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TRANSPARENT
BROADBAND
THE POTENTIAL
BENEFITS OF
USAGE-BASED
PRICING
perspective MAY 2013
Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca
Transparent broadband:
The potential benefits
of usage-based pricing
Published by
Value Partners Management Consulting Ltd,
16 Smith Square, 7th floor,
Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK
May 2013
Written by:
Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley,
Marco Labianca
Edited by:
Cristina Goddi
If you would like an electronic copy
please write to:
cristina.goddi@valuepartners.com
For more information on the issues
raised in the report please contact:
adam.hadley@ valuepartners.com
marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
If you would like to subscribe
or to be removed from our mailing list
please write to:
subscription@valuepartners.com
valuepartners.com
Copyright © Value Partners
Management Consulting Limited
All rights reserved
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
3
		 executive summary	 5
	 	 Unfavourable market dynamics 	 7
		 Challenge of monetising core connectivity	 8
		 Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU 	 11
		 Potential of usage-based pricing	 15
		 Core principles and potential challenges
		 of usage-based pricing	 18
		 Further guidelines to implementation 	 20
		 Conclusion	 21
		
		authors	 22	
CONTENTS
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
4
Our research shows that
transparent usage-based pricing
can often provide important
benefits for the consumer
by creating value-for-money
through more effective pricing
segmentation.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
5
Throughout most of the world download caps are
often used as punitive measures to keep check on
excessive downloads. However, in the UK, operators
such as BT and PlusNet have successfully deployed
usage-based pricing by marketing packages with
tiered download caps. In this perspective Value
Partners argues that there may be positive
conclusions to draw from introducing aspects of
this alternative approach to usage-based pricing.
Within the context of an industry under pressure
it has never been more important for operators
to find sustainable ways of maintaining revenue
and striking a balance between a focus
on core connectivity and content. As the demand
for content and data has revolutionised the
consumer’s relationship with the internet,
operators need to adjust to consumer needs and
expectations accordingly.
Our research shows that transparent usage-based
pricing can often provide important benefits for
the consumer by creating value-for-money through
more effective pricing segmentation. Packages that
are priced according to data usage can be designed
to reduce costs for the light-usage consumer
and improve profitability of the high-usage
consumer. Usage-based pricing may provide the
potential to help the operator address a broader
market and scale revenue in line with growth
in content consumption.
executive summary
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
6
Monthly ARPU* (€) of internet-only broadband packages
by country and forecast
CAGR 2008-2012 (%)
-0,4%
-2,3%
-1,9%
-3,4%
Note: * Not considering additional connectivity bundles (e.g. calls, TV).
Source: Screen Digest Sep ‘11, Value Partners analysis.
20
15
25
10
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e
ItalySpain UKPortugal
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
7
Unfavourable
market dynamics
Fixed broadband connectivity
is an increasingly challenging
market in the more developed
regions as the household
broadband penetration rate
reaches its saturation point
and ARPU declines slowly and
steadily.
Fixed broadband connectivity is an
increasingly challenging market in
the more developed regions as the
household broadband penetration rate
reaches its saturation point and ARPU
declines slowly and steadily.
In Europe as a whole broadband
penetration per household is decelerat-
ing as it approaches 80%1
while ARPU
has declined by a year-on-year average
of 3% between 2008 and 2012, falling
to just over €152
per household
per month.
1
Eurostat: EU 27: Households -
Level of Internet access, 2011
2
Screen Digest: Western Europe:
Broadband, narrowband & PC
households (annual & forecast),
2011
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
8
The value of the typical broadband
proposition is driven by core connectiv-
ity, content and bundling, and Value
Added Services (VAS). The value of
connectivity is usually determined by
bandwidth (speed), usage restrictions,
and occasionally by Quality of Service
(latency, up-time, SLAs, etc.).
In the days of AOL’s pre-eminence in
the 1990s, the ISP was responsible for
most consumer-facing innovations and
controlled almost all aspects of the
internet experience for the user, includ-
ing the channels (Netscape browser,
chatrooms, etc.) and the content itself
(news articles, games, etc.).
However, with an internet that has
matured in terms of infrastructure,
functionality, and availability of content,
the role of the ISP-only operator has
diminished considerably. Now most op-
erators focus on content convergence
and only tend to monetise content
through bundled television with high-
value, low-margin cable, satellite, or
IPTV subscriptions. Gone are the days of
the ISP web portal.
Now that more than a third of all UK
households buy their telephony, TV,
and broadband from a single opera-
tor, it is clear that, in the UK at least,
triple-play packaging on its own no
longer creates significant differentiation
between providers. There is evidence
that the triple-play packages improve
customer retention and reduce churn.
However some operators have become
distracted by the allure of TV bundling
at the cost of concentrating on the core
internet offering itself.
