Internet Bandwidth Projection and Evolution (bangladesh)

1. HadiPersonal Analysis Internet Bandwidth Projection (Bangladesh)

2. HadiPersonal Analysis The Emerging Economy and ICT Contribution Bangladesh among Goldman Sachs “Next 11”Emerging Economies Bangladesh among Citigroup ‘3G’ (Global Growth Generators) countries 6%+ GDP growth annually since 2010 #2 Garments Exporter in the world 3% Contribution of ICT & Telecom Sector to GDP

3. HadiPersonal Analysis Key Index : Telecom and ICT Sectors 2016 79%Voice Penetration %50 of Total FDI %3 Contribution to GDP m1.5 + Employment %42Internet Penetration

4. HadiPersonal Analysis Governing Framework

5. HadiPersonal Analysis National Broadband Policy -2009 : Key Highlights Broadband Redefined : 1 Mbps+ + Fundamental Broadband Policy Objectives ✓ Reliable & affordable broadband service ✓ Improvement of access network & facilitate interconnection ✓ Encourage PPP in Broadband service ✓ Promote local/Bangla contents & encourage investment in VAS & Broadband Journey Towards Broadband ISPs Launched Technology and Services License Phase

6. HadiPersonal Analysis Services / Application Corporate / Professional Youth & Early Adop Mid-Market Segment Rural / Low End Subs Opportunities Emerging in Data Markets Web-Based Services Information Search SNC / Blogging News Feeds Immediate Adaptation Near-Term Adaptation Medium-Term Adaptation Long-Term Adaptation Utility E-Commerce Location Based Services Enterprise Application Video Clip Casting Downloading Calling / Conferencing Email On the Web Client (Push Email) Music Music Downloads Live Streaming Games Online Games Games Download

7. HadiPersonal Analysis Internet Advancing Digital Transformation Demand for Internet Coverage fixed or wireless coverage is Required in the area Platforms & Devices Services to be affordable Awareness Benefits of Internet To be deiminated to stakeholders Affordability Stakeholders Should get Purchase benefits Adaptation Adopt customer Value Chain of the Digital Economy Content Creation Regulates public demand and value creation Applications Partial Liberalization & Privatization Equipment Enabling investment Innovation & access Transport Flexible & integrated regulation Devices Content transport to the user devices Internet Adaptation in Firm Level Content Creation Applications development E-Commerce E-Invoices E-Supply Chain E-Signature E-Management ERP & CRM Data Storage & Cloud Computing Disaster Recovery

8. HadiPersonal Analysis Bangladesh Govt. Master Plan in Broadband 2015 2018 2021 35% BB penetration 50% BB penetration 70% Internet Penetration 48% Internet Penetration 2017AUG 34% Internet Penetration 100% Internet Penetration 10% BB penetration 18% BB penetration

9. HadiPersonal Analysis Convergence Roadmap

10. HadiPersonal Analysis Overall BW Requirement (Gbps) (Organic Growth and 4G Launching) 40 86 183 522 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 35% 35% 42% 46% 50% 20% 35% 38% 44% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Technology Based Internet Penetration General Internet Penetration (EDGE, GPRS) Broadband Internet Penetration (3G, 4G, ISP)

11. HadiPersonal Analysis Internet Connectivity and BW Distribution (Organic Growth and 4G Launching) Internet Connectivity (mn) Technology Type Service Provider Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 3G and 4G Mobile Mobile Internet MNO 49 50 56 62 68 3G and 4G Mobile Mobile Broadband MNO 22 31 36 39 41 WiMax Broadband WiMax 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 ISP (NTTN+Wireless+WiFi) Broadband ISP 6 10 14 20 27 Internet Connectivity (Overall) 78 91 106 121 136 27 32 44 56 68 16 32 40 53 68 42 64 85 109 136 0 50 100 150 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Internet Connectivity (mn) General Internet Connectivity (mn) Broadband Internet Connectivity (mn) Total Internet Connectivity (mn)

12. HadiPersonal Analysis Service Based BW Requirement (Gbps) Technology Type Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Mobile Network Operator 298 494 690 943 1,283 Internet Service Provider 339 399 608 1,073 1,960 International Gateways 7.13 7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36 International Enterprise Companies 3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88 Broadband Wireless Access 5 10 15 25 30 Total BW 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288 339 399 608 1,073 1,960 298 494 690 943 1,283 5 10 15 25 30 7.13 7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36 3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88 1 5 25 125 625 3,125 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Service Based BW Requirement (Gbps) MNO ISP IGW Enterprise BWA

13. HadiPersonal Analysis SMC/ITC ISP End User NTTN IIG ISP Stakeholders & Value Chain

14. HadiPersonal Analysis ISP Bandwidth Distribution (Category wise) in Gbps ISP Type Quantity Market Share Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Nationwide 70 80% 246 403 559 761 1,033 Central Zone 30 15% 47 77 108 147 199 Zonal 20 5% 16 26 36 49 66 Total ISP BW (Gbps)= 309 506 702 957 1,298 309 506 702 957 1,298 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 ISP BW Forecast (Gbps)

15. HadiPersonal Analysis 154 181 276 486 888 79 92 141 248 454 99 116 178 313 572 8 9 14 25 45 339 399 608 1,073 1,960 1 5 25 125 625 3,125 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Mobile Operator BW Usage Forecast (Gbps) Grameen Phone Banglalink Robi TeleTalk Total

16. HadiPersonal Analysis IIG Bandwidth Forecast Description Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 Mobile Operator BW Requirement (Gbps) 339 399 608 1,073 1,960 Internet Service Prodiver BW Requirement (Gbps) 298 494 690 943 1,283 Broadband Wireless Access Requirement (Gbps) 5 10 15 25 30 Total IIG BW Requirement (Gbps) 643 903 1313 2041 3273 643 903 1,313 2,041 3,273 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 IIG BW Forecast (Gbps)

17. HadiPersonal Analysis 23 30 130 205 3 18 48 80 12 28 38 75 3 8 13 20 2 3 4 10 66 138 266 405 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 SMC/ITC BW Market Share (Gbps): 2013Q3 to 2017Q2 BSCCL Summit Fiber@Home NovoCom Mango BDLink 1 Aisa Total Data BW (Gbps)

18. HadiPersonal Analysis 300 402 583 904 1,447 118 174 252 390 625 111 165 239 370 592 20 64 93 144 230 46 55 80 123 197 26 27 40 62 99 5 205 405 605 805 1,005 1,205 1,405 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 SMC/ITC BW Market Share (Gbps): 2018 to 2022 BSCCL Summit Fiber@Home NovoCom Mango BDLink 1 Aisa

19. HadiPersonal Analysis 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 SMC+ITC BW Projecttion (Gbps) SMC/ITC Bandwidth Projection (Gbps) Service Provider Category Y2018 Y2019 Y2020 Y2021 Y2022 IIG BW 642.70 902.96 1,313.18 2,041.11 3,272.81 IGW BW 7.13 7.63 8.16 8.74 9.36 Enterprise BW 3.29 3.78 4.48 5.18 5.88 Total SMC / ITC BW 653 914 1,326 2,055 3,288

20. HadiPersonal Analysis Initiatives to reduce international BW 1. Local Hosting Service 2. Split DNS 3. IXP Peering Region based and Revenue Sharing Concept with BDIX / NIX 4. Content Delivery Network Peering 5. Public Server mirror

21. HadiPersonal Analysis Thank You

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