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CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey

  1. Sajid Amit, Associate Professor & Director, CES Lumbini Barua, Research Associate, CES Oliur Rahman Tarek, Research Associate, CES May 05, 2020 CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey
  2. Biggest Concerns of Bangladeshi consumers amid COVID-19 % of respondents Bangladeshi Consumers are most concerned about personal and family safety 2 Q: What Concerns you most about the COVID-19 situation? Possible Responses: Extremely Concerned/Very Concerned/ Minimally Concerned/Somewhat Concerned/Not a Concern Very Concerned/ Extremely Concerned CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 59% 62% 76% 77% 84% 85% 88% 90% 94% 96% Impact on upcoming travel plans Negative impact on my business Contributing to the spread of the virus Negative impact on job or income The Bangladeshi economy Health of my relatives who are vulnerable Not knowing how long it will last Overall public health Taking care of my family Safety of myself or my family
  3. Confidence on economic condition of Bangladesh after COVID-19 % of respondents Majority (85%) unsure or pessimistic about the country’s economic condition after COVID-19 3 Q: How is your overall confidence level on economic condition after the COVID-19 situation? Possible Responses: Unsure/Optimistic/Pessimistic Unsure Pessimistic Optimistic CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 15% 30% 55% Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 6 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show lengthy recession Unsure: The economy will be impacted for 6-12 months or longer and will show slow growth thereafter
  4. Overall sentiment of Bangladeshi consumers % of respondents Majority (at least 84%) cutting back on spending and (at least 67%) experiencing drop in income 4 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Possible Responses: Strongly Agree/Agree/Unsure/Disagree/Strongly Disagree Strongly Agree Agree Unsure Disagree Strongly Disagree CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 26% 36% 25% 29% 41% 42% 47% 33% 32% 35% 35% 26% 33% 37% 25% 15% 22% 15% 15% 16% 10% 12% 12% 14% 14% 11% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 7% 7% 4% 2% My family/friends’ health has been negatively affected by coronavirus My job feels less secure because of coronavirus My ability to make ends meet has been negatively impacted by coronavirus My ability to work has been reduced by coronavirus My income has been negatively impacted by coronavirus Uncertainty about the economy is preventing me from making investments I am cutting back on my day-to-day spending
  5. Expected spending per category for the upcoming Eid % of respondents Eid spending will nose-dive sharply, with restaurants and hotels expected to be hardest hit 5 Q: How will the COVID-19 situation affect you or your family’s spending on Eid on the following items? Possible Responses: Increase a lot/Increase slightly/About the same/Stay the same/Reduce a lot/Reduce slightly Decrease Stay the same Increase CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 95% 92% 91% 89% 79% 4% 7% 6% 9% 14% 2% 2% 2% 2% 7% Eating out at restaurants and hotels during Eid holidays New clothes for Eid Travel to other countries during Eid holidays Buying consumer durables (e.g., TV, fridge, A/C) and furniture for Eid Grocery shopping for Eid (e.g., rice, fish, chicken, beef, vegetables, desserts, etc.)