With high-speed internet and the emer-
gence of the next generation of set-top
boxes, operators are now able to deliver
streamed television content through
IPTV where previously only cable and
satellite players could compete. BT, for
example, at the cost of £738m recently
acquired the rights to broadcast 38 UK
football matches with the aim of creat-
ing at least two of its own sports chan-
nels, leaving Sky with the rights to the
remaining 116 matches. Sports rights
aside, however, traditional TV content
providers or aggregators such as Sky or
Virgin in the UK still maintain a competi-
tive advantage in terms of their exper-
tise in producing and commissioning
popular content - for operators this has
never been their core activity.
In mature markets operators are there-
fore left with a fundamental business
model conundrum. Content acquisition
on this scale is an expensive and risky
strategy that few other operators would
be willing or able to emulate.
Challenge
of monetising core
connectivity
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
9
Our research of global broadband
markets shows that almost all have
value primarily driven by content
and services, not speed.
In Italy, Spain, and the UK, prices
of broadband packages are mainly
driven by services and content,
whereas in other European countries
like Germany and France and more
advanced Asian markets, alternative
infrastructure has differentiated
between low and high speed offers
but ARPU is still mostly driven
by premium content. Unlike elsewhere
in the world, in the US prices tend
to be driven by download speed
however there is still a premium for
bundled services.
Access speed has become
rapidly commoditised,
therefore it makes sense
to develop value
differentiation on the basis
of other factors such
as usage-based pricing.
The rationale for this general market
behaviour is two-fold: firstly, by provid-
ing telephony and television content,
operators can charge more for the
overall package and increase ARPU –
although this has an uncertain impact
on underlying profitability.
Secondly, throughout the history
of the internet, access speed itself has
become rapidly commoditised
and therefore it makes sense to develop
value differentiation on the basis
of other factors such as usage-based
pricing.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
10
€/month€/month
MBps
MBps
20
20
40
40
50
50
60
60
0
10
30
Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
D
B
0
10
0
0
20
20
40
40
60
60
80
80
100
100
Broadband packages available in Germany and France
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)
A
A
B
B
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
A
A
A
B
B
D
D
30
Germany
A B C D
France
A B C D E
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.
3 main speed categories
(<10 Mbps, 16Mbps and 50Mbps)
Crowded market with many
players offering very similar
packages at similar prices
C
C
C
CC
B A
A
A
A
E
E
E
E
A
D
D
BB
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
11
In most markets analysed as part of this
research it is apparent that broadband
speed itself rarely drives ARPU. Instead
content services typically differentiate
products with some markets such as the
UK also using download caps.
Due to a dependence on content serv-
ices many operators are now running
out of realistic ways to strategically
differentiate: buying content at the
scale of BT in the UK is ambitious and is
uncertain to lead to success. Consumers
also do not easily appreciate the scale
and cost of infrastructure investment
required by the operators.
Limited role
of download speed
in increasing ARPU
In Germany, premium content and bun-
dled connectivity are important drivers
of ARPU whereas in France download
speeds are polarised between ADSL
and fibre services with most services
being at least triple play
In Italy premium price is driven not by
speed but by services and content while
in Spain services and download speed
drive ARPU
Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the
US, ARPU is mostly driven by download
speed
However in the UK higher ARPU is sup-
ported by a combination of introducing
download caps, differentiating by speed
and providing content services
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
12
€/month€/month
MBps
MBps
40
40
60
60
70
70
80
80
20
20
30
30
50
50
Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
0
0
20
20
40
40
60
60
80
80
100
100
Broadband packages available in Italy and Spain
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)
A
A
A
A
A
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
C
C
D
Italy
Spain
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.
Typically, triple play commands a
20% price premium over dual play
Bundled connectivity and pre-
mium contents appear the main
ARPU drivers in Spanish market
E
B
B
B
B B
B
B
E
A A
A
A
A
E
A
A
A
B
B
C
C
D
D
E
C
C
C
B
A
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
13
€/month
MBps
40
60
70
80
90
210
160
20
30
50
Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
0 20 40 60 80 300100
Broadband packages available in the US
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)
C
C
C
C
United States
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.
Generally slow speeds compared
to other countries
B
B
B
B
A
A
A
A
A B C
A
A
AB
B
B
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
14
€/month
MBps
40
60
70
80
20
30
50
Internet + Calls + TV
0 20 40 60 80 100
Broadband packages available in the UK
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)
United Kingdom
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.
Service bundling (i.e. call,
video) has proved a successful
approach to ARPU...
