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Impact of Online and Television
Advertising on Consumer Behavior




 Joan FitzGerald    Alan Vaughn
   Vice President   Statistical Analyst
      comScore           comScore
comScore is a Global Leader in
Measuring the Digital World
NASDAQ            SCOR
Clients           1600+ worldwide
Employees         900+
Headquarters      Reston, VA
                  170+ countries under measurement;
Global Coverage
                  43 markets reported
Local Presence    30+ locations in 21 countries




                                                      #ARFAM6   V0910
Background
Reaching Consumers Is More Challenging
 New media and devices equals:
 – More opportunity to create brand experiences that
   consumers enjoy
 – More opportunity to create compelling programming
   to build and retain audiences

 How do we measure the impact across TV,
 Internet and mobile?
 – Methodologies in development for use in 25,000
   multi-screen consumer research panel




                                                    #ARFAM6
Challenges
Measuring the impact of cross-platform media is a
significant challenge
Econometric modeling is not an optimum solution
for media
 Works best with single, immediate response and
 clearly-defined time periods
  – Think promotions, sale pricing, couponing

 Media responses are multiple, not necessarily
 immediate, and time periods are not clearly
 defined
  – Think awareness, likeability, favorability, intent-to-purchase
  – Think long-term, short-term, carry-over, “halo” effects
Opportunity
“Single-Source” Research Presents
 Opportunity To Uncover Media Effects
 More granular
  – Break out and understand groups of consumers who may
    use media in dramatically different ways
      Think “OTT,” heavy DVR, mobile video, mobile app users

 Faster
  – After each week of campaign, not after 24 months
    of prior data
  – Answer questions about what marketers should do now




                                                     #ARFAM6
Methods
Comscore Established 3,700+ Person
Multi-Screen “Test Panel”
 Persons-level Internet usage matched to
 household-level television viewing
  – Blind, third-party match

 Data sources
  – TV ad exposure: ad schedules matched to TV
    “set top box” viewing data
  – Internet ad exposure: comScore technology
  – Consumer response: website visitation via
    comScore technology

 January – April 2010


                                                 #ARFAM6
Research Hypotheses

 The combined impact of TV and Internet advertising
 exposure is greater than the impact of TV advertising
 alone and Internet advertising alone
 The impact of exposure will be greater for the target
 consumer group
 The closer the timing of the exposure to the response,
 the greater the impact will be (recency)
 It is possible to determine the “equivalent” number of
 Internet ads that equal the impact of a 30 second TV
 advertisement



                                           #ARFAM6
Analysis
2 Case Studies
Major Entertainment/Film and
Financial Services brands
 Neither solely or primarily e-commerce brands;
 however, online behavior important measure
 of success
 Multiple creative executions and websites
 combined for analysis
 Financial Services brand contained insufficient
 sample sizes


                                        #ARFAM6
Methods

 Generalized linear model
 – Estimates probability of site visitation

 Exposure “windows”
 – 3-day, 7-day, 14-day
 – TV advertising only, Internet advertising only, TV and
   Internet advertising

 Online behavioral response
 – website visit: 0 (no site visit) or 1 (site visit)




                                                        #ARFAM6
Methods

 3,700+ sample size lower than 25,000 planned for
 multi-screen panel
 Demonstration data; not weighted
 TV advertising exposure is household-based while
 Internet advertising exposure is persons-based
 Online advertising and online behavioral response
 are “co-located,” therefore, one might expect
 online advertising to show greater response using
 the methods presented here



                                        #ARFAM6
Results
1 + 1 = 2.X
 For the Entertainment brand, the combination of TV and Internet
 Advertising resulted in a 28% and 66% higher probability of a
 website visit than exposure to TV advertising alone or Internet
 advertising alone, respectively
  – Results seen for both brands, although sample sizes insufficient for reliable
    results for Financial Services brand
                                                       128
                                                                         Results
            100                                                          indexed to
                                                                         TV only
                                  77                                     advertising
                                                                         exposure




    Index of Behavior Probability with 3-Day Exposure Window
          TV Only       Internet Only       TV and Internet
                                                                 #ARFAM6
Results
“Recency Effect”
 For the Entertainment brand, there was higher probability of website
 visitation the closer the exposure to the behavior, with the greatest
 “recency” effect shown for the combination of TV and Internet advertising
 For exposure to both TV and Internet advertising, the probability of
 website visitation increased by 62% within a 3-day window compared to a
 14-day window
 The probability increased 32% for TV only exposure and 10% for Internet
 only exposure
                 0.17


                                                     TV Only
                                                     Internet Only
                 0.12
                                                     TV and Internet



