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Born In Bradford
                  Neil Small
         Professor of Health Research

           School of Health Studies
            University of Bradford
              25 Trinity Road,
             Bradford, BD5 OBB
  Tel:   01274 236456 Fax: 01274 236458

     Email: N.A.Small@bradford.ac.uk
 www.bradford.ac.uk/acad/health/research/pcg
.. What a cohort study is and
why we are conducting one

.. Why Bradford is a good
place to do such a study

.. Study objectives

.. What data we will collect
and when

Study Benefits / Study
Challenges
Cohort studies: background
• You are not pre-selecting a group to study
• You can visit the same people over time.
• You can consider the whole context of a life -
  how far is it ethnicity, deprivation,
  genetics or behaviour that shape
  a persons health profile


If you do it in one place you can link
findings with service provision
Existing cohort studies
• There are a wide range internationally
• UK studies include – 1946 cohort (one weeks
  births) – sample of 5362 followed up at intervals
  – now 21 times
• West of Scotland – 3 cohorts recruited in 1987
  when aged 15, 35 and 55 – to be followed for 20
  years
  Millennium cohort – 19000 babies born in 2000
• ALSPAC – Avon (Bristol) 14000 children born in
  1991/2
Why Bradford?
•   Diverse population
•   Stable community
•   One maternity unit
•   Integrated health services
•   Connected IT
•   Enthusiasm
•   Development of research infrastructure
Bradford Population




• Bradford has a population of around half a million
• 22% of population are less than 15 compared to 18% in
  England and Wales
• Has a significant Asian population, mainly living in inner
  city areas
85 plus
80 to 84
75 to 79
70 to 74
65 to 69
60 to 64
55 to 59
50 to 54
45 to 49
40 to 44
35 to 39
30 to 34
25 to 29
20 to 24
15 to 19
10 to 14
 5 to 9
 0 to 4


          10%   8%   6%      4%   2%    0%      2%   4%        6%       8%   10%

                          Male         Female             England & Wales
10
                             9
                             8
                             7
                             6
Rate per 1000 live births




                             5
                             4
                             3
                             2
                             1
                             0
                                 1993-1995 1994-1996 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 1998-2000 1999-2001 2000-2002 2001-2003

                                                          Bradford               England & Wales

                            Infant Mortality Rate, Bradford and England and Wales
14


                            12                                                                           Most deprived

                            10
                                                                                                         2nd most deprived
Rate per 1000 live births




                             8
                                                                                                         3rd most deprived

                             6
                                                                                                         2nd least deprived
                             4
                                                                                                         Least deprived
                             2


                             0
                                 1993-1997 1994-1998 1995-1999 1996-2000 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003


                                 Infant Mortality by Deprivation Quintile within Bradford
                                 1993-97 to 1999-03
Comparative Infant Mortality Rates for Areas with Similar
                            Populations to Bradford

                                                          Infant Mortality Rate
                                                       Blackburn with         Preston CD                            England and
       18     Bradford MCD         Kirklees MCD                                                  Pendle CD
                                                        Darwen UA                                                     Wales

       16


       14


       12


       10
Rate




       8


       6


       4


       2


       0
            1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002
Comparative Infant Mortality Rates for Areas with Similar
                              Levels of Deprivation

                                                                   Infant Mortality Rate
       12       Bradford MCD                                                           Doncaster MCD
                                       Rochdale MCD              Leicester UA                                   Mansfield CD        England and Wales


       10



       8
Rate




       6



       4



       2



       0
            1999-2001   2000-2002   1999-2001   2000-2002   1999-2001   2000-2002   1999-2001   2000-2002   1999-2001   2000-2002   1999-2001   2000-2002
Low birth weight (less than 2500g) rate by ward 1993 -
                         2003
MATERNAL          UTEROPLACENTAL         PLACENTAL         FETAL
              DIET              BLOOD FLOW           TRANSFER         GENOME




