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The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh

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14 de Sep de 2019
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
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The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
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The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
The development of it in economic growth in usa & bangladesh
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  1. CourseCode: FB 402 CourseName: Financial Information System Assignment on: The Development of IT in Economic Growth Submitted To Jewel Kumar Roy Assistant Professor Department of Finance and Banking J.K.K.N.I.U. Submitted By Rafi Afnan ID: 16132604 Departmentof Finance & Banking J.K.K.N.I.U. Date of Submission: 23/6/2019
  2. Fintech: A Revolution in the Financial Systems For decades, banks and insurers have employed the same relatively static, highly profitable business models. But today they find themselves confronted on all sides by innovators seeking to disrupt their businesses. Crowdfunding, peer-to-peer lenders, mobile payments, bitcoin, robo - advisers – there seems to be no end to the diversity, or to the sky-high valuations, of these “fintech” innovators. Yet, some might note that they have heard this tune before. The direct banks and “digi-cash” of the 90s captured the imagination of journalists and investors in a similar fashion, but ultimately had little impact. In fact, the financial services industry has been remarkably impervious to past assaults by innovators, partially due to the importance that scale, trust and regulatory know-how have traditionally played in this space. However, as they say in investing, “past performance is not an indicator of future success” and the same may be true for banks’ and insurers’ record of besting innovators. A new World Economic Forum report takes a look into what the future holds for the industry. It draws on over 100 interviews with industry experts and a series of workshops that put strategy officers from global financial institutions in the same room as high-flying fintech innovators to discuss the issue. Their findings suggest this round of innovation just might make the big names in financial services rethink their business models insome financial ways.
  3. Characteristics of the Innovators in the 21st Century Here are five characteristics of innovators to suggest this time might really be different when it comes to disruptive innovation in financial services of this century: 1. They’re deploying highly focused products and services Past innovators often tried to replicate the whole bank, resulting in business models that either appealed only to the most tech-savvy or price-conscious customers. Today’s innovators are aggressively targeting the intersection between areas of high frustration for customers and high profitability for incumbents, allowing them to “skim the cream” by chipping away at incumbents’ most valuable products. It is hard to think of a better example of this than remittance – banks have traditionally charged very high fees for cross-border money transfers and offered a poor customer experience, with transfers often taking up to three days to arrive at their destination. UK-based company Transferwise is challenging this process using an innovative network of bank accounts and a user-friendly web interface to make international transfers faster, easier and much cheaper. Thanks to this business model, the company now oversees over £500 million of transfers a month and has recently expanded into the US. 2. They are automating and commoditizing high-margin processes Innovators are also using their technical skills to automate manual processes that are currently very resource intensive for established players. This allows them to offer services to whole new groups of customers that were once reserved for the elite. “Robo-advisers” like Wealthfront, FutureAdvisor and Nutmeg have automated a full suite of wealth management services including asset allocation, investment advice and even complicated tax minimization strategies, all offered to customers via an online portal. While customers must forego the in- person attention of a dedicated adviser, they receive many of the services they would offer at a fraction of the cost and without needing to have the $100,000 in investible assets typically required. As a result, a whole new class of younger, less wealthy individuals are receiving advice and support in their efforts to save, and it remains unclear if they will ever have the desire to switch to a traditional wealth adviser, even as their savings grow to the point where they become eligible for one. 3. They are using data strategically Customer data has always been a central decision-making factor for financial institutions – bankers make lending decisions based on your credit score while insurers might look at your driving record or require a health check before issuing a policy. But as people and their devices become more interconnected, new streams of granular, real-time data are emerging, and with them innovators who use that data to support financial decision-making. Friendly Score, for example, conducts in-depth analyses of people’s social networking patterns to provide an additional layer of data for lenders trying to analyze the credit-worthiness of a borrower. Does your small business get lots of customer likes and respond promptly to complaints? If so, you
