Tech – Hardware Tech – Internet Tech – Software Tech – Internet Tech – Internet Financial Services Energy Healthcare Tech – Internet Tech – Internet Financial Services Financial Services Food / Beverages Financial Services Tech – Hardware Industrial Retail Telecom Healthcare Financial Services $801 680 540 476 441 409 346 342 335 314 303 264 263 262 259 238 237 234 233 231 $7,207 $218 90 86 136 28 215 198 72 22 21 90 85 88 85 168 120 486 164 51 80 Company
  5. 5. Cloud is no longer just a way to create cheap enterprise computing – it is revolutionizing how people use data! SoftwareSecurityInfrastructure Evolution Breaking Apart Data Bottleneck Revolution Data Integrated into Everything FIRST WAVE Constrained Data... Monolithic Systems, Expensive Storage, Data for Targeted Use Cases BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE (BI) Business Objects, Cognos, Micro Strategy DATA INTEGRATION Informatica DATA INTEGRITY Microsoft, Oracle Age of Oracle, Sybase SECOND WAVE Data Explosion / Chaos... Decentralized Systems, Cheap Storage, Big Data Everywhere VISUALIZATION PREP / WRANGLING INFRASTRUCTURE- CENTRIC SECURITY & MANAGEMENT Palo Alto Networks, FireEye Age of Big Data Hadoop, Teradata, Netezza, NetApp, EMC, Greenplum CLOUD BI ETL CACHING THIRD WAVE Mass Data Intelligence... Pervasive Systems, Big/Fast Storage, Data Instruments the Business DEPARTMENTAL APPLICATIONS Gainsight, Datadog, InsideSales ORGANIZATION-WIDE ANALYTICS PLATFORMS Looker, Domo, Anaplan DATA-CENTRIC SECURITY & MANAGEMENT Ionic Security, Tanium Age of Big/Fast Redshift, BigQuery, Spark, Presto Source: Looker, Ionic Security, KPCB 2016
  6. 6. You used to only worry about the humans – now thanks to cheap networks the machines can all join... Source: Forbes “2017 Internet of Things Facts” This year, we will have 4.9 billion connected things....some predict that by 2020, the number of Internet- connected things will reach or even exceed 50 billion. In 2015, over 1.4 billion smart phones will be shipped and by 2020 we will have a staggering 6.1 billion smartphone users. By 2020, a quarter of a billion vehicles will be connected to the Internet, giving us completely new possibilities for in-vehicle services and automated driving. Today, the market for Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) tags, used for transmitting data to identify and track objects, is worth $11.1 billion. This is predicted to rise to $21.9 billion in 2020. Machine-to-machine (M2M) connections will grow from 5 billion at the beginning of this year to 27 billion by 2024, with China taking a 21% share and the U.S. 20%. CISCO believes the IoT could generate $4.6 trillion over the next ten years for the public sector, and $14.4 trillion for the private sector.
  7. 7. Digital Innovation is pushing Wide Area Network boundaries globally IT on Cloud Guest WiFi HD Video Online Training Social Media Mobile Apps 80% 30% 20-50% Of employee and customers are served in branch offices* Increase in Enterprise bandwidth per year through 2018*** Of advanced threats will target branch offices by 2016 (up from 5%)*** 73% Growth in mobile devices from 2014-2018** MORE USERS MORE APPS MORE THREATS MORE DEVICES Branch Digital Displays Omni-channel Apps OS Updates * Tech Target, Branch Office Growth Demands New Devices., 2014 ** Cisco Mobility Landscape Survey, 2014 *** Gartner, Forecast Analysis: Worldwide Enterprise Network Services, Q2 2014 Update **** Gartner: “Bring Branch Office Network Security Up to the Enterprise Standard, Jeremy D’Hoinne, 26 April. 2013.