                   Nutrient demand exceeds supply
                      FETAL UNDERNUTRITION

         BRAIN SPARING      DOWN REGULATION          EARLY        ALTERED BODY
                            OF GROWTH                MATURATION   COMPOSITION



IMPAIRED DEVELOPMENT:     INSULIN/IGF-1 SECRETION       CORTISOL      MUSCLE 
BLOOD VESSELS, LIVER,    AND SENSITIVITY
KIDNEYS, PANCREAS

                 HYPERLIPIDAEMIA         CENTRAL           INSULIN
                  HYPERTENSION           OBESITY         RESISTANCE




                                Type 2 diabetes and CHD
Childhood disability

Visual impairment
58% Pakistani children vs 29% White British children
Schwarz et al. Eye 2002;16:S30-34

Deafness
4.7 per 1000 Pakistani children vs 1.4 per 1000 others
Parry G. BACDA report 1996

Cerebral Palsy
5.48 per 1000 in Pakistani children vs 3.18 per 1000 in others
Sinha et al Dev Med Child Neurol 1997 39:259-262
District             Number of cases
                     (total 736)
Bradford             50

Birmingham           31

East London & City   25

East Riding          22

Berkshire            19
Bundey and Aslam 1993 Eur J Hum Genet 206-219




          Empirical risk of death or serious disease
        European (n = 2,241) Consanguineous Pakistani (n = 656)

Rate       3.7% (2.92-4.48)            10.2 (7.9-12.5)
Platform and nested studies
• We have started recruiting pregnant mothers in March
  and babies in May

• We will recruit all newborn babies and their parents born
  in BRI or under the care of the BRI over 30 months
  (target numbers – 10000)

A platform study:
  Most data for the study will be routinely collected data –
  health history, demographics, weight, blood samples etc.
  This will be supplemented with some specific questions
  eg more on maternal diet, more on home circumstances.

“Nested” studies – specific research questions that use the
  cohort as the source of their study population.
Research aims
– To explore the association between specific risk
  factors and exposures in pregnancy and infancy with
  infant mortality.
– To describe the differences in foetal growth and birth
  weight between ethnic groups and to investigate the
  causes of low birth weight in babies of South Asian
  origin
– To explore the effect of chemical exposure (air/water/
  diet) during pregnancy on the intrauterine growth
– To determine the incidence, causes and predictive
  factors for congenital abnormalities
Further research
– To investigate the association between dietary
  exposure to chemicals with carcinogenic and
  immunotoxic properties with childhood cancer and
  immune disorders.
– To study infant growth and investigate the effect of
  postnatal growth on childhood obesity and markers of
  cardiovascular disease in childhood.
– To describe social and ethnic differences in health
  status and the effects of ethnic density on health
  status and pregnancy outcomes.
Data collected
•   Demographic/socio-economic
•   Family history
•   Lifestyle factors – smoking/drugs/alcohol/exercise
•   Diet – modified food frequency + targeted
    questions re exposures
•   Well being – GHQ 28
•   Social Capital (on sub set of 2000)
•   Clinical: antenatal and medical histories; drugs;
    BP; weight; U/S scans.
•   Blood: routine; GTT; insulin; DNA extraction
Progress so far
•   Community awareness
•   NHS support
•   IT systems
•   Questionnaire design
•   Biobank
•   Advocacy committee
•   Fundraising
•   Feasibility study
•   Pilot phase
Benefits.
• Full use of routinely
  collected data
• Growth of research activity/ capacity/ skills
  and opportunity in the city
• Focus for collaboration within health and
  with local government and community
  organisations.
Main challenges
• Funding
• Data collection – information systems accessible
  and compatible
• Differential recruitment and drop-out
• Lack of enthusiasm from staff
• Subject burden

