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OECD SKILLS STRATEGY
BUILDING EFFECTIVE NATIONAL SKILLS STRATEGIES
https://www.oecd.org/skills/centre-for-skills
6th Annual Peer Learning Workshop
29 October 2019
Andrew Bell
Head of the OECD Skills Strategy Team
OECD Centre for Skills
Mexico
Peru
Korea
Flanders
(BE)
Italy
Kazakhstan
Netherland
s
Norway
Latvia
Poland
Slovak Republic
Spain
Portugal Austria
Sloveni
a
N Ireland
(UK)
Applied in 16 diverse countries so far
Mega trends are changing and increasing the
skills needed for success in work and life
GLOBALISATION TECHNOLOGICAL
CHANGE
DEMOGRAPHIC
CHANGE
Rapid development of
new technologies
Emergence of new
forms of work
Expansion of sources
of learning, especially
online
More integrated world
economy than ever
Emergence of global
value chains, offshoring
and outsourcing
Increased vulnerability
of some workers
Large expected
decline in working-age
population
Important
reallocations towards
care services
Need to ensure youth
have the right skills
Megatrends are contributing to polarisation
Job polarisation in the past two decades
%-point change share of total employment, 1995-2015
Source: OECD (2017), Employment Outlook 2017, Figure 3.A1.1, Job polarisation by country,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933477940
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Low-skilled workers Middle-skilled workers High-skilled workers
%
In the future a large share of
jobs could be impacted by automation
Source: Nedelkoska and Quintini (2018)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70%
Jobs at risk of Automation
Share of jobs at HIGH RISK (>70%) of automation and at SIGNIFICANT RISK (50-70%)
14%
32%
10
Creating pressure for a new approach
to skills policy
7
Lessons learned
from working with
countries on
national skills
strategy projects
Analytical work
on skills from 7
OECD directorates
Summary of the Skills Implications of megatrends
OECD Skills Strategy dashboard
Updated OECD Skills Strategy framework
Key policy insights and recommendations on
developing relevant skills
Key policy insights and recommendations on using
skills effectively
Key policy insights and recommendations on
strengthening the governance of skills systems
OECD Skills Strategy 2019
8
2019 OECD Skills Strategy Framework
9
Skills Strategy Dashboard:
Developing relevant skills
11
Skills Strategy Dashboard:
Using Skills Effectively
CONTINUING THEMATIC WORK
 Strengthening the governance of skills systems
 Theme of the 2018 Peer Learning Workshop
 Report to be published in Q1 2020
 Continuing work to put governance in comparative perspective
 Financing skills development across the life course
 Theme of the 2018 Peer Learning Workshop
 Proposing in PWB to do new work in this area
TOPIC OF TODAY’S WORKSHOP
Financing skills development across the life course
€
$
Cartoonist: David Parkins
Source: https://www.economist.com/node/21714341/all-comments?page=6
FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS ARE IMPORTANT
FOR SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
• How much is spent can influence the quality of skills
development (up to a point!)
• Who pays affects the incentives for individuals and
employers to invest in skills, and has implications for
equity
• How funding is allocated can influence the types of skills
people develop and the responsiveness of the skills
system to changing skills needs
FINANCING SKILLS DEVELOPMENT
Key financing considerations
How much will be
spent
•In total
•Per learner
•As a share of public
expenditure / GDP
Who pays for what
•Individuals/ households
•Employers/ sectors
•Governments (central,
sub-national)
•Civil society
organisations
•International
organisations
How funding is
allocated
•Life stages
•Learning contexts
•Forms of learning
•Specific skills
•Specific programmes/
providers
•Target groups
•Financing mechanisms
SKILLS FUNDING HAS GROWN ACROSS THE
OECD
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
% Change in expenditure per student
Percentage change in total expenditure on educational institutions per full-time equivalent
student (2005 and 2016)
Primary to tertiary education, all funding sources
Source: OECD (2019), Education at a Glance 2019: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/f8d7880d-en.
How much will be
spent
•In total
•Per learner
•As a share of public
expenditure / GDP
SKILLS FUNDING LEVELS DIFFER ACROSS
OECD
Total expenditure on educational institutions per full-time equivalent student (2016)
In equivalent USD converted using PPPs
Source: OECD (2019), Education at a Glance 2019: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/f8d7880d-en.
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
Primary, secondary, and post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary
Equivalent
USD
How much will be
spent
•In total
•Per learner
•As a share of public
expenditure / GDP
DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
1. What is a major example from your country related to each of the
four session topics?
2. What form(s), stage(s) and/or context(s) of learning does your
country example apply to?
3. What are the main successes and challenges of your country
example?
4. What do you want to learn from your peers?
For more information
To discuss OECD’s work on National Skills Strategy projects, please
contact:
montserrat.gomendio@oecd.org
andrew.bell@oecd.org

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OECD skills strategy 6th peer learning workshop 2019

