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The Transportation Revenue Estimator and Needs Determination System (TRENDS) model funded by the Texas Department of Transportation is designed to provide transportation planners, policy makers and the public with a tool to forecast transportation revenues and expenses based on a user-defined level of investment at both the state and local
level. The user, through interactive windows, can control a number of variables related to assumptions regarding statewide transportation needs, population growth rates, fuel efficiency,
federal reimbursement rates, inflation rates, taxes, fees and other elements. The output is a set of tables and graphs showing a forecast of revenues, expenditures and fund balances for each year of the analysis period based on the
user-defined assumptions. The TRENDS model also includes a local option sub-model for each of Texas’ 25 Metropolitan Planning Organizations. Through the local option model the user can analyze changes in local revenues by creating
or adjusting a local fuel tax, local vehicle miles traveled tax, local vehicle registration fee or the local fuel efficiency rates.