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Asia pacific country economic status

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Asia pacific country economic status
2015

Publicada em: Economia e finanças
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Asia pacific country economic status

  1. 1. Asia Pacific Overview General Information 1
  2. 2. ECONOMY OVERVIEW 2 Real GDP Growth (%) Source: IMF Country 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 China 9.6 9.2 10.4 9.3 7.7 7.7 7.4 6.8 6.5 5.9 5.7 5.2 Japan -1.1 -5.5 4.7 -0.4 1.7 1.6 -0.1 1.0 1.7 1.2 1.7 1.5 India 4.1 8.3 10.3 4.1 5.1 6.9 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.8 7.8 8.5 Indonesia 7.4 4.7 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.2 Philippines 4.2 1.1 7.6 3.7 6.7 7.1 6.1 5.9 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.3 Singapore 1.8 -0.6 15.2 6.2 3.4 4.4 2.9 2.5 2.8 3.5 3.9 4.2 South Korea 2.8 0.7 6.5 3.7 2.3 2.9 3.3 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 Taiwan, China 0.7 -1.6 10.6 3.8 2.1 2.2 3.8 1.3 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 Thailand 1.7 -0.7 7.5 0.8 7.3 2.8 0.9 2.6 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.5 Vietnam 5.7 5.4 6.4 6.2 5.2 5.4 6.0 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.2 Malaysia 4.8 -1.5 7.4 5.3 5.5 4.7 6.0 5.2 6.6 5.8 5.8 5.2 Australia 2.7 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.6 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 New Zealand -0.8 0.5 2.0 1.3 2.9 2.5 3.3 2.5 2.4 2.8 2.6 2.7 5.90% 5.66% 5.83% 5.59% 5.42% 5.41% 5.36% 5.50% 5.69% 5.71% 5.00% 6.00% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Asia Real GDP Growth (%) Source: Economist
  3. 3. DEMOGRAPHIC • With the exception of India and the Philippines, the labour force in Asia will expand at a slower rate in the next decade, as compared to the previous decade. This will act as a constraint on faster economic growth. 3 Annual Labour Force Growth Rate (%) 0.0 50.0 100.0 2014 2019Urban population (% of total) Country Aged 0-20 Aged 20-60 Aged 60+ China Japan Australia India Indonesia New Zealand Philippines Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Vietnam Pakistan Sri Lanka Malaysia Age Distribution (2019 vs 2014) -2.9 5.6 6.5 8.7 -0.5 0.8 0 11.5 0.2 17.6 0.7 0 15.9 5.4 Source: Economist
  4. 4. WEALTH INDICATOR < Household > 4 0.0 25,000.0 50,000.0 Australia Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam $10,000 >Number of households earning >$3,000 pa ('000) 2014 2019 China India 0.0 150,000.0 300,000.0 0.0 15,000.0 30,000.0 Australia Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam $35,000 >Number of households earning >$10,000 pa ('000) 2014 2019 China India 0.0 150,000.0 300,000.0 0.0 20,000.0 40,000.0 Australia Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Pakistan Philippines Singapore South Korea Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam China India Number of households earning >$35,000 pa ('000) 2014 2019 Source: Economist
  5. 5. FOOD & BEVERAGE MAERKET SIZE • Low PH (Yoghurt & Sour Milk Products) will be fast growing in the next few years • Neutral Dairy (Flavored Milk, Non- Dairy Milk) was quite popular in Asia and Pacific with an average volume growth of 8.8% in the last five years, however, will slow down its step in the next 5 years. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2014 2019 F&B Total Market Volume (‘000 tonnes) 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 2010-2014 2015-2019 % Change F&B Total Market Volume Growth (CAGR%) 5 Source: Euromonitor
  6. 6. NEUTRAL DAIRY 6 -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 2010-2014 2015-2019 Neutral Dairy Total Market Volume Growth (CAGR%) • India, China, Indonesia and Vietnam offer significant growth opportunities in the next five years, with an established volume consumption and strong average value growth. • South Korea is the only market in the region that is predicted to suffer from a volume decline. Category Definition: Flavored Milk, Non-Dairy Milk 0.00 200.00 400.00 600.00 800.00 1,000.00 1,200.00 1,400.00 Australia India Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Philippines Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Vietnam 2014 2019 Neutral Dairy Total Market Volume (‘000 tonnes) China 0.00 5,000.00 10,000.00 15,000.00 20,000.00 25,000.00 30,000.00 Source: Euromonitor
  7. 7. 7 LOW PH • China is the biggest market in terms of sales volume. • Strong volume growth is expected to be achieved by a number of Asia-Pacific markets such as China and India. -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 2010-2014 2015-2019 Low PH Total Market Volume Growth (CAGR%) 0.00 400.00 800.00 1,200.00 1,600.00 2,000.00 2014 2019 Low PH Total Market Volume (‘000 tonnes) China 0.00 2,000.00 4,000.00 6,000.00 8,000.00 10,000.00 12,000.00 Source: Euromonitor
  8. 8. ICE CREAM 8 • China is the standout market in the region over the next five years, with an established volume consumption. • India & SEA market will be in the high speed growth in the next five years. • The mature market of Australia is predicted to maintain a steady growth during the same period. • South Korea is the only market in Asia that is predicted to record value declines over the next five years. -4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0% 16.0% 2010-2014 2015-2019 Ice Cream Total Market Volume Growth (CAGR%) 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 600.0 700.0 Australia India Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Philippines Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Vietnam 2014 2019 Ice Cream Total Market Volume (‘000 tonnes) China 2,100.00 2,150.00 2,200.00 2,250.00 2,300.00 2,350.00 2,400.00 2,450.00 2,500.00 2,550.00 Source: Euromonitor
  9. 9. CONFECTIONERY 9 • India is the standout market in the region with a predicted average volume growth of 9.7% over the next five years. However, the Chinese market also offer strong growth potential with an established per capita consumption. 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 2010-2014 2015-2019 Confectionery Total Market Volume Growth (CAGR%) 0.0 50.0 100.0 150.0 200.0 250.0 300.0 350.0 400.0 450.0 Australia India Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Philippines Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand Vietnam 2014 2019 Confectionery Total Market Volume (‘000 tonnes) China 1,150.00 1,200.00 1,250.00 1,300.00 1,350.00 1,400.00 1,450.00 1,500.00 1,550.00 Source: Euromonitor
  10. 10. TOOTHPASTE MAERKET SIZE 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Volume Value 10 • The volume & value gains were mainly led by India and Vietnam, where the growth rate is over 50%. The growth rate in China and Malaysia is around 30% which is also fast growing market. • New products contributing to growth in value, which lead the market to be a high-end direction Value US$ mnVolume '000 litres 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Volume Growth YoY % Value Growth YoY % Source: Euromonitor
  11. 11. 11 Source: The Economist PWC Report Kantar World Panel Consultant Bain & Company National Data IMF

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