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AddiseAmado,
Ethiopian Graduate School ofTheology (EGST).
SwedishWorld Food Day celebrations and the Celebration
FAO 70 years on the theme of “Social Protection and
Agriculture: Breaking the Cycle of Rural Poverty”.
Surviving Shocks and Enhanced Food Security in
Ethiopia: The Role of Social Protection
State of food insecurity in Ethiopia
In 2011:
 34% of rural population below national food poverty line
 44% of children under age of five were moderately or severely
stunted, reflecting chronic malnutrition
 The average food gap – the period in the year when households
reported being unable to feed themselves – was 3 months
 Estimates of current annual economic costs of under- nutrition at
55.5 billion birr (£1.85bn), or 16.5% of GDP (UNICEF 2013)
 For many, poor rains or adverse price movements threaten their
ability to grow enough to feed themselves and / or earn income to
buy food (Dorosh and Rashid 2012; Rahmato et al 2013).
Household responses to food insecurity
Risk minimization – crop and herd dispersal, non-farm income
diversification, asset and other savings accumulation
Risk absorption – sale of livestock and non-productive assets,
search for new sources of income, collection of debts
Risk taking to survive – reduced consumption, sale of productive
assets, reduced socialization
In response to the 2002 drought, the Government of Ethiopia revised its
Food Security Strategy (FSS)
Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP) :
Cash transfers and Food for Work (FFW) program
Components and stages of transition:
Emergency RELIEF
Rehabilitation
Development
The evolution of social protection in Ethiopia
Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP)
PSNP has three distinctive objectives:
smoothing food consumption in chronically food insecure
smallholder households, by transferring food or cash to buy food during
the ‘hunger gap’ months;
 protecting household assets by avoiding damaging ‘coping
strategies’ such as selling productive assets or taking on high interest‑
loans to buy food;
building community assets by selecting public works activities that
create infrastructure with developmental potential (eg feeder roads).
Biggest funders - PSNP
$m % $m %
Indicative commitments
WB 850 35.5% 600 23.0% -29%
USAID 577 24.1% 550 21.0% -5%
DFID 398 16.6% 412 15.8% 4%
GoE - cash contribution 10 0.4% 285 10.9% 2748%
GoE - operational expenditure 213 8.2%
EU 97 4.0% 130 5.0% 35%
DFATD (Canada) 206 8.6% 115 4.4% -44%
WFP 50 2.1% 100 3.8% 100%
IrishAid 92 3.8% 68 2.6% -26%
RNE (Netherlands) 71 3.0% 68 2.6% -5%
Danida 22 0.9% 25 1.0% 13%
UNICEF - 0.0% 25 1.0%
SIDA
Total commitments 2,395 100% 2,614 100% 9%
Total costs
core programme budget 2,443 3,412 40%
GoE operational budget 213
total costs 3,625
Total financing gap
against total costs 1,011 28%
never estimated
increase /
decrease
2010-2015 2015-2020
Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP)
PSNP Phases
1st
Phase (2005 – 2006), ‘the transition phase’
2nd
Phase (2007 – 2009), ‘the consolidation phase’
3rd
Phase (2010 – 2014/15) ‘the integration phase’
4th
Phase (2015 – 2020) ‘systems building phase’
Outcome of PSNP Phase 3: Highlights
 Coverage: 7.8 m beneficiaries (2009/10) down to 6m (2014/15 plan):
75-80% public works beneficiaries; 15-20% Direct Support. Transfers for six
months p.a.
 Contingency budgets and Federal Risk Financing Mechanisms to provide first
response to seasonal acute need; a bridge to humanitarian
 Form of transfer: in 2013/14, 43% received cash only, 30% food only, and 27% a mix
 Accelerating graduation rates since 2010/11 (unrealistic? politically-driven?)
 Community-based public works planning
 Majority of public works address soil and water conservation; others include rural
roads, school rooms, health posts, small-scale irrigation, etc.
 Some significant achievements, but has not fit together as hoped, and missing (unrealistic)
targets set by Government
Challenges and critique of the PSNP
Heavily dependent on external, donor support
Lack of sensitivity to gender and children
requirements
Coordination and capacity problems – MIS
Political elements:Target imposed graduation
Lack of efficiency and effectiveness
Sustainability of public works controversial
What’s new in PSNP 4, 2015-2020? Lessons:
1 – Shift from a programme to a system-SP,MIS
2 – Expansion-10m/yr;319/411 woreda;
3 – Increase in government financing-57 to 149m
4 – Redesign of the interface with humanitarian food aid
5 – An increase in transfer levels-6 to 12 months;4kg+pulses
6 – A focus on nutrition-focus on children and women
7 – A new approach to livelihoods support- productivity; off-farm income; links to
waged employment
Tack! Thank you!

