Scws 2017 keynote

Gordon Brown was Prime Minister.
George W Bush was US President.
The final Harry Potter book was published.
The iPhone was launched…
What did the world look like in 2007?
…and so was the Femto Forum.
© Small Cell Forum Ltd 2017

In 2017 – things look a little different
Small cells are going from
strength to strength.
18 million small cells deployed
Huge variety of use cases with
real business value.
Now we’re at the heart of the
planning for 5G.

Proliferation of small cell models

• Outdoor small cells to grow at
38% CAGR 2016-2021 driven by
densification on all continents.
• Indoor small cell revenue will
reach $1.8bn in 2021, driven
heavily by LTE in unlicensed
spectrum.
• Urban, rural and enterprise small
cells will grow at CAGR of 36%
2016-2021 to reach 4.8m.
• Many forecasts indicate growth will
accelerate and use cases diversify.
The growth in small cells
Outdoor
small cells
ABI
Global revenues
HIS Markit
Non-res small cells
Rethink
38%
8.4% to
$2.2bn
36% to
4.8m

Small Cell Forum has dual role:
• Drive the continuing adoption of small cells in everyday use, now
• Plot the path to next generation technologies and use cases
Initiatives to facilitate at-scale deployment today:
• Identifying and promoting case studies to share best practice
• High profile campaigns targeted at municipalities, and at key enterprise sectors
• Practical steps to lower deployment barriers e.g. work on standard equipment
classes to reduce regulatory red tape
• Release programs pull together processes, interfaces and knowhow to arm
operators with the tools to densify
Building on these foundations

Technology changes require cultural shifts
Then Now
10 years ago in 2007 10 years on in 2017
Standards
and

Interoperability
No
concept
of
small
cells
in
standards
Full
Standards
Support…
HNB
&
HeNB,
Iuh
for
3G, S1
&
X2,
integrated
Wi-‐Fi
LAA.

OAM
with
BBF
TR196.
FAPI
for
baseband
silicon.
Open

source
for
nFAPI
x-‐haul.
Testing
at
SCF
PlugFests
Market
Attitude NIMBY
Mobile
coverage
seen
as
essential
People
and
business
prepared
to
pay

Business
Models
All
about
voice
and
text

Operators
do
everything

Data
dominates
infrastructure
investment
&
drives

densification.
Third
party
SIs
and
SPs
emerging

Regulation
Macro-‐centric
regulation

a
barrier
to
densification
Strong
political
will
for
connected
society
driving

policy
and
regulation
Deployment
&

Operations
Macro-‐sites
highly
engineered,

expensive
and
slow
to
deploy
Plug
and
play
small
cells
self-‐deployable
small
cells
The
Tech
Industry
Culture

The next generation – migration to 5G
79% of MNOs plan a dense
HetNet by 2020
Of those, 30% have already
planned migration to 5G
Today 5G
4G densification under way
18 million Small Cells High capacity
100% coverage
Ultra reliable
Low latency
Engage vertical
markets
Alternative ownership
and operations models
Scalable repeatable
deployment process
Open and interoperable
standards for the
new interfaces
NFV and SDN

5G requirements
More capacity → denser networks of small cells
More coverage means more cells → small cells more easily deployed
More spectrum at higher frequencies → small cells needed for
shorter ranges
More bandwidth with low power shared spectrum → small cells
needed shorter ranges
Looking ahead to 5G
5G requirements point to even denser networks of smaller cells

Path to the 5G Era
The 5G Era
Served by LTE and 5G
SCF’s Path to 5G
Drive small cell technology
Open and interoperable standards
Engaging enterprise verticals
Establishing new ownership models
Scalable repeatable deployment
Align industry on sequence of investments
+other radios
Architectural changes: Densification, Functional Split, NFV, MEC…
LTE Advanced LTE Advanced Pro
5G New Radio
The path to 5G requires cultural changes as well as new technology