  4. might be a good risk. Are all of your social connections drinking buddies “checking in” at the same bar? Well that might count against your borrowing prospects. Meanwhile, a new breed of insurance company is identifying ways to generate streams of data that help them make better pricing decisions and encourage their policy-holders to make smart decisions. Oscar, a US-based health insurer provides its clients with a wearable fitness tracker free of charge. This lets Oscar see which policy-holders prefer the couch to the gym and enables them to provide monetary incentives (like premium rebates) to encourage customers to hit the treadmill. As the sophistication of these analytic models and wearable devices improves, we will likely see more and more financial services companies working to nudge their customers towards better behavior and more prudent risk management. 4. They are platform based and capital light Companies like Uber and Airbnb have shown that marketplace companies, which connect buyers and sellers, are able to grow revenues exponentially while keeping costs more or less flat. This strategy has not gone unnoticed by innovators in financial services. Lending Club and Prosper, the two leading US marketplace lenders, saw their total originations of consumer credit in the US grow from $871 million in 2012 to $2.4 billion in 2013. Lending Club alone issued $3.5 billion in loans in 2014. While this is only a fraction of total US consumer debt, which stood at $3.2 trillion in 2013, the growth of these platforms is impressive. Analysts at Foundation Capital predict that marketplace lenders will issue $1 trillion in consumer credit, globally, by 2025. Even more impressive, they have done so without putting any of their own capital at risk. Instead, they have provided a place where borrowers looking to get a better rate can meet with lenders (both individuals and a range of institutions such as hedge funds) who are eager to invest their money. Crowdfunding platforms have achieved something similar, becoming an important source of funding for many seed-stage businesses. These platforms connect individuals looking to make small investments in start-ups with an array of potential investment targets, and allow the “wisdom of the crowd” to decide which companies will and will not be funded. 5. They are collaborating with incumbents This one might seem strange. After all, disruptors are supposed to devour the old economy, not work with it. But this is an oversimplified view. Smart investors have realized that they can employ bifurcated strategies to compete with incumbents in the arenas of their choosing while piggy-backing on their scale and infrastructure where they are unable to compete. For their part, incumbents are realizing that collaborating with new entrants can help them get a new perspective on their industry, better understand their strategic advantages, and even externalize aspects of their research and development. As a result, we’re seeing a growing number of collaborations between innovators and incumbents. ApplePay, the most lauded financial innovation of the past year, doesn’t attempt to disrupt payment networks like Visa and MasterCard, but instead works with them. Meanwhile, regional banks, like Union Bank in California, are forming strategic partnerships with marketplace lenders, providing referrals for customers they are unable to lend to. This helps them meet their customers’ needs while avoiding the risk that they will leave for another full-service financial institution.
  5. Clearly, there is more to this story than simple disruption. How it will play out is still to be seen, although we can safely say that innovators will force incumbents to change, which should ultimately benefit the consumer. But it doesn’t necessarily mean that the brand names we know will be disappearing any time soon – particularly those who learn to play with the new kids on the block. Technology Trends to Watch in 2019 The intelligent digital mesh is going to include interconnected humans, robots, devices, content, and services all driven by digital transformation. Disruptive technology trends are going to propel the future where technology innovation leaders must evolve and change at the same pace of the trends they must embrace. Or, they could be left behind and suffer a slowly mass extinction. Perhaps the obvious technology to watch closely in 2019 before we can move on to anything else will be 5G. 5G is a necessary technology. Without 5G technology, none of the technologies mentioned below would be possible. Autonomous vehicles, drones, the Internet of Things, and supercomputers could not be possible without 5G networks. 5G technology is going to improve processing speeds by more than 10 times in 2019. This is the technology that can make possible, for instance, the much expected remote surgery in rural areas. Artificial Intelligence surgery might sound too futuristic to some. However, robot surgeons powered by AI are bringing new innovations and accuracy to the operating room. 1. Machine Learning will advance Artificial Intelligence (AI) Artificial Intelligence (AI) innovations will continue to bring scientific breakthroughs, in part, thanks to the vast amounts of data that new technologies have been collecting and is now available. In 2019, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence will be embedded in the business platform creating and enabling smart business operations. In the Artificial Intelligence space, China is going to leave the U.S. behind, emerging as a leader in AI developments and applications. Advances in Machine Learning technology and algorithm training will result in new and more advanced AI. Autonomous vehicles and robotics are the two industries that will see the most rapid developments during 2019. In 2019, there is going to be a convergence of Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning in business applications. As AI and learning technologies get to work together in order to reach better results, AI will have greater accuracy at all levels. 2. Quantum Computing (Supercomputing) Quantum Computing, still an emerging technology, is one of the most fascinating things researchers, organizations, and governments have been working on in this century so far. The race toward building the first fully-functional, fully-working quantum computer (also called supercomputer) is on. With its impressive computational power quantum computers will most like be a cloud service in the near future rather than on premise machines. IBM is already offering cloud-based quantum computing services. The first quantum computer is going to have a significant advantage over the others. In 2019, the competence to achieve supercomputer supremacy will intensify. As a consequence, the last mile in the race will remain mostly secretive, for obvious reasons.
