1. The Clorox Company Strategic Opportunities
Discussion Materials | December 17, 2014
2. Our Team
Grant Sternberg
Aamani Paturi
Alexander Roesch
Robert Liu
• Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, 2016
• Majors: Finance & Accounting
• Investment Banking Workshop, 2016
• Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, 2016
• Majors: Finance & Accounting
• Investment Banking Workshop, 2016
• Indiana University, Kelley School of Business, 2017
• Majors: Finance & Economic Consulting
• Investment Banking Club, Co-President
• Indiana University, Kelley School of Business and College of Arts & Sciences, 2017
• Majors: Finance, Accounting & Mathematics
• Investment Banking Club, Co-President
2
3. Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
II. Macroeconomic Outlook & Industry Analysis
III. Company Positioning
IV. Strategic Options
V. Financial Analysis
VI. Execution
VII. Appendix
3
4
6
10
14
23
33
36
5. Limited growth because of broad category exposure and elevated risk due to commodity exposure
In recent years, inorganic growth has been stimulated through the purchase of professional medical healthcare companies to
strengthen product offerings and expand industry expertise
Lofty valuation given flat historical sales growth
Cleaning and household, the two largest segments are struggling but forecasted to recover
Lastly, operating challenges in Venezuela and Argentina from currency devaluation, coupled with price controls, have had a
significant impact on several household product manufacturers
Executive Summary
Overview
Current Positioning
Management temperament appears to run counter to a sale – a 15x offer from an undisclosed competitor was recently rejected
A leveraged buy out runs counter to historical debt tolerance levels, the industry is moving away from large public-to-private
transactions, and the required return for a financial sponsor requires too low of a purchase multiple
Low organic growth, especially in comparison to competitors, makes the status quo less than ideal
A divestiture unlocks liquidity for Clorox to return proceeds to shareholders, pivot into emerging markets, and provides capital for
future investment opportunities and growth initiatives
Strategic Alternatives Assessment
We recommend the CLX Board of Directors divest the Kingsford brand for 16.0x EV/EBITDA through a
targeted auction process
Discretionary spending is projected to increase resulting in greater consumer purchasing power moving forwards
Emerging markets are not growing as fast as they have been projected to in past years
Emerging markets outside of the US provide better growth opportunities, organic sales growth is projected to be slightly better in 2014
Cost of debt is cheap and projected to increase in coming years
Growth in the consumer durables industry will be driven by innovation and a focus on core competencies
5
7. Macroeconomic Outlook
10312
10373
10448
10497
10541
10585
10644
10692
10744
10832 10844
10913
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
USDBillion
2011
United States Consumer Spending
2012 2013 2014
Domestic
International
With 2014 coming to a close, economic outlook for the U.S. is
positive overall
The U.S. economy shows strong signs of recovery while
still driving for more growth
Discretionary spending is projected to increase resulting
in greater consumer purchasing power moving forward
Cost of debt is cheap and projected to increase
Low cost of oil will reduce inputs costs and drive profitability
Emerging markets outside of the US provide better growth
opportunities although organic sales growth is projected to be
slightly better in 2014
Economic growth in East Asia is projected to slow modestly to
7.0% by 2016
Rising societal tensions in Middle East and North Africa
Widening income disparities
Expanding middle class in Asia
The International Monetary Fund called global growth
“mediocre” in October in its latest outlook
Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard wrote that “secular
stagnation in advanced economies remains a concern”
Emerging markets are not growing as fast as they have been
projected to in past years
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Percentage(%)
GDP Growth (Annual Percentage)
7
8. Consumer Nondurables Industry Overview
Slow growth in income levels, and tighter purchasing power has continued the
emphasis on value products
Private labels continuing to gain popularity because of their emphasis on value
Unilever NV’s sale of its global Skippy business to Hormel Foods in November 2013 for
about $700 million; P&G focusing on its core brands; Energizer planning to split into
two firms; and Kimberly-Clark planning a spin-off of its healthcare business in 2014
Emphasis on Value Products
Increasing Number of Divestitures
Innovation
Restructuring
General Outlook
Consumer nondurables are generally less sensitive to economic conditions, however the challenge is in battling for a limited share
of consumer spending. Slow growth in the US population and the number of households means that the development of new
products and categories remains important to growth in the industry. Emerging markets outside of the US provide better growth
opportunities although organic sales growth is projected to be slightly better in 2014.
