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Society 5.0 Redefined

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In 2015/16 a number of bodies/nations set about defining societies they would aspire to in the near future. Each vision document similarly described some idealistic, egalitarian, super-smart, human centred, state providing a near uniformity of living conditions, and opportunity. At the same time, each society would be free of adversity, with economic development guided by ecological and human need. Of course, economic growth was defined to continue in line with the past. Very nice, but a product of old linear thinking and modelling!

It is now approaching 2022 and in the past 5/7 years our base silicon technology has advanced to enjoy a >30 fold increase in computing power. Our top end mobile devices would now challenge a super computer of 1996/7 era, whist AI systems now pervade our homes, offices, vehicles, professions and all our on-line services. At the same time, information overload has started to rival some medical conditions!

All of this has also been compounded by two years of COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions that have seen the normalisation of social isolation, limited travel, working and eduction from home, virtualised medicine and care, support services, shopping and meetings. In turn, this has resulted in empty offices, towns and cities. Concurently, climate change, global warming, pollution, finite resources, a stressed planetary system, and social unrest have suddenly become urgent issues. Against this backdrop it really seems to be time to revisit those Society 5.0 Visions and the limited linear thinking that contrived them!

In this presentation we examine many of the core parameters and assumptions to highlight existing, or soon to be realised, solutions and remedies. In doing so, a different picture of Society 5.0 emerges.

In 2015/16 a number of bodies/nations set about defining societies they would aspire to in the near future. Each vision document similarly described some idealistic, egalitarian, super-smart, human centred, state providing a near uniformity of living conditions, and opportunity. At the same time, each society would be free of adversity, with economic development guided by ecological and human need. Of course, economic growth was defined to continue in line with the past. Very nice, but a product of old linear thinking and modelling!

It is now approaching 2022 and in the past 5/7 years our base silicon technology has advanced to enjoy a >30 fold increase in computing power. Our top end mobile devices would now challenge a super computer of 1996/7 era, whist AI systems now pervade our homes, offices, vehicles, professions and all our on-line services. At the same time, information overload has started to rival some medical conditions!

All of this has also been compounded by two years of COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions that have seen the normalisation of social isolation, limited travel, working and eduction from home, virtualised medicine and care, support services, shopping and meetings. In turn, this has resulted in empty offices, towns and cities. Concurently, climate change, global warming, pollution, finite resources, a stressed planetary system, and social unrest have suddenly become urgent issues. Against this backdrop it really seems to be time to revisit those Society 5.0 Visions and the limited linear thinking that contrived them!

In this presentation we examine many of the core parameters and assumptions to highlight existing, or soon to be realised, solutions and remedies. In doing so, a different picture of Society 5.0 emerges.