  6. 3. Augmented Reality (AR) and Virtual Reality (VR) Advances in Augmented Reality (AR), Virtual Reality (VR), and Mixed Reality (MR), all of which can be summarized in R+, will continue to be at the forefront of attention during 2019 with some fascinating new practical applications for industries. R+, which once was only found in video gaming has been quickly advancing to become a useful tool in industries such as engineering design, manufacturing, healthcare, space exploration, and many others. In 2019, Virtual Reality is going to open up to innovative industrial applications that will change how people work and collaborate across geographies. Augmented Reality has been rising in the Virtual Reality's shadow for the past year. But in 2019, AR is set to grow exponentially. 4. Global Internet of Things (IoT) security breach Hackers never sleep. Everyone in the cybersecurity industry knows that. As long as you connect something to the Internet it immediately becomes vulnerable. In the past years, we have seen how hackers have turned to unsecure Internet of Things (IoT) devices to create an extensive botnet which then they could use to push enough traffic to take down Dyn, the DNS provider. As a way to refresh your memory, here is how the DDoS attack using IoT devices happened in 2016. A quick look at the news tells us that not much has been learned. However, the great number of security breaches occurred during 2018 should serve as an alert of what can happen at a global scale in 2019 if organizations don't take the necessary precautions. Analyst firm Gartner forecasts that 20.4 billion connected things will be in use worldwide by 2020. And with the rise of autonomous things --I will call this the Internet of Autonomous Things (IoAT) there is a good chance that many of these things will show a certain level of weak security. In 2019, it will be paramount for IoT manufacturers and all of their supply chain to dramatically increase the security in all the products that come out to market. It can be a connected refrigerator, a robot, a drone, a vehicle, or a health tracker. Manufacturers must implement a level of security that keeps hackers at bay. Otherwise, there is a good chance we are going to witness a global IoT security breach in 2019. 5. Blockchain technology In 2019, for the delight of organizations, Blockchain is going to bring the first enterprise applications in active use. The most innovative corporations will start using Blockchain as a way to improve collaboration. Blockchain in 2019 comes out cryptocurrency transaction and becomes an integral part of the business platform. Blockchain enables transactional transparency across a variety of business functions. In 2019, Blockchain will be present in many industries at the core of business innovation. U.S. Financial SystemOutlook (2009-Present) One decade after the global financial crisis, the banking industry looks to be on firmer ground. Assets at U.S. banks reached nearly $17 trillion at the end of 2018 and return on equity for the industry is at a post-crisis high. Meanwhile, European banks have struggled with structural deficiencies, overcapacity, and low or negative interest rates. Chinese banks, in contrast, have experienced spectacular growth in recent years. Though these developments are reassuring, there are signs that challenges could lie ahead, particularly from a deceleration of real GDP growth in the U.S. Deloitte economists predict a 25 percent probability of a recession in the U.S. in late 2019 or early 2020. In preparation, banking executives may want to consider making adjustments in several areas—regulatory compliance,
  7. technology, risk management, and customer experience—according to Deloitte’s 2019 Banking and Capital Markets Outlook. Regulation For global banks, divergence in regulatory standards remains a fact. In Europe, the General Data Protection Regulation will continue to reshape privacy and data ownership policies, and Brexit uncertainties continue to weigh on planning considerations. In Asia Pacific, conduct and culture are likely to remain high on the agenda in 2019 as regulators take a closer look at foreign investment as well as recovery and resolution planning. In the U.S., the pace of new regulations has slowed under the current administration, though it’s possible the role of state regulators may grow in prominence. As for the implications of tax reform, banks will likely have to revisit decision criteria—some of which may be decades old— about capital investment policies and intracompany cash flow management. Executives may want to look beyond the direct effects of these policies to examine second- and third-order implications, including the way they might relate to human capital or research and development. The bottom line is 2019 presents an opportunity for banks to align regulatory requirements with their business strategies. Executives may want to take the time to make compliance modernization a priority. Technology Though the benefits of emerging technology have never been greater, the hodgepodge of legacy systems, platforms, software, and tools remains a key challenge for banks. Banks' success in digital transformation will ultimately depend on how strategy, technology, and operations work together across domains. To achieve this “symphonic enterprise,” where different technologies and solutions seamlessly mesh to create maximum value, organizations may want to give precedence to excelling at data management, modernizing