SCF’s cross-functional approach
Business
Principles
Operations
Technology
and 5G
Interoperability
Market
Stimulate mainstream adoption
Articulate value proposition
Publish market research
Verticals outreach & social proofs
Tomorrow’s technology roadmap:
SON, shared spectrum,
virtualization, MEC, FOG,
5G eMBB, IOT, URLLC
Alternative
ownership models
Multi-stakeholder
interactions
New value chains
The people, teams, regulation and backhaul
for a scalable, repeatable deployment process
Testing to improve standards for
a healthy, competitive ecosystem
SCF

Working with partners
SCF
Business
Principles
Operations
Technology
and 5G
Interoperability
Market

SCF has two work streams to address
barriers
Deploying
Hyperdense
HetNets
Enabling
Digitized
Enterprise
The practicalities of densification in public and
outdoor spaces and the underlying technologies
needed for affordable and scalable HetNets
Helping operators and different vertical markets
understand the value of small cell connectivity,
and the new ownership models needed
Small cells for residential, rural, remote, temporary, transportation, etc.
are addressed in other release themes on scf.io

Commercializing
hyperdense HetNets
What does it take to deploy
a hyperdense network
commercially?
2017
NEW
DOCUMENTS
ADDED

Release 9 highlights [SCF180]
Market drivers towards hyperdensity
Operators will invest in common core
technologies, but at different pace.
Dense small cells, virtualization, edge
computing, carrier aggregation – all key
components of 4G evolution and of 5G.
SCF supports common frameworks so
MNOs can migrate at their own pace.
8
79
69
47
16
13
45
5
18
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
5G radio Dense HetNet C-RAN and MEC
%ofMNOs
Before 2020 2020-2023 2024 and later
% of MNOs planning to embark on 5G and on HetNet. Source: Rethink

Release 9 highlights [SCF181]
Establishing new ownership models
• Extending the ecosystem extends the market
• Mobile service is improved for business and consumers
• New deployment service opportunities are established
Business models are moving towards increased sharing of capex, risk and value of small cell deployments

Release 9 highlights
Enabling scalable, repeatable deployment process
1) Industry alignment on IEC
Small Cell Installation Classes
2) Lobby regulators/policy makers to
reduce administration for small cell
classes as essential infrastructure
Defines installation rules according to transmit power
[SCF190] Small Cell Siting
Challenges
[SCF183] Global Best
practice for local councils
[SCF186] Deployment
guidelines for Latin
Americas, with GSMA
[SCF012] Small Cell Installation Classes, with GSMA
Lobbying for harmonised compliance rules and best practice policy

Enterprise and vertical
Enterprise Advisory Council
Enterprise Taskforce established 2016
Hospitality first target sector, followed by
healthcare
• Practical advice tailored to each sector’s
specific needs
• Case studies and best practice
• Business-focused, no jargon
• Bridge between technical experts and
business decision makers

A fully virtualized, agile infrastructure that is capable of supporting multiple radio
technologies, services and customer segments
Businesses, consumers and regulators are aware of a range of small cells
Open and interoperable standards broadly embraced by the vendor community.
A range of connectivity resellers addressing targeted markets
5G active sharing enables multi-operator neutral hosts and spectrum sharing
Zero touch self-configuration organises any deployment to operator
acceptable quality.
A fully virtualized network that can be sliced and diced to offer a range of
services and optimized for different QoS requirements
[SCF200] Our vision for 2027
when the 5G era is established
Download
our 2027
vision
here
[SCF200]
Our 2027 vision looks forward to another ten years of technological changes and associated cultural shifts

SCF Private ePC Plugfest – Taiwan 6-7 June
Atlanta Plenary – AT&T offices 26-27 July
SCWS Asia & SCF Plenary – 25-28 September
SCWS Americas & SCF Plenary – 4-7 December
The next 12 months

Scws 2017 keynote

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