Trends
New products can lift profits: innovation keeps consumers from defecting to less
expensive private label products that do not have the same features and may benefit
from the historical consumer trend of trading up to better products that cost more
Because of high input costs, most of the household and personal care companies began
significant restructuring programs in 2011–2012 to cut costs and slim product lines
Companies that have done this include: Kimberly Clark, P&G, and Colgate
8
9. Industry Analysis By Segment
Cleaning
Household
Lifestyle
International
32%
21%
17%
30%
Industry revenue expected to grow at 1.5% during next five years - driven by a demand
from downstream markets including restaurants as consumer disposable income raises.
Foreign manufacturers in addition to private labels are pressuring domestic demand
Emerging markets and green product development will facilitate future growth.
Consumer demand has plateaued due to stagnant population growth.
Bags and wraps industry projected to continue to grow at 2.6% due to consumer
demand for packaged products
Price increases and stiff competition has caused decline in demand and sales volume for
this product group
Projected increase in consumer disposable income will increase demand in coming
years
Sales increase solidly due to reduced trade promotion spending
Sales and volumes increased grew on account of increased merchandising support
Burt’s Bees: sales and volume showed strong increase due to increased demand and
popularity for cosmoceutical products (cosmetic products infused with health benefits)
80% of The Clorox Company’s sales are from domestic markets
Currency impact was seen across many countries, driven by Venezuela and Argentina
and remains a relevant risk when contemplating future international expansion
opportunities
Increasing international presence remains a core point of emphasis for the future of the
Company’s growth
% of 2014
Sales
CommentaryDivision
9
11. The Clorox Co. is a leading manufacturer and marketer of
consumer and professional products.
Produces primarily premium products in mid-sized
categories but have progressively been expanding into niche
markets
Strong brands and high margins (>17% EBIT margins)
Solid and stable cash flow
Strong relationship with shareholders through payouts
(60+% payout ratio)
Can accelerate profit growth with productivity gains
In recent years, inorganic growth has been stimulated
through the purchase of professional medical healthcare
companies to strengthen product offerings and expand
industry expertise
• Acquired Caltech Industries in 2010, whose core product
was DISPATCH hospital disinfectant spray, for $23M to
enhance ability to create presence in this space
• Aplicare Inc. and Healthlink in 2012, combined purchase
price of $80-90M
• In 2011, Acquired Barrow Riddell & Associates Inc. –
provider of healthcare products as a bolt-on strategy
Company Positioning
Key Brands
OVERVIEW
Business Description
Acquisitions and Growth Sales Profile By Segment (FY 2014)
The majority (80%) of
Clorox’s Brands are
#1 or #2 in their
respective categories
Clorox’s weighted-average
category growth is pulled
downwards, at 4.2%, since most
sales are from Cleaning or
Household Products which are
inherently slower-growth
categories
In recent years, the
Lifestyle segment has
been the strongest
11
12. Equity Performance
$80.00
$82.00
$84.00
$86.00
$88.00
$90.00
$92.00
$94.00
$96.00
$98.00
$100.00
Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14
CLX Closing Share Prices (1 Year)
Rejection of 15x EV/EBITDA acquisition offer
announced
Clorox releases earnings report exceeding
expectations and continues the trend with
growth and rising dividends The Clorox Co. announces exit of
operations from Venezuela
3rd Quarter fiscal earnings call in May 2014 stated its
plan to introduce more value-sized packs and
products with value-added benefits Clorox stock
is currently
trading near
all-time highs
regardless of
flat growth
projections
12
13. Corporate Strategy
2020 Strategy
Introduced in 2014, this strategic growth plan is intended
to direct the Company to the highest value opportunities
through the following measures:
Annual net sales growth of 3-5%
Market share growth
Annual EBIT margin growth
Product innovation
Desire, Decide, and Delight
More targeted message for consumers by reinforcing
value proposition of brand that:
Drive consumer desire
Compel purchase decisions
Delight consumers
3-D Demand-Creation Model
Align With Four Consumer Megatrends
Health and Wellness
Sustainability
Consumer Fragmentation
Affordability and Value
Clorox’s long-term strategic goal is to deliver profitable growth and stockholder value by driving net sales growth and margin
improvement, continuing to slow the growth of selling and administrative expenses by driving out low-value activity, rebuilding
margin in its international businesses, and increasing its total brand-building investment over time.
