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Financial Forecasting CHAPTER 3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pro Forma Statements ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Percent of Sales ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Suburban National Bank ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Increase in Loan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Build a Pro Forma ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-1 Financial Statements for R&E Supplies, Inc., December 31, 2005-2008 ($ thousands)
TABLE 3-1 (Continued)
Questions re Next 3 Slides ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-2 Selected Historical Financial Ratios for R&E Supplies, Inc., 2005-2008, and Forecasts
TABLE 3-3 Pro Forma Financial Statements for R&E Supplies, Inc., December 31, 2009 ($ thousands)
Estimating the External Funding Required ,[object Object],[object Object]
Items ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Additional Items ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-3 (Continued)
Banker’s Reaction? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Interest Expense ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Seasonality ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pro Forma Statements & Financial Planning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Max Loan = $1 Million? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Check the Impact ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-4 Revised Pro Forma Financial Statements for R&E Supplies, Inc., December 31, 2009 ($ thousands)
Earnings ,[object Object]
TABLE 3-4 (Continued)
External Funding ,[object Object]
Why Are Lenders So Conservative? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prophetic Comments: A Few Bad Apples? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Computer-Based Forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-5 Forecasting with a Computer Spreadsheet: Pro Forma Financial Forecast for R&E Supplies, Inc. December 31, 2009
TABLE 3-5 (Continued)
TABLE 3-5 (Continued)
Sensitivity Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scenario Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simulation Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
FIGURE 3-1 Simulating R&E Supplies’ Need for External Funding: Frequency Chart
FIGURE 3-1 (Continued) Distribution Gallery for Sales Growth Source: Crystal Ball, Decisioneering, Inc.
Cash Flow Forecasts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-6 Cash Flow Forecast for R&E Supplies, Inc.  2009 ($ thousands)
Cash Budgets ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TABLE 3-7 Cash Budget for Jill Clair Fashions, 3 rd  Quarter, 2009 ($ thousands)
TABLE 3.7 (Continued)
Bottom Line ,[object Object]
TABLE 3-7 (Concluded)
Planning in Large Companies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Chap003