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Surviving Shocks and Enhanced Food Security in Ethiopia: The Role of Social Protection

  • 1. AddiseAmado, Ethiopian Graduate School ofTheology (EGST). SwedishWorld Food Day celebrations and the Celebration FAO 70 years on the theme of “Social Protection and Agriculture: Breaking the Cycle of Rural Poverty”. Surviving Shocks and Enhanced Food Security in Ethiopia: The Role of Social Protection
  • 2. State of food insecurity in Ethiopia In 2011:  34% of rural population below national food poverty line  44% of children under age of five were moderately or severely stunted, reflecting chronic malnutrition  The average food gap – the period in the year when households reported being unable to feed themselves – was 3 months  Estimates of current annual economic costs of under- nutrition at 55.5 billion birr (£1.85bn), or 16.5% of GDP (UNICEF 2013)  For many, poor rains or adverse price movements threaten their ability to grow enough to feed themselves and / or earn income to buy food (Dorosh and Rashid 2012; Rahmato et al 2013).
  • 3. Household responses to food insecurity Risk minimization – crop and herd dispersal, non-farm income diversification, asset and other savings accumulation Risk absorption – sale of livestock and non-productive assets, search for new sources of income, collection of debts Risk taking to survive – reduced consumption, sale of productive assets, reduced socialization
  • 4. In response to the 2002 drought, the Government of Ethiopia revised its Food Security Strategy (FSS) Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP) : Cash transfers and Food for Work (FFW) program Components and stages of transition: Emergency RELIEF Rehabilitation Development The evolution of social protection in Ethiopia
  • 5. Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP) PSNP has three distinctive objectives: smoothing food consumption in chronically food insecure smallholder households, by transferring food or cash to buy food during the ‘hunger gap’ months;  protecting household assets by avoiding damaging ‘coping strategies’ such as selling productive assets or taking on high interest‑ loans to buy food; building community assets by selecting public works activities that create infrastructure with developmental potential (eg feeder roads).
  • 6. Biggest funders - PSNP $m % $m % Indicative commitments WB 850 35.5% 600 23.0% -29% USAID 577 24.1% 550 21.0% -5% DFID 398 16.6% 412 15.8% 4% GoE - cash contribution 10 0.4% 285 10.9% 2748% GoE - operational expenditure 213 8.2% EU 97 4.0% 130 5.0% 35% DFATD (Canada) 206 8.6% 115 4.4% -44% WFP 50 2.1% 100 3.8% 100% IrishAid 92 3.8% 68 2.6% -26% RNE (Netherlands) 71 3.0% 68 2.6% -5% Danida 22 0.9% 25 1.0% 13% UNICEF - 0.0% 25 1.0% SIDA Total commitments 2,395 100% 2,614 100% 9% Total costs core programme budget 2,443 3,412 40% GoE operational budget 213 total costs 3,625 Total financing gap against total costs 1,011 28% never estimated increase / decrease 2010-2015 2015-2020
  • 7. Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP) PSNP Phases 1st Phase (2005 – 2006), ‘the transition phase’ 2nd Phase (2007 – 2009), ‘the consolidation phase’ 3rd Phase (2010 – 2014/15) ‘the integration phase’ 4th Phase (2015 – 2020) ‘systems building phase’
  • 8. Outcome of PSNP Phase 3: Highlights  Coverage: 7.8 m beneficiaries (2009/10) down to 6m (2014/15 plan): 75-80% public works beneficiaries; 15-20% Direct Support. Transfers for six months p.a.  Contingency budgets and Federal Risk Financing Mechanisms to provide first response to seasonal acute need; a bridge to humanitarian  Form of transfer: in 2013/14, 43% received cash only, 30% food only, and 27% a mix  Accelerating graduation rates since 2010/11 (unrealistic? politically-driven?)  Community-based public works planning  Majority of public works address soil and water conservation; others include rural roads, school rooms, health posts, small-scale irrigation, etc.  Some significant achievements, but has not fit together as hoped, and missing (unrealistic) targets set by Government
  • 9. Challenges and critique of the PSNP Heavily dependent on external, donor support Lack of sensitivity to gender and children requirements Coordination and capacity problems – MIS Political elements:Target imposed graduation Lack of efficiency and effectiveness Sustainability of public works controversial
  • 10. What’s new in PSNP 4, 2015-2020? Lessons: 1 – Shift from a programme to a system-SP,MIS 2 – Expansion-10m/yr;319/411 woreda; 3 – Increase in government financing-57 to 149m 4 – Redesign of the interface with humanitarian food aid 5 – An increase in transfer levels-6 to 12 months;4kg+pulses 6 – A focus on nutrition-focus on children and women 7 – A new approach to livelihoods support- productivity; off-farm income; links to waged employment

Editor's Notes

  1. Who suffers the most from food insecurity?
  2. Despite gains over the last decade, Ethiopia remains one of the poorest countries in the world At a household level, extreme poverty is manifested as high levels of endemic hunger and malnutrition. A large proportion of Ethiopians are routinely unable to secure their food needs. In 2011: 34% of the rural population lived below the national food poverty line 44% of children under the age of five were moderately or severely stunted, reflecting chronic malnutrition Root causes of food insecurity include: complex topography and unpredictable rainfall (now complicated by climate change); Population growth and pressure on land, water and other environmental resources; low levels of access to modern agricultural inputs; and limited market integration and off-farm opportunities 80 per cent of the population rely on rain-fed agriculture characterised by small holdings (of land and/or livestock) and low productivity. For many, poor rains or adverse price movements threaten their ability to grow enough to feed themselves and / or earn income to buy food (Dorosh and Rashid 2012; Rahmato et al 2013).
  3. How DFID Ethiopia manages programmes What does the programme cycle looks like in the country? The role of advisors in relation to programme managers How is a programme designed and contracted Better programme delivery-what will success look like? How can COs and CPG work together for improved programme management?
  4. Highlight outcome of each phase
  5. Expansion – numbers of beneficiaries, number of woredas Increase in Government of Ethiopia financing (absolute, and relative to donors) A re-design of the interface with humanitarian aid Programme generosity – size and duration of transfers Focus on nutrition