  6. Expected spending per category over the next 3 months compared to usual % of respondents 6 Q: In the next 3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? * Net Intent calculated by subtracting % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending Increase Stay the same Decrease Not relevant for me 19% 29% 12% 6% 9% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 6% 9% 42% 55% 22% 16% 12% 7% 11% 13% 6% 13% 22% 35% 37% 13% 63% 53% 71% 84% 80% 79% 79% 78% 55% 52% 2% 3% 3% 25% 8% 6% 6% 5% 13% 6% 16% 4% Groceries Pharmaceutical Products Snacks Tobacco products Food takeout & delivery Restaurant Footwear Apparel Jewelry Accessories Non-food child products Personal-care products -47 Net Intent* -18 +16 -51 -62 -80 -77 -76 -77 -74 -49 -43 Beyond Eid, customer spending expected to increase only for Pharmaceuticals and Online Learning, decrease for all else; and decrease the least for groceries CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020
  7. CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 7 Q: In the next 3 months, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? * Net Intent calculated by subtracting % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending Increase Stay the same Decrease Not relevant for me 5% 3% 17% 12% 6% 5% 9% 4% 5% 6% 33% 7% 3% 19% 11% 29% 28% 18% 14% 17% 9% 34% 15% 29% 15% 8% 64% 75% 48% 55% 69% 65% 57% 69% 48% 62% 28% 73% 77% 12% 11% 7% 5% 6% 16% 18% 19% 13% 17% 10% 5% 12% Skin care & makeup Furnishings & appliances Entertainment at home Books/magazines/newspapers Consumer electronics Gym Fitness equipment at home Vehicle purchases Home rentals Home purchases Online learning Local travel International travel -43 Net Intent* -59 -72 -31 -63 -60 -48 -65 -43 -56 +5 -66 -74 Expected spending per category over the next 3 months compared to usual (Cont’d) % of respondents Beyond Eid, consumer spending expected to increase only for Pharmaceuticals and Online Learning, decrease for all else; and decrease the least for groceries
  8. 8 Q: And where do you expect to buy these products and services? Possible Responses: In-store (in a physical store)/Online (through a website or an app)/ Not Sure/ Not relevant for me In-store Online Not sure Not relevant for meConsumer preferences in terms of physical and online stores across product categories % of respondents Online purchases expected to grow, especially for home entertainment, groceries, personal-care products, and reading materials 55% 68% 45% 32% 17% 23% 33% 30% 24% 27% 25% 32% 34% 24% 29% 12% 43% 31% 20% 22% 17% 25% 22% 35% 9% 5% 17% 19% 22% 27% 30% 29% 29% 28% 24% 20% 2% 2% 10% 37% 19% 19% 18% 19% 30% 20% 29% 14% Groceries Pharmaceutical Products Snacks Tobacco products Food takeout & delivery Restaurant Footwear Apparel Jewelry Accessories Non-food child products Personal-care products 25% 27% 22% 24% 26% 23% 22% 24% 29% 25% 24% 19% 29% 18% 36% 35% 26% 12% 17% 10% 15% 13% 20% 20% 22% 28% 24% 25% 27% 30% 28% 29% 28% 29% 32% 30% 24% 27% 18% 17% 21% 35% 34% 37% 28% 33% 24% 30% Skin care & makeup Furnishings & appliances Entertainment at home Books/magazines/newspapers Consumer electronics Gym Fitness equipment at home Vehicle purchases Home rentals Home purchases Local travel International travel CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020
  9. Expected change to time allocation during the lockdown period % of respondents During lockdown, people will spend more time working, chatting/messaging, reading, watching streaming content, and reading news 9 Q: Until the Lockdown is completely lifted, how much time do you expect to spend on these activities compared to how much time you normally spend on them? Possible Responses: Increase/Stay the same/Decrease * Net Intent calculated by subtracting % of respondents stating they expect to decrease time spent from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase time spent Increase Stay the same Decrease +42 Net Intent* +50 +26 +50 +18 +8 +55 +53 -31 59% 45% 57% 60% 39% 34% 69% 63% 18% 31% 36% 28% 30% 40% 39% 18% 27% 33% 9% 19% 15% 10% 21% 26% 14% 10% 49% News online News on TV Channels Streaming Services (e.g., Netflix, Amazon Prime, etc) Texting, chatting, messaging Entertainment on TV Channels Video Games Working from Home Reading for personal interest and/or growth Reading Print Newspapers CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020
  10. Anticipated impact to personal/household finances % of respondents More than 50% think that their finances will be impacted for at least 7 months to more than a year 10 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Possible Responses: More than 12 months/ 7-12 months/ 4-6 months/ 2-3 months/ 0-1 month 34% 29% 19% 11% 6% More than 12 months 7-12 months 4-6 months 2-3 months 0-1 month CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020
  11. 11 CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey 2020 Source: CES COVID-19 Consumer Pulse Survey Research; n=651; 25 years and above (prime working age); Urban; Working Professionals; HH income: At least BDT 40-120,000/month, BDT 120-250,000/month; and Above 250,000/month Note: This survey aims to complement a multi-country study conducted by McKinsey & Co, which did not include Bangladesh. Survey questions have been adopted from the said research, with customizations, as appropriate.
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