South Africa’s mid-year population is estimated to have increased to 57,73 million in 2018, representing an overall increase of 1,55% between 2017 and 2018. Gauteng continues to record the largest share of the population with approximately 14,7 million people (25,4%) living in the province. The second largest population with 11,4 million people (19,7%) remain s KwaZulu-Natal and Northern Cape remains the province with the smallest share of the South African population at approximately 1,23 million (2,1%). The Mid-year population estimates 2018 report released by Statistics South Africa, further indicate that the female population in the country has remained stable year on year at approximately 51% (approximately 29,5 million). Read more here: http://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1854&PPN=P0302

1. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Mid-year population
estimates 2018
@StatsSA
#Population

2. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Mid-year population estimates
uses the latest available data on
fertility, mortality and migration to
estimate the size of the population
of South Africa.

3. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
57,73
Million
South Africa’s
population,mid-2018 is

4. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
Millions
BIRTHS
NET
MIGRATION DEATHS+1,2M
+0,2M
-0,5M
56,8M
57,7M
SA 2017 SA 2018
BIRTHS ARE THE MAIN DRIVER OF POPULATION GROWTH IN SOUTH AFRICA
Impact of births, deaths and
migration on population, 2018

5. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
1,04
1,65
1,55
0,00
0,40
0,80
1,20
1,60
2,00
2002–2003
2003–2004
2004–2005
2005–2006
2006–2007
2007–2008
2008–2009
2009–2010
2010–2011
2011–2012
2012–2013
2013–2014
2014–2015
2015-2016
2016-2017
2017-2018
GrowthRateTHE RATE OF GROWTH FOR THE SOUTH AFRICAN POPULATION PEAKED IN 2011/12
AND HAS STEADILY DECLINED SINCE THAT POINT
Population Growth rate over
time, 2002-2018

6. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
Age 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79
Millions
Children 0-14 Youth and Adult 15-59
29,5%
Elderly 60+
AROUND 17 MILLION ARE CHILDREN (0-14 YEARS), MAKING UP CLOSE TO A
THIRD OF SA’S TOTAL POPULATION
Population age structure by
single years, 2018
8,5%62,0%
(17,0M) (35,8M) (4,9M)

7. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
57,73 Mil
51% 49%Female Male(29,5M) (28,2M)
THERE ARE MORE FEMALES THAN MALES IN SOUTH AFRICA IN 2018
South Africa’s population, mid-2018
*Percentages have been rounded to the nearest percentage point

8. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0%
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
AT OLDER AGE GROUPS THERE ARE MORE FEMALES THAN MALES
Approximately 8,5% are 60 years and older.
SA Age structure by 5 year
groups, 2018
SA
MALE FEMALE

9. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0%
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
COMPARED TO SOUTH AFRICAN AVERAGE, EC HAS A HIGHER PROPORTION OF
CHILDREN AGED 0-14. Men are in higher proportion up to age 65
EC vs SA Age structure by 5
year groups, 2018
SA
EC
MALE FEMALE

10. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
8,0% 6,0% 4,0% 2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0%
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+
MALE FEMALE
GP vs SA Age structure by 5
year groups, 2018
COMPARED TO THE SOUTH AFRICAN AVERAGE, GP HAS A HIGHER PROPORTION
OF ADULTS AGED 25-39
SA
GP

11. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
1
1
4
3
2
2
3
4
Total by
Population
Groups
COLOURED9% -
BLACK AFRICAN81% -
WHITE8% -
INDIAN/ASIAN3% -
(46,7 million)
(5,1 million)
(4,5 million)
(1,4 million)
*Due to rounding totals may not add up to 100%
THE BLACK AFRICAN POPULATION IS IN THE MAJORITY AND CONSTITUTES
APPROXIMATELY 81% OF THE TOTAL SOUTH AFRICAN POPULATION.

12. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+
Black AfricanWhite
THERE ARE PRONOUNCED DIFFERENCES BETWEEN POPULATION GROUPS IN
SOUTH AFRICA The Black African population structure is more youthfull compared to that of
the White population. Population structures are driven by fertility, mortality and migration.
Age structure by Population
group, 2018

13. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+
ColouredIndian/Asian
THERE ARE PRONOUNCED DIFFERENCES BETWEEN POPULATION GROUPS IN
SOUTH AFRICA. Fertility levels are lower amongst Indian/Asians compared to the Coloured
population. Population structures are driven by fertility, mortality and migration.
Age structure by Population
group, 2018

14. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Provinces

15. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
14,72 M
11,38 M
6,62 M
6,52 M
5,80 M
4,52 M
3,98 M
2,95 M
1,23 M
Gauteng
KwaZulu-Natal
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
Mpumalanga
North West
Free State
Northern Cape
MORE THAN HALF THE POPULATION LIVE IN 3 PROVINCES (GAUTENG, KWAZULU-
NATAL AND WESTERN CAPE). GP remains SA’s most populated province.
Mid-year population estimates for
South Africa by province, 2018

16. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
14,69M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
Millions
11,40 M
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018 1,23 M
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
5,80M
6,62 M
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
6,53M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Millions
2,96 M
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
4,0 M
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
4,52 M
GP KZN
WC
LP
NW
MP
EC
NC
FS
GP HAS SHOWN THE GREATEST INCREASE IN POPULATION NUMBERS, LARGELY
DUE TO MIGRATION BOTH INTER PROVINCIAL AND INTERNATIONAL
Mid-year population estimates for
South Africa by province, 2018

17. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Fertility
(births)

18. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
On average, a
woman will give
birth to 2,4
children in her
lifetime
* Provided that current fertility
behaviour prevails

19. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
2,68
2,40
1,5
1,7
1,9
2,1
2,3
2,5
2,7
2,9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
THE TOTAL FERTILITY RATE PEAKED IN 2008 AT 2,68 AND IS DECLINING, REACHING
2,40 IN 2018
Total Fertility Rate, 2002-2018

20. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
EC LP NW NC MP KZN FS WC GP
2,9 2,9 2,8 2,7
2,6 2,5 2,4
2,2 2,0
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
MORE URBANISED PROVINCES OF WC AND GP HAVE LOWER FERTILITY RATES
THAN THE SOUTH AFRICAN AVERAGE OF 2,40
Total Fertility Rate, by Province
SA Average
Fertility Rate is 2,4

21. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Mortality
(Deaths)

22. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Year of death
672 371
522 157
DEATHS PEAK IN 2006, THEREAFTER DECREASING.
Total number of deaths
estimated over time, 2002-2018

23. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Male
61,1
64,2
Female
67,3
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Life expectancy by sex over
time, 2002-2018
LIFE EXPECTANCY (LE) HAS BEEN INCREASING SINCE 2007 Besides biological
differences, the variance in LE between males and females can also be attributed to a
variety of social and behavioural dynamics.
LE

24. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
53,2
Infant Mortality Rate
37,0
36,4
80,1 Under 5 Mortality Rate
46,1
45,0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Mortalityrate
INFANT AND UNDER-FIVE MORTALITY RATES IN SA CONTINUE TO DECLINE
IMR and U5MR over time,
2002-2018 per 1000 live births

25. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
62
64
65
65
66
66
66
67
55
58
58
59
59
61
60
61
FS
KZN
NW
LP
EC
MP
NC
SA
GP
WC
SA
70
72
64
66
THERE IS AN AVERAGE 6 YEAR GAP IN LIFE EXPECTANCY BETWEEN MALES AND
FEMALES IN SA. Free State has significantly lower life expectancy than the SA average
Life Expectancy by province
Males
Females

26. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
THE TOTAL NUMBER OF PEOPLE LIVING WITH HIV IS ESTIMATED AT 7,52 MILLION
IN 2018. Improved access and uptake of ARVs in SA has enabled HIV positive people to lead healthier
lives and live longer.
Number of people living with
HIV, 2002-2018 (millions)
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0 7,52M
Millions

27. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
17,4%
22,3%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
6,7%
5,5%
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
15,2%
19,0%
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
OVER TIME HIV PREVALENCE AMONGST ADULTS AGE 15-49 IS INCREASING
WHILST DECLINING AMONG YOUTH 15-24. The decline in prevalence among youth is an
indication of declining rate of new infections among young people since 2002
WOMEN (15-49) ADULTS (15-49) YOUTH (15-24)
Prevalence of persons living
with HIV, 2002 - 2018

28. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
Migration

29. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
-362174
564879
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
Net Migration (Excluding Outside SA) shows that GP and WC receive the majority of
interprovincial inflows
Net Migration
2016 - 2021
-400000 -200000
EC
LP
KZN
FS
NC
MP
NW
WC
GP
GP Gains around half a million
interprovincial migrants over a 5
year period

30. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
NET MIGRATION (INCLUDING OUTSIDE SA) SHOWS GP RECEIVING AROUND 50% OF
ALL INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTO SA
Net Migration
2016 - 2021
-323 851
1,05 M
-400000 -200000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000-400000 -200000
EC
LP
KZN
FS
NC
MP
NW
WC
GP
International Migration adds
to net gains of provincial
migration to GP, WC and NW
and MP
International Migration reverses some
losses in population in EC, LP, KZN and FS

31. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
GP
WC
NW
KZN
MP
LP
EC
FS
NC
GP
EC
MP
NW
WC
FS
NC
OUTSIDE
SA
LP
KZN
Net Migration 2016-2021 GP as
a destination region
GAUTENG RECEIVED THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF IN-MIGRANTS FOR THE PERIOD
2016 TO 2021 The economic strength of Gauteng influences its attractiveness to migrants

32. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
GP
EC
LP
KZN
MP
NW
WC
FS
NC
Outside SA
GP
WC
NW
KZN
MP
LP
EC
FS
NC
WESTERN CAPE RECEIVED THE SECOND HIGHEST NUMBER OF IN-MIGRANTS FOR
PERIOD 2016 to 2021. Opportunities of employment, study and quality of life play an important role
amongst the push pull factors between EC and WC
Net Migration 2016-2021 WC as
a destination region

33. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
RECAP
For 2018, Statistics
South Africa (Stats SA)
estimates the mid-year
population at
Estimated overall HIV
prevalence is 13,1%
among the SA population
57,73
Million
Gauteng comprises
the largest share of
the South African
population
14,7
Million
people in GP
Total life expectancy
at birth for 2018 for
SA is estimated at
64,2
SA Life
Expectancy
7,52
Million people
estimated to be
living with HIV

34. Source: Stats SA: Mid-year population estimates 2018
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