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Society 5.0 Redefined

  1. 1. Society 5.0 Redefined Prof Peter Cochrane OBE, DSc www.petercochrane.com 1
  2. 2. A 2016 Vision OVERTAKEN A Human/Cyber Physical-Centred Society balancing economic advancement with wellbeing UKgov Cabinet O ffi ce 21016 Vision 2
  3. 3. A 2016 Vision OVERTAKEN A Human/Cyber Physical-Centred Society balancing economic advancement with wellbeing UKgov Cabinet O ffi ce 21016 Vision A reasonable 2016 definition / aspiration that ignores the rate of TECH driven change!? 2
  4. 4. 2016 Visions OVERTAKEN A Human/Cyber Physical-Centred Society balancing economic advancement with wellbeing Japan: To create a new social contract/economic model by embracing the tech innovations of Industry 4.0. Embedding these innovations into every corner of a society to satisfy the new United Nations global goals to create a “super-smart” society, and one that will serve as a road map for the rest of the world. Idealistic: Technology and data will be used to balance economic development with the solution of social challenges; people will be liberated from all restrictions that the information society proved unable to remove; and we will witness the formation of a human-centred society in which everyone is able to shine and fl ourish. 3
  5. 5. 2016 Visions OVERTAKEN A Human/Cyber Physical-Centred Society balancing economic advancement with wellbeing Japan: To create a new social contract/economic model by embracing the tech innovations of Industry 4.0. Embedding these innovations into every corner of a society to satisfy the new United Nations global goals to create a “super-smart” society, and one that will serve as a road map for the rest of the world. Idealistic: Technology and data will be used to balance economic development with the solution of social challenges; people will be liberated from all restrictions that the information society proved unable to remove; and we will witness the formation of a human-centred society in which everyone is able to shine and fl ourish. TYPICALly POLITICAL FORMULATIONs HIGH ON AMBITION AND PROMISE BUT VERY LOW IN THE HOW!? 3
  6. 6. an ‘incomplete’ egalitarian dream 2 0 1 6 DRAFT 4
  7. 7. 2021: Technology HAS changed THE SCENE ”A collaboration and augmentation - centered society balancing ecological, social, and economic transformation, to realise sustainable futures through human-machine partnerships“ A pertinent Society 5.0 now we know what we didn’t know in 2016! Human-Machine Augmentation & Collaboration 5
  8. 8. Formulation Society 5.0 Today Outdated Tomorrow Outmoded OUTPACED Technology advances at an exponential rate Notice that this is a logari thmic scale 1997 Super Computer in every pocket! 6
  9. 9. 2021: Perspective There are more now far more machines than people Machines manufacture more products than humans Machines are now the dominant communicators Machines are the prime data/information repositories Machines are becoming increasingly intelligent… …and edging toward sentience! A pertinent Society 5.0 ought to embrace what we know about machines and AI 7
  10. 10. 2021: REALITY CHECK A pertinent Society 5.0 now we know what we didn’t know in 2016! THE RIGHT Metaphor Society 5.0 Augmented & Collaborative nurturing the co-existence and wellbeing of humans and machines A 2021 ++ Metaphor 8
  11. 11. Mechanisation Steam Power Cyber Physical Nano-Bio Tech Mass Production Assembly Line Automation Computer Water Power REVOLUTION HYPOTHESIS INDUSTRY 5.0 Smart Materials Programmed Form & Function Evolving Sentient Living? Micro-Electronics invoked/enabled more societal change than any other mechanism 9
  12. 12. Mechanisation Steam Power Cyber Physical Nano-Bio Tech Mass Production Assembly Line Automation Computer Water Power REVOLUTION HYPOTHESIS INDUSTRY 5.0 Smart Materials Programmed Form & Function Evolving Sentient Living? Accelerating Human Progress Micro-Electronics invoked/enabled more societal change than any other mechanism 9
  13. 13. Mechanisation Steam Power Cyber Physical Nano-Bio Tech Mass Production Assembly Line Automation Computer Water Power REVOLUTION HYPOTHESIS INDUSTRY 5.0 Smart Materials Programmed Form & Function Evolving Sentient Living? Accelerating Human Progress Sentient/Evolutionary Intelligent/Adaptable Micro-Electronic Mechatronic Electro-Mechanical Mechanical Micro-Electronics invoked/enabled more societal change than any other mechanism 9
