CCXG Forum, September 2023, Laura Cozzi

OECD Environment
OECD EnvironmentOECD Environment
The pulse of the energy sector ahead of
the first Global Stocktake
Laura Cozzi, Director of the Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks Directorate
OECD-IEA Climate Change Expert Group (CCXG) Global Forum, 12 September
IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 2
4 000
8 000
12 000
2022 2030
GW
Annual improvement in global energy efficiency
2%
4%
6%
2022 2030
A major scaling up of clean energy this decade
In line with IEA’s Net Zero roadmap, the world needs to double progress on energy efficiency & triple renewable power
capacity by 2030. A major scaling up of clean energy globally is critical to bring down demand for all fossil fuels.
Total global renewable power capacity
3x
2x
IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 3
Emerging and
developing economies
There are bright spots for clean energy investment in India, Brazil and some other emerging & developing countries,
but almost all of the growth in clean energy investment in recent years has been in advanced economies & China
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
Billion
USD
(2022)
Clean energy investment is rising, but not where it is needed most
Global clean energy spending
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Advanced economies
China
Other emerging and
developing economies
IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 4
Upcoming climate-related IEA milestones in the run-up to COP28 and
the first GST
Date Milestone
26 September Net Zero Emissions by 2050: A Roadmap for the Global Energy
Sector- 2023 Update
Late September Climate Pledges Explorer
2 October IEA-Government of Spain: Climate and Energy Summit: Building
a Grand Coalition to Keep 1.5 ºC Within Reach
October World Energy Outlook 2023; World Energy Employment 2023
July-December IEA-COP28 UAE Presidency High-level Dialogues on building a
1.5°C-aligned energy transition
IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 5
5
10
15
20
25
First
NDCs
Revised
NDCs
STEPS APS
Advanced economies
Gt
CO₂
5
10
15
20
25
First
NDCs
Revised
NDCs
STEPS APS
Emerging market and developing economies
Revised NDCs lower energy-sector emissions, but fall short of
aligning with long-term ambitions
Revised NDCs boosts the reduction in targeted emissions by around 4 Gt in 2030,
however they are not yet fully aligned with countries’ long-term targets
CO2 emissions from fuel combustion implied by NDCs and in APS by region, 2030
Climate Pledges Explorer: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/climate-pledges-explorer
IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 6
1 de 6

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CCXG Forum, September 2023, Laura Cozzi

  • 1. The pulse of the energy sector ahead of the first Global Stocktake Laura Cozzi, Director of the Sustainability, Technology and Outlooks Directorate OECD-IEA Climate Change Expert Group (CCXG) Global Forum, 12 September
  • 2. IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 2 4 000 8 000 12 000 2022 2030 GW Annual improvement in global energy efficiency 2% 4% 6% 2022 2030 A major scaling up of clean energy this decade In line with IEA’s Net Zero roadmap, the world needs to double progress on energy efficiency & triple renewable power capacity by 2030. A major scaling up of clean energy globally is critical to bring down demand for all fossil fuels. Total global renewable power capacity 3x 2x
  • 3. IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 3 Emerging and developing economies There are bright spots for clean energy investment in India, Brazil and some other emerging & developing countries, but almost all of the growth in clean energy investment in recent years has been in advanced economies & China 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 Billion USD (2022) Clean energy investment is rising, but not where it is needed most Global clean energy spending 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Advanced economies China Other emerging and developing economies
  • 4. IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 4 Upcoming climate-related IEA milestones in the run-up to COP28 and the first GST Date Milestone 26 September Net Zero Emissions by 2050: A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector- 2023 Update Late September Climate Pledges Explorer 2 October IEA-Government of Spain: Climate and Energy Summit: Building a Grand Coalition to Keep 1.5 ºC Within Reach October World Energy Outlook 2023; World Energy Employment 2023 July-December IEA-COP28 UAE Presidency High-level Dialogues on building a 1.5°C-aligned energy transition
  • 5. IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 5 5 10 15 20 25 First NDCs Revised NDCs STEPS APS Advanced economies Gt CO₂ 5 10 15 20 25 First NDCs Revised NDCs STEPS APS Emerging market and developing economies Revised NDCs lower energy-sector emissions, but fall short of aligning with long-term ambitions Revised NDCs boosts the reduction in targeted emissions by around 4 Gt in 2030, however they are not yet fully aligned with countries’ long-term targets CO2 emissions from fuel combustion implied by NDCs and in APS by region, 2030 Climate Pledges Explorer: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/climate-pledges-explorer
  • 6. IEA 2023. All rights reserved. Page 6