OVERVIEW
Coordinate Operations With Strategy
Focus on improving core product groups and
competencies
Elimination of extraneous or underperforming divisions
Low sales growth potential
Use proceeds to invest in the Company, make a strategic
acquisition, or buyback shares
Raise capital for better growth or investment
opportunities
Boost shareholder value
13
15. Less attractive overall in comparison to peers
Clorox’s organic growth has lagged behind US peers for six quarters
straight
Discontinuing operations in Venezuela where Clorox has been operating at a
loss but still anticipating flat sales moving forwards
Rejected takeover from a rival with a premium of 20% which places it at 15x
EV/EBITDA – a high price for a company with limited growth
Flat sales growth makes it a less attractive prospect
Many potential strategics are currently streamlining operations
The IRR required by PE firms is not attainable with Clorox unless it is
purchased at a discount of 30% to share price
The smaller growth rate within its divisions decreases the amount of cash
flows necessary to pay down the debt required to LBO the company
Maintain the Status
Quo
Strategic Overview
Sell Clorox to A
Strategic
Take Clorox Private
(Sponsor)
Divest A Segment of
Clorox
Ability to sell at a higher multiple
Raise capital for better growth or investment opportunities
Align product divisions with the strategic goals set by the Company
Focus more resources on their core business or geographies
Growth is the most
important factor in
evaluating these options
as well as the ability to
focus resources on core
operations as is the
industry trend for
competitors
Growth requires
innovation and
capital to for
resources and
investment
opportunities
15
16. Strategic Proposal: Divestiture of Kingsford
The former Vice President of Investor Relations of Clorox said in the company’s earnings
call in August, “We delivered three percentage points of top-line growth from innovation
for the third consecutive fiscal year, consistent with our long-term strategic target.”
Raise capital for future investment
opportunities and growth initiatives
Streamline operations for increased
focus on core competencies
Anticipate trends and align
operations to acquire full possible
value
Coordinate operations with
managerial vision to accomplish
financial and strategic objectives
the development of new products
and categories remains important to
growth in the consumer products
industry
Operational Rationale Strategic RationaleFinancial Rationale
Potential for high multiple because
Kingsford has the highest market
share in the sector
Anticipated increase of margins
due to lower input prices as a
result of the decreasing price of
oil
High expected synergies with
the companies involved in the
targeted auction process
Brand name value
Anticipated Selling Multiple:
16.0x
Anticipated Selling Price: $1.5
Billion
Innovation keeps consumers from
defecting to less expensive private
label products that do not have the
same features and may benefit from
the consumer trend of trading up to
better products that cost more
Increase value to company through
the following measures:
Return proceeds to
shareholders
Buyback shares
Acquire company to continue
expansion of lifestyle segment
which has the highest
projected growth
16
We recommend The Clorox Company divest the Kingsford brand due to the rich multiple to raise capital to pursue additional
growth opportunities and to better align the Company with the four consumer megatrends.
