Overview of the energy sector in zambia case of renewable energy

Jerry Sakala
Jerry SakalaEntreprenuer | Patron United Nations Youth Association Zambia em Net Innovation
Presentation to the Promoters of Renewable Energy Technologies
Energy Regulation Board
November 2015
OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR
IN ZAMBIA:
CASE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
CONTENTS
1. BACKGROUND
2. REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT- BACKGROUND
3. OVERVIEW OF REFIT PROGRAM FOR ZAMBIA AND OUTCOME
4. PRINCIPAL IMPLEMENTERS OF REFiT PROGRAM
5. ROLES OF THE REGULATOR IN THE REFIT PROGRAM
6. PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING REFiT
7. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK – STATUS
8. ESTIMATED RENEWABLE ENERGY TARIFFS FOR SOLAR
9. WAY FORWARD
10. CONCLUSION
2
1- BACKGROUND
Zambia’s Potential for Renewable Energy
 Total installed hydro powered electricity generation currently
stands at 2,398 MW against total undeveloped hydro potential of
6,000 MW;
 National peak demand outstripping available supply – growth
mainly driven by mining and ALL other customer categories;
 Current capacity shortfall from hydro resulting in acute load-
shedding – 8hrs/day/Household
 Country rich in renewable energy resources, such as Geothermal,
Biomass, Solar and Mini-hydros;
 Urgent need for diversification.
3
2- REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT BACKGROUND
Draft REFiT Policy - Zambia:
a) Policy developed with assistance from United States Agency for
International Development through the USAID Southern Africa Trade
Hub (SATH) that provided both Technical and financial support.
b) Government via Department of Energy (DoE) developed Renewable
Energy Feed in Tariff (REFIT) Policy to stimulate Renewable Energy
production and to promote private sector participation in energy sector;
c) Draft REFIT policy was finalised in April 2015.
General Objectives
a) Harness Zambia’s renewable energy potential to drive economic growth
and reduce poverty;
b) Provide a dedicated Policy framework for expanded renewable energy
uptake through private sector participation
c) Introduce an appropriate and sustainable renewable energy feed-in-tariff
system to attract private sector participation and investment.
d) In the medium to long-term aim to contribute to the creation of a
diversified energy mix and increase energy security in Zambia
4
2- REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT
BACKGROUND-CONT.D
 Phased Implementation
Phase 1
a) Available for 3-years from formal announcement;
b) Focus on low-cost options;
c) Maximum total allocation of 200 MW divided into:
i. 100MW for hydro power (maximum project size of 20MW)
ii. 100MW for non-hydro power (maximum project size of
20MW)
iii. In addition a maximum of 10MW of micro generation
(maximum
 Phase 2 details to be announced before the end of Phase 1
5
3.OVERVIEW OF REFiT PROGRAM FOR ZAMBIA
AND OUTCOME
 The draft REFiT Policy - to initially develop small-scale renewable
energy projects totaling 200 MW.
 Small scale renewable energy projects eligible for REFIT include:
Solar PV, Hydropower and Biomass.
 Project size limit: Individual projects of up to 20MW;
 REFiT to be differentiated by renewable energy technology and
by project size ,
 Standardize process and documents for development of projects
eligible under REFiT program.
 REFiT developed to attract private sector investment in
renewable energy projects
6
4-PRINCIPAL IMPLEMENTERS OF REFiT
PROGRAM
a) The Ministry of Energy and Water Development:
 Responsible for energy policy formulation and implementation.
b) The Energy Regulation Board (ERB) as sector regulator:
 Licensing of operators/utilities.
 Tariff setting-ensuring reasonable return on investment for
operators/utilities.
 Performance monitoring .
c) ZESCO Limited vertically integrated stated owned Utility
 Being the off taker as provided by the REFIT Policy.
7
5-ROLES OF THE ERB IN THE REFIT PROGRAM
Role of ERB in accommodating Renewable Energy:
 Development of REFiT Guidelines; Standards;
Rules and Regulations;
 Determination of Indicative tariffs for RE
technologies (Solar, hydro and Biomass) under REFiT
program;
 Development of Standard License for the REFiT
program;
 Development of the standardized Power Purchase
Agreement; and
 Development of Connection Guidelines and
Agreements
8
6-PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING REFiT
 A detailed discounted cash flow model has been developed to
estimate cost-based tariffs (high enough to cover the generation
cost, including a sufficient rate of return and supplements for
risks)
 Data and assumptions made in the analysis gathered from
multiple sources in Zambia and stakeholders including project
developers, equipment suppliers, financial institutions, reliable
published data, and experience from international and African
renewable energy projects. Tax and accounting information for
Zambia.