core infrastructure, embracing AI, and migrating to the public cloud. A key step along any digital transformation path will be to get a better handle on data to extract the greatest value from technology investments. Banks can accelerate cloud adoption for data management, system modernization, and AI-powered analytics. Concentration risk from migrating systems to a single provider and security concerns are important factors to keep in mind, however. Risk Management As digital transformation and externalization gain ground, banks appear to be entering a new stage of risk management. Though banks have made advances in how they assess and mitigate risk across the enterprise, the current systems may not be equipped to manage emerging areas such as algorithmic risk. Accordingly, banking executives may want to proactively embrace risk management as a first line of defense. As digitization, automation, and externalization also move forward, the ability of banks to understand their ecosystem while assessing and mitigating risks is key to success. To meet this challenge, banks will want to address emerging areas, such as those from AI and algorithms, at the design stage and infuse a strategic mindset throughout the risk management function for early threat identification.
  8. Digital Transformation Digital transformations will not be just internal. Consumers’ experiences in other industries— particularly those with large, developed digital presences—are upping the ante for banks. Indeed, even as consumers show general overall satisfaction with their banks, they do not show the affinity for banks that they show for their favorite brands. While a positive economic outlook and future interest rate hikes are likely to lift margins for U.S. banks, rising competitive pressures— including the broader reach of fintechs—may require a sustained focus on enhancing the customer experience via digital transformation. Using new technologies, retail banks have an opportunity to create fluid, cross-channel experiences that blend elements of both the digital and physical worlds. The $80 Trillion World Economy in One Chart
  9. Impact of Technology on the Performance of Commercial Banks in Bangladesh in the Last 10 Years Among the financial service industry, the banking sector was one of the first to embrace rapid globalization and benefit significantly from IT development. Recently the private banks of Bangladesh are trying to imitate the banking structure of developed countries. There are 30 commercial banks listed in Dhaka Stock Exchange. The research is based on the data that was available in the annual report and websites of those banks. The study of the impact of technology on the performance of commercial banks in Bangladesh will provide us about the positive and negative impact of technology to the earnings of banking sector. Recently automation has become a trend for commercial banks of Bangladesh, at least it have to be automated at head- office level. The study includes ATM number, online branch number, mobile banking and online banking percentage. From the analysis, we can see that Basic Earning Power of commercial banks is declining from 2010. ATM number is growing rapidly than automating branch services. Mobile banking is a recent topic in our country, and it has positive impact on return. In the earlier period, adoption of technology was not essential to sustain in the market. But now-a-days, analysis shows that technologically advanced banks get higher return compare to others. The empirical model for the panel data analysis is fixed effect and random effect model. To determine which model is giving best result for the study, Hausman test has been done. In the panel data analysis, random effect model has given a good result than fixed effect model. Where we can see that, customers are more concerned about ATM number and online banking. Bangladesh’s economic freedom score is 55.6, making its economy the 121st freest in the 2019 Index. Its overall score has increased by 0.5 point, with higher scores on factors including property rights and government integrity countering declines in investment freedom and fiscal health. Bangladesh is ranked 27th among 43 countries in the Asia–Pacific region, and its overall score is below the regional and world averages. Robust economic growth of approximately 6 percent annually for two decades has been driven by a rapid increase in private consumption and fixed investment. Nevertheless, Bangladesh still grapples with poor infrastructure, endemic corruption, insufficient power supplies, and slow implementation of economic reforms. The fragile rule of law continues to undermine economic development. Corruption and weak enforcement of property rights force workers and small businesses into the informal economy. Entrepreneurial activity is also hampered by an uncertain regulatory environment. Fintech May Boost Financial Inclusion: Bangladesh Bank Financial technology, popularly known as fintech, may facilitate financial inclusion in Bangladesh by offering new platforms for savings and borrowings such as agent banking, according to the central bank. Fintech paves the way for payment system development which can contribute to develop a more integrated, efficient and less frictional financial system. The fintech ecosystem of Bangladesh has demonstrated gradual evolution in the last couple of years, mainly based on payment and clearing systems whereas other areas of fintech are yet to be developed.