  14. 14. Mechanisation Steam Power Cyber Physical Nano-Bio Tech Mass Production Assembly Line Automation Computer Water Power REVOLUTION HYPOTHESIS INDUSTRY 5.0 Smart Materials Programmed Form & Function Evolving Sentient Living? Accelerating Human Progress Sentient/Evolutionary Intelligent/Adaptable Micro-Electronic Mechatronic Electro-Mechanical Mechanical Micro-Electronics invoked/enabled more societal change than any other mechanism An Electronic, IT, AI Robotics, Automation
 9
  15. 15. DEPENDENCY H Y P O T H E S I S “If all electronics were removed then the vast majority of humanity would die” No Food No Water No Heat No Light No Power No Police No Farming No Industry No Logistics NO Healthcare No Government No Waste Disposal No ++++ “Our dependence on our technology is now ‘total’… . and micro-electronics is at the core” 10
  16. 16. F A S T E S T HYPOTHESIS “COVID-19 has invoked more global societal change in the shortest time compared to anything we have experienced before” 11
  17. 17. O v e r p o p u l at i o n ? C L I M A T E C H A N G E ! GLOBAL POLLUTION ! “We have damaged the planet, and perhaps, she is now fi ghting back” “We have Industry 4.0 and 5.0 as the cornerstones of Society 5.0. and 6.0, and a short time to correct our past actions and errors” “Society 5.0. and 6.0 have to work” ! 12
  18. 18. N E W T H I N K I N G & NEW MODELS Human consumption/demands are at a rate that is about 50% more that the planet can provide On The Sustainability Agenda: Energy Logistics Reuse Recovery Recycling Repurposing Raw Materials Manufacturing Food Production +++ “We have to stop producing more and more for the few and start providing su ffi cient for the many” “New Economic Models have to re fl ect/quantify the ecological and social impact of all decisions” 13
  19. 19. s e g u e : V E R Y s i m p l e m i n d e d A B I L I T I E S Climate State Good Stable Bad Unstable Average Temperature State 1 State 2 14
  20. 20. s e g u e : V E R Y s i m p l e m i n d e d A B I L I T I E S Climate State Good Stable Bad Unstable Average Temperature State 1 State 2 Tundra Methane Release Amazon Destruction Ocean Temp Rise CO2 Forest Fires Ice Melt CO2 Pollution ++++ 14
  21. 21. s e g u e : V E R Y s i m p l e m i n d e d A B I L I T I E S Climate State Good Stable Bad Unstable Average Temperature State 1 State 2 Tundra Methane Release Amazon Destruction Ocean Temp Rise CO2 Forest Fires Ice Melt CO2 Pollution ++++ 14
  22. 22. R E A L I T Y C H E C K In only 2 Covid-19 weeks/years and entire societies changed on a global scale The Global Economy has su ff ered glitches and some damage, but it has survived, it has kept going, and so have all our institutions & societies! So; fast change on a global scale is not only feasible - it is demonstrably possible! 15
  23. 23. W O R K I N G F R O M HOME A NEW NORM Despite all the naysayers it turned out that many people are far more productive working at home 16
  24. 24. W O R K I N G New methods and new styles… A lot of formality, ritual, travelling, wasted time and expense has now been dispensed with.. ..a net result is more work completed by fewer people! 17
  25. 25. EDUCATION A T H O M E Every child and teacher need good broadband access, their own PC/Laptop/Tablet… The UK had a national scheme for donations of ££ and old/ unused devices + online tutors and volunteers 18
  26. 26. REALISATION WORK is what you do NOT Somewhere you go! 19
  27. 27. D I F M t o D I Y H E A LT H C A R E From Do It For Me to DIY; Of fl ine to Online Low cost monitoring devices, wearables, test packs in the mail, video conference consultations, and self medication +++ 20
  28. 28. MONEY HAS ALL B U T VA N I S H E D Was considered a biological hazard - now seen as inconvenient and an impractical encumbrance 21
  29. 29. Likely to resign and change employer if forced to return to o ffi ce PAR TIA L IR REVERS IBILITY OF NORMALISED changes 29% 26% 45% Undecided /Neutral Unlikely to move jobs USA employers are seeing resignations as they try to revert A recent survey of employees revealed a sea change in attitude to work and lifestyle in the USA 22
