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The Art
of the Possible
SDN - Helsinki
@andreasiodmok
@policylabuk
Design ethnography Data visualisation
Customer journey mapping Styles of intervention
Storyboarding Policy canvas
Personas Speculative design
Co-design Evidence safaris
Service blueprints Experience prototyping
A prototype
is a good way to
test what works
(Low fidelity, low cost, ‘best guess’ that is rich in learning)
Not a government proposal
Disclaimer
Provotyping versus RCTs
© LSE 2017
Prototyping RCTs
Logic Abductive Deductive/inductive
What it does Build confidence in direction of travel,
based on insights/guesses from
research
Confirm or disprove hypothesis,
informed by existing
evidence/theory
Complexity Many variables Few variables
Focus Holistic Few, important details
Lens Emphasis on someone’s experience
– what the solution would be like
from their perspective in their world
Emphasis on isolated
variables
Expertise
required
Low expertise to do exploratory
prototyping; works best with many
collaborators with different expertise
High expertise to design the trial
Investment
required
Low investment in time and
resources
Higher investment in time and
resources
The art of the
possible
Policy dynamics
The institutions of polity
The art of politics
The craft of policy
The science of management
The pragmatics of delivery
We are evidence curators
Future of Ageing
Speculative Design in Foresight
Styles of Govt intervention
Providing and commissioning services
Laws
Regulation
Funding, taxes, tariffs and subsidies
Procurement, purchasing and buying powers
Leading, influencing and informing
Stewardship
Large scale
intervention
Low level
intervention
Leader
Regulator
Funder
Provider
Steward
Customer
Legislator
Framing, piloting and
market forming
Acting in mature markets
and policy ecosystemsEarly stage intervention
Scaling, mainstreaming
and market building
Strategy and skills planning
Prepare for changing workforce
demands and consequences of
change.
Fiscal incentives
Direct finance to stimulate new
thinking that can drive future
opportunities.
Governance
Ensure regulation supports the
conditions for change and delivers
the policy intent.
Reformer
Establish legitimacy, harnessing
political will for change.
Educating and informing
Ensure regulation is sufficiently
agile and permissive to enable
innovation.
Grants and subsidies
Incentivise behaviour change
through grants or other incentives
Building regulatory
environment
Ensure regulation enables the
intended policy outcomes.
Service provider
Provide services directly or
indirectly through funding and
target setting.
Agenda setting
Build awareness and confidence in
new opportunities by providing
thought leadership
Innovator
Create test beds, sandboxes and
trials in real world settings.
Encourage voluntary codes
Self-regulation, without
legislating, allowing for greater
flexibility.
Early adopter
Explore, experiment and trial new
opportunities with strategic value.
Collaborating
Providing platforms for citizens to
protect vested rights and
interests.
Platform provision
Scale up proven ideas through
existing infrastructure and public
services.
Compliance
Support enforcement and
harmonise regulatory compliance
environment.
Choice architect
‘Nudging’ behaviour so that the
default is both attractive and easy.
Convening power
Applying government’s convening
power to draw together expertise.
Connecting networks
Fostering a nexus where
government, experts and citizens
can co-create change.
Champion
Build a case for change and
alliances for action.
Co-producing
Co-deliver by steering different
actors from across the system to
deliver outcomes.
Standard setting
Develop standards for data
collection and presentation.
Intelligent customer
Utilise public procurement to
encourage investment and
innovation.
Catalyst
Review, identify and prioritise key
opportunities with strategic value.
Consumer, and supply-chain,
protection
Protection of consumer rights and
upholding of standards.
White papers &
draft bills
Publish proposals for consultation
and pre-legislative scrutiny.
Primary and Secondary Law
Support a bill through parliament
and enact legislation
Green papers
Publish proposals for discussion
with stakeholders and the public.
Amend rules
Statutory Instruments: rules,
orders, created by delegated
authorities (e.g. Secretary of
State).
Styles of government intervention*
* Examples of different formal and informal powers and levers for government policy-makers
Government as a...
