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Year-end Report 2016

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Year-end Report 2016

  1. 1. Fourth quarter 2016 10 February 2017
  2. 2. 2 Overview – results PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016 SEKm Q4 2016 Q4 2015 2) FY 2016 FY 2015 2) Net sales 10,355 10,434 -2% 38,478 39,351 -3% EBITDAI 558 278 1,737 2,436 Adjusted EBIT 1 242 501 500 927 EBIT -1,012 -284 -1,083 564 Net income for the period -1,375 -337 -1,583 278 Cash flow from operating activities 1,424 900 1,321 1,585 Net debt 354 -171 354 -171 1 Adjusted for items affecting comparability. For more information, please refer to the Year-end report for 2016. 2 Change excluding acquisitions/divestments and currency
  3. 3. Fourth quarter 2016 3PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016  Market trends: − Growing digitization, mail volumes continuing to decline − Continued growth in e-commerce − Tough competition in the logistics market − Weak economy in Norway  Decision to introduce a new financially sustainable production model in Denmark  PostNord Strålfors has divested its non-Nordic operations  New Swedish Postal Services Act announced for May
  4. 4. Trends in the market 4  Mail volumes fell by a total of 10% compared to Q4 2015 • -23% in Denmark • -7% in Sweden  Parcel volumes rose by a total of 11% compared to Q4 2015 • E-commerce-related B2C parcels increased approx. 18% MAIL, MILLIONS OF UNITS PARCELS, MILLIONS OF UNITS PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 Sweden,priority mail Sweden,non-priority mail Denmark, priority mail Denmark, non-priority and C-mail 0 10 20 30 40 50 4Q'14 1Q'15 2Q'15 3Q'15 4Q'15 1Q'16 2Q'16 3Q'16 4Q'16 PARCELS, MILLIONS OF UNITS
  5. 5. PostNord, Group NEW PRODUCTION MODEL TO BE INTRODUCED IN DENMARK. CLOSER GROUP-WIDE FOCUS ON THE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE DELIVERING RESULTS. 5 NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016  Net sales SEK 10,355m (10,434) − Net sales decreased by 2%, excluding currency effects, acquisitions and disposals − Growing digitization, decreasing mail volumes, growth in e- commerce-related services and continued tough competition in the logistics market  Adjusted EBIT SEK 242m (501), EBIT SEK -1,012 m (-284) − Items affecting comparability, net, SEK -1,255m (-785). Items for 2016 consist primarily of impairment losses in the Danish organization − Continued cost adjustments to meet the decline in mail volumes − A new financially sustainable production model is being introduced in Denmark
  6. 6. PostNord Sweden 6 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016  Net sales increased by 2% – Mail volumes decreased by a total of 7% – Increased sales for eCommerce & Logistics, mainly through continued growth in e-commerce, where “Black Friday” and “Cyber Monday” set record-highs in volumes.  Adjusted EBIT SEK 510m (260), EBIT SEK m 502 (182) – Increased income, while costs continue to be adjusted to lower mail volumes
  7. 7. PostNord Denmark 7 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN  Net sales fell by 11% excluding currency effects and acquisitions – Mail volumes fell by 23% – Higher volumes of B2C parcels – Positive growth for heavy logistics  Adjusted EBIT SEK -144 m (27), EBIT SEK -1,397 m (-390) – Lower mail income not offset through cost adjustments – A new financially sustainable production model will be introduced PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  8. 8. PostNord Norway 8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 500 1,000 1,500 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN  Net sales decreased by 8% excluding currency effects and acquisitions – Weak demand as a result of slack growth in the Norwegian economy, price pressure and terminations of unprofitable customer agreements in thermo  Adjusted EBIT SEK -6 m (0)  EBIT SEK 11m (-9) – Declining income has been met via cost adjustments PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  9. 9. PostNord Finland 9 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 100 200 300 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN  Net sales rose by 9% percent, and by 5% excluding currency effects and acquisitions – Increase in parcel volumes  EBIT SEK -1 m (-5) – Costs related to the acquisition of Uudenmaan Pikakuljetus Oy (UPK) PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  10. 10. PostNord Strålfors 10 -18 -16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 200 400 600 800 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Net sales, SEKm EBIT margin (%) NET SALES AND EBIT MARGIN  Net sales fell by 12%, and rose by 5% excluding exchange rates, acquisitions and divestments – Increased sales under new customer agreements in Finland and Norway and from digital communication services  Adjusted EBIT SEK 29m (29), EBIT SEK 26m (-93) – Income affected by items related to sale of non-Nordic operations – Improvement in adjusted operating income explained by increased sales and cost-cutting programs implemented PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016 * Adjusted EBIT margin *
