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3 Stocks to Watch Next Week: AMD, Netflix, and Mattel

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All three companies are set to report first-quarter results next week.

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3 Stocks to Watch Next Week: AMD, Netflix, and Mattel

  1. 1. April 18-22 3 Stocks to Watch Next Week Advanced Micro Devices, Netflix, and Mattel 1
  2. 2. 1) Advanced Micro Devices • Struggling chip company AMD is set to report its first-quarter results after market close on Thursday. • With new products not coming until later this year, and with a continually slumping PC market, expect another quarter of declining revenue and major losses. 2 Logo
  3. 3. 1) Advanced Micro Devices Last Quarter • Revenue slumped by 23% year over year, with a net loss of $102 million. • Computing and Graphics segment revenue fell 29%, with an operating loss of $99 million. • Semi-Custom segment revenue fell 15%, with an operating profit of $59 million. This Quarter • Analysts expect revenue to fall 20.5% year over year. • A non-GAAP EPS loss of $0.13 is expected, down from $0.09 in the prior- year period. • With PC sales down 11.5% in the first quarter, AMD’s results are likely to be ugly. 3Source: IDC, AMD, and Yahoo Finance
  4. 4. 1) Advanced Micro Devices • Shares of AMD are roughly flat over the past year, but with extreme volatility. • With Polaris GPUs and Zen CPUs coming later this year, the second half of 2016 could show the first signs of a turnaround. • AMD has over- promised and under- delivered before, and a repeat with Polaris or Zen would be disastrous. 4
  5. 5. 2) Netflix • Streaming juggernaut Netflix is set to report its first-quarter results after market close on Monday. • Netflix plans to increase prices for longtime customers in May to $9.99 per month, boosting revenue but potentially driving some customers away. 5
  6. 6. 2) Netflix Last Quarter • Revenue rose 28.1% year over year, while GAAP net income slumped 48.2% due to larger international losses. • Total streaming subscriber count reached 74.8 million, driven by 64% growth in international subscribers. This Quarter • Analysts expect revenue to grow by 24.9% year over year. • Netflix expects to end the quarter with 80.9 million subscribers, comprised of 46.5 million in the U.S. and 34.4 million in international markets. • Net income expected to drop 54% year over year. 6Source: Netflix, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance
  7. 7. 2) Netflix • Shares of Netflix have surged over the past year, up 66%. • Subscriber count continues to grow at a blistering pace, and upcoming price hikes for early customers could give revenue a boost. • Netflix is burning cash as it builds its international business, and its stock is extremely expensive. 7
  8. 8. 3) Mattel • Toy maker Mattel is set to report its first quarter results after the market close on Wednesday. • The company is in the middle of a turnaround effort, and the loss of its Disney Princess license will be a major headwind in 2016. • Currency is also expected to negatively affect Mattel’s results. 8 Logo
  9. 9. 3) Mattel Last Quarter • Net sales were flat year over year, but rose 7% adjusted for currency. • Net income rose 44% year over year due to significant cost cuts. • Barbie, Fisher-Price, and Hot Wheels brands grew gross sales by 1%, 8%, and 18% respectively. This Quarter • Analysts expect a 6.8% year-over-year revenue decline, and a non-GAAP loss of $0.08 per share. • Mattel expects the first half of 2016 to be challenging, but believes that a significant portion of the Disney Princess revenue gap can be filled. 9Source: Mattel, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance
  10. 10. 3) Mattel • Shares of Mattel are up 38% over the past year, mostly due to the company’s solid fourth- quarter earnings report. • Mattel’s revenue and profits have slumped over the past few years, and significant revenue growth is unlikely in 2016. • The turnaround is making progress, but it may take years to fully play out. 10
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