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Focusing on risk
management can
be a complete
game changer
The numbers do not lie
You may already
understand how vital
managing your risk is
Why you should
focus on risk
management
How you can lessen
the impact of losing
streaks/draw
downs
After fully
understanding those…
How to calculate
your position size
The simple step you
can take so you
never forget about
risk
RISK MANAGEMENT
IS YOUR FIRST JOB
The more risk, the
greater the potential
reward
Taking this principle to
its extreme has been
the downfall of many
inexperienced traders
The primary goal of
trading is to protect
the capital
Trading capital is the
lifeblood of your
trading business
One risk size
does not fit all
Trading is all about
your probability of
survival
These are losing
streaks, losing trades
in a row
Bad News
WINNING STREAKS/
LOSING STREAKS
COME IN A RANDOM
DISTRIBUTION
WWWWWLLWWW
WWLLLLLWLL
Think about the
different types of
trading systems
Trending
Channel
It's natural that
winners and losers
should come in
clusters
Once or twice a year
you will likely see one
of these eight to nine
trade losing streaks
CAN YOU RECOVER
FROM A STRING OF
LOSING TRADES?
Initial: $10,000
After Loss: $9,500
Need: 5.3% over that
$9,500 to get back to
$10,000
Account draws down 10%?
You need to make 11%
on remaining balance
25%?
You need to make
33%
50%?
You need to double
the size of your
remaining account
Consider a scenario
where on every trade
you are risking 5%
during the 1%
probability losing streak!
If your account has
gone down 40%, you
need to make 67%
on the remaining
balance!
What if you used a
lower risk %?
Your account is
eminently survivable
WHAT IS EFFECTIVE
RISK MANAGEMENT?
1. RISK PER TRADE
2. DAILY OR WEEKLY
CIRCUIT BREAKER
You will find that there
are days and weeks
when the markets are
simply not cooperating
Go back to that
probabilities table
You need to look at
this in terms of
recover-ability
Set the circuit breaker
large enough so that it
can accommodate the
normal fluctuations
If you're down 10% of
your account in one
day, you know that
you can recover
relatively easy
3. MAXIMUM DRAW
DOWN YOU ARE
WILLING TO TAKE
You need to have in
mind a maximum
draw down level for
your total account
You have to redo your
homework
You must redo your
analysis
It's time to take a
fresh look at your
trading system &
consider changes to it
Consider changes to
the instruments you
are trading
Consider changes to
the time frames you
are trading
This will in all
likelihood be a
relatively large
number
How much?
How large?
How much of a loss will I
accept before reassessing
my trading business?
Determine your
average risk per trade
Let's assume in our
example that the
average losing trade
for your system is
$200 per trade.
account size
x
risk %
/
average loss
x
price per tick
We talked earlier
about 2% - 5% risk
With a 1% risk, you
can survive many
storms
The flip side of the 1%
risk is that you will not
be able to make as
much money on each
trade
You always have that
balance between how
much risk you are willing
to assume versus how
aggressively you want to
pursue gains
Failure to respect
risk will kill you
Resist the temptation
and focus on risk
management
4 STEPS TO BEING A
RISK MANAGER
Before you trade,
decide how much
you're going to risk
Determine your circuit
breaker level
Determine your draw
down size
Write it all
down!
VITAL

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Does Risk Management Really Matter In Trading?