1. Smart Renewables
Lawrence E. Jones
Director, Strategy & Special Projects, Worldwide
AREVA T&D Inc.
WITA
May 6, 2010
Seattle, WA
1

2. Focus on:
The state of the Smart Renewables Industry in Washington
Predictions for the future of the Smart Renewables Industry
Business opportunities in the Smart Renewables Industry.
2 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

3. Making the simple complicated is commonplace;
making the complicated simple, awesomely simple,
that’s creativity. ~ Charles Mingus, jazz musician
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4. OLD EQUATIONS - NEW CONTRAINTS
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5. Understanding the Dynamics of our Time
We are living simultaneously living in the ages of:
Uncertainty
Globalization
Complexity
Smarts
Connectedness
Speed
Mistrust
Interface
Attention Deficit
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6. Challenges to Solving Global Crises
Rates of Change
Technology
Business
Social
Political
Time
Understanding the Dynamics of Change
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7. Keys to Smart and Intelligence
Awareness – Sensing and measurement
Communicate (Fast or Slow) – Data, Information,
Commands
Reaction – Actuate and Respond (Fast or Slow)
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8. Main Problem
How to integrate the basic abilities of awareness
and reaction into a device or system with minimum
cost and complexity, and achieved other goals?
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9. Creating a Smart Energy Ecosystem
Increasing the level of intelligence and integration
of information, communication, control technologies
in every of aspects (Generation, Delivery, and
Consumption) of the electricity system
9

10. Enabling Technologies
Decision
Support
Systems
Advanced Control
Technologies
Integrated Communications
Sensing, Metering and Measurement
Advanced Grid Components
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11. Renewables Energy Resources
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12. Renewable Projects in the Northwest in 1998
Slide courtesy of Rhys Roth, Climate Solutions
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13. Slide courtesy of Rhys Roth, Climate Solutions
13

14. Areva T&D references across the world
DENMARK – Energinet
Distributed Gen.
Management systems
UK – Robin Rigg FRANCE – RTE
2 offshore substations & Wind Gen. Control
onshore grid connection
FRANCE
Areva T&D has connected
30% of the French wind farms
IRELAND – Segness
Dynamic Line Rating
FRANCE
EDP Horizon Conversion substation and
Distributed Gen. grid connection of a 7MW
solar PV park
GERMANY
Offshore substation
for the Alpha Ventus
wind farm
14 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

15. Examples of AREVA Renewable Projects
- Integration with Power Grid Operations
Historian
Energinet.dk (Denmark)
Simulator
RTE (France)
RE
EDP (Portugal & Spain) Mo
Generation RE
Control Network
Eirgrid (Ireland) del &
ling Dispatch
Security UI
Hawaii (USA) RE RE
Midwest ISO (USA) Forecast Estimation
Plan
Points
15 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

16. Predictions the Future -
Navigating Uncertainty and Spotting Opportunities
As for the future, your task is not to foresee it but to
enable it. ~ Antoine de Saint-Exupery, French Aviator
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17. Global Crises – How to Avert the Perfect Storm?
Climate Change
Economy
Energy
Food
Population
Water
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18. Global Crises Present Opportunities
Catalyst for Market Transition and Industry Transformation
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19. The World @ Night in 2009
1.6 billion people lack access to electricity
More than 1 billion people lack access to clean drinking water
3 billion people live on less than $2 per day
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20. How will the World @ Night look in 20XX?
? ? ? ?
? ? ?
? ? ?
? ?
?
?
How to Meet the Energy Needs of ?? Billion People in a
Sustainable Way?
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21. 21 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA
2

22. Meeting a Common Threat –
World Leaders Reacted to the Financial Crisis
… but what about Climate Change?
22 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

23. International Race to a Low Carbon Economy
USA China
& &
Canada India
Low
Carbon
Economy
EU
“If they invest in 21st – century technologies and we invest in 20th –
century technologies, they will win.” David Sandowlow, Assistant Sec. for Policy &
International Affairs, US Department of Energy. (Washington Post, Oct. 25, 2009
Note: Several other countries have embarked on Smart Grid Initiatives, e.g. Australia, Brazil, New Zealand
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24. Global Investment in Renewable 2004 - 2008
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25. Renewable Power Capacities, Developing World, EU and
Top Six Countries in 2008
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26. 26 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