BT and its main competitors are focused mainly
on <40 Mbps BB segment, higher speeds being
historically the preserve of Virgin Media
...in particular premium video content
which has allowed Virgin Media
and Sky to command superior prices
Plusnet has allowed BT to serve
the lower end of the market without
affecting its positioning
Broadband speeds in excess of 25
Mbps are only available within a dual
play package
B
B
B
B
D
D
D
A
A
A A
A
A B C D E
Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
C
C
C
E
E
E
E
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
15
Consumers intuitively understand
the principle of paying for goods and
services according to how much they
use and operators are keen to mon-
etise high-value content such as IPTV.
Operators now need to pay attention
to monetising the data and content
delivery mechanism itself.
At present, download caps are pre-
dominantly used negatively in order to
restrict very high usage, i.e. in the US
or in Germany, or are only enforced as
ambiguous and often obscure “fair use”
policies.
Arguments for supporting such very
high usage caps typically include im-
proving collective network performance
and preventing so-called “cable cut-
ting”, or OTT television substitution, in
which the broadband internet connec-
tion can substitute for cable or satellite
TV. Both of these responses neglect
the possibility of usage based pric-
ing as an effective way to differentiate
strategically whilst also improving price
satisfaction. It is common for players
to apply an implicit “fair-usage” policy
that limits very high usage without the
consumer being fully aware of the small
print. In effect usage-based restric-
tions are often already in place but lack
transparency and are typically used only
as punitive mechanisms to degrade the
consumer’s experience.
In the UK download caps are used posi-
tively to improve the consumer offering
and promote strategic differentiation
Unlike in the US and Europe, UK opera-
tors have successfully deployed usage-
based pricing for a number of years and
they continue to use this strategy to dif-
ferentiate between their own packages
and those of other operators. In particu-
lar Sky, BT, and PlusNet (BT’s sub-brand
based in Yorkshire) use download caps
as a way of generating “unlimited”
premium packages for customers who
require extra data for consumption of
on-demand TV or other data-intensive
activities.
PlusNet at the time of print had down-
load caps on all its broadband pack-
ages, with BT employing usage-based
pricing on four out of seven packages,
and Sky with only one. TalkTalk stopped
enforcing usage caps in 2012 while
Virgin Media has never placed explicit
restrictions on downloads.
Potential
of usage-based
pricing
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
16
Unlimited and capped packages by UK operator
Note: *250GB data allowance or according to “fair use policy”; **average excluding Virgin Media and TalkTalk.
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.
13
56
•
•
42
•
•
46
•
31
47
37
30
44
32
23
34**
7 5 7 42
13 7 4 3 27
TOTAL
100%
0%
Low-cap average (€/m)
Mid-cap average (€/m)
Unlimited* cap average (€/m)
# of packages
comparable packages
Capped
On average Sky, BT and Plusnet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads.
Unlimited*
1
4
15
10
10
AVERAGE
45**
27**
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
17
Rationale for building new packages
with download caps
Most global operators either enforce a
de facto download cap through “fair-
usage” restrictions on “unlimited” pack-
ages or have introduced more transpar-
ent pricing models as in the UK.
There could be numerous positive
outcomes for the consumer if operators
followed the UK’s lead by introducing
more effective customer segmentation.
Firstly the operator would be able to
attract a greater number of light usage
consumers by lowering the price of core
connectivity and by doing so operators
may be able to temporarily buck the
trend of slowing broadband penetra-
tion. While there will always be custom-
ers who require mobile broadband for
access on the move or in remote areas,
there are also those who choose mobile
broadband dongles at home for their
relative cost effectiveness and flexibility.
Secondly, introducing new entry-level
packages may reinforce the perception
of value for the existing “unlimited”
packages and improve ARPU stability
by deliberately devaluing the more cost-
sensitive packages.
With greater market share there is the
potential for promoting paid-for con-
tent or bundled packages and monetis-
ing pay-as-you-go data consumption.
Many consumers also often recognise
an “insurance premium”3
for “unlimited”
packages in order to secure peace
of mind that they will not be penalised
for going over the data threshold.
This means that it may be easier
to upsell the consumer onto high value
packages that provide greater down-
load capacity.
In the UK players such as PlusNet
and BT employ the usage cap as a way
of improving customer segmentation.
Our analysis shows that on average Sky,
BT, and PlusNet charge a premium of
€18 for unlimited downloads suggesting
that these operators attempt to capital-
ise from broad customer segmentation.
PlusNet, for example, is usually posi-
tioned to appeal to the more cost-aware
with its cheapest package at €23 p/m,
however its high-value package at €44
is also competitive with the top offer-
ings by its competitors.
3
As explored by Andrew Odlyzko
in “Know your limits”, May 2012
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
18
•	 Recognise that many operators
already have ambiguous usage
caps and bandwidth management
policies in place that potentially
degrade Quality of Service (QOS)
and may diminish value perception;
•	 Improve customer segmentation
to make broadband more accessible
to a greater market;
•	 Assert that “those who use the least,
pay the least” such that light users
don’t subsidise the heavy users;
•	 Introduce greater transparency
in implementing usage-based pack-
ages combined with developing
effective tools to help the consumer
manage and track their data usage;
Core principles and
potential challenges of
usage-based pricing
As with all consumer
communication, simplicity
is crucial. Effective com-
munication and education
about the positive trade-off
for consumers will form
an important part of making
the strategy a success.