Note: DCF Valuation of
Kingsford on page 32
17. 17
Recommended Acquirers of Kingsford
Energy and manufacturing conglomerate based in Wichita, KA
Manufactures a wide variety of products including: transportation fuels, building and
consumer products, electronic connectors, membrane filtration and more
Although Koch is a private company, it has underwent a recent string of acquisitions
(PetroLogistics, Buckeye Technologies, Molex) and has demonstrated interest in
continuing the trend and turning the company into a privately held version of Berkshire
Hathaway
Koch will be able
to utilize the
acquisition of
Kingsford to
further penetrate
the consumer
space
2013 EBITDA: $9,695.0M
Leverage Ratio: 1.8x Debt/EBITDA
Recent acquisitions of Duracell and and Heinz indicate a strong appetite for consumer
goods brands
Historically has a strong preference for brands with a strong market share in shrinking
overall markets
Berkshire is
looking into
penetrating the
consumer space
further and
would benefit
from Kingsford’s
market
dominance
BDT Capital acquired Weber for $65 million equity and $150 debt for a majority stake in
the company
BDT has also advised on the Alberto Culver sale to Unilever (significant experience in
the consumer products industry)
An attractive staple-on to the Weber acquisition
Weber will reap
the natural
synergies of the
of vertical
integration in the
niche charcoal
market
18. Infeasibility of Maintaining the Status Quo
Church & Dwight
Only company in the laundry detergent business whose shares grew every year over the
last five years
Purchased Avid Health Inc. in 2012 for $650 million to access a new growth platform in a
high growth segment ($15 million in synergies)
Unit volume in domestic consume segment, at 4.2%, grew faster than all of its peers over
the last four quarters
P&G
P&G has divested various brands in the past, and we expect it to continue pruning its brand
portfolio going forward P&G has divested over 26 businesses since its merger with Gillette in
2005, including: its pharmaceutical business to Warner Chilcott for $2.9 billion in 2009, and
its Pringles snack foods business to Kellogg Co. for $2.7 billion in May 2012, which marked
P&G’s exit from the food business
Kimberly-Clark
Announced that it was pursuing a spin-off of its healthcare business
A divestiture would allow the company to improve focus on its other core businesses,
primarily on its personal care, consumer tissue, and professional brands. In May 2014, the
company revealed its decision to form a new healthcare division, Halyard Health, Inc. The
transaction will enable Kimberly-Clark to focus on its core operations and bolster its market
position.
Competitors are all
taking measures to
improve growth
profile and
streamline
operations by
divesting non core
business segments
Energizer Holdings, Inc.
Energizer Holdings, Inc. announced that it would split its divisions into two separate
companies
Household Products can use its leading brands and product portfolio to generate
cash flows
Personal Care business has achieved scale to be able to focus on continuing
innovation, to drive top-line and market share growth, enabling the company to
have greater brand focus in specific markets
18
Church & Dwight
is differentiating
itself by achieving
growth through
acquisitions
19. Divergence of Clorox from the Ideal Strategic Target
Revenue Synergies Cost Synergies
Enhanced Growth Initiatives
Consolidation of overlapping facilities and headcount
reduction
Ability to sell products through distribution channels without
cannibalizing the original product base
Ability to buy key inputs at lower prices due to increased
purchasing power
Ability to Leverage target’s technology, geographic presence,
or know-how to enhance or expand its existing product or
service offering
Seek to acquire a target that sells through the professional or
contractor channel so as to expand its paths to market
Increased size enhances a company’s ability to leverage its fixed
cost base across existing and new products
Better Terms from suppliers due to larger volume orders -
“purchasing synergies”
Value Creation
19
Buyer MotivationThe Clorox Company is experiencing flat
sales growth and has already implemented
effective cost minimizing measures so the
prospect of revenue and cost synergies are
reduced
Diverse product base and sheer size make
The Clorox Company a difficult acquisition
target in terms of integration and purchase
price
20. Strategic Buyers
Consumer Products Company focused on food and healthcare
30% + Market Share in margarine
14 Brands over $1 Billion – Axe, Dove, Lipton, etc.
Divesting itself of food under current management
A Consumer Products company, maintains segments as diverse as food
and outdoor goods.
