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Addressing competitiveness concerns in
ETS design โ€“ an intertemporal perspective
Constanze Haug
ICAP Secretariat
At system inception
โ€ข Primary goal: compensate for stranded assets, ease the
transition
โ€ข Free allocation likely to dominate, but auction at least
some allowances: market liquidity, price discovery, public
revenue
โ€ข Prepare for (or start with a simpler approach to)
benchmarking
System consolidation
โ€ข Free allocation becomes more targeted
-> focus โ€“ prevent carbon leakage risks in internationally
competitive industries
- > does not mean there is no carbon price signal
โ€ข Benchmarking now main method of free allocation
โ€ข Clear signal needed that free allocation will go down
over time
โ€ข Use ETS revenue to build long-term political support for
the system / address impacts on vulnerable groups
International Carbon Action Partnership 3
Mature systems โ€“ carbon leakage
protection over the long run
โ€ข Continuing high levels of free allocation make
decarbonisation more costly/difficult to achieve in the
long term
โ€ข Indicators for diminishing need for free allocation?
โ€ข Align approaches internationally
โ€ข Consider other options: border-tax adjustments,
consumption charges, complementary policies
International Carbon Action Partnership 4
In summaryโ€ฆ
International Carbon Action Partnership 5
Emissions
Emissions
Time
INCEPTIO
N
THE LONG RUN
CONSOLIDATIO
N
International Carbon Action Partnership 6
Thank you for your attention!
www.icapcarbonaction.com
info@icapcarbonaction.com
@ICAPSecretariat
B
A
International Carbon Action Partnership 7
Balancing policy objectives
Competitiveness &
avoid carbon leakage
Cost-effective
emission reductions
โ‚ฌ
$
Raise public revenue,
e.g. for low-carbon
innovation
Manage the
transition to an
ETS
BACK UP SLIDES
International Carbon Action Partnership 8
Comparing allocation approaches among key
ETSs
Free
allocatio
n share
Sectors receiving free allocation Benchmarking
introduced
Primary
Allocation
method
EU ~43% Industrial activities, aviation 2008, expanded
from 2013
Fixed baseline
period
Californi
a (WCI)
~50% Industrial activities, electric
distribution utilities and natural gas
suppliers*
2013, expanded
from 2014
Output-based
benchmarking
Quebec
(WCI)
~30% Industrial activities; electricity
production*; electricity imports from
RGGI States.
2013 Output-based
benchmarking
RGGI ~0% -- -- --
New
Zealand
~23% Industrial activities exposed to
transoceanic trade
2010 Output-based
benchmarking
Korea ~ 97% All covered sectors 2015? Grandparenting
International Carbon Action Partnership 9
ETS revenues: potential for compensation
and for sizeable co-benefits
International Carbon Action Partnership 10
International Carbon Action Partnership 11
Mt CO2
-40%
โ€ฆ while maintaining climate ambition!
Looking to the future
โ€ข Regularly review and align cap trajectories with
raised NDC ambition
โ€ข Gradual phase-down of free allocation key to
setting timely incentives for long-term decarbonization
-> Dialogue amongst major ETSs to compare and
potentially align approaches over time
International Carbon Action Partnership 12
International Carbon Action Partnership 13
Thank you for your attention!
www.icapcarbonaction.com
info@icapcarbonaction.com
@ICAPSecretariat

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Addressing competitiveness concerns in ETS design an intertemporal perspective, Constanze Haug - ICAP

  • 1. Addressing competitiveness concerns in ETS design โ€“ an intertemporal perspective Constanze Haug ICAP Secretariat
  • 2. At system inception โ€ข Primary goal: compensate for stranded assets, ease the transition โ€ข Free allocation likely to dominate, but auction at least some allowances: market liquidity, price discovery, public revenue โ€ข Prepare for (or start with a simpler approach to) benchmarking
  • 3. System consolidation โ€ข Free allocation becomes more targeted -> focus โ€“ prevent carbon leakage risks in internationally competitive industries - > does not mean there is no carbon price signal โ€ข Benchmarking now main method of free allocation โ€ข Clear signal needed that free allocation will go down over time โ€ข Use ETS revenue to build long-term political support for the system / address impacts on vulnerable groups International Carbon Action Partnership 3
  • 4. Mature systems โ€“ carbon leakage protection over the long run โ€ข Continuing high levels of free allocation make decarbonisation more costly/difficult to achieve in the long term โ€ข Indicators for diminishing need for free allocation? โ€ข Align approaches internationally โ€ข Consider other options: border-tax adjustments, consumption charges, complementary policies International Carbon Action Partnership 4
  • 5. In summaryโ€ฆ International Carbon Action Partnership 5 Emissions Emissions Time INCEPTIO N THE LONG RUN CONSOLIDATIO N
  • 6. International Carbon Action Partnership 6 Thank you for your attention! www.icapcarbonaction.com info@icapcarbonaction.com @ICAPSecretariat B A
  • 7. International Carbon Action Partnership 7 Balancing policy objectives Competitiveness & avoid carbon leakage Cost-effective emission reductions โ‚ฌ $ Raise public revenue, e.g. for low-carbon innovation Manage the transition to an ETS
  • 8. BACK UP SLIDES International Carbon Action Partnership 8
  • 9. Comparing allocation approaches among key ETSs Free allocatio n share Sectors receiving free allocation Benchmarking introduced Primary Allocation method EU ~43% Industrial activities, aviation 2008, expanded from 2013 Fixed baseline period Californi a (WCI) ~50% Industrial activities, electric distribution utilities and natural gas suppliers* 2013, expanded from 2014 Output-based benchmarking Quebec (WCI) ~30% Industrial activities; electricity production*; electricity imports from RGGI States. 2013 Output-based benchmarking RGGI ~0% -- -- -- New Zealand ~23% Industrial activities exposed to transoceanic trade 2010 Output-based benchmarking Korea ~ 97% All covered sectors 2015? Grandparenting International Carbon Action Partnership 9
  • 10. ETS revenues: potential for compensation and for sizeable co-benefits International Carbon Action Partnership 10
  • 11. International Carbon Action Partnership 11 Mt CO2 -40% โ€ฆ while maintaining climate ambition!
  • 12. Looking to the future โ€ข Regularly review and align cap trajectories with raised NDC ambition โ€ข Gradual phase-down of free allocation key to setting timely incentives for long-term decarbonization -> Dialogue amongst major ETSs to compare and potentially align approaches over time International Carbon Action Partnership 12
  • 13. International Carbon Action Partnership 13 Thank you for your attention! www.icapcarbonaction.com info@icapcarbonaction.com @ICAPSecretariat