•	 Concentrate on QOS and promote
broadband connectivity as a versa-
tile, rich content delivery platform.
•	 Manage potential conflict of interest
between selling media packages that
require data and selling data pack-
ages themselves
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
19
As with all consumer communication
simplicity is crucial. Effective communi-
cation and education about the positive
trade-off for consumers will form an
important part of making the strategy a
success.
Throughout the communication proc-
ess the consumer should be made fully
aware that usage-based pricing is a
positive development with fairness and
improved Quality of Service the priority.
Depending on the exact configuration
of the pricing schemes some custom-
ers are likely to save while heavier users
would be expected to pay according
to consumption or upgrade to higher
capacity “unlimited” packages.
Careful positioning is required to ensure
that new usage-based packages do not
directly cannibalise existing “unlimited”
broadband value propositions.
In the short term some cannibalisation
may occur despite best efforts.
However in the medium-term there is
the possibility of capturing the growing
opportunity provided by content and
associated VAS.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
20
3
“’You’re capped!’ Understanding
the effects of bandwidth caps
on broadband use in the home”,
Georgia Institute of Technology
In addition to clear communication, the
operator should develop effective tools
to help the user manage data consump-
tion and upgrade their backend to
be able to support a billing platform
capable of tracking data usage on a per-
customer basis. According to a study
by the Georgia Institute of Technology4
operators should also bear the following
three points in mind when considering
implementing usage-based pricing tiers:
Invisible balances
Many respondents to the focus groups
felt that it was sometimes difficult
to understand and track data usage
throughout the month since some pro-
viders have limited or hard-to-use tools
that require users to login and have very
little detail or insight into usage trends.
Some services also fail to explain prop-
erly why internet connectivity has been
cut, e.g. in South Africa where interna-
tional traffic has different rules from
access to local website content.
Further guidelines
to implementation
Mysterious processes
Some consumers have difficulty in iden-
tifying data-intensive applications and
can consequently find it confusing when
trying to limit download usage.
As well as the challenge of understand-
ing which programs use internet services
on the home computer, many respond-
ents experienced some misunderstand-
ings of the relative size of content, i.e.
the number of videos they could watch
before going over the download thresh-
old implying that “data” is often seen as
too abstract to quantify accurately.
“Participants did not appear to under-
stand that YouTube or streamed audio
used up significantly more bandwidth
relative to web pages [as there was
no wait in content delivery].”
Multiple users
Unlike mobile phones, internet connec-
tions are used by multiple users and
across different platforms such as PCs,
laptops, smartphones, tablets and
e-readers, which could cause difficulties
in tracking usage accurately. This is not
an insurmountable problem and could
be overcome with the use of bandwidth
allocation software by the person paying
the operator bill. However there may be
some privacy concerns about the tracking
involved with this and about who has
access to potentially sensitive information.
“Some parents loved the idea of
being able to both limit and moni-
tor their children’s internet usage...
and distribute the bandwidth like
an allowance, helping their children
manage their time, or using it as a
disciplinary tool.”
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
21
In this perspective Value Partners
argues that there are some positive
reasons for adopting a more robust ap-
proach to usage-based pricing. Without
doubt operators are under pressure and
run the risk of long-term, irreversible
decline without significant adaptation.
Therefore in this challenging climate all
sensible strategies should be objectively
evaluated according to their merits and
risks.
As with any business model evolution
there are potential downsides for the
operator but, as a long-term strategy,
employing usage-based pricing may be
a constructive way of capitalising on the
forecasted growth of internet data and
content consumption.
Adopting usage-based pricing is just
one way of achieving sustainability,
but some sort of major business model
readjustment may be crucial to secure
continued investment in the telecom-
munications infrastructure that is so
fundamental for worldwide economic
development.
conclusion
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
22
AUTHORS
adam hadley
Associate, London Office
adam.hadley@valuepartners.com
enrico lanzavecchia
Director, London Office
enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com
marco labianca
Business Analyst, London Office
marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
23
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
Copyright © Value Partners
Management Consulting Limited
All rights reserved
About
Value Partners
Value Partners is a global manage-
ment consulting firm that works
with multinational corporations
and high-potential entrepreneurial
businesses to identify and pursue
value enhancement initiatives across
innovation, international expansion,
and operational effectiveness.
Founded in Milan in 1993, Value Part-
ners’ rapid growth testifies to the
value it has created for clients over
time. Today it draws on 25 partners
and 280 professionals from 23 na-
tions, working out of offices in Milan,
London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos
Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong
and Singapore.