Styles of government intervention*
* Examples of different formal and informal powers and levers for government policy-makers
Styles of government intervention*
Andrea Siodmok // The Art of the Possible

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Andrea Siodmok // The Art of the Possible

  • 1. The Art of the Possible SDN - Helsinki @andreasiodmok @policylabuk
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Design ethnography Data visualisation Customer journey mapping Styles of intervention Storyboarding Policy canvas Personas Speculative design Co-design Evidence safaris Service blueprints Experience prototyping
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. A prototype is a good way to test what works (Low fidelity, low cost, ‘best guess’ that is rich in learning)
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Not a government proposal Disclaimer
  • 16. Provotyping versus RCTs © LSE 2017 Prototyping RCTs Logic Abductive Deductive/inductive What it does Build confidence in direction of travel, based on insights/guesses from research Confirm or disprove hypothesis, informed by existing evidence/theory Complexity Many variables Few variables Focus Holistic Few, important details Lens Emphasis on someone’s experience – what the solution would be like from their perspective in their world Emphasis on isolated variables Expertise required Low expertise to do exploratory prototyping; works best with many collaborators with different expertise High expertise to design the trial Investment required Low investment in time and resources Higher investment in time and resources
  • 17. The art of the possible
  • 18.
  • 19. Policy dynamics The institutions of polity The art of politics The craft of policy The science of management The pragmatics of delivery
  • 20. We are evidence curators
  • 21. Future of Ageing Speculative Design in Foresight
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Styles of Govt intervention Providing and commissioning services Laws Regulation Funding, taxes, tariffs and subsidies Procurement, purchasing and buying powers Leading, influencing and informing Stewardship Large scale intervention Low level intervention
  • 28. Leader Regulator Funder Provider Steward Customer Legislator Framing, piloting and market forming Acting in mature markets and policy ecosystemsEarly stage intervention Scaling, mainstreaming and market building Strategy and skills planning Prepare for changing workforce demands and consequences of change. Fiscal incentives Direct finance to stimulate new thinking that can drive future opportunities. Governance Ensure regulation supports the conditions for change and delivers the policy intent. Reformer Establish legitimacy, harnessing political will for change. Educating and informing Ensure regulation is sufficiently agile and permissive to enable innovation. Grants and subsidies Incentivise behaviour change through grants or other incentives Building regulatory environment Ensure regulation enables the intended policy outcomes. Service provider Provide services directly or indirectly through funding and target setting. Agenda setting Build awareness and confidence in new opportunities by providing thought leadership Innovator Create test beds, sandboxes and trials in real world settings. Encourage voluntary codes Self-regulation, without legislating, allowing for greater flexibility. Early adopter Explore, experiment and trial new opportunities with strategic value. Collaborating Providing platforms for citizens to protect vested rights and interests. Platform provision Scale up proven ideas through existing infrastructure and public services. Compliance Support enforcement and harmonise regulatory compliance environment. Choice architect ‘Nudging’ behaviour so that the default is both attractive and easy. Convening power Applying government’s convening power to draw together expertise. Connecting networks Fostering a nexus where government, experts and citizens can co-create change. Champion Build a case for change and alliances for action. Co-producing Co-deliver by steering different actors from across the system to deliver outcomes. Standard setting Develop standards for data collection and presentation. Intelligent customer Utilise public procurement to encourage investment and innovation. Catalyst Review, identify and prioritise key opportunities with strategic value. Consumer, and supply-chain, protection Protection of consumer rights and upholding of standards. White papers & draft bills Publish proposals for consultation and pre-legislative scrutiny. Primary and Secondary Law Support a bill through parliament and enact legislation Green papers Publish proposals for discussion with stakeholders and the public. Amend rules Statutory Instruments: rules, orders, created by delegated authorities (e.g. Secretary of State). Styles of government intervention* * Examples of different formal and informal powers and levers for government policy-makers Government as a...
  • 29. Styles of government intervention* * Examples of different formal and informal powers and levers for government policy-makers
  • 30. Styles of government intervention*