  • 1. OECD SKILLS STRATEGY BUILDING EFFECTIVE NATIONAL SKILLS STRATEGIES https://www.oecd.org/skills/centre-for-skills 6th Annual Peer Learning Workshop 29 October 2019 Andrew Bell Head of the OECD Skills Strategy Team OECD Centre for Skills
  • 3. Mega trends are changing and increasing the skills needed for success in work and life GLOBALISATION TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE Rapid development of new technologies Emergence of new forms of work Expansion of sources of learning, especially online More integrated world economy than ever Emergence of global value chains, offshoring and outsourcing Increased vulnerability of some workers Large expected decline in working-age population Important reallocations towards care services Need to ensure youth have the right skills
  • 4. Megatrends are contributing to polarisation Job polarisation in the past two decades %-point change share of total employment, 1995-2015 Source: OECD (2017), Employment Outlook 2017, Figure 3.A1.1, Job polarisation by country, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/888933477940 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Low-skilled workers Middle-skilled workers High-skilled workers %
  • 5. In the future a large share of jobs could be impacted by automation Source: Nedelkoska and Quintini (2018) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70% Jobs at risk of Automation Share of jobs at HIGH RISK (>70%) of automation and at SIGNIFICANT RISK (50-70%) 14% 32%
  • 6. 10 Creating pressure for a new approach to skills policy
  • 7. 7 Lessons learned from working with countries on national skills strategy projects Analytical work on skills from 7 OECD directorates Summary of the Skills Implications of megatrends OECD Skills Strategy dashboard Updated OECD Skills Strategy framework Key policy insights and recommendations on developing relevant skills Key policy insights and recommendations on using skills effectively Key policy insights and recommendations on strengthening the governance of skills systems OECD Skills Strategy 2019
  • 8. 8 2019 OECD Skills Strategy Framework
  • 10.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. CONTINUING THEMATIC WORK  Strengthening the governance of skills systems  Theme of the 2018 Peer Learning Workshop  Report to be published in Q1 2020  Continuing work to put governance in comparative perspective  Financing skills development across the life course  Theme of the 2018 Peer Learning Workshop  Proposing in PWB to do new work in this area
  • 15. TOPIC OF TODAY’S WORKSHOP Financing skills development across the life course € $ Cartoonist: David Parkins Source: https://www.economist.com/node/21714341/all-comments?page=6
  • 16. FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS ARE IMPORTANT FOR SKILLS DEVELOPMENT • How much is spent can influence the quality of skills development (up to a point!) • Who pays affects the incentives for individuals and employers to invest in skills, and has implications for equity • How funding is allocated can influence the types of skills people develop and the responsiveness of the skills system to changing skills needs
  • 17. FINANCING SKILLS DEVELOPMENT Key financing considerations How much will be spent •In total •Per learner •As a share of public expenditure / GDP Who pays for what •Individuals/ households •Employers/ sectors •Governments (central, sub-national) •Civil society organisations •International organisations How funding is allocated •Life stages •Learning contexts •Forms of learning •Specific skills •Specific programmes/ providers •Target groups •Financing mechanisms
  • 18. SKILLS FUNDING HAS GROWN ACROSS THE OECD -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 % Change in expenditure per student Percentage change in total expenditure on educational institutions per full-time equivalent student (2005 and 2016) Primary to tertiary education, all funding sources Source: OECD (2019), Education at a Glance 2019: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/f8d7880d-en. How much will be spent •In total •Per learner •As a share of public expenditure / GDP
  • 19. SKILLS FUNDING LEVELS DIFFER ACROSS OECD Total expenditure on educational institutions per full-time equivalent student (2016) In equivalent USD converted using PPPs Source: OECD (2019), Education at a Glance 2019: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/f8d7880d-en. 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Primary, secondary, and post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary Equivalent USD How much will be spent •In total •Per learner •As a share of public expenditure / GDP
  • 20. DISCUSSION QUESTIONS 1. What is a major example from your country related to each of the four session topics? 2. What form(s), stage(s) and/or context(s) of learning does your country example apply to? 3. What are the main successes and challenges of your country example? 4. What do you want to learn from your peers?
  • 21. For more information To discuss OECD’s work on National Skills Strategy projects, please contact: montserrat.gomendio@oecd.org andrew.bell@oecd.org

Notas do Editor

  1. 1
  2. A number of ongoing trends are underscoring the importance of developing relevant skills and using those skills fully and effectively Globalisation is creating a more integrated world Characterised by the expansion of global value chains and increased offshoring All of which is making some workers more vulnerable, while creating new opportunities for others with the right skills. Technological change is reshaping the workplace And the skills requirements of jobs in the process At the same time, technology is changing how, when, and where we learn. For its part, demographic change: Means that productivity and skills will be increasingly important drivers of growth Reinforcing the importance of ensuring that youth develop the right skills and that adults continue to learn across the life course
  3. These trends have contributed to the well documented pattern of job polarisation internationally …with the share of jobs requiring higher levels of skills increasing quite significantly and the share requiring low skills increasing modestly. While the share requiring middle skills has been declining.
  4. Further challenges lie ahead. The OECD estimates that, on average in the OECD countries that participated in the survey… ….about 14% of workers face a high risk of seeing their jobs automated, ….and another 32% face significant changes in their job tasks due to automation (Nedelkoska and Quintini, 2018). This means that many people will need to develop new skills to perform new tasks in new jobs… ....and that many others will need to upgrade their skills to perform new tasks in their existing jobs. How effectively our skills systems facilitate this adjustment will have a big impact on how well individuals and countries are able to confront the challenges and seize the opportunities of the future.
  5. Latvia needs a major shift from the traditional approach to learning (upper part of figure) in which governments focus on front-end loading skills development in youth and activating skills in the labour market in adulthood. To a lifelong learning approach, whereby learning happens across the life course, to help individuals to adjust to: The changing skills needs of their jobs, more frequent transitions between jobs, and extended working lives
  6. 8