Focus on four segments: Outdoor Solutions, Branded Consumables,
Consumer solutions, and Adio Footwear
Largest Consumer Products company in the world
26 Brands over $1 Billion – Bounty, Tide, Crest, etc.
Currently divesting itself of 100 of its 180 brands to refocus on revenue
generating lines
Household goods company specializing in cleaners and personal care
26 Brands over $1 Billion – Bounty, Tide, Crest, etc.
Currently divesting itself of 100 of its 180 brands to refocus on revenue
generating lines
20
Share Price: $45.76
LTM Revenue: $8,065
Enterprise Value: $13,193
Share Price: $89.55
LTM Revenue: $82,649
Enterprise Value: $268,439
Share Price: $71.22
LTM Revenue: $3,218
Enterprise Value: $10,360
Share Price: $3,233.75
LTM Revenue: $61,481
Enterprise Value: $127,124
21. Overview of the LBO Market
The Zephyr Group recommends against an LBO of Clorox in the
event of a sell-side transaction taking place since management is
not likely to receive a favorable multiple:
Private equity firms have been shying away from leveraged
buyouts of large public companies in recent years
Purchase price multiples have been rising recently but have
not come close to the 15.0x offer Clorox received earlier this
year
Leveraging Clorox to 7.0x Debt/EBITDA still requires a 50%
equity contribution which is greater than the already inflated
average of 40%
Industry trends reduce LBO feasibility
21
22. Financial Sponsors
They strive to create value by investing in great businesses where their capital, strategic insight, global
relationships and operational support can drive transformation and realize the company’s potential.
The resulting improvements in growth and global competitiveness benefit not only investors, but also
workers, communities and all stakeholders.
Contains strong relationships with potential strategic partners.
Well positioned to invest with families and founders who built businesses and seeking partial liquidity /
transition to new ownership and management to allow for accelerated growth.
Several unique resources: Global presence, footprint, tight sector focus, expertise, strategic advice to
accelerate growth
partnership approach - allow management team to operate business as significant shareholders
The Carlyle Group is a global asset manager with more than $203 billion in assets under management
Operating in 40 offices in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, Sub-
Saharan Africa, Japan, Asia and Australia.
Through an array of products and geographic specific-funds, we work to meet the dynamic needs of the
world’s most sophisticated investors.
Expertise and deep industry knowledge - Invest in sectors we know, and value depth over breadth
Opportunity to utilize expertise across multiple geographical regions. partnering with management to
grow the company.
Currently growing both organically and through acquisitions
Can utilize the seasoned M&A team.
In-house operations will be able to help create a more efficient process in the United States. Good amount
of industry experts that will be able to help management increase effectiveness and restructure their team.
22
27. The Clorox Company - Precedent Transactions Analysis
Enterprise Enterprise Value/
Date Acquirer Target Value LTM Sales LTM EBITDA
Strategic Acquisitions
Aug-14 Walgreens Co Alliance Boots GmgH $14,417 0.7x 13.4x
Jan-14 Saraya Co Goodmaid Chemicals Corp $133
Nov-12 Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA Hygiene Products $1,477 1.1x 8.5x
Feb-12 Marico Foods Ltd Paras Pharmaceuticals LTD $150
Jun-11 Sealed Air Corp Diversey Holdings Inc $4,278 1.4x 11.5x
May-11 Unilever Plc Alberto-Culver LLC $3,761 2.4x 14.7x
Aug-10 Reynolds Group Holdings Ltd Pactiv Corp $5,649 1.6x 7.9x
Mean $4,266 1.4x 11.2x
Median $3,761 1.4x 11.5x
High $14,417 2.4x 14.7x
Low $133 0.7x 7.9x
Financial Sponsors
Nov-14 Berkshire Hathaway Inc Duracell International Inc $3,000 1.5x 7.0x
May-14 IMM Private Equity Inc Bioland Ltd $78 4.0x 15.1x
Apr-13 Invest AG Lenzing Plastics $117 0.8x
Feb-13 Berkshire Hathaway Inc HJ Heinz Co $28,686 2.4x 13.6x
Mean $7,970 2.2x 11.9x
Median $1,559 2.0x 13.6x
High $28,686 4.0x 15.1x
Low $78 0.8x 7.0x
27
28. The Clorox Company - Sum of Parts Analysis
Product Division EBITDA EV/EBITDA Division Valuation
Glad Global $231.0 12.6x $2,907.1
Food Global $198.0 10.0x $1,972.9