• Reconciling long-term gains and short term
  “wins”
Bin b presentation27sept07

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Bin b presentation27sept07

  • 1.
  • 2. Born In Bradford Neil Small Professor of Health Research School of Health Studies University of Bradford 25 Trinity Road, Bradford, BD5 OBB Tel: 01274 236456 Fax: 01274 236458 Email: N.A.Small@bradford.ac.uk www.bradford.ac.uk/acad/health/research/pcg
  • 3. .. What a cohort study is and why we are conducting one .. Why Bradford is a good place to do such a study .. Study objectives .. What data we will collect and when Study Benefits / Study Challenges
  • 4. Cohort studies: background • You are not pre-selecting a group to study • You can visit the same people over time. • You can consider the whole context of a life - how far is it ethnicity, deprivation, genetics or behaviour that shape a persons health profile If you do it in one place you can link findings with service provision
  • 5. Existing cohort studies • There are a wide range internationally • UK studies include – 1946 cohort (one weeks births) – sample of 5362 followed up at intervals – now 21 times • West of Scotland – 3 cohorts recruited in 1987 when aged 15, 35 and 55 – to be followed for 20 years Millennium cohort – 19000 babies born in 2000 • ALSPAC – Avon (Bristol) 14000 children born in 1991/2
  • 6.
  • 7. Why Bradford? • Diverse population • Stable community • One maternity unit • Integrated health services • Connected IT • Enthusiasm • Development of research infrastructure
  • 8. Bradford Population • Bradford has a population of around half a million • 22% of population are less than 15 compared to 18% in England and Wales • Has a significant Asian population, mainly living in inner city areas
  • 9. 85 plus 80 to 84 75 to 79 70 to 74 65 to 69 60 to 64 55 to 59 50 to 54 45 to 49 40 to 44 35 to 39 30 to 34 25 to 29 20 to 24 15 to 19 10 to 14 5 to 9 0 to 4 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Male Female England & Wales
  • 10. 10 9 8 7 6 Rate per 1000 live births 5 4 3 2 1 0 1993-1995 1994-1996 1995-1997 1996-1998 1997-1999 1998-2000 1999-2001 2000-2002 2001-2003 Bradford England & Wales Infant Mortality Rate, Bradford and England and Wales
  • 11. 14 12 Most deprived 10 2nd most deprived Rate per 1000 live births 8 3rd most deprived 6 2nd least deprived 4 Least deprived 2 0 1993-1997 1994-1998 1995-1999 1996-2000 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003 Infant Mortality by Deprivation Quintile within Bradford 1993-97 to 1999-03
  • 12.
  • 13. Comparative Infant Mortality Rates for Areas with Similar Populations to Bradford Infant Mortality Rate Blackburn with Preston CD England and 18 Bradford MCD Kirklees MCD Pendle CD Darwen UA Wales 16 14 12 10 Rate 8 6 4 2 0 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002
  • 14. Comparative Infant Mortality Rates for Areas with Similar Levels of Deprivation Infant Mortality Rate 12 Bradford MCD Doncaster MCD Rochdale MCD Leicester UA Mansfield CD England and Wales 10 8 Rate 6 4 2 0 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002 1999-2001 2000-2002
  • 15. Low birth weight (less than 2500g) rate by ward 1993 - 2003
  • 16. MATERNAL UTEROPLACENTAL PLACENTAL FETAL DIET BLOOD FLOW TRANSFER GENOME Nutrient demand exceeds supply FETAL UNDERNUTRITION BRAIN SPARING DOWN REGULATION EARLY ALTERED BODY OF GROWTH MATURATION COMPOSITION IMPAIRED DEVELOPMENT:  INSULIN/IGF-1 SECRETION  CORTISOL MUSCLE  BLOOD VESSELS, LIVER, AND SENSITIVITY KIDNEYS, PANCREAS HYPERLIPIDAEMIA CENTRAL INSULIN HYPERTENSION OBESITY RESISTANCE Type 2 diabetes and CHD
  • 17. Childhood disability Visual impairment 58% Pakistani children vs 29% White British children Schwarz et al. Eye 2002;16:S30-34 Deafness 4.7 per 1000 Pakistani children vs 1.4 per 1000 others Parry G. BACDA report 1996 Cerebral Palsy 5.48 per 1000 in Pakistani children vs 3.18 per 1000 in others Sinha et al Dev Med Child Neurol 1997 39:259-262
  • 18. District Number of cases (total 736) Bradford 50 Birmingham 31 East London & City 25 East Riding 22 Berkshire 19