  11. 11. SEKm 10,790 11 Trend of costs *Excluding restructuring costs GROUP’S OPERATING COSTS, SEKmTREND OF GROUP’S COSTS PostNord AB (publ), fourth quarter 2016 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Restructuring costs Other expenses, depreciation and impairments* Transportation expenses Personnel expenses* *Including cost inflation -2% +6% +2%1% SEKm 11,430
  12. 12. 12 Trend of cash flow CASH FLOW, FOURTH QUARTER 2016, SEKm PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016 -13  Cash flow from operating activities SEK 1.424 m (SEK 900 m)  Cash flows from investing activities SEK -356m (SEK -435m) − Cash and cash equivalents of SEK 350m were invested in commercial paper − Investments consist mainly of investments in infrastructure for the integrated production model and vehicles  Cash flow for the period SEK 950m (SEK 455m) 1,543 -119 -356 -118 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 FFO Change in working capital Investments Financing
  13. 13. 13 Net debt SEKm Dec 31, 2016 Sep 30, 2016 June 30, 2016 Interest-bearing debt 3,745 3,863 3,854 Pensions and disability pension plans -1,201 158 -620 Long- and short-term investments -613 -613 -560 Cash and cash equivalents -1,577 -625 -1,654 Net debt 354 2,783 1,020 Net debt/EBITDAI, times 0,2 1,9 0.3 Net debt ratio, % 5 39 7 Financial preparedness 4,927 3,975 3,955  Net debt decreased by SEK 2 429m to SEK 354 m – Affected by revaluation of pension obligations and positive cash flow  Financial preparedness amounting to SEK 4.927 m, of which cash and cash equivalents total SEK 1.577 m PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  14. 14. 14 Credit profile Credit Total amount SEK bn Amount utilized SEK bn Revolving credit facility, maturing in 2019 2.0 0.0 Bridging facility maturing in 2018 1.0 Commercial paper 3.0 0.0 Credit institutions 1.5 0.6 MTN bonds 6.0 2.95 Total utilized, December 31, 2016 3.6 Credit lines with short maturity 2.0 MATURITY STRUCTURE, DECEMBER 31, 2016, SEKmOVERVIEW OF LINES OF CREDIT, DECEMBER 31, 2016 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020- Overdraft credit Credit institutions MTN bonds An undrawn revolving credit facility (RCF) of SEK 2.0bn is in place, maturing in 2019. An undrawn bridging facility (RCF) of SEK 1.0bn is in place, maturing in 2018. PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  15. 15. Area Key ratio Outcome Dec. 31, 2016 Target Profitability Return on capital employed (ROCE) -+12.1% 10.5% Capital structure Net debt ratio +5% 10-50% Dividend policy Dividend 2017: Proposed: No dividend 2016: No dividend 40-60% of net income for the year (guide value 50%) Financial targets 15  The targets are long-term and are to be assessed over a period of 3-5 years.  The financial targets were adopted at the 2014 AGM PostNord AB (publ), Q4 2016
  16. 16. 16 Disclaimer This document does not contain an offer of securities in the United States or any other jurisdiction; securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or exemption from the registration requirements under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Any offer of securities will be made, if at all, by means of a prospectus or offering memorandum issued by PostNord. Forward-looking statements Statements made in this document relating to future status or circumstances, including future performance and other trend projections are forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements due to many factors, many of which are outside the control of PostNord. Forward-looking statements herein apply only as at the date of this document. PostNord will not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements to reflect future events, new information or otherwise except as required by law. postnord.com Gunilla Berg, CFO, +46 10 436 28 10 Per Mossberg, Chief Communications Officer, +46 10 436 39 15 ir@postnord.com

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