  8. 8. These challenges are compounded by the fact that these new technologies are needed in the emerging markets where there is very limited infrastructure… 227 91 14 20 26 20 5 3 2 9 196 324 369 92 6 8 47 69 14 4 318 151 113 219 5 21 73 77 54 4 5 7 96 66 2 3 2 2 8 19 36 14 24 2 30 34 41 10 15 53 53 25 17 11 16 33 30 19 3 4 6 5 5 The high concentration of Data Centers in USA and Europe are far from most users in the Emerging Markets. Regulatory compliance, user experience, reliability and cost factors will mandate significant movement of data closer to users.
  9. 9. And yet every CEO wants to find a way to operate in the emerging markets… The Emerging Markets will dominate GDP and Internet growth in the next decade 22% 29%13% 11% 7% 9% 9% 15% 13% 1%36% 26% 0% 9% Europe N. America Japan China Emerging Asia (ex-China) Lat Am Middle East, Africa, Other 1985 $19T = World GDP +4% Y/Y Real GDP Growth Contribution by Region, 1985 / 2015 (Based on Purchasing Power Parity) N. America + Europe + Japan = 63% of Total China + Emerging Asia = 63% of Total N. America + Europe + Japan = 29% of Total 2015 $114T = World GDP +3% Y/Y China + Emerging Asia = 18% of Total India Internet Users, 2008 – 2016 GlobalInternetUsers(MM) Y/Y%Growth India Internet Users Y/Y Growth (%) Source: IMF WEO,4/16. GDP growth based on constant prices (real GDP growth). PPP = Purchasing Power Parity exchange rate, national currency per international dollar. GDP PPP = GDP adjusted by PPP rate. Emerging Asia includes Bangladesh, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Lao, Malaysia, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nepal, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam and others and excludes China. GDP growth contribution based on annual snapshots stated above and not necessarily reflective of secular trends. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  10. 10.  IT resources have become more centralized while users are more distributed  Private / public / hybrid Clouds are becoming commonplace  Enterprise WANs consist of disparate network technologies and services  Dedicated point-to-point circuits, performance MPLS, public Internet, Cloud, etc…  Cloud computing has enabled the introduction of a new dynamic array of applications  Increasing amount of “real-time” traffic  Enterprise WANs are becoming ever-more complex with a disparate range of specialist appliances and equipment from a variety of vendors  Router, Firewall, Anti Virus, Storage, IP Voice PBX, Proxy... The CIO’s job has become much more complex…
  11. 11. ... and why CEOs are worried...
  12. 12. CEOs in traditional industries are easy prey for the new model busters… Marketplaces Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), Time Shifted Alibaba vs. eBay vs. Airbnb vs. Uber Commerce Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), Time Shifted Amazon.com vs. JD.com Enterprise Est. Quarterly Revenue ($MM), Time Shifted Salesforce vs. Slack 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Alibaba/Taobao eBay Airbnb Uber 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 JD.com Amazon.com 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Salesforce Slack Marketplaces Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research. eBay founded in 1995. Amazon founded in 1995. Alibaba.com founded in 1999 as B2B portal connecting Chinese manufacturers and overseas buyers. Uber launched 2009, gave first ride in 2010. Airbnb founded in 2008.. Commerce Source: Publicly available company data, Morgan Stanley Research. JD.com launched B2C shipments in 2004, founded 1998 as an online magneto-optical store. Amazon founded in 1995. Enterprise Source: Slack. Graph starting point based on similar est. revenue figures. Salesforce quarterly revenue approximated from publicly disclosed annual GAAP revenues. GMV($B) Years Since Launch (T+) GMV($B) Years Since Launch (T+) Revenue($MM)
  13. 13. CosttoSequence(perGenome) $10M 2007: Digital Technology Leads To Cost Reduction Illumina (Solexa) Launches the Genome Analyzer Time to sequence a genome: 10 Months $100M $100K $1M $1K $10K Moore’s Law 2015: Step Function Reduction In Cost Illumina Launches the X10 Time to sequence a genome: 27 hours Even drug companies have to realize the power of the Cloud and its competitive advantage… Introduction of Digital Technology Accelerates Cost Reduction Faster Than Moore’s Law Source: National Institute of Health, National Human Genome Research Institute (7/17), Biology Reference, Illumina 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
  14. 14. 14 What do Smart Networks Look Like?