9
7- REGULATORY FRAMEWORK - STATUS
 REFiT rules and regulations have been developed with the
Support from the United States Agency for International
Development together with USAID Southern Africa Trade Hub
(SATH) based on a review of existing and applicable Laws,
Acts, and Policies in Zambia and International best practices.
 Draft REFiT generation license has been developed
consistent with ZESCO and ERB rules and regulations
 Draft REFiT PPA has been developed in consistent with
existing ZESCO PPA’s and in consultation with relevant
stakeholders.
 All documents and approaches have been developed
consistent with international and regional best practice
10
8-ESTIMATED RENEWABLE ENERGY TARIFFS
FOR SOLAR
 Indicative proposed Cost-reflective REFiT for Solar PV Projects
applicable for Phase 1 (3 years) of the REFiT program;
 REFiT is proposed as a price cap, with price discovery below the
cap through competitive bidding subject to procurement
mechanism legislation.
11
Solar PV Plant Size Range Tariff (U.S. ¢/kWh)
500 kW to 1 MW 17.82
1+ MW to 5 MW 16.76
5+ MW to 10 MW 15.74
10+ MW to 20 MW 14.25
9- WAY FORWARD
 Development of a Standardized Connection Agreement.
 Development of a Standardized Implementation Agreement.
 Development of a Structured and Transparent Procurement
mechanism.
 Alignment of REFiT program to other ongoing initiatives such as
the GET FiT program.
 Align REFiT to Grid Code rules
 Alignment to other pieces of legislation as necessary to support
and facilitate the implementation of the REFIT program
(including enhanced Energy Regulation Bill, Electricity Act.
12
10. CONCLUSION
With the REFIT regulatory framework and secondary mechanisms on
the way forward developed, the REFIT program is envisaged to be
implemented by the first quarter of 2016.
END
13
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION
ERB Contact:
erb@erb.org.zm
www.erb.org.zm
Fax: +260-211-258852
Tel: +260-211-258844-9
14
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Overview of the energy sector in zambia case of renewable energy

  • 1. Presentation to the Promoters of Renewable Energy Technologies Energy Regulation Board November 2015 OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR IN ZAMBIA: CASE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY
  • 2. CONTENTS 1. BACKGROUND 2. REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT- BACKGROUND 3. OVERVIEW OF REFIT PROGRAM FOR ZAMBIA AND OUTCOME 4. PRINCIPAL IMPLEMENTERS OF REFiT PROGRAM 5. ROLES OF THE REGULATOR IN THE REFIT PROGRAM 6. PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING REFiT 7. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK – STATUS 8. ESTIMATED RENEWABLE ENERGY TARIFFS FOR SOLAR 9. WAY FORWARD 10. CONCLUSION 2
  • 3. 1- BACKGROUND Zambia’s Potential for Renewable Energy  Total installed hydro powered electricity generation currently stands at 2,398 MW against total undeveloped hydro potential of 6,000 MW;  National peak demand outstripping available supply – growth mainly driven by mining and ALL other customer categories;  Current capacity shortfall from hydro resulting in acute load- shedding – 8hrs/day/Household  Country rich in renewable energy resources, such as Geothermal, Biomass, Solar and Mini-hydros;  Urgent need for diversification. 3
  • 4. 2- REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT BACKGROUND Draft REFiT Policy - Zambia: a) Policy developed with assistance from United States Agency for International Development through the USAID Southern Africa Trade Hub (SATH) that provided both Technical and financial support. b) Government via Department of Energy (DoE) developed Renewable Energy Feed in Tariff (REFIT) Policy to stimulate Renewable Energy production and to promote private sector participation in energy sector; c) Draft REFIT policy was finalised in April 2015. General Objectives a) Harness Zambia’s renewable energy potential to drive economic growth and reduce poverty; b) Provide a dedicated Policy framework for expanded renewable energy uptake through private sector participation c) Introduce an appropriate and sustainable renewable energy feed-in-tariff system to attract private sector participation and investment. d) In the medium to long-term aim to contribute to the creation of a diversified energy mix and increase energy security in Zambia 4