  • 19. Bundey and Aslam 1993 Eur J Hum Genet 206-219 Empirical risk of death or serious disease European (n = 2,241) Consanguineous Pakistani (n = 656) Rate 3.7% (2.92-4.48) 10.2 (7.9-12.5)
  • 20. Platform and nested studies • We have started recruiting pregnant mothers in March and babies in May • We will recruit all newborn babies and their parents born in BRI or under the care of the BRI over 30 months (target numbers – 10000) A platform study: Most data for the study will be routinely collected data – health history, demographics, weight, blood samples etc. This will be supplemented with some specific questions eg more on maternal diet, more on home circumstances. “Nested” studies – specific research questions that use the cohort as the source of their study population.
  • 21. Research aims – To explore the association between specific risk factors and exposures in pregnancy and infancy with infant mortality. – To describe the differences in foetal growth and birth weight between ethnic groups and to investigate the causes of low birth weight in babies of South Asian origin – To explore the effect of chemical exposure (air/water/ diet) during pregnancy on the intrauterine growth – To determine the incidence, causes and predictive factors for congenital abnormalities
  • 22. Further research – To investigate the association between dietary exposure to chemicals with carcinogenic and immunotoxic properties with childhood cancer and immune disorders. – To study infant growth and investigate the effect of postnatal growth on childhood obesity and markers of cardiovascular disease in childhood. – To describe social and ethnic differences in health status and the effects of ethnic density on health status and pregnancy outcomes.
  • 23.
  • 24. Data collected • Demographic/socio-economic • Family history • Lifestyle factors – smoking/drugs/alcohol/exercise • Diet – modified food frequency + targeted questions re exposures • Well being – GHQ 28 • Social Capital (on sub set of 2000) • Clinical: antenatal and medical histories; drugs; BP; weight; U/S scans. • Blood: routine; GTT; insulin; DNA extraction
  • 25.
  • 26. Progress so far • Community awareness • NHS support • IT systems • Questionnaire design • Biobank • Advocacy committee • Fundraising • Feasibility study • Pilot phase
  • 27. Benefits. • Full use of routinely collected data • Growth of research activity/ capacity/ skills and opportunity in the city • Focus for collaboration within health and with local government and community organisations.
  • 28. Main challenges • Funding • Data collection – information systems accessible and compatible • Differential recruitment and drop-out • Lack of enthusiasm from staff • Subject burden • Reconciling long-term gains and short term “wins”

Notas do Editor

  1. All are higher than the England & Wales figure. Pendle has a higher infant mortality rate than Bradford (small numbers), Blackburn, Kirklees and Preston have marginally lower infant mortality rates, however the differences are not significant (Overlapping confidence intervals)
  2. Areas defined using extent scores (measure of how many of the countries most deprived areas in district) Areas with high levels of deprivation are likely to have high infant mortality rates Based on the IMD2004 extent score, Rochdale and Mansfield are slightly less deprived than Bradford, Doncaster and Leicester slightly more deprived Some areas with similar levels of deprivation to Bradford have significantly lower infant mortality rates: Mansfield Doncaster Rochdale and Leicester also seem to have slightly lower rates than Bradford but are not statistically significant Overlapping confidence intervals
  3. A babies birth weight is an important indicator of infant health. Bradford has a high rate of LBW compared to rest of country (9.7% v 7.5%) Between 1996 and 2003 12.5% of babies born in most deprived areas compared to 6.2% in least deprived areas. However deaths were spread across all birthweights pre term and full term babies are not a factor in postnatal deaths and infant deathsl. Bradford district babies of all weights are more likely to die in the postnatal and infant period than babies of a similar birth weight in England and Wales and this is not fully explained by LBW