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Ukraine – Russia
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B7fcbOgrLOAGazRHX2Y4MjY1V0k/view?usp=sharing
Global Negotiations II
David Altmayer
Steven Bay
Matt Daniels
Rosa M. Panadero M.
Cindy Posey
Crimea on the center stage of the conflict
Two options
• Russian-directed Eurasian Customs
Union (ECU)
• Yanukovych moved toward an
agreement with the Russian-directed
Eurasian Customs Union (ECU), which
includes Russia, Belarus, and
Kazakhstan at present.
• EU membership on
the horizon
• President
Yanukovych's decided
to back away from
establishing a free
trade and further
political cooperation
between Ukraine and
the EU,
Ukraine:
The Gas to
Heat Europe
Crisis in 2012
Gas to Europe and sanctions to Ukraine
December 2013
Agreement and $ 20 billion for Ukraine
Barricades in the streets
Pro EU barricades in Kiev
Reviving the Soviet Union collapse
Ukraine, September 2014
January 2015
• The detention
of a female
Ukrainian pilot
• Thimoshenko
at the
Ukrainian
parliament
February 2015
The Protagonists and
Their Negotiation Style
Angela Merkel (Germany)
Germany’s Negotiating
Style
• Prepare negotiations very well
• Planned timelines and rules of communication:
listening, no interruptions
• Respect the agenda
• Authenticity is important: “No, I can´t” is true.
• Compromise in negotiations
• Conflicts are handled openly and directly
• Arguments and facts on the table, no emotions
• Separate personal issues
German Techniques
• Negotiation = achieving a goal
• Build trust and relationship after the
successful completion of initial agreements.
• Conservative approach: avoid risks
• Reputation of being “over-insured”: Risk is
highly calculated to be as secured as possible,
no unexpected problems later
• Go back to check and double check items
François Hollande (France)
France’s Negotiating Style
• Dominant orientation, distance between the parties
• Suspicious of early familiarity
• Hierarchy is highly valued but tone is cordial
• Unroll the program at the beginning and discuss in a
sequential manner
• Risk averse: do not make a decision until reviewed and
understood all possible consequences.
• Decision by high ranks
• Rely on written communications, in French if possible
France's Techniques
• Trust and relationship facilitate negotiations
• Being oriented and indirect communication
• Reluctance to manage conflict openly because
they’re concerned about the relationship
• Expressive orientation: emotional outburst
may help clear the air, but also used as a
tactic
• Tend to hold on to traditions
Barack Obama (United States)
John Kerry
(United States)
United States’ Negotiating Style
• Straightforward and direct fashion
• Conflicts are discussed openly
• Win win perspective
• Make decisions rather than research
(“Analysis paralysis”)
United States’ Technique
• Risk takers and fast decision makers
• One member making friends with the other side
while other team member negotiates aggressively
• Use humor to create a pleasant environment
• Despite a “No”, there is still room for agreement
• “We can agree to disagree”, to debate in a cordial
manner
Petro Poroshenko (Ukraine)
Ukraine’s Negotiating Style
• Distributive and contingency bargaining
• Competitive and adversarial, but less than Russia
• Focus on the near-term benefit
• Zero-sum game
• Slow down to exert time pressure
• Concessions never come easily
• Attempt to make the other feel guilty
• Grimance
• Introduce distractions
• Do not consider serious commitments
• CORRUPTION AND BRIBERY ARE COMMON and ILLEGAL
Yanukovitch (Ukraine President up to 2014)
Vladimir Putin (Russia)
Russia’s Negotiating Style
• Patient
• Persistent
• Stubborn
• Very difficult to obtain concessions from them
• Make minor concessions while asking for
major returns
• Compromise is seen as a sign of weakness
• Deceptive techniques
Russia’s Deceptive Techniques
• Tell lies
• Send fake non-verbal messages
• Pretending to be disinterested in the whole deal
or in single concessions
• Misrepresent value
• Make false demands and concessions
• Play stupid or attempt to mislead the other
• “Good cop, bad cop”
• Claim “Limited Authority” to state they need
approval but it is not true
Angela Merkel vs. Vladimir Putin
Trust or Distrust?
Germany – Russia - France

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Thunderbird Global MBA - Global Negotiations II- Ukraine & Russia Conflict