Burt's Bees $38.0 12.6x $478.4
Brita Global $97.0 12.5x $1,214.6
Miscellaneous $598.0 13.3x $7,937.4
Enterprise Value $14,510.37
20%
14%
3%
8%
55%
Glad Global
Food Global
Burt's Bees
Brita Global
Miscellaneous
Analysis of significance
Weight of Division Valuation
Based on average EV/EBITDA
segment multiples, the combined
enterprise value of The Clorox
Company is $14,510.37
28
34. Execution Timeline
Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015
Prepare marketing
materials and
confidentiality
agreement for
selected strategic and
financial buyers to
begin targeted
auction process of
Kingsford
Strategic Buyers:
Western Refinery
CVR Energy
Koch Industries
Unilever
P&G
Jarden
Church & Dwight
Financial Sponsors:
The Blackstone
Group
The Gores Group
The Carlyle Group
AEA
Contact prospective
buyers
Negotiate and
execute
confidentiality
agreements with
interested buyers
Distribute
confidential
information
memorandum and
initial bid procedures
Prepare management
presentation
Set up data room
Receive initial bids
and select buyers to
proceed to second
round
Obtain necessary
regulatory approval
Finance and close
deal
Conduct
management
presentations with
second round bidders
Set up visits to
company
headquarters in
Oakland, CA
Provide data room
access to bidders
Distribute final bid
procedures letter and
draft definitive
agreement
Receive final bids
Evaluate final bids
Negotiate deal terms
with preferred buyers
Select winning bidder
Receive board
approval and execute
definitive agreement
34
35. Execution Risks & Mitigation Strategies
35
Low Multiples
Loss of
Confidentiality
Loss of
Revenue
Risk
Kingsford demands a lower than anticipated multiple, limiting unlocked liquidity
Mitigation
Identify strategic buyers with high synergies for targeted sale – allowing Clorox to hold on to
the division if our prices are not met
In the absence of buyers, Clorox keeps Kingsford and can begin seeking innovative growth
initiatives (i.e. green charcoal)
Risk
Post-sale, Kingsford could conceivably be driven higher based on production and input
savings
Mitigation
Lower inputs will benefit Clorox across the board
Incremental growth in Kingsford will be less than growth opportunities in growing sectors
such as personal care
Clorox realizes the gains on a strong brand now and has the opportunity to build another
Risk
During the targeted sale, competitors gain access to proprietary information and strategies
Mitigation
We take the utmost precautions to protect the confidential information of our clients
Our strong network of industry contacts helps us screen candidates
Sale of the Kingsford line compartmentalizes information released and protects the core
intellectual property of Clorox
37. 37
Acquisition Possibilities – Betting on Global Personal Care
Acquisition Target: Shiseido
Asian Consumer Discretionary Trends Global Cosmetics and Cosmeceuticals
Strategic Rationale:
Acquisition of Shiseido would bolt on 3.3% of the world’s
cosmetics market share
Provides CLX with the platform to bring its products into Asia,
starting with Burt’s Bees and with potential expansion of other
products
Shiseido is looking to bring its products into America and CLX
provides the platform for them to do so
Company Overview:
Has been Japan’s largest cosmetics manufacturer since 1956, with
2014 sales of $8.3 billion
Commands the loyalty of Chinese women, providing future cross
selling opportunities
Markets its products worldwide in 89 countries under various
brand names such as Shiseido, White Lucent, BareMinerals, Nars
and Za
Overseas sales accounted for 47.5% of 2014 revenue as a result of
globalization initiatives
Despite being a mature industry, competition remains high among
nimble brands searching for trends
A growing emphasis on sustainability and natural ingredients drives
sourcing
Product innovation remains a key driver of growth within the industry
Price of inputs, including oil expected to fall
Consumer discretionary spending is expected to double from 4,000
per capita to 8,000 by the end of this decade
Within this trend, households purchasing premium branded products
will increase by a 26% CAGR
Middle class Chinese consumers show a clear preference for
international brands
38. The Clorox Company Acquisition of Shiseido
Post – Acquisition World Penetration
38
Current
Prospective