                 0.07
                        3-Day    7-Day   14-Day


                                                           #ARFAM6
Results
Target Consumers Responded More
  For the Entertainment brand, there was a higher probability of website
  visitation for consumers within the brand target group compared to
  consumers that were not within the brand target group
  The probability increased by 28% for consumers exposed to both TV and
  Internet advertising, 31% for consumers exposed to TV only advertising
  and 38% for consumers exposed to Internet only advertising

                                                             128
TV and Internet
                                                   100


                                          77                        Target
  Internet Only
                                   55                               Not Target



                                                   100
       TV Only
                                          77



                                                          #ARFAM6
Similar Targeting Impact Seen for
Digital Advertising and CPG Brands
Lift In In-Store Sales
Media Sales Lift in 3-Months from Digital Advertising from CPG Brands



                                                                                                                    38%


                                       21%




             Non-Purchase Based Targeting                                                      Purchase Based Targeting

 *Source: comScore AdEffx Offline Sales Lift Norms for CPG, March 2011
  Non-purchased based targeting includes, but is not limited to, the following types of buys: contextual, audience, run of site//run of network, etc.
** Source: comScore Audience Advantage, which leverages sophisticated predictive targeting algorithms that are created using anonymous
   panel and census data sources; targeting was deployed on the Microsoft Network sites.
   Note: Retail sales is measured by linking the comScore panel of 1 million U.S. Internet users to their retailer loyalty card data from dunnhumby,
   which provides a measure of the panelist’s in-store buying activity.
Results
Media “Equivalencies”
 For the Entertainment brand, 5 Internet Only advertising exposures
 had the equivalent impact of 1 TV Only advertising exposure
 The impact of exposure to both TV and Internet was higher than TV
 and Internet alone, even at higher frequency levels for Internet
                                             1 TV and 1 Internet
                                                  Exposure
        1 TV Only         5 Internet Only
        Exposure             Exposures




       Behavior Probability with 3-Day Exposure Window

                                                    #ARFAM6
Conclusions
Method Uncovered Multi-screen Media Effects

 TV and Internet advertising alone in combination,
 showed measureable impact on online behavioral
 response
  – TV and Internet combined had a greater impact on change
    probability of a website visit than TV or Internet alone

 The study found a measureable “recency” effect
 Target consumers had a stronger response than
 non-target consumers
 Media “equivalencies” can be calculated and used
 in media planning


                                                  #ARFAM6
Opportunities for Future Research
Multi-Screen Media Effects
 Frequency of exposure…
 How many exposures on what media in advance
 of the website visit?
 Sequencing of exposure…
 How do the media reinforce each other?
 Response curves…
 Optimizing exposure to generate a response




                                      #ARFAM6
Next Steps
25,000 Multi-Screen Panel
 25,000 opt-in panelists with access to mobile,
 TV, Internet
 Recruitment begins Q3 2011
 Single-source cross-platform measurement




                                        #ARFAM6

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Impact of Online and Television Advertising on Consumer Behavior