Value Partners has built a portfolio
of more than 350 international
clients from the original 10 in 1993
with a worldwide revenue mix.
Value Partners combines methodo-
logical approaches and analytical
frameworks with hands-on attitude
and practical industry experience
developed in an executive capacity
within each sector: telecommunica-
tions, new media, financial services,
energy, manufacturing and hi-tech.
In 2007 Value Partners acquired
Spectrum Strategy Consultants – a
leading UK company specialized in
publishing, broadcasting, entertain-
ment, IPTV and mobile – thus further
strengthening its international pres-
ence. Today Value Partners is a lead-
ing advisor in the telecom, media
and technology sectors worldwide.
For more information on the issues
raised in this note please contact
the authors.
Find all the contact details on
valuepartners.com
Milan
London
Istanbul
São Paulo
Buenos Aires
Beijing
Shanghai
Hong Kong
Singapore

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Broadband data-052013-digiversion

  • 1. TRANSPARENT BROADBAND THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF USAGE-BASED PRICING perspective MAY 2013 Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca
  • 2. Transparent broadband: The potential benefits of usage-based pricing Published by Value Partners Management Consulting Ltd, 16 Smith Square, 7th floor, Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK May 2013 Written by: Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca Edited by: Cristina Goddi If you would like an electronic copy please write to: cristina.goddi@valuepartners.com For more information on the issues raised in the report please contact: adam.hadley@ valuepartners.com marco.labianca@valuepartners.com If you would like to subscribe or to be removed from our mailing list please write to: subscription@valuepartners.com valuepartners.com Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved
  • 3. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 3 executive summary 5 Unfavourable market dynamics 7 Challenge of monetising core connectivity 8 Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU 11 Potential of usage-based pricing 15 Core principles and potential challenges of usage-based pricing 18 Further guidelines to implementation 20 Conclusion 21 authors 22 CONTENTS
  • 4. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 4 Our research shows that transparent usage-based pricing can often provide important benefits for the consumer by creating value-for-money through more effective pricing segmentation.
  • 5. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 5 Throughout most of the world download caps are often used as punitive measures to keep check on excessive downloads. However, in the UK, operators such as BT and PlusNet have successfully deployed usage-based pricing by marketing packages with tiered download caps. In this perspective Value Partners argues that there may be positive conclusions to draw from introducing aspects of this alternative approach to usage-based pricing. Within the context of an industry under pressure it has never been more important for operators to find sustainable ways of maintaining revenue and striking a balance between a focus on core connectivity and content. As the demand for content and data has revolutionised the consumer’s relationship with the internet, operators need to adjust to consumer needs and expectations accordingly. Our research shows that transparent usage-based pricing can often provide important benefits for the consumer by creating value-for-money through more effective pricing segmentation. Packages that are priced according to data usage can be designed to reduce costs for the light-usage consumer and improve profitability of the high-usage consumer. Usage-based pricing may provide the potential to help the operator address a broader market and scale revenue in line with growth in content consumption. executive summary
  • 6. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 6 Monthly ARPU* (€) of internet-only broadband packages by country and forecast CAGR 2008-2012 (%) -0,4% -2,3% -1,9% -3,4% Note: * Not considering additional connectivity bundles (e.g. calls, TV). Source: Screen Digest Sep ‘11, Value Partners analysis. 20 15 25 10 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e ItalySpain UKPortugal
  • 7. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 7 Unfavourable market dynamics Fixed broadband connectivity is an increasingly challenging market in the more developed regions as the household broadband penetration rate reaches its saturation point and ARPU declines slowly and steadily. Fixed broadband connectivity is an increasingly challenging market in the more developed regions as the household broadband penetration rate reaches its saturation point and ARPU declines slowly and steadily. In Europe as a whole broadband penetration per household is decelerat- ing as it approaches 80%1 while ARPU has declined by a year-on-year average of 3% between 2008 and 2012, falling to just over €152 per household per month. 1 Eurostat: EU 27: Households - Level of Internet access, 2011 2 Screen Digest: Western Europe: Broadband, narrowband & PC households (annual & forecast), 2011
  • 8. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 8 The value of the typical broadband proposition is driven by core connectiv- ity, content and bundling, and Value Added Services (VAS). The value of connectivity is usually determined by bandwidth (speed), usage restrictions, and occasionally by Quality of Service (latency, up-time, SLAs, etc.). In the days of AOL’s pre-eminence in the 1990s, the ISP was responsible for most consumer-facing innovations and controlled almost all aspects of the internet experience for the user, includ- ing the channels (Netscape browser, chatrooms, etc.) and the content itself (news articles, games, etc.). However, with an internet that has matured in terms of infrastructure, functionality, and availability of content, the role of the ISP-only operator has diminished considerably. Now most op- erators focus on content convergence and only tend to monetise content through bundled television with high- value, low-margin cable, satellite, or IPTV subscriptions. Gone are the days of the ISP web portal. Now that more than a third of all UK households buy their telephony, TV, and broadband from a single opera- tor, it is clear that, in the UK at least, triple-play packaging on its own no longer creates significant differentiation between providers. There is evidence that the triple-play packages improve customer retention and reduce churn. However some operators have become distracted by the allure of TV bundling