27. 27 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

28. 28 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

29. Energy Trivia
Who Said this to Henry Ford whose popular cars were driving up the demand for
gasoline
“I’d put my money on the sun and solar energy.
What a source of power! I hope we don’t have to wait until oil and coal run out before we
tackle that?”
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30. 1931 – Today is May 6, 2010
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31. Solar PV - Existing World Capacity, 1995 - 2008
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32. Wind Power - Existing World Capacity, 1996 - 2008
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33. Policy Matters – The Danish Experience
Denmark - 1980 Denmark – today
2025 Danish Government target :
50 % of gross energy consumption to be
supplied from renewable sources
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34. World Wind Energy in 2008
- Increasing Growth Rates -
Position Country Total Added Growth Position Total Total Total
2008 Installed Capacity Rate in 2007 Installed Installed Installed
Capacity 2008 [MW] 2008 Capacity Capacity Capacity
2008 [MW] [%] 2007 2006 2005
[MW] [MW] [MW]
1 USA 25170 8351,2 49,7 2 16818,8 11603 9149
2 Germany 23903,8 1655,4 7.4 1 22247,4 20622 18427,5
3 Spain 16704,3 1595,2 10,5 3 15145 11630 10027,9
4 China 12210 6298 106,5 5 5912 2599 1266
5 India 9587 1737 22,1 4 7850 6270 4430
6 Italy 3736 1009,9 37 7 2726,1 2123,4 1718,3
7 France 34044 949 38,7 8 2455 1567 752,2
8 United Kingdom 3287,9 898,9 37,6 9 2389 1962,9 1353
9 Denmark 3160 35 1,1 6 3125 3136 3128
10 Portugal 2862 7320 34,4 10 2130 1716 1022
11 Canada 2369 5230 28,3 11 1846 1460 683
12 The Netherlands 478 4780 27,4 12 1747 1559 1224
13 Japan 352 3520 23 13 1528 1309 1040
14 Australia 676,7 6767 82,8 16 817,3 817,3 579
15 Ireland 439,7 4397 54,6 17 805 746 495,2
Source: World Wind Energy Report, 2008. www.wwindea.org
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35. States Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)
WA 15%
2020
MT 15% ND 10% MN 25% VE 20% ME 30% 2000
OR 25% 2015 2015 2025 2017 10% 2017 in
2025 new RE
WI 10%
SD 10% NH 23.8% 2025
2015 2015
IA MA 15 % 2020
PA 18%
NV 20% 105 MW 2020 RI 16 % 2020
2015 UT 20%
CO 20% IL 25% WV 25% NY 24 % 2013
CA 20% 2025
2010 2020 KS 20% 2025 2025 VA 15% CT 23 % 2020
2020 MI 10% 2025
2015 NC 12,5% NJ 22,5 % 2021
AZ 15% 2021
NM 20% MD 20% 2022
2025
2020 DC 20% 2020
TX 5,880 MW
HI 40% 2015
2030
29 states & DC have RPS
6 states have goals
Source: DSIRE January 2010
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36. US Wind Power Installation to date (MW)
Source: AWEA Jan 2010
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37. 2009 – A record year for the US Wind Power industry
Wind Power
installed capacity (MW)
In 2009 the U.S. wind industry broke all previous records by
installing close to 10,000 megawatts of new generating capacity
thanks to the Stimulus Plan.
The total installed capacity in the U.S. is now over 35,000 MW
In 2009, 38 manufacturing facilities were brought online,
announced or expanded.
As new turbine orders continue to come in slowly (lack
of long-term policy + excess in supply), some
manufacturing production is running at
significantly decreased levels compared to 2008
37 Lawrence Jones, WTIA Presentation May 6, 2010 Seattle, WA

38. Wind Power in Generation Queues (MW)
- The Size of this Queue is Indicative of the Future Growth Potential -
Washington
5,831 VT
Montana North Maine
Minnesota 155
2,327 Dakota 1,398
11,493 20,011 NH
Oregon 396
9,361 South
Idaho Wisconsin
Dakota New York
446 Wyoming 908 MA
30,112 Michigan 8,000 RI
7,870 492
Iowa 2,518 347
Nevada Nebraska Penn.
14,569 3,391 NJ
3,913 3,726 IN Ohio 1416
Utah Illinois 8,426 3,683
WV DE
1,052 Colorado 16,284 1,045 VA 450
Kansas
California 16,602
13,191 Missouri 820 MD
18,629 810
2,050
Arizona Oklahoma
New Mexico 14,677 Arkansas W M 0001 redn U
7,268
14,136 210 0 0 0, 8- W M 0 0 0, 1
WM
WM 000,8 revO
Texas
63,504
Total 311,155 MW
Source: AWEA
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39. Smart Renewables: UNCERTAINTY = OPPORTUNITIES
Drive and Execute a Focused
Renewable Energy Strategy Climb Up and Shake the
Tree of Opportunities
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40. Overview of the Electric System
More than 100 years Old – But Not Much has Changed in
the Physics and Economics of Operation … Until Now
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41. AC
765kV
The grid of
today
500kV
345kV
230kV
138kV
13.8kV 13.8kV 13.8kV
400V 400V 400V
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42. Offshore
wind farm
AC
DC 765kV
The grid of the
=
600kV / 800 kV
future?
~
500kV = Bulk power import using UHVDC
=
150kV 150kV 150kV 150kV
345kV
= =
~ =
230kV =
138kV =
Onshore wind
farm
50kV 50kV
13.8kV 13.8kV = 13.8kV
~ = ~
~
= =
= = =
= =
10kV 10kV 10kV
~
= =
STATCOM = STATCOM
= =
400V 500V 400V 500V 400V
PHEV Charging
station BESS PV
Fuel Cell
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43. Understanding the Renewable Energy Landscape
Original
Original Transmission
Transmission Distribution
Distribution
RE
RE RE Asset
RE Asset
Equipment
Equipment RE Operators
RE Operators System
System System
System Customer
Customer
Developers
Developers Owner
Owner
Manufacturers
Manufacturers Operator
Operator Operator
Operator
• Cost • Efficient • ROCE • Reliability • Reliability • Reliability • Green
effectiveness regulatory maximization • Controllability • Controllability • Controllability certificates
• Reliability and EPC risks • Generation • Supervision • On-line • What-if accounting
• Controllability management mix stability scenarios • CO2
• Generation
• Sound optimization portfolio calculation • Network emissions
decision- • CO2 optimization • Look-ahead planning quota
Some making emissions analysis compliance
process • Energy • Disaster
quota generation • What-if recovery • Energy
Key • Cost compliance efficiency
accounting scenarios
issues effectiveness (certificates) action plans
• Network
• Energy planning • Energy
storage storage /
back-up
source
• DERs
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44. System Issues Related to Renewable Energy Integration
Asset Utilization
Systems Demand Response &
Variability Energy Storage
Decision Support Systems Training &
Visualization Knowledge Retention
System and Data System Controllability
Integration & Observability
Reliability & Economics
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45. 45

46. Thank You
lawrence.jones@areva-td.com
46
Copyright Lawrence E. Jones, Perth Australia, 2003