  • 1. Impact of Online and Television Advertising on Consumer Behavior Joan FitzGerald Alan Vaughn Vice President Statistical Analyst comScore comScore
  • 2. comScore is a Global Leader in Measuring the Digital World NASDAQ SCOR Clients 1600+ worldwide Employees 900+ Headquarters Reston, VA 170+ countries under measurement; Global Coverage 43 markets reported Local Presence 30+ locations in 21 countries #ARFAM6 V0910
  • 3. Background Reaching Consumers Is More Challenging New media and devices equals: – More opportunity to create brand experiences that consumers enjoy – More opportunity to create compelling programming to build and retain audiences How do we measure the impact across TV, Internet and mobile? – Methodologies in development for use in 25,000 multi-screen consumer research panel #ARFAM6
  • 4. Challenges Measuring the impact of cross-platform media is a significant challenge Econometric modeling is not an optimum solution for media Works best with single, immediate response and clearly-defined time periods – Think promotions, sale pricing, couponing Media responses are multiple, not necessarily immediate, and time periods are not clearly defined – Think awareness, likeability, favorability, intent-to-purchase – Think long-term, short-term, carry-over, “halo” effects
  • 5. Opportunity “Single-Source” Research Presents Opportunity To Uncover Media Effects More granular – Break out and understand groups of consumers who may use media in dramatically different ways Think “OTT,” heavy DVR, mobile video, mobile app users Faster – After each week of campaign, not after 24 months of prior data – Answer questions about what marketers should do now #ARFAM6
  • 6. Methods Comscore Established 3,700+ Person Multi-Screen “Test Panel” Persons-level Internet usage matched to household-level television viewing – Blind, third-party match Data sources – TV ad exposure: ad schedules matched to TV “set top box” viewing data – Internet ad exposure: comScore technology – Consumer response: website visitation via comScore technology January – April 2010 #ARFAM6
  • 7. Research Hypotheses The combined impact of TV and Internet advertising exposure is greater than the impact of TV advertising alone and Internet advertising alone The impact of exposure will be greater for the target consumer group The closer the timing of the exposure to the response, the greater the impact will be (recency) It is possible to determine the “equivalent” number of Internet ads that equal the impact of a 30 second TV advertisement #ARFAM6
  • 8. Analysis 2 Case Studies Major Entertainment/Film and Financial Services brands Neither solely or primarily e-commerce brands; however, online behavior important measure of success Multiple creative executions and websites combined for analysis Financial Services brand contained insufficient sample sizes #ARFAM6
  • 9. Methods Generalized linear model – Estimates probability of site visitation Exposure “windows” – 3-day, 7-day, 14-day – TV advertising only, Internet advertising only, TV and Internet advertising Online behavioral response – website visit: 0 (no site visit) or 1 (site visit) #ARFAM6
  • 10. Methods 3,700+ sample size lower than 25,000 planned for multi-screen panel Demonstration data; not weighted TV advertising exposure is household-based while Internet advertising exposure is persons-based Online advertising and online behavioral response are “co-located,” therefore, one might expect online advertising to show greater response using the methods presented here #ARFAM6
  • 11. Results 1 + 1 = 2.X For the Entertainment brand, the combination of TV and Internet Advertising resulted in a 28% and 66% higher probability of a website visit than exposure to TV advertising alone or Internet advertising alone, respectively – Results seen for both brands, although sample sizes insufficient for reliable results for Financial Services brand 128 Results 100 indexed to TV only 77 advertising exposure Index of Behavior Probability with 3-Day Exposure Window TV Only Internet Only TV and Internet #ARFAM6
  • 12. Results “Recency Effect” For the Entertainment brand, there was higher probability of website visitation the closer the exposure to the behavior, with the greatest “recency” effect shown for the combination of TV and Internet advertising For exposure to both TV and Internet advertising, the probability of website visitation increased by 62% within a 3-day window compared to a 14-day window The probability increased 32% for TV only exposure and 10% for Internet only exposure 0.17 TV Only Internet Only 0.12 TV and Internet 0.07 3-Day 7-Day 14-Day #ARFAM6
  • 13. Results Target Consumers Responded More For the Entertainment brand, there was a higher probability of website visitation for consumers within the brand target group compared to consumers that were not within the brand target group The probability increased by 28% for consumers exposed to both TV and Internet advertising, 31% for consumers exposed to TV only advertising and 38% for consumers exposed to Internet only advertising 128 TV and Internet 100 77 Target Internet Only 55 Not Target 100 TV Only 77 #ARFAM6
  • 14. Similar Targeting Impact Seen for Digital Advertising and CPG Brands Lift In In-Store Sales Media Sales Lift in 3-Months from Digital Advertising from CPG Brands 38% 21% Non-Purchase Based Targeting Purchase Based Targeting *Source: comScore AdEffx Offline Sales Lift Norms for CPG, March 2011 Non-purchased based targeting includes, but is not limited to, the following types of buys: contextual, audience, run of site//run of network, etc. ** Source: comScore Audience Advantage, which leverages sophisticated predictive targeting algorithms that are created using anonymous panel and census data sources; targeting was deployed on the Microsoft Network sites. Note: Retail sales is measured by linking the comScore panel of 1 million U.S. Internet users to their retailer loyalty card data from dunnhumby, which provides a measure of the panelist’s in-store buying activity.
  • 15. Results Media “Equivalencies” For the Entertainment brand, 5 Internet Only advertising exposures had the equivalent impact of 1 TV Only advertising exposure The impact of exposure to both TV and Internet was higher than TV and Internet alone, even at higher frequency levels for Internet 1 TV and 1 Internet Exposure 1 TV Only 5 Internet Only Exposure Exposures Behavior Probability with 3-Day Exposure Window #ARFAM6
  • 16. Conclusions Method Uncovered Multi-screen Media Effects TV and Internet advertising alone in combination, showed measureable impact on online behavioral response – TV and Internet combined had a greater impact on change probability of a website visit than TV or Internet alone The study found a measureable “recency” effect Target consumers had a stronger response than non-target consumers Media “equivalencies” can be calculated and used in media planning #ARFAM6
  • 17. Opportunities for Future Research Multi-Screen Media Effects Frequency of exposure… How many exposures on what media in advance of the website visit? Sequencing of exposure… How do the media reinforce each other? Response curves… Optimizing exposure to generate a response #ARFAM6
  • 18. Next Steps 25,000 Multi-Screen Panel 25,000 opt-in panelists with access to mobile, TV, Internet Recruitment begins Q3 2011 Single-source cross-platform measurement #ARFAM6