  30. 30. A P R O B L E M COMP OUNDED Across the developed world there are worker shortages spanning the employment spectrum whilst immigration quotas remain very low! 1.5M Current Vacancies 10M 23
  31. 31. TRaining and EDUCATION HAVE T O M U TAT E t o A C O N T I N U U M The old ‘sage on a stage, chalk… …and talk model is too slow and unresponsive 24
  32. 32. I N S T A N T A R E X P E R I E N C E & E D U C AT I O N 25
  33. 33. I N S T A N T A R K N O W L E D G E / T R A I N I N G 26
  34. 34. E X P O N E N T I A L E D U C A T I O N 27
  35. 35. B I G D O W N S I D E R E L E N T L E S S DATA OVERLOAD As a species we have limited stamina and abilities - we need ever more help. We a re f u n d a m e n t a l l y incapable of understanding or coping with non-linear systems, and blind to the hidden patterns buried in vast assemblies of data! 28
  36. 36. Collaboration NOT COMPETITION Frequent high volume tasks Logical analysis/deduction Combinatorial complexity Exponential education Relentless stamina Vast networking High precision Novel problems and solutions Constrained working Adaptable dexterity Abstract thinking Limited stamina Beyond logic Inaccurate Intuitive AI to the rescue in analysis, precise and in some cases, judgement calls 29
  37. 37. I B M W AT S O N 
 AI Barrister AI to the rescue in analysis, precise and in some cases, judgement calls 30
  38. 38. R o b o t s C R E A T E J O B L E S S H U M A N S Not a chance! Machines always increase the number of jobs and people in employ 31
  39. 39. P R O F E S S I O N S R E A L I T Y C H E C K We only have time few a small sample 32
  40. 40. E F F E C T I v e N E S S BOOST - RADIOLOGISTS 33
  41. 41. M O R E E X T R E M E E X E M P L A R S O F o u r L I M I T A T I O N S 34
  42. 42. Our future has to be based on n e w m a t e r i a l s , s c i e n c e s , technologies, engineering, p r o c e s s e s , a u t o m a t i o n , robotics, organisational and operating/management modes, intelligences and thinking… all centred on Nano/Bio Tech, AI and robotics BIO-TECH nano-TECH Lower energy Lower waste Less friction New materials New industries New processes New capabilities AI AL Robotics I 4 . 0 B ac k D r o p TO SOCIETY 5.0 AI IoT 35
  43. 43. X E N O B OT S 36
  44. 44. R o b ot s At w o r k C o n t r o l l e d I n s i d e t h e b o d y 37
  45. 45. Wheel Futures Passive-Active Assembled ?? Printed ?? 39
  46. 46. - Materials inventory & suppliers - Production process detail - Vehicle compatibilities - Full logistics record - Storage histories - Handling details - History of use - Temperature - Humidity - Stress - Failures - Repairs - Disposal - Recycle - Reuse - +++ - Dynamic element of a vehicle - Performance optimisation - Parameter adjustment - Pressure adaptation - Suspension trim - +++ D U M B t o S M A R T 40
  47. 47. D U M B t o S M A R T Wired and wireless vehicle IoT D o z e n s o f s e n s o r s , r e c o r d e r s , c o n t r o l u n i t s , a g g r e g a t e d b y o n - b o a rd a n a l y s i s w i t h I o T / I n t e r n e t c o n n e c t v i a m u l t i p l e c h a n n e l s WiFi,3, 4, 5G Direct to Service Centre Communication Direct Car-to-Car Avoiding 3, 4, 5G Congestion 41
  48. 48. S O C I O L O G Y O F T H I N G S 42
  49. 49. S O C I O L O G Y O F T H I N G S 42
  50. 50. R o b o t s P r o d u c e almost everything C Y B O R G S o c i e t y 43
  51. 51. Corporate Product S e l f Made Career Of fi ce 9 till 5 Anywhere Anytime Mode Process Bound Innovation Adaptation Solution Focus PC Laptop AI Tablet Nets Mobile Tech Tools Long Term Fixed S h o r t Te r m Flexible Horizon B E W A R E O F M I N D S E T S O l d & N E W 44
  52. 52. a ‘more complete’ egalitarian dream AI IoT Robots Cyborgs Machines Networks ? ? ? 2 0 2 1 REVision 46
  53. 53. FUTUREs BELONG TO THE MOST AGILE A N D A D A P TA B L E 47
  54. 54. s e g u e I N : s i m p l e m i n d e d Climate State Good Stable Bad Unstable Average Temperature State 1 State 2 Tundra Methane Release Amazon Destruction Ocean Temp Rise CO2 Forest Fires Ice Melt CO2 Pollution ++++ Thank You www.petercochrane.com 48

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