at the cost of concentrating on the core internet offering itself. With high-speed internet and the emer- gence of the next generation of set-top boxes, operators are now able to deliver streamed television content through IPTV where previously only cable and satellite players could compete. BT, for example, at the cost of £738m recently acquired the rights to broadcast 38 UK football matches with the aim of creat- ing at least two of its own sports chan- nels, leaving Sky with the rights to the remaining 116 matches. Sports rights aside, however, traditional TV content providers or aggregators such as Sky or Virgin in the UK still maintain a competi- tive advantage in terms of their exper- tise in producing and commissioning popular content - for operators this has never been their core activity. In mature markets operators are there- fore left with a fundamental business model conundrum. Content acquisition on this scale is an expensive and risky strategy that few other operators would be willing or able to emulate. Challenge of monetising core connectivity
  • 9. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 9 Our research of global broadband markets shows that almost all have value primarily driven by content and services, not speed. In Italy, Spain, and the UK, prices of broadband packages are mainly driven by services and content, whereas in other European countries like Germany and France and more advanced Asian markets, alternative infrastructure has differentiated between low and high speed offers but ARPU is still mostly driven by premium content. Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the US prices tend to be driven by download speed however there is still a premium for bundled services. Access speed has become rapidly commoditised, therefore it makes sense to develop value differentiation on the basis of other factors such as usage-based pricing. The rationale for this general market behaviour is two-fold: firstly, by provid- ing telephony and television content, operators can charge more for the overall package and increase ARPU – although this has an uncertain impact on underlying profitability. Secondly, throughout the history of the internet, access speed itself has become rapidly commoditised and therefore it makes sense to develop value differentiation on the basis of other factors such as usage-based pricing.
  • 10. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 10 €/month€/month MBps MBps 20 20 40 40 50 50 60 60 0 10 30 Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV D B 0 10 0 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 100 100 Broadband packages available in Germany and France by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) A A B B C C C C C C C A A A B B D D 30 Germany A B C D France A B C D E Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. 3 main speed categories (<10 Mbps, 16Mbps and 50Mbps) Crowded market with many players offering very similar packages at similar prices C C C CC B A A A A E E E E A D D BB
  • 11. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 11 In most markets analysed as part of this research it is apparent that broadband speed itself rarely drives ARPU. Instead content services typically differentiate products with some markets such as the UK also using download caps. Due to a dependence on content serv- ices many operators are now running out of realistic ways to strategically differentiate: buying content at the scale of BT in the UK is ambitious and is uncertain to lead to success. Consumers also do not easily appreciate the scale and cost of infrastructure investment required by the operators. Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU In Germany, premium content and bun- dled connectivity are important drivers of ARPU whereas in France download speeds are polarised between ADSL and fibre services with most services being at least triple play In Italy premium price is driven not by speed but by services and content while in Spain services and download speed drive ARPU Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the US, ARPU is mostly driven by download speed However in the UK higher ARPU is sup- ported by a combination of introducing download caps, differentiating by speed and providing content services
  • 12. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 12 €/month€/month MBps MBps 40 40 60 60 70 70 80 80 20 20 30 30 50 50 Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV 0 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 100 100 Broadband packages available in Italy and Spain by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) A A A A A D D D D D D D C C D Italy Spain Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. Typically, triple play commands a 20% price premium over dual play Bundled connectivity and pre- mium contents appear the main ARPU drivers in Spanish market E B B B B B B B E A A A A A E A A A B B C C D D E C C C B A
  • 13. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 13 €/month MBps 40 60 70 80 90 210 160 20 30 50 Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV 0 20 40 60 80 300100 Broadband packages available in the US by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) C C C C United States Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. Generally slow speeds compared to other countries B B B B A A A A A B C A A AB B B
  • 14. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 14 €/month MBps 40 60 70 80 20 30 50 Internet + Calls + TV 0 20 40 60 80 100 Broadband packages available in the UK by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) United Kingdom Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. Service bundling (i.e. call, video) has proved a successful approach to ARPU... BT and its main competitors are focused mainly on <40 Mbps BB segment, higher speeds being historically the preserve of Virgin Media ...in particular premium video content which has allowed Virgin Media and Sky to command superior prices Plusnet has allowed BT to serve the lower end of the market without affecting its positioning Broadband speeds in excess of 25 Mbps are only available within a dual play package B B B B D D D A A A A A A B C D E Internet only Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV C C C E E E E