  10. At present, most fintech activities in the country are led by banks with support from broad-based national payment systems. The systems include Bangladesh Automated Cheque Processing Systems (BACPS), the Bangladesh Electronic Funds Transfer Network (BEFTN), the Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) and the National Payment Switch Bangladesh (NPSB). These platforms allow banks to operate internet and mobile banking and automated teller machine (ATM) services. Agent banking is the latest addition in fintech by which banks are authorized to perform financial intermediation. There also exist some companies that act as payment service provider and payment service operator for e-commerce. In 2017-18, the total amount of transaction through all the systems accounted for 180 percent of GDP, of which the BACPS and the RTGS processed the major share of the payments. The BEFTN, the NPSB and the MFS collectively facilitated 12.7 percent of the total electronic payments. The BB said payment mechanisms may be exposed to cyber security and operational risks. Money supply might be influenced due to increase in velocity of money resulting from high usage of fintech such as ATMs and point of sales (POS) machines. Extensive use of fintech such as credit cards for purchasing foreign goods and services might cause leakage of foreign currency from the country. Apart from the payment system, which might be susceptible to cyber security and other operational risks, the systemic risk from other channels of fintech is still considerably low. However, as sporadic events of domestic frauds and forgery may undermine the public confidence on financial system, it is imperative for financial and payment service providers to take prompt remedial measures against the incidences as well as to avoid their recurrence. Private companies are at the center point of view. As 2019 in Bangladesh-  There has been significant increase of new startup and founders joining the space which was not seen in the past. It is not limited to first time entrepreneur only, but people with professional work experience taking risk to join the startup life. A recent study by Light Castle Partners (LCP) identified top 3 sectors where startups are currently working now: e-commerce, tech and impact businesses.  Have played one of the major stakeholder as they built the Infrastructure investment in 3G that practically jump started the internet enabled businesses in Bangladesh. Local private device suppliers played the second biggest role in bringing the smart phone prices down locally manufacturing them. Last year 3 major telcos either started an accelerator program or sponsored one to promote digital business in Bangladesh such as Grameenphone Accelerator which provided access to deal flow.  We have few local angel investors who provides seed funding, however their numbers are very limited with a deal size below US$50,000. However there are larger financial institutions that have invested across various range. Few of the venture capital and private equity companies who are currently working in Bangladesh are: Fenox Ventures, IPE capital, BD Venture Limited, Aviskar, DEFTA Partners, Innotech Corporation, Bangladesh Venture Capital, Razor Capital, 500 startups, Segnel Ventures, IMJ Ventures, Mind Initiative, Brummer & Partners, Princestreet, Osiris Group VIPB, IFC etc. A recent study by Light Castle Partners (LCP) identified preferred sectors by investors are MFS (83%), Health Tech (67%) and C2C Commerce (50%). Few of the local startup that recently got fund are listed below to our best knowledge- , GObd, PayWell, Priyo.com,
  11. Solaric, SureCash, Styleline, Direct Fresh, AjkerDeal, Eshosikhi, Pathao, Bagdoom, Sheba, BPCL, Brian Station, Studio 71, Smart Compare, Light Castle Partners, Magnito Digital, Doctorola.  The startup ecosystem originally started in 2013 with main advocates being Startup Dhaka also known as SD Asia, Team Engine, Hub Dhaka, EMK Center, Better Stories, Preneur Lab etc. Most these companies are involved in mentoring, coaching and accelerator program which help startup develop their business to next stage. Thank You
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