  15. 15. We used to build networks like this….. A Multitude of devices adds layers of complexity Network functions such as VPN, firewall and WAN Optimisation are provided by dedicated appliances / equipment at each site Network connectivity is fixed All traffic flows over the SLA-backed MPLS network unless there is a fault regardless of criticality. Class of Service is used to prioritise traffic over MPLS Internet is used mainly as a back-up technology or for “low criticality” sites Fixed routing decisions are made by on on-premise devices Applications are hosted in on-premise data centers The multitude of appliances in branch is replicated by “control” devices in the Data Center Internet traffic “trombones” across the network to centralised Internet gateways The enterprise is anything but agile Application performance visibility is limited Connecting new locations, upgrading locations, adding new services can take weeks or even months with new circuits and equipment required Branch site Data Center Branch site Internet MPLS
  16. 16. The gap between network demands and available budget is becoming bigger Source : Cisco Visual Networking Index, June 2014 Increase 3X in the next 5 years GLOBAL IP TRAFFIC GROWTH: Source : Nemertes Research, August 2014 60%WAN budgets will be flat or declining LIMITED WAN BUDGETS: Exhibit : The Widening Network Complexity Gap Building Blocks of IT End-pointsonthe Network VoIP/Video Virtualization Cloud Computing Mobility Bandwidth On Demand IoT IT Budgets Network Complexity Gap Source: ZK Research, 2014
  17. 17. Enterprise Networks today are looking to… Hours Minutes Provide LAN-like application performance regardless of where applications are hosted from Provide Application Visibility and Acceleration over the Network and into the Cloud 1x 2x + Allow for “traffic bonding” and make better use of available bandwidth through “dynamic path selection” over multiple WAN connections Deliver More Bandwidth for Lower Cost Multiple Security Device Unified Security Position Deliver consistent security across the Enterprise Ensure Security Over Any Connection Multitude of appliances Single System Provide IT functions as a virtualized subscription based ‘Pay as you Go’ service Orchestrate IT SD WAN (Software-Defined WAN) does precisely this
  18. 18. STOC FOC FOC FOC Understanding the FOC  High Power density data centers with strong fiber connectivity and internet gravity  Located in city and tech centers  80% to 90% of cash generated from services and “spot services”  High customer engagement with average customer growing at double digits or more per year  Expensive build at $12K to $14K a KVA  Tech like investment vehicles with hyper growth and high velocity of innovation Understanding the STOC  Lower power density with build costs ranging from $6K to $9K a KVA  Longer term stickier customers and revenue streams  Located in low rent optimal cooling locations  80% to 90% of cash generated from storage and “industrial computing”  Real estate like investment profile with REIT or Trust like capital structures Data Centers will be at the center of strategic operations These will be two specific kinds of centers:
  19. 19. Networks will get wider and thicker! 2017 2018 20202019 SD WAN and Wireless Tails  FOCs and STOCS Emerging and the stratification of wide and thick networks becoming profound  Increase capillarity to cloud focused data centers  Re-engineering of fiber backhauls to high density tech sites  Rapid growth spectrum based Cloud Networks between FOCs and STOCs  Thin CDN like thin networks to the edge Third party tails
  20. 20. Orchestration ecosystems in your data centers will enable success CRM, ERP, etc. Already Integrated with 100+ Networks Low cost, Pay as you go /device Launch in weeks Devices Networks IoT Services Platform IoT Apps / IT deeplyintegrated Automate The Service Lifecycle Orchestration capability
  21. 21. ABILITYTOEXECUTE ASSETS TO EXECUTE CHALLENGERS SINGLE OR LIMITED ASSETS ALL ASSET CLASSES AND GEOGRAPHIC REACH LEADERS ORACLE AMAZON ALIBABA GLOBAL FIBER OPERATORS MICROSOFT GLOBAL DATA CENTER OPERATORS US FIBER WHOLESALERS EUROPENA FIBER WHOLESALERS No one has emerged as the player in the new Software based networked world yet…
  22. 22. 22 Final Thoughts

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