  • 15. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 15 Consumers intuitively understand the principle of paying for goods and services according to how much they use and operators are keen to mon- etise high-value content such as IPTV. Operators now need to pay attention to monetising the data and content delivery mechanism itself. At present, download caps are pre- dominantly used negatively in order to restrict very high usage, i.e. in the US or in Germany, or are only enforced as ambiguous and often obscure “fair use” policies. Arguments for supporting such very high usage caps typically include im- proving collective network performance and preventing so-called “cable cut- ting”, or OTT television substitution, in which the broadband internet connec- tion can substitute for cable or satellite TV. Both of these responses neglect the possibility of usage based pric- ing as an effective way to differentiate strategically whilst also improving price satisfaction. It is common for players to apply an implicit “fair-usage” policy that limits very high usage without the consumer being fully aware of the small print. In effect usage-based restric- tions are often already in place but lack transparency and are typically used only as punitive mechanisms to degrade the consumer’s experience. In the UK download caps are used posi- tively to improve the consumer offering and promote strategic differentiation Unlike in the US and Europe, UK opera- tors have successfully deployed usage- based pricing for a number of years and they continue to use this strategy to dif- ferentiate between their own packages and those of other operators. In particu- lar Sky, BT, and PlusNet (BT’s sub-brand based in Yorkshire) use download caps as a way of generating “unlimited” premium packages for customers who require extra data for consumption of on-demand TV or other data-intensive activities. PlusNet at the time of print had down- load caps on all its broadband pack- ages, with BT employing usage-based pricing on four out of seven packages, and Sky with only one. TalkTalk stopped enforcing usage caps in 2012 while Virgin Media has never placed explicit restrictions on downloads. Potential of usage-based pricing
  • 16. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 16 Unlimited and capped packages by UK operator Note: *250GB data allowance or according to “fair use policy”; **average excluding Virgin Media and TalkTalk. Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. 13 56 • • 42 • • 46 • 31 47 37 30 44 32 23 34** 7 5 7 42 13 7 4 3 27 TOTAL 100% 0% Low-cap average (€/m) Mid-cap average (€/m) Unlimited* cap average (€/m) # of packages comparable packages Capped On average Sky, BT and Plusnet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads. Unlimited* 1 4 15 10 10 AVERAGE 45** 27**
  • 17. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 17 Rationale for building new packages with download caps Most global operators either enforce a de facto download cap through “fair- usage” restrictions on “unlimited” pack- ages or have introduced more transpar- ent pricing models as in the UK. There could be numerous positive outcomes for the consumer if operators followed the UK’s lead by introducing more effective customer segmentation. Firstly the operator would be able to attract a greater number of light usage consumers by lowering the price of core connectivity and by doing so operators may be able to temporarily buck the trend of slowing broadband penetra- tion. While there will always be custom- ers who require mobile broadband for access on the move or in remote areas, there are also those who choose mobile broadband dongles at home for their relative cost effectiveness and flexibility. Secondly, introducing new entry-level packages may reinforce the perception of value for the existing “unlimited” packages and improve ARPU stability by deliberately devaluing the more cost- sensitive packages. With greater market share there is the potential for promoting paid-for con- tent or bundled packages and monetis- ing pay-as-you-go data consumption. Many consumers also often recognise an “insurance premium”3 for “unlimited” packages in order to secure peace of mind that they will not be penalised for going over the data threshold. This means that it may be easier to upsell the consumer onto high value packages that provide greater down- load capacity. In the UK players such as PlusNet and BT employ the usage cap as a way of improving customer segmentation. Our analysis shows that on average Sky, BT, and PlusNet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads suggesting that these operators attempt to capital- ise from broad customer segmentation. PlusNet, for example, is usually posi- tioned to appeal to the more cost-aware with its cheapest package at €23 p/m, however its high-value package at €44 is also competitive with the top offer- ings by its competitors. 3 As explored by Andrew Odlyzko in “Know your limits”, May 2012
  • 18. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 18 • Recognise that many operators already have ambiguous usage caps and bandwidth management policies in place that potentially degrade Quality of Service (QOS) and may diminish value perception; • Improve customer segmentation to make broadband more accessible to a greater market; • Assert that “those who use the least, pay the least” such that light users don’t subsidise the heavy users; • Introduce greater transparency in implementing usage-based pack- ages combined with developing effective tools to help the consumer manage and track their data usage; Core principles and potential challenges of usage-based pricing As with all consumer communication, simplicity is crucial. Effective com- munication and education about the positive trade-off for consumers will form an important part of making the strategy a success. • Concentrate on QOS and promote broadband connectivity as a versa- tile, rich content delivery platform. • Manage potential conflict of interest between selling media packages that require data and selling data pack- ages themselves
  • 19. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 19 As with all consumer communication simplicity is crucial. Effective communi- cation and education about the positive trade-off for consumers will form an important part of making the strategy a success. Throughout the communication proc- ess the consumer should be made fully aware that usage-based pricing is a positive development with fairness and improved Quality of Service the priority. Depending on the exact configuration of the pricing schemes some custom- ers are likely to save while heavier users would be expected to pay according to consumption or upgrade to higher capacity “unlimited” packages. Careful positioning is required to ensure that new usage-based packages do not directly cannibalise existing “unlimited” broadband value propositions. In the short term some cannibalisation may occur despite best efforts. However in the medium-term there is the possibility of capturing the growing opportunity provided by content and associated VAS.
