Harrod domar model of growth

Harrod-Domar Model of
Growth
Prepared By:
Manoj Sharma
Msc.Ag (Agri-Economics)
Agriculture and Forestry University
AFU
Introduction
• Extended form of Keynesian analysis to long run
• Dual effect of investment:
i. Increase AD and Income through multiplier process,
ii. Raises productive capacity ( ignored by Keynes)
• Seeks to determine unique rate at which investment and
income must grow- full employment for long run
• As investment increases - Income increases - AD
increases - Output increases - Employment increases
AFU
Domar’s Growth Model
• Fundamental Growth Equation
∆Y = ∆K. (∆Y/∆K)
Where, ∆Y = Increase in National Income during a period
∆K = I
∆Y/∆K = marginal output-capital ratio (= Y/K
assume = σ)
So, ∆Y = Iσ ………..(i)
AFU
• Demand or income effect of investment
Increase in income is given by the increase in investment and
size of multiplier
∆Y = ∆I/s …….. (ii)
Where, 1/s = size of investment multiplier
• Domar’s Growth Equation in terms of rates of Growth
∆Y/Y= (∆K/Y).(∆Y/∆K)
Gy = (I/Y).(∆Y/∆K)
Gy = (I/Y).σ
To maintain full employment, S = I
Gy = (S/Y).σ
Gy = s.σ ( where, s = saving ratio) …….(iii)
AFU
• Equilibrium Growth Condition
From equations (i) and (ii), we get rate of investment
Iσ = ∆I/s
Or, ∆I/I = sσ ……(iv)
From equations (iii) and (iv), Equilibrium growth is given by,
Gy = ∆Y/Y = ∆I/I = sσ
Thus, rate should be equal to the propensity to save (s)
multiplied by output-capital ratio (σ).
AFU
Harrod’s Growth Model
• Truly Dynamic one
• Seeks to explain secular cause of unemployment and
inflation and the factors determining equilibrium and
actual rate of capital accumulation
• Three basic elements:
a) population growth,
b) output per head as determined by level of investment,
and
c) capital accumulation
AFU
• Two assumptions:
i) Saving in any period of time is constant proportional to
rate of increase in income
S = sYt
ii) The investment is proportional the rate of increase in
income
∆K or I = ν(Yt – Yt-1)
Since, saving must be equal to actual investment, we have
ν(Yt – Yt-1) = sYt
ν(Yt – Yt-1)/Yt = s
AFU
(Yt – Yt-1)/Yt = s/ν
Gy = s/ν
Warranted rate of Growth : Fundamental growth equation
• Describes Equilibrium growth at steady rate
• A rate of growth if it occurs will keep the entrepreneurs
satisfied that they have produced neither more or less
than the right amount
Gw = s/νr
Where, νr = required ICOR to sustain the warranted rate of
growth
AFU
• It is determined by the state of technology and the nature
of goods constituting the increment in output
Condition for the equilibrium growth rate
• if incremental capital-output (ν) actually realized happens
to be equal to required capital-output ratio (νr) warranted
by technological and other conditions, then
Gy = Gw
AFU
Fig: Harrod-Domar Model of equilibrium Growth
AFU
Thank You
AFU
1 de 11

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Harrod domar model of growth

  • 1. Harrod-Domar Model of Growth Prepared By: Manoj Sharma Msc.Ag (Agri-Economics) Agriculture and Forestry University AFU
  • 2. Introduction • Extended form of Keynesian analysis to long run • Dual effect of investment: i. Increase AD and Income through multiplier process, ii. Raises productive capacity ( ignored by Keynes) • Seeks to determine unique rate at which investment and income must grow- full employment for long run • As investment increases - Income increases - AD increases - Output increases - Employment increases AFU
  • 3. Domar’s Growth Model • Fundamental Growth Equation ∆Y = ∆K. (∆Y/∆K) Where, ∆Y = Increase in National Income during a period ∆K = I ∆Y/∆K = marginal output-capital ratio (= Y/K assume = σ) So, ∆Y = Iσ ………..(i) AFU
  • 4. • Demand or income effect of investment Increase in income is given by the increase in investment and size of multiplier ∆Y = ∆I/s …….. (ii) Where, 1/s = size of investment multiplier • Domar’s Growth Equation in terms of rates of Growth ∆Y/Y= (∆K/Y).(∆Y/∆K) Gy = (I/Y).(∆Y/∆K) Gy = (I/Y).σ To maintain full employment, S = I Gy = (S/Y).σ Gy = s.σ ( where, s = saving ratio) …….(iii) AFU
  • 5. • Equilibrium Growth Condition From equations (i) and (ii), we get rate of investment Iσ = ∆I/s Or, ∆I/I = sσ ……(iv) From equations (iii) and (iv), Equilibrium growth is given by, Gy = ∆Y/Y = ∆I/I = sσ Thus, rate should be equal to the propensity to save (s) multiplied by output-capital ratio (σ). AFU
  • 6. Harrod’s Growth Model • Truly Dynamic one • Seeks to explain secular cause of unemployment and inflation and the factors determining equilibrium and actual rate of capital accumulation • Three basic elements: a) population growth, b) output per head as determined by level of investment, and c) capital accumulation AFU
  • 7. • Two assumptions: i) Saving in any period of time is constant proportional to rate of increase in income S = sYt ii) The investment is proportional the rate of increase in income ∆K or I = ν(Yt – Yt-1) Since, saving must be equal to actual investment, we have ν(Yt – Yt-1) = sYt ν(Yt – Yt-1)/Yt = s AFU
  • 8. (Yt – Yt-1)/Yt = s/ν Gy = s/ν Warranted rate of Growth : Fundamental growth equation • Describes Equilibrium growth at steady rate • A rate of growth if it occurs will keep the entrepreneurs satisfied that they have produced neither more or less than the right amount Gw = s/νr Where, νr = required ICOR to sustain the warranted rate of growth AFU
  • 9. • It is determined by the state of technology and the nature of goods constituting the increment in output Condition for the equilibrium growth rate • if incremental capital-output (ν) actually realized happens to be equal to required capital-output ratio (νr) warranted by technological and other conditions, then Gy = Gw AFU
  • 10. Fig: Harrod-Domar Model of equilibrium Growth AFU