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Figure ES.4. Global GHG emissions under different scenarios and the emissions gap by 2030
EmissionsGapReport2019
2°C
range
1.8°C
range
1.5°C
range
Turquoise area shows
pathways limiting global
temperature increase to
below 2°C with
about 66% chance
Green area shows pathways
limiting global temperature
increase to below 1.5°C
by 2100 and peak below
1.7°C (both with 66% chance)
Current policy scenario
Cond.NDCcase
Uncond.NDCcase
Cond.NDCcase
Uncond.NDCcase
Remaining gap
to stay within
2°C limit
Remaining gap
to stay within
2°C limit
Remaining gap
to stay within
1.5°C limit
Conditional
NDC scenario
Unconditional NDC scenario
15GtCO2e
32GtCO2e
29GtCO2e
Median
estimate
of level
consistent
with 2°C:
41 GtCODže
(range 39-46)
Median estimate
of level consistent
with 1.5°C:
25 GtCODže
(range 22-31)
2005-Policies scenario
Current policy scenario
Conditional NDC scenario
Unconditional NDC scenario
2005-Policies scenario
2°C
range
1.8°C
range1.5°C
range
GtCO2e
12
20
30
40
50
60
70
2015 2020 2025 2030
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
GtCOǖe
(median estimate and 10th to 90th percentile range).
I
Emissions Gap Report 2019
Emissions Gap
Report 2019

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