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How will the Internet of Things
look by 2025?
Lee Rainie
Director, Internet, Science, and Technology Research
March 30, 2016
ABA: Science and Technology Law
Pew Research Center – Imagining the Internet
Center (Elon University)
November 25–January 13, 2014
2,551 respondents
19% research scientist
10% authors, editors, journalists
9% entrepreneurs, biz leader
8% tech developers
8% activists
7% futurists, consultants
2% legislators, lawyers
2% pioneers
Digital Life in 2025
The Internet will become ‘like electricity’ — less
visible, yet more deeply embedded in people’s
lives for good and ill
The rollout
BODIES (CYBORGS)
ME TRACKERS & DIAGNOSERS
INSTANT INTELLIGENCE ON
OTHERS & STUFF
REMOTE
CONTROLLERS
REMINDERS AND
ARCHIVING
EXTRA BRAIN LOBE & PAIR OF
HANDS
Implantable
s
HOMESHOMES
SMART SYSTEMS
FINDABLE ITEMS
WARNING
SERVICES
ANTICIPATORY &
MEDIA DELIVERY
SURFACES
COMMUNITIES
COMMUNITIES
MORE EFFICIENT &
CHEAPER SERVICES
TRANSPORTATION
& PARKING
POLLUTION
CROWDSOURCED
INTELLIGENCE
ENVIRONMENT
CLIMATE &
POLLUTION
MONITOR EARTH
SYSTEMS
TRACK WILDLIFE &
HABITAT
INFRASTRUCTURE
WARNING SYSTEMS &
WEAR AND TEAR
Bright sides
Theme 1) Information sharing over the Internet will
be effortlessly interwoven into daily life making
us smarter, safer, more efficient. ‘Computication’
involving ‘smart agents’ will be commonplace.
Theme 2) Artificial intelligence, augmented reality,
wearable devices, and big data will make people
more aware of their world and their own behavior
– which will especially aid in health care.
Theme 3) Social and business encounters will be shaped
by virtual reality and telepresence. Interfaces with data
and objects will change and become easier. Speech and
gesture interaction will matter more
Theme 4) The environment and structures themselves will
become ‘intelligent’ and expand our knowledge about
them – plus, enable their own ‘maintenance’ and ‘repairs’
Dark sides
Theme 1) Privacy will be more at risk and
something perhaps only the
privileged will enjoy.
Theme 2) The nature of work will change in
unprecedented ways as robots and artificial
intelligence assume greater roles in job
functions
Theme 3) Dangerous divides between haves
and have-nots may expand, resulting in
resentment and possible violence.
Theme 4) Abuses and abusers will ‘evolve and
scale.’ Human nature isn’t changing. Those pursuing
crime, laziness, bullying, stalking, stupidity,
pornography, and dirty tricks have new capacity to
make life miserable for others.
Theme 5) Humans and their organizations
may not respond quickly enough to
challenges presented by complex networks.
Fear
not

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How will the Internet of Things look by 2025?

  • 1. How will the Internet of Things look by 2025? Lee Rainie Director, Internet, Science, and Technology Research March 30, 2016 ABA: Science and Technology Law
  • 2.
  • 3. Pew Research Center – Imagining the Internet Center (Elon University) November 25–January 13, 2014 2,551 respondents 19% research scientist 10% authors, editors, journalists 9% entrepreneurs, biz leader 8% tech developers 8% activists 7% futurists, consultants 2% legislators, lawyers 2% pioneers
  • 4. Digital Life in 2025 The Internet will become ‘like electricity’ — less visible, yet more deeply embedded in people’s lives for good and ill
  • 6. BODIES (CYBORGS) ME TRACKERS & DIAGNOSERS INSTANT INTELLIGENCE ON OTHERS & STUFF REMOTE CONTROLLERS REMINDERS AND ARCHIVING EXTRA BRAIN LOBE & PAIR OF HANDS Implantable s
  • 8. COMMUNITIES COMMUNITIES MORE EFFICIENT & CHEAPER SERVICES TRANSPORTATION & PARKING POLLUTION CROWDSOURCED INTELLIGENCE
  • 9. ENVIRONMENT CLIMATE & POLLUTION MONITOR EARTH SYSTEMS TRACK WILDLIFE & HABITAT INFRASTRUCTURE WARNING SYSTEMS & WEAR AND TEAR
  • 11. Theme 1) Information sharing over the Internet will be effortlessly interwoven into daily life making us smarter, safer, more efficient. ‘Computication’ involving ‘smart agents’ will be commonplace.
  • 12. Theme 2) Artificial intelligence, augmented reality, wearable devices, and big data will make people more aware of their world and their own behavior – which will especially aid in health care.
  • 13. Theme 3) Social and business encounters will be shaped by virtual reality and telepresence. Interfaces with data and objects will change and become easier. Speech and gesture interaction will matter more
  • 14. Theme 4) The environment and structures themselves will become ‘intelligent’ and expand our knowledge about them – plus, enable their own ‘maintenance’ and ‘repairs’
  • 16. Theme 1) Privacy will be more at risk and something perhaps only the privileged will enjoy.
  • 17. Theme 2) The nature of work will change in unprecedented ways as robots and artificial intelligence assume greater roles in job functions
  • 18. Theme 3) Dangerous divides between haves and have-nots may expand, resulting in resentment and possible violence.
  • 19. Theme 4) Abuses and abusers will ‘evolve and scale.’ Human nature isn’t changing. Those pursuing crime, laziness, bullying, stalking, stupidity, pornography, and dirty tricks have new capacity to make life miserable for others.
  • 20. Theme 5) Humans and their organizations may not respond quickly enough to challenges presented by complex networks.

Editor's Notes

  1. http://vis4.net/blog/posts/mapping-internet-and-population/