Financial projections and valuation model for local start-up Bluehouse Market, a Sacramento-based urban aquaponic farm and market.
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9. Program / Task Budget ($) Prior Oct Nov Dec Jan Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Historical Activities:
Feasibility Studies
Strategic Planning
Market Research
Site Selection & Negotiation
Permits & Approval
Land Acquisition
Site Construction
System Cycling:
Owner Investment: 5,000
Equity Investment: 145,000
Lender Commitment: -
Total Commitments: 150,000
Pre-Operating Expenditures:
Cost of Goods Sold 9,046
PP&E for GH 1: 25,142
PP&E Reserve for GH 2: 88,998
Cash Reserve for Operations: 26,814
Total Uses: 150,000
Expenses:
Cost of Goods Sold: 445,178
Operating Expenses: 1,386,358
Expand Retail Selection:
Construct Additional Greenhouse:
Revenues: 3,434,781
Less Expenses: 1,831,537
Less Taxes: 514,424
Net Income: 1,088,820
FY4FY3FY2FY1
Implementation Plan
Pre-Op2016 Prelim. FY5
183,538 419,515 734,152 1,048,788 1,048,788
10. BLUEHOUSE MARKET, INC.
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES GREENHOUSE 1
(USD)
Item Qty Price Ea. Freight Total Price
Electrical Work 1 2,000 - 2,000
Nursery Tables for Propagation 4 250 - 1,000
Growers Supply Series 500 Greenhouse - 41,373 - -
Labor and Grading 1 5,000 - 5,000
46" High Output Energy-Efficient High Bay Fixture 54W T-5 - 8 Lamp8 220 100 1,760
1,000w Grow Lights 13 268 - 3,350
Deep Water Culture System 1 3,692 - 3,692
2,500 gal Water Tank 1 1,500 100 1,500
Plumbing 1 500 500
Rafts 100 15 1,500
Pond Liner 1 1,000 1,000
Trays 45 2 90
Fish 2,000 1 2,500
Filtration Tank 2 500 1,000
Air Blower 1 250 250
Total: 25,142
BLUEHOUSE MARKET, INC.
CAPITAL EXPENDITURES GREENHOUSE 2
(USD)
Item Qty Price Each Freight Total Price
Electrical Work 1 2,000 - 2,000
Nursery Tables for Propagation 7 250 - 1,692
Growers Supply Series 500 Greenhouse 1 41,373 - 41,373
Labor and Grading 1 5,000 - 5,000
46" High Output Energy-Efficient High Bay Fixture 54W T-5 - 8 Lamp23 220 100 5,082
1,000w Grow Lights 38 268 - 10,050
Deep Water Culture System 1 9,231 - 9,231
2,500 gal Water Tank 2 1,500 100 3,000
Plumbing 2 500 1,000
Rafts 300 15 4,500
Pond Liner 2 1,000 2,000
Trays 135 2 270
Filtration Tank 2 500 1,000
Fish 2,000 1 2,500
Air Blower 1 300 300
Total: 88,998
Total Greenhouse A + Greenhouse B: 114,140
11. Start-Up Assets: Loans:
Short-Term Loans - Working Capital
Long-Term Loans - Inventory 28,688
Working Capital - Greenhouse A 9,046 Total Loans - Cash Reserve 7,172
Working Capital - Greenhouse B 26,814 Investments Total Working Capital 35,860
PP&E- Greenhouse A 25,142 Additional Investment 145,000 Capital Expenditures
PP&E - Greenhouse B 88,998 Owner Investment 5,000 Property, Plant, and Equipment 109,140
Total Assets Required 150,000 Total Investments 150,000 Total Capital Expenditures: 109,140
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 150,000 TOTAL RESOURCES 150,000 TOTAL USES 145,000
0.23 0.59
Royalty, 2.0x MOIC, 20% Equity
Total Resources Available 150,000 Start-Up Assets 150,000 Payback Period 6.1 Years
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 18.0%
Less: Assets Purchased 150,000 Start-Up Liabilities -
Common Stock, 20% Stake
Start-Up Loss (Gain) - Start-Up Equity 150,000 (Callable by management at initial valuation)
IRR, No Exit, Dividends Only
10-Year Holding Period: 26.9%
30-year Holding Period: 30.1%
USE OF PROCEEDS
ESTIMATED FINANCIAL CONDITION AT START-UP: JANUARY 1, 2017 RETURN ON INVESTMENT
CAPITALIZATION PLAN
REQUIREMENTS RESOURCES
12. Sacramento Region Grocery Store Demand for Living Basil
Customer
Total Store
Outlets*
Avg. Cases
Purchased
Per Store
(All Basil
Products)
All Basil
Purchased
Per Grocery
Chain
Living Basil
Sales
Demand Per
Grocery
Store
Living Basil
Demand Per
Grocery
Chain
Nugget Market 10 11 110 6 60
Whole Foods 4 19 76 6 24
Sac. Nat. Foods Co-op 1 30 30 4 4
Safeway 20 9 180 2 40
Raley's 20 5 100 2 40
Bel-Air 18 4 72 2 36
Total Outlets: 73
Total Cases Per Week: 568 204
Total Cases Per Year: 29,536 10,608
Total Units Per Year (24/Case): 708,864 254,592
*Only includes grocery stores located in the Sacramento Region,
from Woodland to Roseville
13. BLUEHOUSE MARKET, INC.
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW ANALYSIS
(USD, Fiscal Year ending December 31)
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
Sales 183,538$ 419,515$ 734,152$ 1,048,788$ 1,048,788$
% growth #REF! 129% 75% 43% 0%
COGS 23,788 54,373 95,153 135,932 135,932
Gross Profit 159,750$ 365,142$ 638,999$ 912,856$ 912,856$
% margin 87% 87% 87% 87% 87%
SG&A 96,430 188,973 277,323 411,816 411,816
EBITDA 63,320$ 176,170$ 361,676$ 501,039$ 501,039$
% margin 34% 42% 49% 48% 48%
Depreciation & Amortization 7,706 20,314 29,214 38,113 38,113
EBIT 55,614$ 155,856$ 332,463$ 462,926$ 462,926$
% margin 30% 37% 45% 44% 44%
Less: Taxes (19,465) (54,550) (116,362) (162,024) (162,024)
Plus: Depreciation & Amortization 55,614 155,856 332,463 462,926 462,926
Less: Capital Expenditures (114,140) (88,998) (88,998) (88,998) -
Less: Increase in Net Working Capital (26,681) 20,220 3,353 12,253 38,113
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (49,058)$ 188,384$ 462,919$ 687,083$ 801,941$
WACC 15%
Discount Period 1 2 3 4 5
Discount Factor 0.87 0.76 0.66 0.57 0.50
Present Value of Free Cash Flow (42,659)$ 142,445$ 304,377$ 392,842$ 398,706$
EBITDA Method Perpetuity Method
Cumulative Present Value of FCF 1,195,711$ Unlevered FCF 801,941$
Growth Rate 2%
Terminal Value 6,292,152$
Terminal Year EBITDA 501,039$ Net Present Value 3,128,312$
Exit Multiple 9.0x
Terminal Value 4,509,353$ Enterprise Value 4,324,022$
Discount Factor 0.50
Present Value of Terminal Value 2,241,945$
% of Enterprise Value 65%
Enterprise Value 3,437,656$
Terminal Value