  • 5. 2- REFiT POLICY DEVELOPMENT BACKGROUND-CONT.D  Phased Implementation Phase 1 a) Available for 3-years from formal announcement; b) Focus on low-cost options; c) Maximum total allocation of 200 MW divided into: i. 100MW for hydro power (maximum project size of 20MW) ii. 100MW for non-hydro power (maximum project size of 20MW) iii. In addition a maximum of 10MW of micro generation (maximum  Phase 2 details to be announced before the end of Phase 1 5
  • 6. 3.OVERVIEW OF REFiT PROGRAM FOR ZAMBIA AND OUTCOME  The draft REFiT Policy - to initially develop small-scale renewable energy projects totaling 200 MW.  Small scale renewable energy projects eligible for REFIT include: Solar PV, Hydropower and Biomass.  Project size limit: Individual projects of up to 20MW;  REFiT to be differentiated by renewable energy technology and by project size ,  Standardize process and documents for development of projects eligible under REFiT program.  REFiT developed to attract private sector investment in renewable energy projects 6
  • 7. 4-PRINCIPAL IMPLEMENTERS OF REFiT PROGRAM a) The Ministry of Energy and Water Development:  Responsible for energy policy formulation and implementation. b) The Energy Regulation Board (ERB) as sector regulator:  Licensing of operators/utilities.  Tariff setting-ensuring reasonable return on investment for operators/utilities.  Performance monitoring . c) ZESCO Limited vertically integrated stated owned Utility  Being the off taker as provided by the REFIT Policy. 7
  • 8. 5-ROLES OF THE ERB IN THE REFIT PROGRAM Role of ERB in accommodating Renewable Energy:  Development of REFiT Guidelines; Standards; Rules and Regulations;  Determination of Indicative tariffs for RE technologies (Solar, hydro and Biomass) under REFiT program;  Development of Standard License for the REFiT program;  Development of the standardized Power Purchase Agreement; and  Development of Connection Guidelines and Agreements 8
  • 9. 6-PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING REFiT  A detailed discounted cash flow model has been developed to estimate cost-based tariffs (high enough to cover the generation cost, including a sufficient rate of return and supplements for risks)  Data and assumptions made in the analysis gathered from multiple sources in Zambia and stakeholders including project developers, equipment suppliers, financial institutions, reliable published data, and experience from international and African renewable energy projects. Tax and accounting information for Zambia. 9
  • 10. 7- REGULATORY FRAMEWORK - STATUS  REFiT rules and regulations have been developed with the Support from the United States Agency for International Development together with USAID Southern Africa Trade Hub (SATH) based on a review of existing and applicable Laws, Acts, and Policies in Zambia and International best practices.  Draft REFiT generation license has been developed consistent with ZESCO and ERB rules and regulations  Draft REFiT PPA has been developed in consistent with existing ZESCO PPA’s and in consultation with relevant stakeholders.  All documents and approaches have been developed consistent with international and regional best practice 10
  • 11. 8-ESTIMATED RENEWABLE ENERGY TARIFFS FOR SOLAR  Indicative proposed Cost-reflective REFiT for Solar PV Projects applicable for Phase 1 (3 years) of the REFiT program;  REFiT is proposed as a price cap, with price discovery below the cap through competitive bidding subject to procurement mechanism legislation. 11 Solar PV Plant Size Range Tariff (U.S. ¢/kWh) 500 kW to 1 MW 17.82 1+ MW to 5 MW 16.76 5+ MW to 10 MW 15.74 10+ MW to 20 MW 14.25
  • 12. 9- WAY FORWARD  Development of a Standardized Connection Agreement.  Development of a Standardized Implementation Agreement.  Development of a Structured and Transparent Procurement mechanism.  Alignment of REFiT program to other ongoing initiatives such as the GET FiT program.  Align REFiT to Grid Code rules  Alignment to other pieces of legislation as necessary to support and facilitate the implementation of the REFIT program (including enhanced Energy Regulation Bill, Electricity Act. 12
  • 13. 10. CONCLUSION With the REFIT regulatory framework and secondary mechanisms on the way forward developed, the REFIT program is envisaged to be implemented by the first quarter of 2016. END 13
  • 14. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION ERB Contact: erb@erb.org.zm www.erb.org.zm Fax: +260-211-258852 Tel: +260-211-258844-9 14