  • 20. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 20 3 “’You’re capped!’ Understanding the effects of bandwidth caps on broadband use in the home”, Georgia Institute of Technology In addition to clear communication, the operator should develop effective tools to help the user manage data consump- tion and upgrade their backend to be able to support a billing platform capable of tracking data usage on a per- customer basis. According to a study by the Georgia Institute of Technology4 operators should also bear the following three points in mind when considering implementing usage-based pricing tiers: Invisible balances Many respondents to the focus groups felt that it was sometimes difficult to understand and track data usage throughout the month since some pro- viders have limited or hard-to-use tools that require users to login and have very little detail or insight into usage trends. Some services also fail to explain prop- erly why internet connectivity has been cut, e.g. in South Africa where interna- tional traffic has different rules from access to local website content. Further guidelines to implementation Mysterious processes Some consumers have difficulty in iden- tifying data-intensive applications and can consequently find it confusing when trying to limit download usage. As well as the challenge of understand- ing which programs use internet services on the home computer, many respond- ents experienced some misunderstand- ings of the relative size of content, i.e. the number of videos they could watch before going over the download thresh- old implying that “data” is often seen as too abstract to quantify accurately. “Participants did not appear to under- stand that YouTube or streamed audio used up significantly more bandwidth relative to web pages [as there was no wait in content delivery].” Multiple users Unlike mobile phones, internet connec- tions are used by multiple users and across different platforms such as PCs, laptops, smartphones, tablets and e-readers, which could cause difficulties in tracking usage accurately. This is not an insurmountable problem and could be overcome with the use of bandwidth allocation software by the person paying the operator bill. However there may be some privacy concerns about the tracking involved with this and about who has access to potentially sensitive information. “Some parents loved the idea of being able to both limit and moni- tor their children’s internet usage... and distribute the bandwidth like an allowance, helping their children manage their time, or using it as a disciplinary tool.”
  • 21. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 21 In this perspective Value Partners argues that there are some positive reasons for adopting a more robust ap- proach to usage-based pricing. Without doubt operators are under pressure and run the risk of long-term, irreversible decline without significant adaptation. Therefore in this challenging climate all sensible strategies should be objectively evaluated according to their merits and risks. As with any business model evolution there are potential downsides for the operator but, as a long-term strategy, employing usage-based pricing may be a constructive way of capitalising on the forecasted growth of internet data and content consumption. Adopting usage-based pricing is just one way of achieving sustainability, but some sort of major business model readjustment may be crucial to secure continued investment in the telecom- munications infrastructure that is so fundamental for worldwide economic development. conclusion
  • 22. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 22 AUTHORS adam hadley Associate, London Office adam.hadley@valuepartners.com enrico lanzavecchia Director, London Office enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com marco labianca Business Analyst, London Office marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
  • 23. 23 perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved About Value Partners Value Partners is a global manage- ment consulting firm that works with multinational corporations and high-potential entrepreneurial businesses to identify and pursue value enhancement initiatives across innovation, international expansion, and operational effectiveness. Founded in Milan in 1993, Value Part- ners’ rapid growth testifies to the value it has created for clients over time. Today it draws on 25 partners and 280 professionals from 23 na- tions, working out of offices in Milan, London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Singapore. Value Partners has built a portfolio of more than 350 international clients from the original 10 in 1993 with a worldwide revenue mix. Value Partners combines methodo- logical approaches and analytical frameworks with hands-on attitude and practical industry experience developed in an executive capacity within each sector: telecommunica- tions, new media, financial services, energy, manufacturing and hi-tech. In 2007 Value Partners acquired Spectrum Strategy Consultants – a leading UK company specialized in publishing, broadcasting, entertain- ment, IPTV and mobile – thus further strengthening its international pres- ence. Today Value Partners is a lead- ing advisor in the telecom, media and technology sectors worldwide. For more information on the issues raised in this note please contact the authors. Find all the contact details on valuepartners.com Milan London Istanbul São Paulo Buenos Aires Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong Singapore